Mohenjo Daro Trailer: Trade, Audience Response and IndicineFBO

One of the most anticipated trailers of the year was launched yesterday. There was no launch event or media interaction, but the makers decided to launch the trailer on the Star TV Network, followed by the internet (both at 8:57 PM yesterday).

The response, like every other ’much-awaited biggie’, was mixed. When the expectations are high, the chances of disappointing the audience is higher – and that seems to be the case with Ashutosh Gowarikar’s Mohenjo Daro too.

We asked 20 people in the trade (including theatre owners, distributors, trade veterans etc) for their feedback on the trailer. The response was mixed to negative – 5 of them said the trailer was ‘good’, 13 said it was average (under-whelming, disappointing, something missing were the words used) and the remaining 2 said poor. It needs to be pointed out that none of these people were in any which way associated with UTV, Hrithik Roshan or Ashutosh Gowariker. Opinions were from known and unbiased sources.

The audience response falls in mixed to good category. In our poll on Twitter, 36% people voted for ‘outstanding’, 20% voted for ‘good’, 25% voted for ‘average’ and 19% voted for ‘poor’. On Youtube, the percentage of people who have ‘liked’ the trailer is around 85% which is average. Usually, films that score 95% or more likes against dislikes is considered to be excellent, 90% or more is good, while anything less than 85% is average. (Read article: Trailer rating of 2016 films)

These are not the only two ways that we categorise the ‘audience response’. It’s a combination of many things which includes Twitter polls, Youtube likes vs dislikes ratio, feedback from real audience and even our own comments section (feedback from the known ‘neutral’ people is obviously given more importance).

For our own rating, we’d go with 7 on 10 for the trailer.

IndicineFBO: We start with 15.4 crore as the first day prediction for Mohenjo Daro. The film needed a strong trailer – which would’ve probably also made the makers of ‘Rustom’ think of averting a clash, but the response so far hasn’t really been overwhelmingly positive. Certainly not in the ‘Bajirao Mastani’ league, the trailer of which shifted the pre-release balance from a one-sided clash to an interesting one with Shah Rukh Khan’s Dilwale.

NOTE: The final IndicineFBO prediction is only made on the day before the release of the film (August 11th in Mohenjo Daro’s case). The FBO will change depending on the response to the music, song promos and other promotional activities. The music and the promos that follow will now be the key for Mohenjo Daro.

MoviePredictionOfficial
Wazir4.45.61+ 27%, In accurate
Airlift10.912.35+ 13%, Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 39.38.15- 12%, Accurate
Mastizaade6.15.59- 8%, Accurate
Saala Khadoos2.22.190%, Accurate
Ghayal Once Again6.47.2+ 12%, Accurate
Sanam Re5.55.04- 8%, Accurate
Fitoor5.23.61- 30%, Inaccurate
Neerja4.34.7+ 8%, Accurate
Jai Gangajaal5.25.5+ 6%, Accurate
Kapoor & Sons5.86.85+ 18%, Inaccurate
Rocky Handsome6.35.39- 14%, Accurate
Ki and Ka6.37.27+ 16%, Inaccurate
Fan21.919.2- 12%, Accurate
Baaghi9.411.94+ 27%, Inaccurate
Azhar7.56.3- 16%, Inaccurate
Sarbjit4.23.69- 12%, Accurate
Housefull 317.415.21- 12%, Accurate
Udta Punjab8.910.05- 13%, Accurate
Sultan38.536.54- 5%, Accurate
Great Grand Masti5.82.5- 56%, Inaccurate
Dishoom9.811.02+12%, Accurate
Mohenjo Daro10.78.87- 17%, Inaccurate
Rustom12.614.11+12%, Accurate
Happy Bhaag Jayegi2.12.32+10%, Accurate
A Flying Jatt8.57.11- 16%, Inaccurate
Baar Baar Dekho9.16.81- 25%, Inaccurate
Freaky Ali2.42.5+4%, Accurate
Pink4.54.32-4%, Accurate
Raaz Reboot5.26.31+ 21%, Inaccurate
MS Dhoni20.121.6+7%, Accurate
Mirzya4.02.2- 45%, Inaccurate
Shivaay10.710.24-4%, Accurate
ADHM12.413.3+7%, Accurate
Force 25.86.05+4%, Accurate
Dear Zindagi9.78.75-10%, Accurate
Kahaani 24.54.25-5%, Accurate
Befikre10.510.36-1%, Accurate
Dangal28.629.78+4%, Accurate
Advertisements

229 Comments

  • #indicine predicted 20cr opening day for jokerboy’s HF 3. But it collected only 14cr on opening day.

    Now, #indicine is predicting 15cr opening day for MD. I am damnn sure HF 3 case gonna repeated and MD will collect much lesser than the prediction!

  • I just don’t get one thing why do you not give your own review?……the music review of Sultan was also by a indicine visitor…the truth is you actually didn’t like Sultan album and if you’ll say anything bad then you’ll lose bhai’s fans from your site

  • I saw the trailor twice and thrice but…nothing is good…except ..crocodial..scene..but i also want to say that this movie is very big and good scale type of movie …so people will go for this movie atlest 2 times…!! If movie get apperatation ..then movie easily collect ..190-200..! I will also go to for this movie..! Respect HR ..SIR ..and hard work towards the movie..!! (Salman fan..) :)

  • Disagree wirh the prediction.. Though its clashing with rustom keeping this in mind still i can say opening day of MohenjoDaro will be 22-28cr

  • But indicine… just 2 days ago.. in your Q&A session you told that the internal reports from industry on Mohenjo Daro trailer is phenomenal and now u r saying that it is mixed… which one is correct…??

  • @Indicine
    if we go by Ur prediction then let’s suppose it get mixed WoM then recovery will be a big issue?right?
    Aslo what is it’s budget

  • Its outstanding in fact uncomparable in 2016….someone dares to compare bollywood to hollywood…

  • i am expecting this kind of review from indicine…but there is nothing to worry.when watching the whole movie indicine team cant judge a movie(hny,dilwale,fan etc),then how can they judge just by trailer.

  • Trailer looks Avarage..That is the Main problem for mohenjadaro…
    My prediction
    First Day : 15-16 cr
    Life time – 140 cr
    With highly positive wom – Above 180 cr..

    #Fasal kerala

  • Things I didn’t like about the trailer was the editing only. Instead of showing so much about the hero’s entry in the world of MohenjoDaro, they should have shown most of the sequences which contain high BGM(They have shown it after the Kabir Bedi’s introduction only!! It is the editing only for which the trailer looks a bit slow at first and a bit lengthy!! They clearly have not shown all the good plot sequences!! Movie will be definitely grand and good.

  • @indicine…we can predict better than u and 100% better review de sakte hain…ur prediction always biased..every srk movies prediction higher than its actual collection and also reviews..kyun itna chamchagiri karte ho?chamchagiri ka godfather ho kyaa!!!

  • The VFX quality was extremly poor. For this kind of movie, the cinematography must be top notch which is very bad here. Also the voice over given to describe the story sounds funny. No particular good dialogue in the trailer which was there in BM. Overall its a very bad trailer.

  • Rustom will be Disaster in front Mohenjadaro…Rustom Will Not chance for collect Atleast 60 cr Against mohenjadaro…Akki Will again continues his Flop indipendance day Record…
    mohenjadaro will be hit..
    Rustom will be Disaster…

    #Fasal kerala

  • MD needs a strong word of mouth like Bajirao mastani because both are historical movies.these types of movies depends heavily on wom.also, trailer response of MD is mixed.

  • @Tiger the real Chuhe..
    Better u worry about ur Non actor upcoming crap Loltan.. Loltan will not collect more 150 cr.. Only eid holiday will help Atleast that.. Other wise bellow 100 cr…

    #Fasal kerala

  • @Tiger the real Chuhe.. 8:36 pm..
    #indicine also predicted 41cr opening day for Non actot’s Loltan. But I m sure that Sultan will Not collect more than 33 cr..

    #Fasal kerala

  • Such kind of movies takes their own time to find buzz among audience… once they find no body can stop… blockbuster

  • @rohit, I agree with you.
    Pk and bb had an average trailer but the content did the talking. Fan had the bestest trailer of all time not exaggerating as I had watched Fan trailer more than 465 times because each time I watched it gave me goosebumps. But the content fell flat.
    So there is nothing to worry about mohenjo daro trailer except its content.
    I personally think mohenjo daro will do 200 Crore business even with this mixed response to its trailer.
    Best of luck to all hrithik fans .
    We are all with hrithik and his fans. We forget all those bashes during Fan’s failure.

  • Dilwale opening 21cr(multistarer chatbusteq music huge craze/buzz)
    BM opening 11cr(without major starcast although Good trailler)
    therefore MD opening 16cr max after trailler release lack of chatbuster song and Rustom openning min 10cr due to aki if trailler is as good as Airlift then it open 13cr

  • I think opening for the movie will be near 20cr with clash. If music done well then 20cr+ opening on cards. Also Rustoms trailer response will be key factor. It will be good to see both movies release solo. Waiting for both movies.

  • Positives of trailer –

    Fabulous Hrithik
    cute pooja hedge
    Excellent villain
    Crocodulile scenes
    back round music
    Cinimography

    Negatives of trailer –

    Vfx not up to the mark
    No war sequence ( So many peoples compared with bahubali )
    Slow pace
    Hrithik dialogue Delivery Avarage
    Over lengthy
    No mass appeal
    And lastly they will added Director of Swades ( that is one of the problem According to me )

    Rating – 2.3 / 5
    Waiting for A.R Rahman music..

    #Fasal kerala

  • Aftrr seeing comments of people xcited abt MD several days ago i ly here….even i was interested…….esp ashutosh as director and hrithik in main lead….i hv loved lagaan …baazi….and liked jodha akbar …..but d ttailer was very avg…but dn 4/such a film its difficult to cut a winning trailer…i m certain movie will b much better as compared to ds trailer…..but how much is d thing to watch ….i m interested to see upcoming promotional material and dn can firmly decide whch way it looks to go

Leave a Comment