There were two films releases last weekend. One film had arguably the biggest star cast of 2015 in a genre that was expected to hold universal appeal. The other was expected to take a slow start and perform well in a couple of states if the word-of-mouth was nothing less than excellent.
Not a single trade analyst gave Bajirao Mastani a chance. Even in the worst case scenario, Dilwale was expected to lead. After all, the audience tend to like entertainers. Like we mentioned in one of our articles, Dilwale had a team that never failed (read). The director has given several blockbusters, the lead star is arguably the biggest the industry has ever produced and his pairing with Kajol is evergreen. The younger star, Varun Dhawan, had taken giant strides in the last couple of years.
But the box office game is unpredictable and a great leveller. Every star, big or small, has to go through this test every time his / her film releases. For someone like Shah Rukh Khan – who we firmly believe is beyond box office numbers, for the simple reason that he has achieved everything (and more) in the industry – it is still a test. He is the face of films like Dilwale and the responsibility of ensuring that the investors of his films recover their investment and earn profits, is on his shoulders.
The responsibility further increased with a film like ‘Dilwale’ because his company turned distributors and is now adopting a semi-studio model by both producing and distributing their films. Territories were also sold for exorbitant prices because the film was expected to collect no less than Rs 200 crore and recovery for individual distributors might prove to be tough if the film doesn’t sustain in the long run.
On the other hand, we have a film that was written off by everyone in trade, including us. It’s that very film that could eventually win the battle and topple the all mighty against all odds.
We are going with a very bold prediction for both Bajirao Mastani and Dilwale. We expect the Shah Rukh Khan starrer to finish below the 150 crore mark at the domestic box office and Sanjay Leela Bhansali’s Bajirao Mastani to cross the 165 crore in India.
| Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr X | Negative | 24 cr | 24.9 cr | 0.03% | Accurate | |
| Gabbar Is Back | Positive | 89 cr | 85 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Piku | Positive | 75 cr | 79 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
| Bombay Velvet | Extremely Negative | 24 cr | 24 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
| Tanu Weds Manu | Extremely Positive | 86 cr | 151 cr | 75% | Inaccurate | |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | Mixed | 85 cr | 78 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | Mixed | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| ABCD 2 | Positive | 102 cr | 105 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | Extremely Positive | 285 cr | 320 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Bangistan | Extremely Negative | 8 cr | 6.2 cr | 22% | Inaccurate | |
| Drishyam | Positive | 66 cr | 73 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Brothers | Negative | 103 cr | 83 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
| All Is Well | Negative | 16 cr | 15 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Phantom | Mixed | 61 cr | 54 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Welcome Back | Mixed | 120 cr | 98 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Hero | Mixed | 38 cr | 34 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Katti Batti | Extremely Negative | 24 cr | 24 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
| Calendar Girls | Negative | 8 cr | 7.1 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karu | Positive | 57 cr | 50 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Talvar | Positive | 20 cr | 29 | 31% | Inaccurate | |
| Jazbaa | Mixed | 29 cr | 27 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | Positive | 35 cr | 61 cr | 42% | Inaccurate | |
| Shaandaar | Extremely Negative | 48 cr | 43 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | Mixed | 230 cr | 213 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
| Tamasha | Negative | 68 cr | 69 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
| Dilwale | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | ||
| Bajirao Mastani | 168 cr | 187 cr | 10% | Accurate | ||
Even badly criticized Dilwale managing well.
OK as a salman khan fan till now I enjoyed srk DILWALE debacle but now other small stars fans are trolling srk this is not good he is superstar only salman srk Aamir are their for reason.. It’s #fact without salman srk Aamir Bollywood is nothing
As salman fan I TROLL srk but srk Aamir are way bigger than Bollywood its true baap our SULTAN #respect to KHAN KINGDOM FAN OF TRIO TILL THE END
srk shd win ds race….
srk shd win ds race….bcz he s much more Gud actor than ranveer
honestly its not content of bm that helping it but its negativity around srk. most of the people want srk to get defeated and they got a chance in terms of bajirao, as a protest not only they are watching bm but crating the publicity in favor of bm and bashing dilwale..told me if hny can cross 200 than why not dilwale as its 10 times better tha hny..anyways srkian are enough for dilwale to become a successfull film..hats off to srkians.
It’s still early, anything can happen. I just saw Dilwale it’s a good film, it can pick up. Christmas abi baaki hai bhailog
This Christmas
Maratha warrior defeated Maratha mandir.
Too much fun !!!!!!!
Wheres @challa @sss @Iam AKN @fan pk @javed @sweet heart ?? They expected SLB to be on road or commit suicide. Arrogance & Ego will take you nowhere learn from this n show respect to others and never underestimate your opponent. I know even if Dilwale flops (which is not the case) it won’t affect SRK but it is the big jolt to his ego n he & his team clearly appearing as losers. The biggest losers are his fans who expected BRM to be another Sawaariya.
@harjit : You and your idol is already haar (losers) and jit (victory) is very far. Keep living in illusions it will only harm you and your idol !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If this becomes true then Dilwale will be the Biggest Disappointment of 2015 . When i saw the trailer of Dilwale i understood this will be another crappy movie but will be a Hit Because of SRK and Kajol Jodi, Rohit Shetty, Christmas, Favourable Genre and Varun Dhawan . But after this prediction i can’t say clearly whether Dilwale will be a Hit or not ? Even if it is a Clean Hit and BM does more than Dilwale in India then still it will be considered a failure considering SRK is the Bigger Star as compared to Ranveer . I thought Dilwale will do 200 CR in India eyes closed and if it is good then it will beat CE but now 200 CR is looking almost impossible . @ Indicine Sometimes i also felt that you were biased towards SRK but after this prediction you are giving a bold statement . If this becomes true then it will be your biggest victory in 2015 according to me as predicting the first day collections is easy as compared to predicting the total collections . In the first 3 days BM gave tough fight to Dilwale but from today it is a cut throat competition and now the next 3 days will clear everything about the total collections of both the movies . Let’s wait and watch !!!!!!!
Its for haters . your hatred towards srk is insane infact inhuman. To bycott a movie is different bt to threat people in theatre disrupting shows and damaging cinemas is not right. This shows how tolerant is India.
@prash forget talash btw RSS n BJP will not forgive amir too
Salman bhai is Bollywood king
Donno where these so called king fans (including Indicine) gonna hide there faces.
Before release they said PK records will be shattered if not Dhoom3 minimum, worst case will beat Kick. BM will be trashed by weekend, slb will become begger, eros will bankrupt.
My sincere request to those diehard fans not to suicide and shameless fans who r still barking here with lame excuses stop there nonsense and leave this site and come back again when ur idols new film releases… Till then f**k off
it doesnot make any sense predicting dilwale below 20 cr then of bm as of tuesday dilwale have 15+ then bm….n it is not surpassing bm by more then 1 cr in coming weekdays….indicine is doing it to get limelight n more viewers ……if bm will earn more then dilwale then i will write salman and aamir on my above namd…n if u r wrong indicine making wrong n too useless prediction i will never visit this website ever….
This sunny is such a jerk
Feeling sorry for SRK fans. I am sorry guys hope you learn to respect other stars now since your star is finished.
You can blame RA ONE,HNY.but don’t blame DILWALE,The Best Rohit Shetty movie till date (not entertainingwise but story/drama wise).
Let’s keep hatred aside,more than KING KHAN ,I’m feeling deeply sad for Rohit sir ,because someone will not get He deserves even after did His best work.same I felt for Ashutoshji’s SWADES which was too a failure.
Really my heart is crying for Rohit sir.THE type of movie He did this time would have worked if would have released before 2010.because the DRAMA era already destroyed until and unless it’ll accompanied by huge comedy in between each scene like pk/bb.
KING KHAN’S ACT was far better than oberactor ranveer’s act in bm.ranveer overacted whenever he screamed louder in bm,he is still is an immature actor,but that saved by bansali’s work.
Whatever critics is not the only cause why DILWALE face problems ,but the huge negativity was due to bjp/vhp/shive sena who before or release sent fake story of DILWALE and spreaded in social media and WhatsApp in every mobile you’ll found that with a caption KING SRK is deshdrohi.
FAMIKY audience will realise the value of DILWALE after watching it not antisocials like salmir yards or bjp+vhp+shive sena supporters.
Still DILWALE won this clash because of this protest not only that IT defeated bm in opening.
DILWALE occupancy was more than double than bm shows bm’s Deepika+ranveer’s stardom nowhere to DILWALE’S ACTORS.
even indicine too accepted Varun Dhawan is enough to finish ranveer Singh as He is far bigger star than monkeyveer.and opening of DILWALE proved Deepika was not responsible for CE/HNY’S OPENING.
This protest already done a deeply damage that salmir fans are ignorant of.and I don’t want to explain them anymore,just praying this thing will happen with amir khan due ring dangal pandey,then I’ll show midget khan’s and midgettards(amir fans) aukat at that time.
@salmir fans,
Failures are more than once what you get
veer,jai ho,prdp—-for salman fans
talash,dhobi ghat—-for amir fans
Aukat tumhari SRKIANS me pair on me neeche.let’s break 1st THE OPENING OF HIGHEST DOMESTIC AND HIGHEST OVERSEAS OPENING,if your star has auakt.
OPENING SHOWS STARDOM,content+wom gives success.
KING KHAN proved IT that HE defeated all contenders in clash with HIS STARDOM….
@xzone, 7.43 p.m, oh so u previous comment was a sarcastic one! ok should i laugh…. hahhhhhahh…… ok let me try harder …… u made a great sarcastic comment so i need to laugh na…… hahhahaaahhahahahahahaaaa (now i laughed wholeheartedly) yeah buddy great sarcastic comment thank u for making me laugh and improving my health, indeed the best sarcastic comment ever made on indicine , the problem with ur so called ‘sarcastic’ comment was that it was like ur SRK’s movies like ra.1, ce, hny & dilwale , i just couldn’t make out what it really was , thanking for clarifying that it was a sarcastic one :D :D
ok now let me tell u why indicine had to block some of my comments …… can u guess??? It’s simple dude…… i trolled & made fun of ur queen , his movies & his fans, so do u think indicine would ever allow it publicly?????? Kya yaar tu itna bi samaj nai sakta :D :D and no prizes for guessing that u too were a prominent name in my so called ‘name calling’ thing so indicine blocked those comments, hope u understood it now :D :D :D
Ajay devgan ke bina rohit shetty kuch nahi,dilwale sirf weekend movie hai,
Thats true indicine ur prediction will be right bajirao will collect huge and dullwale will remain dull collections will b in the range of rohit shetty’s last film Singham returns..And my detailed prediction is
Bm week1-83+55+28+4=170 final
Dilwale week1-96+32+13+2=143 final..
but what will be the verdicts then indicine?
Nothing to say just proud to be a srkian..
Multistarcast, supersuccesful director, hit music, much more screens compared to Bajirao mastani. Still Bajirao mastani is beating it. Doob Marne Waali Sharm ki Baat for srk & his fans…!!!
SRK is not able to win the clash with Kal ka loundaa Ranveer but dreaming of clashing with Megastar Bhai…..LOL.
Deepika revived his career with CE & hny. But he is such a namak haram guy now clashing with Bajirao mastani. Uparwale ke ghar derr hain andher nahin. Abb saja Bhukton….
Rohit Shetty Off-Loads Trash @100 Tons Per Hour from Toy Trucks…
Ram Lal washes clothes @100 Pieces Per Hour…
Ram Lal Tu Toh Gayo Nakri Se
One film had arguably the biggest star cast of 2015 has caused an arguably biggest disappointment to the trade analysts especially Indicine that kept calling it biggest of the year.. Pity on Indicine…
Srk fans still in hope for holidays ROFL my dear those who want to watch they watched the movie chapter close new
This is the End of an era of a country’s once superstar. May his Superstardom RIP!
The beggining of a new superstar…
Ram Lal Shoxxx…Ranveer Rox
Dilwale is the great entertainer but the negativity is created highly besides that protests and ban also affected the movie a lot but not to worry srk fans there are a lot movies ahead. . Srk is a winner a self made actor and always will be don’t worry about the movie… But the LBO is somewhat incorrect what I think… If we take a day wise breakout from now then
4 days total- 75.18
5th day – 9.35
6th day – 8.7
7th day- 7.8
8th day – 9.5 (holiday)
9th day – 7 (partial holiday)
10th day – 10 (sunday)
11th day – 4.5
12th day – 3.2
13th day – 3
14th day – 2.8
15th day – 2.5
16th day – 2.1
17th day – 3
18th day – 1.2
19th day – 1.1
20th day – 0.90
21st day – 0.80
Total 151.45 minimum in extreme case and worst case
For BM you are ok with the collection and dilwale can go for 160cr+ if it takes few more hypes.. ..
I am a fan of srk but I also respect the talent and good content.. . Dilwale has all the elements but it faced difficulties somewhat that is very bad part… BM is a good movie and should earn good numbers.. .