Mohenjo Daro Trailer: Trade, Audience Response and IndicineFBO

One of the most anticipated trailers of the year was launched yesterday. There was no launch event or media interaction, but the makers decided to launch the trailer on the Star TV Network, followed by the internet (both at 8:57 PM yesterday).

The response, like every other ’much-awaited biggie’, was mixed. When the expectations are high, the chances of disappointing the audience is higher – and that seems to be the case with Ashutosh Gowarikar’s Mohenjo Daro too.

We asked 20 people in the trade (including theatre owners, distributors, trade veterans etc) for their feedback on the trailer. The response was mixed to negative – 5 of them said the trailer was ‘good’, 13 said it was average (under-whelming, disappointing, something missing were the words used) and the remaining 2 said poor. It needs to be pointed out that none of these people were in any which way associated with UTV, Hrithik Roshan or Ashutosh Gowariker. Opinions were from known and unbiased sources.

The audience response falls in mixed to good category. In our poll on Twitter, 36% people voted for ‘outstanding’, 20% voted for ‘good’, 25% voted for ‘average’ and 19% voted for ‘poor’. On Youtube, the percentage of people who have ‘liked’ the trailer is around 85% which is average. Usually, films that score 95% or more likes against dislikes is considered to be excellent, 90% or more is good, while anything less than 85% is average. (Read article: Trailer rating of 2016 films)

These are not the only two ways that we categorise the ‘audience response’. It’s a combination of many things which includes Twitter polls, Youtube likes vs dislikes ratio, feedback from real audience and even our own comments section (feedback from the known ‘neutral’ people is obviously given more importance).

For our own rating, we’d go with 7 on 10 for the trailer.

IndicineFBO: We start with 15.4 crore as the first day prediction for Mohenjo Daro. The film needed a strong trailer – which would’ve probably also made the makers of ‘Rustom’ think of averting a clash, but the response so far hasn’t really been overwhelmingly positive. Certainly not in the ‘Bajirao Mastani’ league, the trailer of which shifted the pre-release balance from a one-sided clash to an interesting one with Shah Rukh Khan’s Dilwale.

NOTE: The final IndicineFBO prediction is only made on the day before the release of the film (August 11th in Mohenjo Daro’s case). The FBO will change depending on the response to the music, song promos and other promotional activities. The music and the promos that follow will now be the key for Mohenjo Daro.

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229 Comments

  • Positives of trailer –

    Fabulous Hrithik
    cute pooja hedge
    Excellent villain
    Crocodulile scenes
    back round music
    Cinimography

    Negatives of trailer –

    Vfx not up to the mark
    No war sequence ( So many peoples compared with bahubali )
    Slow pace
    Hrithik dialogue Delivery Avarage
    Over lengthy
    No mass appeal
    And lastly they are Not added Director of Swades ( which can be a big problem According to me )

    Rating – 2.3 / 5
    Waiting for A.R Rahman music..

    #Fasal kerala

  • Hahaha…..some jaadooboy fans are appealing to not create any negativity for MD. But they jump on every other star/movie related pages with some utter nonsense!
    Bloody Hypocrites!!!

  • @tiger and all other hritik haters see the reply of indicine @8:08 jodha akbar trailer reaction was similar to mohenjodaro but it was a masterpiece and won filmfare for best actor ,best director and best bgm and international awards too .
    not only jodha akbar trailer of all aushotosh movies are average but movies are massterpiece
    so haters keep barking movie will be a masterpiece

  • now that the trailer is out it is very clear that MD neither has the grandeur nor the story.. if poor vfx n fake n soulless sets were not enough u are put off by typical bollywood cliched love story as its main story.. n casting kabir bedi as the villian is a casting blunder.. the sets, the characters, the dialogues, the costumes, the body language u name it nothing makes u believe it is MD era.. if u call ur movie MD n fail to depict the era convincingly u have failed in the most important test n rest then fall like pieces.. for some my comment may seem harsh but I have said exactly wat I felt like seeing the trailer.. the trailer just didn’t deliver.. no goosebumps, no impact, no intriguing story.. it felt flat

  • It is really PATHETIC to see some Jaadooboy fans are not ready to accept that the MJD trailer is just an average one. Nothing good except the out of the world (maybe from jaadooland) shivering of Jaadooboy!

    It is actually a big shame that those idiots are comparing this boring shivering trailer with entertaining super SULTAN trailer!!!

  • Wht happen man?

    Y only 15 plus?
    You guys always says hrithik movies always opens to bumper response…I hope you will mention that hrithik’s last 3 big movies were holiday release so it will a test for hrithik to give big opening on non holiday this time .

    Anything below 20 will easily describe that hrithik can only give bumper openings on holiday!

  • Not as good as expected…disappointed with trailer…its NT about vfx or cgi only…it is really bed

  • Still looking for a statement of indicine saying tht hrithik last 3 movies were big openers but due to holiday like they said for Singh is bliing recently!

  • I believe it will collect 18 cr on opening day.They should have put a war sequence and some powerful dialogue to make it universally appealing. Actually watched Games of Thrones Season 6 Episode 9 last day and it was best episode of 6 seasons with some top quality war scenes.Kamaal scenes the.Right after completing the episode I watched trailer thats why missed badly the scale and grandeur and battle scenes.

  • Completely agree with trailer rating but I think first day collection should be more compare to your fbo.I found first 60 sec pretty ordinary nd next 120sec was superb so overall my raring also lie around 7/10.

    The best trailer in recent times were Fan and Bajirao Mastani. They were brilliant. I would rate them 9/10. I still remember that I was not impressed with almost anything from BM until the trailer came and it confirmed that BM is going to be a success.

  • Although I was bit disappointed by the trailer still it is one of the best of the year and surely better than “chaddi wala mota bheem”…..

  • Everybody calm down. Consider this 15+ crore opening prediction is just initial prediction and it will only go up as we approach to Aug 12th. It is just their prediction, they have also said it’s impossible to predict BO, especially before watching the movie. Maybe, they are underrating Hrithik’s stardom, but that doesn’t mean they are being biased against him, as they are only humans, too. Let’s be honest here, Bang Bang was released on a holiday, which usually adds up to 7 crore for big movies featuring top 4 superstar, and Haider was a smaller movie compared to Rustom. They have also taken opinions of small amount of trade experts, I’m seeing many distributors/trades posting great things about it on Twitter, but maybe Indicine couldn’t reach out to them.

    If Bang Bang did 25 crore on holiday, then 18+ crore opening is very much possible for MohenjoDaro. Remember BM did 180 crore with 12 crore opening, then we can still expect 200 crore if it gets similar response. If Rustom gets postponed, then 25+ crore opening is possible on non holiday, which would be similar to Aamir and Raju’s ‘PK’, which went on to become highest grosser of all time. It will only come down to content and response, all the negativity will be vanished once the movie releases like BM last year, which had to face massive pre release negative campaign.

    I’m sure they will increase the prediction if music is well received. Krrish 3 did 25 crore during pre Diwali period with the worst music response in last 10 years and did 35+ crore on its 4th day which is enough to prove Hrithik’s stardom, but it was a solo release and had enough screen size. At the end of the day, I believe it’s opening will depend upon its screen size. If it gets 3000+ screens with higher number of shows compared to Bang Bang, then 20+ crore opening will be very likely.

    My prediction: 18+ crore in current scenario, 20+ crore if music is well received, 25+ crore as solo release. I know Dilwale was huge, but MohenjoDaro isn’t a small film either.

  • @destroyer of jaadoo:

    Who told you that all Khans fans gonna support gobar Kumar movie???

    BTW, will remember your 30cr opening day predicton for MJD!

  • Feel sorry for Pooja- working opposite Maanvar Ritik with all his epic shivering must have been awful for the lass

  • I can understand disappointment of some hrithik’s fans with this prediction. I was also expecting more. But I think Indicine has done an honest analysis here. It is not about what Indicine wishes the figures to be but what they expect it to earn keeping in view the initial reactions of the trailer.

    Ironically many people in social media accuse Indicine to be a pro Hrithik website and here some are accusing it to be anti Hrithik. At times I feel theirs is a thankless job.

    And finally this FBO will definitely go up. I remember Fan’s initial FBO was below 16 cr which if I remember correctly went up to 21 cr plus just before release date. So MD’s FBO will surely move up too. I am hoping the music becomes a big hit as its role gets important even more now.

  • At those who are saying recovery will be difficult. Budget of MohenjoDaro isn’t that big if you exclude Hrithik’s fee which usually happens with every Khan movies. Sometimes, they take profit share, sometimes amount of satellite rights.

    If we suppose amount of satellite+music rights were given to Hrithik, which is 60 crore. Then, cost of rest of production will be around 70 crore. Which (along with cost of P&A), I believe, will be easily recovered from its overseas business alone. It can do 100+ crore overseas if Bang Bang did 80 crore. Now, its domestic collections will be only bonus as far as recovery is concerned. So, it’s already on profit.

  • Indicine has done good analysis.hritik fan its clashing with another superatar n akshay will rarely fail with rustom as he is best in this genre.15cr is quite fair on non holiday n clash.movie can collect max 25cr on non holiday 15(md) 10(rustom)

  • Yesterday when I said that the trailer is poor, Hrithik fans said I am jealous, but trust me guys I am not that was my honest and unbiased reaction…..I like the Mohanjodaro Poster very much so I appreciate that, but this trailer is really very poor, I give 6/10

    Hope they come out with 2nd trailer……and top that hope movie don’t disappoint like Trailer….

  • @Neeraj Tell me Hrithik single 20 plus on non holiday?

    Even Singh is bliing did 20 plus so does brothers did on its 2nd day on independence day so why u r giving these stupid and Useless Cmnts..@Babaji Right or wrong?

  • Whooaaaa… 2.3 millions youtube views in 24 hours…. having already 30 millions views on star network when aired… thats huge craze…

  • I am liking it like nothing….so many jealous peoples commenting on this article….this show fear of haters and hr stardom…….one thing is sure this is gonna be epic…mark my words

  • It is not as bad as it is made out to be. Actually colossal expectations and comparisions with other movies of this genre is hampering it

  • This is crap… So much time spend to come up with this?
    Poor Dressing… Horrible sets… Childish VFX… Pathetic Dialogue delivery from Hritik…
    Next Disaster… Probably bigger than Bombay Velwat…

  • @indicine bcoz of salman’s most pathetic fans you cant negative review they did it when krrish 3 did the crazy business so plz dont be like koimoi.com they were biased there were lots of comment just bcoz there favoritism now you cant find a single comment on there article so plz be neutral
    they trailer was amazing
    20 people cant decide they fate of movie
    remember hrithik is they only actor who can give a decent collection with any eid and dilwali

  • Now a days big opening is not a key for a film to be a success…a buzz can give the boost to movies for first weekend and after that its all about the content to work which decides the fate of a film…i think MD will have an opening of 17-18 crores and a weekend of around 55-60 crores…Now lets see the trailer of rustom and songs of both the films…i think a week before we will have a clear picture..

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