Kaabil Box Office Collections + Our take on alleged inflation

Hrithik Roshan’s Kaabil has done well in its first extended weekend at the box office, collecting Rs 67.46 crore in the first 5 days of its release. The big days came on Tuesday (holiday for Republic Day) and Saturday.

The film opened very well on Sunday too and business was excellent through the day before the T20 cricket match affected the business of both Kaabil and Raees, 7PM onwards.

Monday will decide where Kaabil goes. Good holds during the weekdays will ensure that Kaabil will retain most of its shows and also get the bigger capacity screens. The audience who watched Raees (which was clearly the first choice in the first weekend) could opt to watch Kaabil in theatres this coming weekend.

If the trend doesn’t fall in favour of the film, the Roshans have only themselves to blame for going ahead with clash and ruining a potential big grosser for Hrithik Roshan. Even a top superstar like Shah Rukh Khan decided to avert the clash with Sultan, quickly realising that noone can challenge the might of Salman Khan during the Eid weekend – even though he had a film that was tailor-made for the Eid period. Raees will lose money too because of the clash, but SRK has clearly won the perception game here which should help him keep the Christmas 2018 weekend all for himself.

Side note: There has been a lot of debate over the ‘inflated’ box office collections of Kaabil and we’ve been talking to a people in the trade about all the figures that have been doing the rounds. We’ve also been gathering collections from various circuits as well as multiplex chains. The actuals or the ‘truth’ lies somewhere in between. The collections are nowhere as low as what’s being quoted as the ‘trade number’, nor is it as high as what the producers have been quoting.

It’s high time for the industry to get an independent credible source, which works with producers, distributors and exhibitors – verifies and reverifies the figures with multiple sources – before putting out the final numbers. Even though it’s impossible to release accurate figures on a daily basis, numbers could be put out after the weekend or at the end of the first week.

In a clash like this where ego, perception and reputation built over entire careers are at stake, absolutely anything is possible. There is no source that’s ‘holier-than-thou’ here. Smart manipulation of figures can happen at every level, even at the exhibitor (theatre) level and those who are willing to shell out money, can get anything done. The smallest of margins can make the good to look excellent and the average to look poor. The game is in the smallest of margins.

More on this soon in a more detailed article.

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166 Comments

  • Why suddenly indicine is so curious to get the inside story,????? When happy new year & krish 3 had done this then you were blinding supporting it

    While happy new year opening day was clearly showing the inflation you didnot bother to make an article….. Serious criticism, many ques, huge argument every thing was done for that issue but you always cleverly ignored it but now suddenly indicine wake up & trying to dig in to this….

    Hatts up man

  • I only trust Indicine when it comes to box office..
    I have stop following BOI since last few years..
    Following are the reasons:
    a) Shoddy UI, spelling mistakes in their articles, tells lot about their seriousness and quality focus
    b) Keeps on changing verdict of the movies basis their convenience
    e.g. Jodha akbar, ghajini
    c) They are a trade website but they behave like judge..
    Case in point calling DCH a poor film and publish articles about that
    d) Even though Dangal was clearly the biggest hit since Gadar still they were in denial and kept on publishing shitty stuff and undermining it’s achievement
    e) Specially liberal when it comes to SRK and Salman movies
    I have more reasons to prove why BOI is just a piece of shit but 5 are more than enough for now..

  • @indicine

    please understand what I’m trying to say here.

    Distributors are closest to exhibitors in film trade not just in bollywood but worldwide. They actually get reported by exhibitors on the nightly basis.

    Distributors need not contact producers at all as they have already paid a lump sum to producers to buy all-india, all-international rights for motion pictures (KAABIL-50 Cr, RAEES-65 Cr)

    Hence, here is the true real collection reported by distributors as exhibitors collected at Boxoffice. I cannot explain to you the boxoffice business any better than this

    Day 1(wed): 08.00
    Day 2(thu): 15.50
    Day 3(fri): 07.50
    Day 4(sat): 10.75
    Day 5(sun): 12.25
    Day 6(mon):

    total : 54 crores

    Day 1(wed): 20.25
    Day 2(thu): 26.25
    Day 3(fri): 13.00
    Day 4(sat): 15.50
    Day 5(sun): 17.25
    Day 6(mon):

    Total: 92.25

    difference: 38.35 atleast. It could be more but not less than this.

  • @indicine i want you to throw back some light here..lets say looking at trend and wom for kaabil which is very good ,and i am taking minimum for collection:
    monday-7cr
    tuesday-5
    wednesday-4
    thursday-5
    friday-5
    sat-7
    sunday-9

    67.43cr+42 cr=110cr rounded up

    now say for remaining days till jolly llb 2 mon-thursday collectively it collects 10cr

    110+10cr=120 cr..

    now kaabil has to collect 80cr or more to earn profit,so looking at this figure 120 cr i think it will achieve superhit status..

    not concern about raees at all ,just want to know your point of view. coz distributor price was 42 crd

  • indicine i think u got it wrong…let me make it clear nd i want ur take on this….guys 67 cr is the gross figure not the nett.the nett of 67 is 55 cr nd tht is the actual figures for kaabil(52 frm hindi nd 3 frm tamil telgu).same like krish 3(244 was gross nd nett was 179)……..plz indicine answr

  • What indicine said is manipulation is from both the sides so called ‘trade’ and producers but Boi was the first to manipulate as they pisted that estimates first which led to all these stuff as an agitated rakesh roshan also increased the collection just like Boi reduced so you cannot blame them its tit for tat but the real issue is the credibility of boi as they were against kaabil or shall i say with raees so the collections of raees from producers and Boi match and this i am saying confidently because its not lIke sharuk has never manipulated as we all know who started this all stuff with jab tak gain jaan and who is the master of manipulation by hny opening but this time they smartly tied up with Boi.So i do think its not a mistake of roshan’s and no one should allege them so the collections of the movie should be 60crs something but as you know its tit for tat and the real culprit is Boi#shame

  • BOI gives kaabil collection without adding night shows. Thats happened in other hrithik films like krrish 3 and bang bang. BOI is not a trade side they are SRK created website.

  • Hrithik already beat SRK by his brilliant performance. SRK is not 10% of hrithik in acting. Hrithik is both a great superstar and actor.

  • In indicine most of their followers are srk fan, so they trying to gives their sympathy by calling kaabil collection is half correct , even a dumb knows that. Kaabil is the first blockbuster of 2017. Raees is the 2nd flop after ok jannu.

  • @ indicine:

    If you still are not convinced.

    Here is the detail breakdown given by each territorial distributor according to each exhibitor’s collection:

    KAABIL Sunday Collections only (12.50 predicted):

    Mumbai + Pune + Gujarat + Saurashtra : 3.82 crores
    Delhi + Uttar Pradesn + NCR Region : 2.40 crores
    Pubjab : 1.08 crores
    CP + Berar: 38 lakhs
    Central India : 58 lakhs
    Rajasthan : 70 lakhs
    Andhra Pradesh + Nizam : 1.05 Crores
    Mysore + Bangalore + Karnataka : 84 lakhs
    West Bengal + Kolkata : 76 Lakhs
    Bihar + Jharkhand : 35 lakhs
    Assam : 12 lakh
    Orrissa : 15 lakh
    Tamil Nadu + Chennai : 42 lakh

    Total (revised) after each rupee collected and counted : 12.95 Crores!

    Any producer or production house reporting around 15 crores should not be taken seriously.

  • A guy named Aamir Khan never talks about aamir but only about srk and salman !! Aamir naam ke peeche kyu chup raha hai ?

  • @For all lungi waalas including @fan pk : HNY did an epic manipulation from 36 crs to 44 crs and none of the Salman movies have more than 15-20 crs in life time collections. Ek din mein 8 crs ka ghaapla toh sooch lo lifetime mein kitne ghaapley kiye hoongein ‘Raam Laal aka Kaali’ ne !!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Fan wars aside, I just want answer from one sensible SRK fan how HNY did 44+ crs in 2014 despite released on 5000 (fake) screens with less occupancy than when Dangal (4850 screens), Raees + Kaabil (2500 + 2300 = 4800) and PRDP could not achieve same with more occupancy with higher ticket prices than in 2014 ? Please give a honest answer.

    NOTE : If you are fanatic skip my question.

  • @xzone : Dude, what are you smoking ? Weed ?

    You are creating your own stories and asking me to believe those rather on the words of this article by Indicine. Is there any evidence or any Bollywood site declared that SRK left Eid 2016 to get Christmas 2018 from YRF ? If you would have said that Raees was not completed I would have moved on without asking you anything but you are asking others to believe on your own perceptions. Sometime trying too much to be smart turns fatal, so be careful and do not give me any lame answers.

  • I will not say that the figures are inflated but what everyone will agree to the fact that the figure is not as low as the trade figure of BOI is showing. So we do have to find out why they are after Hrithik Roshan to pull his image down? inflating figure is true for all actors but when it comes to Hrithik, BOI tries its best to pull him down. What so many fans found out after catching BOI India red handed when BOI showed trade figure 9.50 crore of the first day of Kaabil and then switched to 7.5 crore previously estimated by BOI only to make themselves look accurate in estimating. So BOI can do anything to look themselves good and also will do anything to pull Hrithik’s pants off. Truth finally comes out and this time one must admit that BOI is no more a trust-able source to find out trade figure of a movie

  • Every one who are talking about difference between Dangal official and boi figures. Dangal (Hindi) collection is 372cr and dubbed version collected as per them is 11.5cr till 5 week, so total is around 383.5cr which is equal to officials.

    @Alok nath agree with your all points. When BB released that time they started the hoopla of footfalls as that time their site updated with footfalls of old & new films. Guess what suddenly Hahk footfalls which were above 5cr increased to 6.5cr, Gadar ff increased from 4cr to 5cr+,

    I remember when pk completed its final run they came with an article about footfalls of pk,d3 & 3i. Where they clearly mentioned that pk ff is similar to 3i and they were
    Pk- 2.82cr
    3i – 2.81cr
    D3- 2.55cr

    And when their site updated in 2015 the ff of pk are 3.5cr, 3i- 3.17cr, d3- 2.97cr. Its not about these 3 but footfaals have increased almost every films in their database. I have emailed them about all these differences of now & than but as usual no reply from their side.

    But as we don’t have any authentic site so still we have to rely on them for more accurate collections.

  • Every one who are talking about difference between Dangal official and boi figures. Dangal (Hindi) collection is 372cr and dubbed version collected as per them is 11.5cr till 5 week, so total is around 383.5cr which is equal to officials.

    @Alok nath agree with your all points. When BB released that time they started the hoopla of footfalls as that time their site updated with footfalls of old & new films. Guess what suddenly Hahk footfalls which were above 5cr increased to 6.5cr, Gadar ff increased from 4cr to 5cr+,

    I remember when pk completed its final run they came with an article about footfalls of pk,d3 & 3i. Where they clearly mentioned that pk ff is similar to 3i and they were
    Pk- 2.82cr
    3i – 2.81cr
    D3- 2.55cr

    And when their site updated in 2015 the ff of pk are 3.5cr, 3i- 3.17cr, d3- 2.97cr. Its not about these 3 but footfaals have increased almost every films in their database. I have emailed them about all these differences of now & than but as usual no reply from their side.

    But as we don’t have any authentic site so still we have to rely on them for more accurate collections. .

  • @hrithik and @xzone
    The clash between Sultan and Raees would be harmful for the Raees more than sultan. The reason was simple and that is content. Sultan was clean family entertainer and universal looking movie while Raees is more inclined to mass films but Salman also has great stardom in Muslim centers & their too Raees can’t pull that big crowd against Sultan because of Salman dominance there. That was the basic reason of movement of Raees. Its not only about stardom, friendship and all but more because of content as Sultan is bigger and more universal film. But Raees should released on Bakri- Eid last year, it would have better collection than.

  • People who are complaining fake collections should understand first what’s the credibility of the BOI or other trade figures, they can be wrongly estimated. It is possible that these sites are not neutral. To understand the logic, kaabil producer figure for sat was 13.54cr with around 2200 screen and trade is reporting 2cr less. You can see the latest hit Dear Zindagi collected 11.25cr with around 1200 screen on its first saturday, jungle book collected 13cr on its first saturday with 1600 screen. Even Befikre with negative WOM collected 11.6cr on its first saturday with same screen count as kaabil. For kaabil WOM is very positive and trend is better than these films even with competition. Occupancy wise except for first day its giving tough fight to raees. With this we can easily say that trade estimation of 11cr for sat is low, it could have been better. This is just an example it also applies to other days. At the end of the day its producer who can give right figure and its still a better choice to trust them then trust this trade figures.

  • @hrithik wat if someone kills and get away with will you do the same. Not only happy new year jab tak hain jaan ra one eek tha tiger main prem ki deewani hoon son of sardaar shivaay all box office collections were manupulated. But its starts with krissh when it crosses the limit and it became height of shamelessness.way they treated trade professionals and audience were out of the world and disrespectful. May be this is the reason why kaabil is getting unnecessery attention regarding this. Hopefully they will realize their mistake and refrain themselves from doing things like this in near future. But damage is done they have now no goodwill and brand values. Now any saleable star will destroy filmcraft in clash, if u disagree try a clash with ranbir and ranveer or varun. This happens when people love you and keep you in your heart and if they are not returned with love trust and respect. Sir rakesh you have ruined your son’s career. Thanks.

  • Boi not official @9.37 exactly bro. This is the exact point…..khans very well knew deep inside their heart tat it is only hrithik who can easily become new and undisputed box office king…..this is universal truth……but dont worry bro… hrithik will achieve tat megasuperstardom one day …

  • Those who are saying that, Now srk doesn’t manipulate, then he/she is fool and dumb. Dilwale manipulated huge in overseas if not in Domestic. I agree that he doesn’t manipulate anymore coz now people aren’t fool, so he (srk) knows that manipulation won’t work now and that too in clash, hence people can’t be fooled. So he changed his mind but definitely The next film of Red Chillies will inflate huge no.s (Fan wasn’t of Red Chillies product hence they didn’t manipulate, in case of Sultan too).

  • In queens NY. Bombay theatre do not bother to release Kabul. They’re only showing Raees and constantly house full. GO FIGURE.

  • Your comment is awaiting moderation.

    //Even a top superstar like Shah Rukh Khan decided to avert the clash with Sultan, quickly realising that noone can challenge the might of Salman Khan during the Eid weekend – even though he had a film that was tailor-made for the Eid period//
    this is bullshit and unprofessional of you indicine to think like that
    how can srk clash with salman with an unfinished movie at that time ?
    are you serious ?
    clash wasnt averted but raees was postponed we all know that srk and mahira had to act scenes and songs even after uris crisis
    so stop this childish description and delete these lines before salman khan fans start believing in your joke

  • The manipulation is done for most of the films and trade knows it. A reliable source informed us that in reality, Chennai Express did not break Ekk Tha Tiger opening day record and fell short of by a small margin. But they manipulate the figure a bit so that it can make headlines.

    There is another hypocrisy that people tend to switch between official and trade figures depending on the situation. Along with fans, it even applies to producers. For example, Box Office India declared Prem Ratan Dhan Payo as the highest opener and the producers referred BOI and released an official statement. However, producers claimed that it crossed 200 cr but as per BOI, it did not.

    It’s high time that we get a reliable source for tracking box office numbers so that no one can manipulate.

  • these so called trade analysts should also point out the manipulation in many other biggies. They will not do so because it is easy to target a small film rather than questioning other big production houses.

  • trade analysts should also point out the manipulation in many other biggies. They will not do so because it is easy to target a small film rather than questioning other big production houses.

  • Well one thing is sure its inflated and when you make a lie u r cursed u have to bare with anything. There is no way trade has underreported its as always with the case of hrithik movie its highly over reported by producers. Look at him now and look at how he used to be during dhoom 3 krissh 2 days his stardom is turning into the house of cards. He didnot return back love and trust showered on him by paying public and result is out. And people who are crying that trade analysit on twitter and thread like this guys be mature page 3 columnist doesnot comes out of the blue these are the way how they evolved. You need common sense no rocket science. When hindustan liver can estimate grocerry stores of whole interiors of india and project their sales as well, mileage every outlet and sell their shampoo pouch in road sides, to the cycle sales men as well do you think its that hard to track down box office figures of interiors. Just you need man power to see pattern of few interriors and trusted people inside the ticket counter to find out collection. Once thats done on basis of that sample whole estimates through all demographics are done and trust me if its not close its very near. Based on advance booking and pattern box office mojo estimates whole weekend figures on friday itself and it hardly fail so dont worry there are ways out but still actual do varies and thats why box office india has different figure later on for some movies. Well must appreciate instead of pulling legs atleast someone is doing which indian pioneering site on page 3 bollywood hungama missed out. Indicine is going somewhere in middle but frankly I am not interested on producer figure that I can get from producer himself what I am interested is your estimates. Given a chance any IIM GRADUATES with fmcg background and passion for indi movies can do this.Thank you so much.

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