IndicineFBO: First Day Box Office Predictions

IndicineFBO 2017

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep

IndicineFBO 2016

Wazir4.45.61+ 27%, In accurate
Airlift10.912.35+ 13%, Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 39.38.15- 12%, Accurate
Mastizaade6.15.59- 8%, Accurate
Saala Khadoos2.22.190%, Accurate
Ghayal Once Again6.47.2+ 12%, Accurate
Sanam Re5.55.04- 8%, Accurate
Fitoor5.23.61- 30%, Inaccurate
Neerja4.34.7+ 8%, Accurate
Jai Gangajaal5.25.5+ 6%, Accurate
Kapoor & Sons5.86.85+ 18%, Inaccurate
Rocky Handsome6.35.39- 14%, Accurate
Ki and Ka6.37.27+ 16%, Inaccurate
Fan21.919.2- 12%, Accurate
Baaghi9.411.94+ 27%, Inaccurate
Azhar7.56.3- 16%, Inaccurate
Sarbjit4.23.69- 12%, Accurate
Housefull 317.415.21- 12%, Accurate
Udta Punjab8.910.05- 13%, Accurate
Sultan38.536.54- 5%, Accurate
Great Grand Masti5.82.5- 56%, Inaccurate
Dishoom9.811.02+12%, Accurate
Mohenjo Daro10.78.87- 17%, Inaccurate
Rustom12.614.11+12%, Accurate
Happy Bhaag Jayegi2.12.32+10%, Accurate
A Flying Jatt8.57.11- 16%, Inaccurate
Baar Baar Dekho9.16.81- 25%, Inaccurate
Freaky Ali2.42.5+4%, Accurate
Pink4.54.32-4%, Accurate
Raaz Reboot5.26.31+ 21%, Inaccurate
MS Dhoni20.121.6+7%, Accurate
Mirzya4.02.2- 45%, Inaccurate
Shivaay10.710.24-4%, Accurate
ADHM12.413.3+7%, Accurate
Force 25.86.05+4%, Accurate
Dear Zindagi9.78.75-10%, Accurate
Kahaani 24.54.25-5%, Accurate
Befikre10.510.36-1%, Accurate
Dangal28.629.78+4%, Accurate

IndicineFBO 2015

Tevar6.57.05 cr+ 8%
Alone43.50 cr- 12%
Hawaizaada1.250.6 cr- 52%
Khamoshiyan1.751.92 cr+ 9%
Baby8.59.30 cr+ 9%
Dolly Ki Doli1.61.75 cr+ 9%
Shamitabh4.03.5 cr- 12%
Roy8.510.4+ 22%
Badlapur6.57 cr+ 7%
Dum Laga Ke Haisha1.251.1- 12%
Ab Tak Chhappan 21.11.25+ 13%
NH102.753.35+ 22%
Detective Byomkesh Bakshy4.54.25- 5%
Ek Paheli Leela5.255.30+ 1%
Mr X4.24.5+ 7%
Margarita With A Straw0.20.23+ 1%
Gabbar Is Back1313.050%
Piku5.55.32- 3%
Bombay Velvet9.55.2- 45%
Tanu Weds Manu Returns7.058.85+ 25%
Welcome To Karachi1.51.50%
Dil Dhadakne Do9.510.53+ 11%
Hamari Adhuri Kahani5.755.04- 12%
ABCD 212.514.3+ 14%
Bajrangi Bhaijaan30.427.25- 10%
Drishyam5.255.3+ 1%
Bangistan2.51.1- 56%
Brothers15.515.2- 2%
All Is Well3.12.9- 6%
Welcome Back11.514.35+ 24%
Hero7.56.85- 8%
Katti Batti4.65.28- 14%
Calendar Girls1.51.50%
Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon4.510.15+ 125%
Singh Is Bling18.620.67+11%
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 23.36.80+ 103%
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo43.641.75-4%
Hate Story 39.49.723%
Dilwale25.221- 16%
Bajirao Mastani11.512.8+ 11%

Based on our interaction with those in the trade, reports from audience and our own expectations, we will be predicting the opening day collections of all films that will release in 2015.

  • First Day collections of Bollywood films will be predicted soon after the theatrical trailer (or long teaser) of a film is released.
  • Predictions could be updated / changed once every 3 days, based on the increase / decrease in buzz, response to songs, television campaign, effectiveness of marketing etc.
  • The final predictions for the opening day collections will be made a day before release – after which the collections will be compared to the actual first day collections of the film.
  • 15% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered ‘Fairly accurate’ prediction.
  • 10% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered to be ‘Accurate’.


  • Top 2017 Hindi film prediction

    (1) Jolly llb2

    Re:- 2.8-3
    Sc:- 3000-3200
    Wom:- 7.7
    Opening :- 16.5-17.5 cr
    Weekend :- 60-65 cr
    Week :- 95-100 cr
    Lifetime :- 148-154 cr

    (2) Rangoon

    Sc:- 2200
    Re:- 2.5-2.7
    Opening :- 9-10 cr
    Weekend :- 38-42 cr
    Week :- 50-55 cr
    Lifetime :- 75-80 cr

    (3) B I k

    Sc:- 2600-2800
    Re:- 2.6-2.8
    Wom:- 7
    Opening :- 11-13 cr
    Weekend :- 38-42 cr
    Week :- 65-70 cr
    Lifei:-90-95 cr

    (4) Half G

    Sc:- 12-14 cr
    Weekend :- 40-44 cr
    Week :- 60-65 cr
    Lifetime :- 90 cr

    (5) Baadshaoh

    Sc:- 3300
    Re:- 2.7-2.8
    Opening :- 13-14 cr
    Weekend :- 45-50 cr
    Week:- 68-72 cr
    Lifetime :- 108-114 cr

    (6) Mubarkaa

    Sc:- 2500
    Re:- 2.7-2.8
    Wom:- 7
    Opening :- 14 cr
    Weekend :- 45-50 cr
    Week :- 65-70 cr
    Lifetime :- 90 cr

    (7) Toilet ek prem katha

    Re:- 3.3-3.5
    Wom:- 8
    Opening :- 15-16 cr
    Weekend :- 55-60 cr
    Week :- 85 cr
    Lifetime :-135-140 cr

    (8) Tubelight

    Sc:- 4200-4300
    Re:- 3.4-3.5
    Wom:- 8
    Opening :- 31-33 cr
    Weekend :- 105-110
    Week:- 185-190 cr
    Lifetime :- 340-360 cr

    (9) Crack

    Sc:- 2100-2300
    Re:- 3.3-3.5
    Wom:- 8
    Opening :- 12-13 cr
    Weekend :- 40-45 cr
    Week :- 70-75 cr
    Lifetime :- 125-130 cr

    (10) The Ring

    Sc:- 2800-300
    Re:- 2.9-3
    Opening :- 19-20 cr
    Weekend :- 50-55 cr
    Week :- 85-90 cr
    Lifetime :- 155-160 cr

    (11) Judwaa2

    Sc:- 3000
    Re:- 2.4-2.6
    Opening :- 13-15 cr
    Weekend :- 45-50 cr
    Week :- 70-75 cr
    Lifetime :- 115 cr

  • Top 15 highest movies by box office collection

    (1) Tubelight:- 340-360 cr

    (2)Tiger Zinda hai:- 300/310 cr

    (3)The Ring:- 190/210 cr

    (4)Crack:- 175/180cr

    (5)Raees:- 165/170 cr

    (6)Padmawati:- 163/168 cr

    (7)Jolly llb2:- 160/164 cr

    (8)Golmaal4:- 156/160 cr

    (9)Tepk:- 150/154 cr

    (10)Bahubali2:- 148/153 cr

    (11)Robot2:- 142/148 cr

    (12)Kaabil:- 136/140 cr

    (13)Baadshaoh:- 120/125 cr

    (14)Half girlfriend:- 111/116 cr

    (15)Mubaarkaan:- 105/110 cr

    (16)Judwaa2:- 102/104 cr

    (17)Raveer next:- 90/94 cr

    (18)Bkd2:- 90/92 cr

    (19)Sid next:- 85/90 cr

    (20)Ranbeerk next:- 80/85 cr

  • For Star Power of World’s Great Star SRK, see Indicine FBO
    FBO of Dear Zindagi 8.5cr

    Salman Khan’s till noon collections of Sultan

  • raees vs kaabil
    raees 1st day 18cr and kaabil 14.5
    due to holiday 2nd day raees 20-21 and kaabil 20-22cr due heart movie improve
    3rd raees 16-17 and kaabil 17-19cr
    4th day raees 18cr and kaabil 20.5cr
    5day raees 20.67cr and kaabil 23-24.5
    1st weekend raees 83-87cr and kaabil 100-107cr
    1st week raees 98-102cr and kaabil 125cr
    life time raess 155cr and kaabil 220-230cr
    worldwide raees 370cr and kaabil 400cr

  • @indicine where is trade response of Jolly LLB2. During Q&A you promised it on Monday or Tuesday. I know you are under no obligation to publish it but why do you make fake promises? To get more hits when your readers visit to check again and again?

  • Raees Buzz is growing and growing!!!
    From 17.4 to 19.1 in 2 weeks!! I expect it to be around 20 in the last FBO predictions and the actual should be around 20-21 which would demolish Kaabil completely!!
    My prediction-20.5 Cr

  • My prediction raees if word of mouth very good
    1. 19.60
    2. 24
    3. 18.20
    4. 19.60
    5. 23.40
    Weekend total = 104.8
    Week 1 = 104.80 + 22.80 = 127.26
    Total 14 days = 127.26 + 58.4= 186
    Life time = 210 cr.
    Verdict = blockbuster

  • Raees predictions shoot up to 19.6 Cr and Kaabil come down to just 11.5 Cr!!!Wow!!!#TeamRaees is doing an excellent job to retain the buzz and hype of Raees…poor marketing and songs of Kaabil affecting it…..all the songs were just plain flops(except Kaanil Hoon) and its buzz is going down day-by-day!On the other hand, after the buzz of trailer was decreasing, Raees released a blockbuster song Laila Main Laila…then again the Super-Hit song Zaalima along with a few brilliant posters. Then the critically acclaimed Makar Sankranti song Udi Udi Jaye….a dialogue promo of Nawaz was also a tremendous succes among viewers….now a few campaigns and TV promos along with a few dialogue promos and a song should be enough for a opening of 20-21 Cr. Of Course, from there on WOM will come to play and as there is only one National Holiday with no festive period advantage, the combined total should be between Rustom/Mohenjodaro and Bajirao/Dilwale……Kaabil team have to buck up with their promotional strategy if they want to ensure a good opening at the BO……after the second trailers’ blockbuster succes with fans, there has been no attempt to keep the buzz alive. I think they released their songs and trailer a tad too bit early(after all it’s not hollywood) and that way the buzz and hype around it has decreased.

  • Jolly LLB 2 has the capability of being the biggest hit of Akki’s career if WOM supports….the opening should be huge of around 15-16 Crores……but the hype and buzz around it is slowly decreasing because the songs that were released were plain flops( I personally liked them) and every move to keep the buzz alive has unfortunately failed……the trailer released on a appropriate time but considering the songs’ failure, it was a little to early…..still hope it should be a SuperHit as this is a movie of Akki after a long time that sattisfies Classes as well as the masses so Single-Screens should be huge and if multiplex business is good(dependant of WOM) then it can even go on to 140-150 CR mark!

  • Wow!!! Yesterday it was 19.6-11.5 between Kaabil and araees and it’s 20.4 Cr-10.9!!! Was it because of the two blockbuster dialogue promos!!!?? Raees teams marketing is spot on!!!It’s buzz never goes down!!!

  • Hadd hai Sachin a billion dreams
    Buzz 4 and Fbo 5cr .
    Indicine have u gone mad.
    Buzz should be 10 and Fbo should be 20cr

  • Good work indicine . U were a little late bu ur predictions are perfect. Really 16 cr for TEPK is perfect . Proud of ur work indicine. And now eagerly waiting for 11 Aug . TEPK revolution .

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