Note: Early predictions that are listed for upcoming figures are based on pre-release expectations. Predictions change after the release of trailer, song promos, music and marketing campaign. Final prediction on Sunday morning post-release.
IndicineLBO 2017
Movie | Date | LBO | Actual |
Baadshaho | Sep 1 | 73 crore | - |
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan | Sep 1 | 28 crore | - |
Daddy | Sep 8 | 8 crore | - |
Kaalakaandi | Sep 8 | 12 crore | - |
Simran | Sep 15 | 10 crore | - |
Haseena | Sep 15 | 11 crore | - |
Lucknow Central | Sep 15 | 13 crore | - |
Bhoomi | Sep 22 | 20 crore | - |
Judwaa 2 | Sep 29 | 125 crore | - |
A Gentleman | Aug 25 | 20 crore | - |
Secret Superstar | Diwali | 60 crore | - |
Golmaal Again | Diwali | 200 crore | - |
Ittefaq | Nov 3 | 25 crore | - |
Padmavati | Nov 17 | 180 crore | - |
Tiger Zinda Hai | Christmas | 275 crore | - |
Ok Jaanu | Jan 13 | 26 crore | 20 crore |
Jolly LLB 2 | Feb 10 | 112 crore | 116 crore |
Rangoon | Feb 24 | 23 crore | 20 crore |
Commando 2 | Mar 03 | 25 crore | 23 crore |
Badrinath Ki Dulhania | Mar 10 | 115 crore | 118 crore |
Phillauri | Mar 24 | 28 crore | 27 crore |
Naam Shabana | Mar 31 | 30 crore | 35 crore |
Begum Jaan | Apr 14 | 22 crore | 18 crore |
Noor | Apr 21 | 10 crore | 8 crore |
Sarkar 3 | May 12 | 16 crore | 12 crore |
Meri Pyaari Bindu | May 12 | 18 crore | 13 crore |
Half Girlfriend | May 19 | 60 crore | 58 crore |
Raabta | June 9 | 20 crore | 21 crore |
Tubelight | Eid | 146 crore | 125 crore |
Mom | July 7 | 44 crore | 37 crore |
Jagga Jasoos | July 14 | 57 crore | 55 crore |
Munna Michael | July 21 | 33 crore | 35 crore |
Jab Harry Met Sejal | Aug 4 | 67 crore | 63 crore |
Mubarakan | July 28 | 45 crore | 57 crore |
Toilet Ek Prem Katha | Aug 11 | 120 crore | 130 crore |
Bareilly Ki Barfi | Aug 18 | 24 crore | 29 crore |
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IndicineLBO 2016
Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
Dilwale | Mixed | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Bajirao Mastani | Extremely Positive | 168 cr | 187 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Wazir | Mixed | 35 cr | 40 cr | 14% | Accurate | |
Airlift | Positive | 143 cr | 127 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | Negative | 34 cr | 31 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Mastizaade | Mixed | 29 cr | 32 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
Saala Khadoos | Negative | 16 cr | 14 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Ghayal Once Again | Mixed | 39 cr | 36 cr* | 8% | Accurate | |
Sanam Re | Mixed | 28 cr | 29 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Fitoor | Extremely Negative | 23 cr | 19 cr | 17% | Inaccurate | |
Neerja | Positive | 70 cr | 74 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
Teraa Surroor | Negative | 12 cr | 13 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Rocky Handsome | Negative | 26 cr | 25 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
Jai Gangaajal | Negative | 33 cr | 32 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Kapoor & Sons | Positive | 66 cr | 72 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Ki And Ka | Positive | 54 cr | 53 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Fan | Negative | 95 cr | 84 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Baaghi | Positive | 84 cr | 75 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Azhar | Negative | 35 cr | 33 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
Sarabjit | Mixed | 26 cr | 28 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
Housefull 3 | Mixed | 105 cr | 107 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Udta Punjab | Mixed | 72 cr | 59 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Sultan | Positive | 305 cr | 302 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Dishoom | Mixed | 62 cr | 69 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Mohenjo Daro | Negative | 54 cr | 59 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Rustom | Positive | 102 cr | 126 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
Happy Bhag Jayegi | Mixed | 21 cr | 26 cr | 24% | Inaccurate | |
A Flying Jatt | Negative | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Akira | Mixed | 27 cr | 28 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Baar Baar Dekho | Negative | 38 cr | 31 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Raaz Reboot | Negative | 28 cr | 27 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Pink | Positive | 54 cr | 65 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
M S Dhoni biopic | Mixed | 138 cr | 133 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
Mirzya | Negative | 9 cr | 10 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Shivaay | Mixed | 95 cr | 96 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Ae Dil Hai Mushkil | Mixed | 102 cr | 111 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Rock On 2 | Negative | 13 cr | 10 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
Force 2 | Mixed | 35 cr | 34 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Dear Zindagi | Positive | 65 cr | 66 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Befikre | Negative | 58 cr | 60 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Dangal | Pending | 315 cr | - | - | - |
- IndicineLBO is updated once every Friday with our ‘expectation’ based on the current buzz and trade expectations from the film.
- The final prediction is made on Sunday, after the release of the film. The reason for this is, we do not want to shoot in the dark – instead, analyse the trend of the film and then make a final prediction.
IndicineLBO 2015 Analysis (started mid way through the year):
- Total Movies Predicted – 27
- Total Accurate Predictions – 21
- Total Inaccurate Predictions – 6
Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mr X | Negative | 24 cr | 24.9 cr | 0.03% | Accurate | |
Gabbar Is Back | Positive | 89 cr | 85 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Piku | Positive | 75 cr | 79 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
Bombay Velvet | Extremely Negative | 24 cr | 24 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
Tanu Weds Manu | Extremely Positive | 86 cr | 151 cr | 75% | Inaccurate | |
Dil Dhadakne Do | Mixed | 85 cr | 78 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Hamari Adhuri Kahani | Mixed | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
ABCD 2 | Positive | 102 cr | 105 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Bajrangi Bhaijaan | Extremely Positive | 285 cr | 320 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Bangistan | Extremely Negative | 8 cr | 6.2 cr | 22% | Inaccurate | |
Drishyam | Positive | 66 cr | 73 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
Brothers | Negative | 103 cr | 83 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
All Is Well | Negative | 16 cr | 15 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
Phantom | Mixed | 61 cr | 54 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Welcome Back | Mixed | 120 cr | 98 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Hero | Mixed | 38 cr | 34 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
Katti Batti | Extremely Negative | 24 cr | 24 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
Calendar Girls | Negative | 8 cr | 7.1 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Kis Kisko Pyaar Karu | Positive | 57 cr | 50 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Talvar | Positive | 20 cr | 29 | 31% | Inaccurate | |
Jazbaa | Mixed | 29 cr | 27 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | Positive | 35 cr | 61 cr | 42% | Inaccurate | |
Shaandaar | Extremely Negative | 48 cr | 43 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | Mixed | 230 cr | 213 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
Tamasha | Negative | 68 cr | 69 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
Dilwale | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | ||
Bajirao Mastani | 168 cr | 187 cr | 10% | Accurate |