IndicineFBO: First Day Box Office Predictions

IndicineFBO 2017

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Rangoon6.3-324 Feb
Commando 24.2-13 Feb
Badrinath Ki
Dulhania
11.8-710 Mar
Phillauri4.5-324 Mar
Ok Jaanu5.64.08313 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42825 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2710 Feb

IndicineFBO 2016

MoviePredictionOfficial
Wazir4.45.61+ 27%, In accurate
Airlift10.912.35+ 13%, Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 39.38.15- 12%, Accurate
Mastizaade6.15.59- 8%, Accurate
Saala Khadoos2.22.190%, Accurate
Ghayal Once Again6.47.2+ 12%, Accurate
Sanam Re5.55.04- 8%, Accurate
Fitoor5.23.61- 30%, Inaccurate
Neerja4.34.7+ 8%, Accurate
Jai Gangajaal5.25.5+ 6%, Accurate
Kapoor & Sons5.86.85+ 18%, Inaccurate
Rocky Handsome6.35.39- 14%, Accurate
Ki and Ka6.37.27+ 16%, Inaccurate
Fan21.919.2- 12%, Accurate
Baaghi9.411.94+ 27%, Inaccurate
Azhar7.56.3- 16%, Inaccurate
Sarbjit4.23.69- 12%, Accurate
Housefull 317.415.21- 12%, Accurate
Udta Punjab8.910.05- 13%, Accurate
Sultan38.536.54- 5%, Accurate
Great Grand Masti5.82.5- 56%, Inaccurate
Dishoom9.811.02+12%, Accurate
Mohenjo Daro10.78.87- 17%, Inaccurate
Rustom12.614.11+12%, Accurate
Happy Bhaag Jayegi2.12.32+10%, Accurate
A Flying Jatt8.57.11- 16%, Inaccurate
Baar Baar Dekho9.16.81- 25%, Inaccurate
Freaky Ali2.42.5+4%, Accurate
Pink4.54.32-4%, Accurate
Raaz Reboot5.26.31+ 21%, Inaccurate
MS Dhoni20.121.6+7%, Accurate
Mirzya4.02.2- 45%, Inaccurate
Shivaay10.710.24-4%, Accurate
ADHM12.413.3+7%, Accurate
Force 25.86.05+4%, Accurate
Dear Zindagi9.78.75-10%, Accurate
Kahaani 24.54.25-5%, Accurate
Befikre10.510.36-1%, Accurate
Dangal28.629.78+4%, Accurate

IndicineFBO 2015

MoviePredictionOfficial
Tevar6.57.05 cr+ 8%
Alone43.50 cr- 12%
Hawaizaada1.250.6 cr- 52%
Khamoshiyan1.751.92 cr+ 9%
Baby8.59.30 cr+ 9%
Dolly Ki Doli1.61.75 cr+ 9%
Shamitabh4.03.5 cr- 12%
Roy8.510.4+ 22%
Badlapur6.57 cr+ 7%
Dum Laga Ke Haisha1.251.1- 12%
Ab Tak Chhappan 21.11.25+ 13%
NH102.753.35+ 22%
Detective Byomkesh Bakshy4.54.25- 5%
Ek Paheli Leela5.255.30+ 1%
Mr X4.24.5+ 7%
Margarita With A Straw0.20.23+ 1%
Gabbar Is Back1313.050%
Piku5.55.32- 3%
Bombay Velvet9.55.2- 45%
Tanu Weds Manu Returns7.058.85+ 25%
Welcome To Karachi1.51.50%
Dil Dhadakne Do9.510.53+ 11%
Hamari Adhuri Kahani5.755.04- 12%
ABCD 212.514.3+ 14%
Bajrangi Bhaijaan30.427.25- 10%
Drishyam5.255.3+ 1%
Bangistan2.51.1- 56%
Brothers15.515.2- 2%
All Is Well3.12.9- 6%
Manjhi1.41.40%
Phantom7.68.4611%
Welcome Back11.514.35+ 24%
Hero7.56.85- 8%
Katti Batti4.65.28- 14%
Calendar Girls1.51.50%
Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon4.510.15+ 125%
Singh Is Bling18.620.67+11%
Talvar3.33.0-9%
Jazbaa4.54.23-6%
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 23.36.80+ 103%
Shaandaar14.713.1-11%
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo43.641.75-4%
Tamasha11.710.877%
Hate Story 39.49.723%
Dilwale25.221- 16%
Bajirao Mastani11.512.8+ 11%

Based on our interaction with those in the trade, reports from audience and our own expectations, we will be predicting the opening day collections of all films that will release in 2015.

  • First Day collections of Bollywood films will be predicted soon after the theatrical trailer (or long teaser) of a film is released.
  • Predictions could be updated / changed once every 3 days, based on the increase / decrease in buzz, response to songs, television campaign, effectiveness of marketing etc.
  • The final predictions for the opening day collections will be made a day before release – after which the collections will be compared to the actual first day collections of the film.
  • 15% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered ‘Fairly accurate’ prediction.
  • 10% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered to be ‘Accurate’.

59 Comments

  • Indicine This time you r wrong. Bajirao Mastani will atleast do the business 11cr+.
    And
    2 oct is national holliday so Singh is bling will collect 17 cr +.

    i m not that kind of fan who can say 35 cr opining.

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  • Last time also indicine missied the Brothers collection and this time Dilwale. He he he
    Means this will also average.

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  • @indicine u hv completely lost it.how can bajirao hv just 8.7cr opening. Ram leela with just 1hit old ranveer, out of form slb hd got 16cr opening and 50cr weekend so hw cn bm b just 8.7!!!

    This is too much biasedness.just bcz u want dilwale to do well u r spreading negativity around bajirao!!!

    DISGUSTING

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  • Singh is Bling 17crs+ as 2nd October is national holiday.

    Bajirao Mastani 10crs if gets atleast 2000 screens.

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  • I think prediction is good.
    singh is bling will affect by talwar …and south super star vijay’s and sri devi movie pulli which relese in hindi also…. so sib will get lesser no. Of screen than brother..
    and bajiroa mastani affect by dilwale bcz BM can’t get enough screen bcz of srk…

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  • I must say that very cautious prediction,
    As Singh is bling is one month away from release I hope the prediction will be changing for SIB.If you ask me SIB is going to be 22+ at worst case. Shandar will open with 11+ because sahid is never hot in the market. Bajirao will open with 10+.phantom will open with 6.5+ as there is no buzz.Welcome back will open with 7+.No benefit of sequel becuase akki And may is missing

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  • BM openning depend of screen count, Dilwale min get 3500screen so that BM hardly get 1700screen i don’t think it collect 6cr on Non Holiday where Haider did it on national holiday

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  • Romance fob
    Phantom 9cr
    WB 7cr
    Hero 7.2cr
    KB 5.5cr
    SIB 14cr
    Shandaar 15cr
    BM 7cr

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  • BM openning not more than 7cr even Haidar opening was 6cr on national holiday n Dilwale is much bigger than Bang Bang n marketting by RCE destroy BM like ouatimd

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  • Phantom 8-9
    Welcome Back 8.5-9.5
    Hero 7-7.5
    Katti Batti 5.5
    Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon 3
    Singh Is Bling 15-17
    Jazbaa 3.5-4.5
    Shaandaar 12
    Bajirao Mastani 11

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  • Bajrangi Bhaijaan is UNSTOPPABLE in Overseas. Total till Sun [23 August; 38th day]: $ 28.5 million [₹ 192 cr]. ALL TIME BLOCKBUSTER.

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  • Early Estimate

    Dilwale Prediction

    First Day – 15.5-16.5 { if releases with BM}
    28.5-29.5 { if releases solo}

    Note : if it releases 18 dec.

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  • Early Estimate

    Dilwale Life Time Prediction

    255-265 {if releases solo}
    180-190 {if releases with BM}

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