IndicineFBO: First Day Box Office Predictions

IndicineFBO 2017

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
Dulhania
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep

IndicineFBO 2016

MoviePredictionOfficial
Wazir4.45.61+ 27%, In accurate
Airlift10.912.35+ 13%, Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 39.38.15- 12%, Accurate
Mastizaade6.15.59- 8%, Accurate
Saala Khadoos2.22.190%, Accurate
Ghayal Once Again6.47.2+ 12%, Accurate
Sanam Re5.55.04- 8%, Accurate
Fitoor5.23.61- 30%, Inaccurate
Neerja4.34.7+ 8%, Accurate
Jai Gangajaal5.25.5+ 6%, Accurate
Kapoor & Sons5.86.85+ 18%, Inaccurate
Rocky Handsome6.35.39- 14%, Accurate
Ki and Ka6.37.27+ 16%, Inaccurate
Fan21.919.2- 12%, Accurate
Baaghi9.411.94+ 27%, Inaccurate
Azhar7.56.3- 16%, Inaccurate
Sarbjit4.23.69- 12%, Accurate
Housefull 317.415.21- 12%, Accurate
Udta Punjab8.910.05- 13%, Accurate
Sultan38.536.54- 5%, Accurate
Great Grand Masti5.82.5- 56%, Inaccurate
Dishoom9.811.02+12%, Accurate
Mohenjo Daro10.78.87- 17%, Inaccurate
Rustom12.614.11+12%, Accurate
Happy Bhaag Jayegi2.12.32+10%, Accurate
A Flying Jatt8.57.11- 16%, Inaccurate
Baar Baar Dekho9.16.81- 25%, Inaccurate
Freaky Ali2.42.5+4%, Accurate
Pink4.54.32-4%, Accurate
Raaz Reboot5.26.31+ 21%, Inaccurate
MS Dhoni20.121.6+7%, Accurate
Mirzya4.02.2- 45%, Inaccurate
Shivaay10.710.24-4%, Accurate
ADHM12.413.3+7%, Accurate
Force 25.86.05+4%, Accurate
Dear Zindagi9.78.75-10%, Accurate
Kahaani 24.54.25-5%, Accurate
Befikre10.510.36-1%, Accurate
Dangal28.629.78+4%, Accurate

IndicineFBO 2015

MoviePredictionOfficial
Tevar6.57.05 cr+ 8%
Alone43.50 cr- 12%
Hawaizaada1.250.6 cr- 52%
Khamoshiyan1.751.92 cr+ 9%
Baby8.59.30 cr+ 9%
Dolly Ki Doli1.61.75 cr+ 9%
Shamitabh4.03.5 cr- 12%
Roy8.510.4+ 22%
Badlapur6.57 cr+ 7%
Dum Laga Ke Haisha1.251.1- 12%
Ab Tak Chhappan 21.11.25+ 13%
NH102.753.35+ 22%
Detective Byomkesh Bakshy4.54.25- 5%
Ek Paheli Leela5.255.30+ 1%
Mr X4.24.5+ 7%
Margarita With A Straw0.20.23+ 1%
Gabbar Is Back1313.050%
Piku5.55.32- 3%
Bombay Velvet9.55.2- 45%
Tanu Weds Manu Returns7.058.85+ 25%
Welcome To Karachi1.51.50%
Dil Dhadakne Do9.510.53+ 11%
Hamari Adhuri Kahani5.755.04- 12%
ABCD 212.514.3+ 14%
Bajrangi Bhaijaan30.427.25- 10%
Drishyam5.255.3+ 1%
Bangistan2.51.1- 56%
Brothers15.515.2- 2%
All Is Well3.12.9- 6%
Manjhi1.41.40%
Phantom7.68.4611%
Welcome Back11.514.35+ 24%
Hero7.56.85- 8%
Katti Batti4.65.28- 14%
Calendar Girls1.51.50%
Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon4.510.15+ 125%
Singh Is Bling18.620.67+11%
Talvar3.33.0-9%
Jazbaa4.54.23-6%
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 23.36.80+ 103%
Shaandaar14.713.1-11%
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo43.641.75-4%
Tamasha11.710.877%
Hate Story 39.49.723%
Dilwale25.221- 16%
Bajirao Mastani11.512.8+ 11%

Based on our interaction with those in the trade, reports from audience and our own expectations, we will be predicting the opening day collections of all films that will release in 2015.

  • First Day collections of Bollywood films will be predicted soon after the theatrical trailer (or long teaser) of a film is released.
  • Predictions could beupdated / changed once every 3 days, based on the increase / decrease in buzz, response to songs, television campaign, effectiveness of marketing etc.
  • The final predictions for the opening day collections will be made a day before release – after which the collections will be compared to the actual first day collections of the film.
  • 15% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered ‘Fairly accurate’ prediction.
  • 10% or lesser difference between our prediction and actual collection will be considered to be ‘Accurate’.

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