FAN Box Office Prediction

It’s FAN Day Tomorrow and the release of a Shah Rukh Khan film is always a big event for fans across the world. The industry, his fans, well-wishers and even those who love to see him fail – are all keen to see and know how his films perform at the box office.

For an actor who has achieved so much in the industry, his stardom is put to test each time he makes an outing. FAN will be no different. The success of the film will be important for SRK, because his standing in the industry has taken a dip in the last few years.

Also Read: FAN Advance Booking Report

While his films that are perceived to be underperforms, still make it to the Top 3 worldwide grossers of the year, the standards that Shah Rukh Khan has set over the years is so high that there are expectations of a major grosser – each time he releases a film.

FAN is also important because Shah Rukh’s next film ‘Raees’ is scheduled to take on Salman Khan’s ‘Sultan’ during Eid this year. While there are rumours of ‘Raees’ getting postponed to a later date, the makers could be waiting to see how FAN performs before taking the final decision. If FAN does very well, ‘Raees’ could still take on ‘Sultan’, but if it doesn’t perform, ‘Raees’ will have to move to a different date.

Also Read: FAN Business Economics

Key stats:

  • Screens: 3500 – 3600
  • Budget: 105 crore
  • Runtime: 2 hours 22 minutes
  • Trailer score: 8 on 10
  • Music Popularity: 4 on 10
  • Marketing campaign: 3 on 10

All records of 2016 are *expected* to be surpassed, all of which currently belong to Airlift:

  • First Day: Airlift (12.35 crore)
  • Highest Single Day: Airlift (3rd Day, Sunday, 17.35 crore)
  • Highest Non-Holiday Single Day: Airlift (2nd Day, Saturday, 14.60 crore)
  • Highest First Weekend: Airlift (44.30 crore)
  • Highest First Week: Airlift (83.5 crore)
  • Highest Second Weekend: Airlift (19.26 crore)
  • Highest Second Week: Airlift (28.79 crore)
  • Highest Lifetime: Airlift (128 crore)

Factors in favour of FAN on opening day:

  • Shah Rukh Khan, there isn’t much of anything else really.
  • Good trailer
  • Partial Holiday release

Factors against FAN on opening day:

  • Lack of universal appeal: Just one song, no leading lady.
  • The outstanding word-of-mouth of ‘The Jungle Book’ will make it difficult for FAN. The impact may not be big, but business will be divided at multiplexes.
  • Maneesh Sharma’s track record isn’t great, his films have only appealed to a small section of audience.

IndicineFBO: We expect FAN to collect Rs 21.9 crore on Day 1. Check our detailed FBO page for previous predictions and more.

Check out the detailed box office predictions of FAN

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 22 cr
  • Day 2 – 23 cr
  • Day 3 – 27 cr
  • Weekend – 72 cr
  • First Week – 120 cr
  • Final – 175 cr+ (Super Hit)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Day 1 – 21 cr
  • Day 2 – 20 cr
  • Day 3 – 23 cr
  • Weekend – 64 cr
  • First Week – 98 cr
  • Final – 135 cr (Hit)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Day 1 – 20 cr
  • Day 2 – 17 cr
  • Day 3 – 19 cr
  • Weekend – 56 cr
  • First Week – 82 cr
  • Lifetime – 100 cr (Below Average / Flop)

Note: Verdict would also depend on how FAN performs overseas.

What do you think of the box office prospects of Shah Rukh Khan’s FAN? Tell us in the comments section below.

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109 Comments

  • Im a die hard fan of Bhai bt i wud nt look fr nos to rate the movie…..No matter wat wud b the collections….srk deserves appreciation fr Fan…looking a promising movie….good luck

  • #indicine…u also not included srk sir fee..why..??
    Kya srk sir ne free mai kaam kiya h..?
    Srk sir ki fee ka koi info h to batao ..?

  • I ll go with 3rd option indicine it will be flop, if wom would be positive then 100 cr may be at best. We can’t expect more as srk is here no big star like Salman, amir or hritik still 100 cr is excellent for a srk starrer

  • Indicine…..How many articles on FAN?????????

    Are you proving that …..this website is a treat for SRK fans????????

    Pissed me off…..Pls stop chamchagiri………….

  • Swades & Chak De India fans rejoice .
    SRK – The Acting meastro is back

    Share it maximum……..FAN DAY TODAY……

  • @czone expecting 112 cr this shows ur faith on ur self proclaimed king, U can’t expect more because u know his capability, appreciate u dear not behaving like other haklutards.

  • With the kind of positive reports which are overall coming out about the movie, 21 cr plus looks very probable. Some are predicting 23. People are talking about this movie surprising at the box office.

    But quite pre mature right now so fingers crossed. Tomorrow night at this time we will have an initial idea about the WoM of the movie.

  • @Indicine why are you not considering YRF factor or you seriously think that YRF has no market value…

    YRF is No.1 Production House in India how can you neglect this fact…Don’t give full credit to Srk..

    At least reply Indicine this is 2nd time I am asking you same thing…

  • I think the audience will be divided between Fan and The Jungle Book. Its not cheap going to the movies with a family these days. Not many families can afford to watch two movies in a week or even perhaps in a month with the high multiplex cost associated. Since, the genre is not that appealing, families may opt for The Jungle Book or skip Fan for the timebeing. My guess is that Fan will not be a huge hit, may end up being an average grosser or moderate hit at the most.

  • @Xzone : Stop crying, a holiday is a holiday whether it is in small towns or metros. Do one thing don’t add collections from small cities where there is holiday for Ram Navmi, fair enough ? And I know you desperate to see FAN doing more than Jai Ho. This sums up your thinking & SRK position, you accepted that SRK is way behind Salman !!!!!!!!!!

  • @xzone: those companies do not give a holiday even on the next day of diwali which is considered the biggest holiday

  • I m not expecting 4 stars from indicine this time .
    Maybe 4.5 or 3.5 .

    4 is unlucky stars for indicine😂

  • Good analysis …. but guys I am really hope full it will surprise everyone because fan doing very good here in Gulf specailly dubai and word of mouth very positive people praising srk acting … finger crossed let’s see what’s gonna be

  • @satyajit ask your bhaijaan to release his movie on regular days instead of eid, ohh wait nevermind it will be super hit like jai hoe :).

  • Beware!

    A BoxOffice Storm is brewing and about to Erupt:

    FAN real Final Screen Count according to TamilBoxoffice: Domestic (incl regional): 5500+ Overseas:1000+

    Fri (Apr 15): 40 Cr
    Sat (Apr 16): 50 Cr
    Sun (Apr 17): 60 Cr
    Mon(Apr 18): 35 Cr
    Tue (Apr 19): 25 Cr
    Wed (Apr20): 20 Cr
    Thu (Apr21): 19 Cr

    1st WeekEnd total: 150cr
    1st week……..total: 249cr

    WOM so far is excellent for FAN! from overseas on twitter.
    JUNGLE BOOK will run into FAN boxoffice storm.

  • Wow! I’m elated! Indicine responded to my comment.Thanx. I’m actually from Nigeria and I’m the biggest Bollywood fan in Africa lol.Ofcourse I luv Salman the SULTAN of Bollywood.
    Fan lifetime will be 108 cr.

  • Ha Ha..Kya din aa gaye… Ab Chaddi Pehan Ker Phool ( Aka Mowgli) will Thrash Sharukh that too in its Second week..Hope SRK ages like Amitabh and not KAKA…

  • Dear Indicine, how foolish do you write, just see an example below

    You wrote “his standing in the industry has taken a dip in the last few years” and you also wrote “his films that are perceived to be underperforms, still make it to the Top 3 worldwide grossers of the year”.

    Do you even understand how contrary are these two sentences? How mean and cheap can you write more about duniya ka sabse bada super star?

    Literally, be honest, doesn’t your site survive 50% or sometimes even up to 70% by just publishing articles on SRK and his related activities? Anyway, you have much time to do this analysis…

    And above all the biggest trade secret revealed by Indicine…
    “If FAN does very well, ‘Raees’ could still take on ‘Sultan’, but if it doesn’t perform, ‘Raees’ will have to move to a different date.” Did you get this from an insider? you losers…

    Keep writing about SRK, positive or negative it doesn’t matter… SRK is a brand it just grows!

    Please do watch FAN, thanks.

    Love you SRK!!!

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