FAN Box Office Prediction

It’s FAN Day Tomorrow and the release of a Shah Rukh Khan film is always a big event for fans across the world. The industry, his fans, well-wishers and even those who love to see him fail – are all keen to see and know how his films perform at the box office.

For an actor who has achieved so much in the industry, his stardom is put to test each time he makes an outing. FAN will be no different. The success of the film will be important for SRK, because his standing in the industry has taken a dip in the last few years.

Also Read: FAN Advance Booking Report

While his films that are perceived to be underperforms, still make it to the Top 3 worldwide grossers of the year, the standards that Shah Rukh Khan has set over the years is so high that there are expectations of a major grosser – each time he releases a film.

FAN is also important because Shah Rukh’s next film ‘Raees’ is scheduled to take on Salman Khan’s ‘Sultan’ during Eid this year. While there are rumours of ‘Raees’ getting postponed to a later date, the makers could be waiting to see how FAN performs before taking the final decision. If FAN does very well, ‘Raees’ could still take on ‘Sultan’, but if it doesn’t perform, ‘Raees’ will have to move to a different date.

Also Read: FAN Business Economics

Key stats:

  • Screens: 3500 – 3600
  • Budget: 105 crore
  • Runtime: 2 hours 22 minutes
  • Trailer score: 8 on 10
  • Music Popularity: 4 on 10
  • Marketing campaign: 3 on 10

All records of 2016 are *expected* to be surpassed, all of which currently belong to Airlift:

  • First Day: Airlift (12.35 crore)
  • Highest Single Day: Airlift (3rd Day, Sunday, 17.35 crore)
  • Highest Non-Holiday Single Day: Airlift (2nd Day, Saturday, 14.60 crore)
  • Highest First Weekend: Airlift (44.30 crore)
  • Highest First Week: Airlift (83.5 crore)
  • Highest Second Weekend: Airlift (19.26 crore)
  • Highest Second Week: Airlift (28.79 crore)
  • Highest Lifetime: Airlift (128 crore)

Factors in favour of FAN on opening day:

  • Shah Rukh Khan, there isn’t much of anything else really.
  • Good trailer
  • Partial Holiday release

Factors against FAN on opening day:

  • Lack of universal appeal: Just one song, no leading lady.
  • The outstanding word-of-mouth of ‘The Jungle Book’ will make it difficult for FAN. The impact may not be big, but business will be divided at multiplexes.
  • Maneesh Sharma’s track record isn’t great, his films have only appealed to a small section of audience.

IndicineFBO: We expect FAN to collect Rs 21.9 crore on Day 1. Check our detailed FBO page for previous predictions and more.

Check out the detailed box office predictions of FAN

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 22 cr
  • Day 2 – 23 cr
  • Day 3 – 27 cr
  • Weekend – 72 cr
  • First Week – 120 cr
  • Final – 175 cr+ (Super Hit)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Day 1 – 21 cr
  • Day 2 – 20 cr
  • Day 3 – 23 cr
  • Weekend – 64 cr
  • First Week – 98 cr
  • Final – 135 cr (Hit)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Day 1 – 20 cr
  • Day 2 – 17 cr
  • Day 3 – 19 cr
  • Weekend – 56 cr
  • First Week – 82 cr
  • Lifetime – 100 cr (Below Average / Flop)

Note: Verdict would also depend on how FAN performs overseas.

What do you think of the box office prospects of Shah Rukh Khan’s FAN? Tell us in the comments section below.

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109 Comments

  • I will be the happiest if Fan collects more then 20cr….cause for a movie like fan 20 cr opening is beyond the expectation
    No song
    No female lead
    No festive
    No holiday
    No milti starer
    There is only one thing “SHAH RUKH KHAN”

  • Happy to see all belonging to only Akki’s Airlift movie.
    I damming sure Fan aren’t cross Airlift lifetime collection.

  • Fair predictions!!!
    Though I won’t go ahead with any blind prediction until I watch FAN.
    But @indicine : I didn’t like one thing. You are adding “Holiday release” as a plus for FAN, but just wanted to know, where is the holiday exactly?
    No IT company gives a holiday on Ram Navmi and please note that majority of movie goers in metro cities (target audiences of FAN) are IT professionals , so holiday concept is completely ruled out there.
    Yeah, there might be a partial holiday in small towns of Bihar, UP, Maharashtra, that too, in government offices. But I don’t think that will make any difference to the collections of FAN.

  • @indicine..I have a feeling that it will surely go past 180 crore in its life time..
    Don’t know how much more it’s gonna make in its entire run..
    Hope it goes past 200 crores milestone also..

  • Uhmm not bad. But i dont think the marketing campaign and music deserved 3/10 and 4/10 respectively. The marketing campaign wasn’t done just for the sake of doing it. It was pretty much well planned and decided to dont go over board with the promotions. And it wasn’t a poor music or sumthng like that too rate it too low. They released only Jabra which is chartbuster and everywhere. And regional versions also have been liked and received well. So a bit confused on what basis have you rated it too low?? Judge on the basis of the amount of music released not on the basis of what has not been released.

  • Great words Indicine

    Srk release day is big also for the peoples who wants to see him Fail….

    You can love king
    U can hate king
    But u cannot ignore king

  • Indicine, I love your articles.. you’ve done 3 articles on Fan today.. each article had new points and you’ve written each article differently.

    Love your site!!

  • It is getting a wide release with hiked prices so opening can be 19.5 first day on partial holiday . My prediction, though it is less considering solo big release of biggest star on partial holiday.

    Occupancy will be 40% .

  • If wom is good – very good… then growth will be more on sat… Further on sunday.
    24-25 cr on saturday…and 27-28 cr on sunday.
    Lifetime… will be near 200 cr.
    If mixed… HIT… as you said.

  • My prediction – 22 cr
    Life time with positive wom – 200 cr Above…
    it will be biggest non holiday box office life time in the history of bollywood…
    Eagarly Waiting… Only 10 Hour & 5 minuets For my show… Booked in pvr film city calicut with my 23 classmates…. exited….
    Duniya ka Sabse bada superstar ka sabse bada Fan
    #Fasal kerala

  • fan is really really a special film

    it’s difficult for me to hold the excitement

    just hoping fan to be a critical and a commercial success….

    @indicine what could be the numbers the makers of RAEES are hoping for to stick on EID

  • Above 150cr consider good as FAN is releasing in non holiday plus IPL season still i feel if FAN is universally liked then it cross 200cr otherwise do somewhere 130-150cr what KRK pridicts

  • I’m expecting an opening in the range of 22-25 cr. I really really really hope that the opening day figure crosses 25 cr.
    I have a gut feeling that the opening is gonna be humongous tomorrow.
    Booked my tickets for tomorrow FDFS, so damn excited & nervous too.
    #Kaali

  • I just love first para of this article. ..even hatera wait for him to see him fail….
    my prediction 24 cr fri, 26 sat, 29 sat
    weekend- 78-79 cr

  • I am not worried about the reasons like no female lead,no songs or anything..SRK is there..Fan will be a huge success for him.Vintage SRK is back

  • FAN prediction
    – excellent like Airlift/BB= 135cr
    – good/average = 110cr
    – bad = 95cr

    Overseas collection never matters.
    Domestic it needs to perform for hit.

  • I do hope word of mouth might be good at least if not outstanding. If 150cr crossed then I will rate it blockbuster as there is no universal appeal genre.

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