Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara Box Office Prediction – Hit or Flop?

Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara directed by Zoya Akhtar releases tomorrow and the film has a huge starcast. Hrithik Roshan and Katrina Kaif are two of the most popular actors in the industry and their presence should give the films box office collections a huge boost. Apart from Hrithik and Kat, the film also stars Farhan Akhtar, Abhay Deol and Kalki Koechlin.

Much like Delhi Belly, ZNMD is targeted at the youth and the urban audience. The film is expected to open well in cities and then grow on word-of-mouth.

The opening though might not be spectacular due to several reasons

  • There is no ‘big film’ buzz around Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara and the promos haven’t been the talking point either.
  • Delhi Belly is still strong in cities and Murder 2 is unlikely to be replaced at single screens.  Also, the last part in the Harry Potter series of films is scheduled to hit screens tomorrow (i.e if the producers and multiplex owners can settle their dispute on time). In bigger cities, going by the advance booking, Harry Potter is unfortunately the first choice.
  • Next week, Singham is scheduled for release and it should affect the collections of Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara.

While things don’t look too rosy, Zoya Akhtar and the ZNMD team is quietly confident. If the content is good, the competition simply does not matter.

Coming to the point.. below are our prediction for Hrithik Roshan’s first and only release of 2011

Excel Film’s Zindagi na milegi dobara has a huge cast comprising Hrithik Roshan,Katrina Kaif,Farhan Akthar,Abhay Deol etc. The movie has a very urbane feel to it and is expected to do really well in the high end properties but it remains to be seen if the movie can go really mainstream and justify its costs.

Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara Box Office Prediction

IF GOOD (very positive word-of-mouth)

  • Weekend – 27 crores
  • Weekdays – 12 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 39 crores
  • Final – 65 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Weekend – 25 crores
  • Weekdays – 10 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 35 crores
  • Final – 50 crores+

IF BAD (negative word-of-mouth)

  • Weekend – 22 crores
  • Weekdays – 8 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 30 crores
  • Final – less than 40 crores

After two disasters in Kites and Guzaarish. Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara is an important film for Hrithik, make no mistake about that.

What do you think, will Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara be a Hit or a Flop? Tell us below in the comments section.

Advertisements

150 Comments

  • VIVEK,Now for which success u r talking abt..ZNMD is a hit and soon it’ll b a superhit…in future also u’ll come to know abt his films’ box-office success..
    U r d only person who talks maximum abt hrithik..Thanx for dat dude..just bcoz of u m becoming Hrithik’s fan..

    THANX AFRAZ and CRAZYPAREEK..

  • You’re such idiot how can someone be fan of Joker HR? ZNMD opened well but it’s falling down now it won’t be a big success but i liked it and watched it 2 times on big screen. Gayshan is the biggest flopstar followed by Akshay Kumar. All others are successful. Now because of big disasters like Guzaaarish and Kites he’s trying to prove that he’s cucessful but that’s not the reality, he is yet to give a solo blockbuster.
    Gayroshan is a donkey who should quit acting, i think he will soon.
    Stop annoying me you moron and enjoy your Flopstar duggu. Yuckk

  • If u have a bad taste den nobody can do anythng..and nobody shud be blamed for dat..Jodha Akbar was his solo blockbuster despite being nt released in rajasthan..i kno acc to u jodha akbar was also flopped.. bcoz u hav almost nil knowledge so its difficult for u to even undstand..

    And pls stop giving ur idiotic and mindless suggestions which can lead anybody no where..u will not tell any star to act or to leave..

    do one thing u start acting..if it is possible from stupids like u people who r good for nothing..
    so its better to shut up..and stop insulting urself..

  • ZNMD Rocks..but y dis argument between u people..

    Vivek u r stupid writing nonsense..r u illiterate??dont have commonsnse..bullshit..

  • @Ankhur: You idiot Jodhaa Akbar was Semi Hit/avg not Blockbuster get your facts right!
    Gayshan and his Gay fans suckkkk!

  • People are being so stupid these days, fro them semi-hit is Blockbuster in that case Tees Mar Khan was a Blockbuster right? Stuuupid!

  • Jodha Akbar was a clean-hit.. Not average/semihit.. nor was it a blockbuster. For a historical it did very well.

    For comparison, Aamir failed with Mangal Pandey, SRK failed with Asoka. Many people consider Lagaan a historical, it wasn’t.

  • @Indicine Team: No can’t agree with you, Lagaan was historical no doubt about it and was a superhit at BO with a flop director who did disasters like Pehla Nasha it was a true success. Just to make Hrithik look as the only sucessful actor does not mean we should put others down, Hrithik worked with Ashutosh only based on his success, Aamir worked with him despite his disastrous films and also producing it with his own money, after others rejecting it. And Jodhaa Akbar was semi-hit. Also Lagaan as a film was miles ahead of Jodhaa Akbar or any other.

  • And Mangal Pandey lacked good script and good direction, it was the biggest opener of 2005 but was below expectations, Jodhaa Akbar on the other hand was well-directed but did not open well.

  • How can Lagaan be a historical when it was neither based on facts or real characters? Mangal Panday, Asoka and Akbar did exist. Bhuvan didn’t!

    The Lagaan story was pure fiction, it didn’t happen. So no way was it a historical :) And one more thing, Lagaan was not a ‘super-hit’ at the box office. It just did hit business. Sunny Deol’s Gadar collected almost twice the money.

    No question of putting anyone down here. Just giving you the facts. And no doubt, Lagaan was a better film.

  • Mangal Pandey opened well because it was an Aamir Khan film after 5 years that too after Lagaan and Dil Chahta. It crashed later because it wasn’t liked. But money was recovered.

    Jodhaa Akbar opened slow, but grew on positive word-of-mouth. It did HIT business, even though it was banned in the entire state of Rajasthan and after a week was banned in couple of other states too. It easily lost about 6 crores due to the ban, otherwise 70 crore+ was possible.

  • @Indicine Team: if Jodhaa Akbar can be called a Hit then in the same way Lagaan can be a Superhit.
    Gadar was All Time Blockbuster and its recordd lasted till Dhoom 2 :)

  • Forget about who succed more, it’s about which film lasted in our memory more, which film we loved more? which film we still can watch again again and again and still love it? Hrithik might have succeed with Jodhaa Akbar in terms of Box Office suceess but did people really connect with it? did it touch them? do you hear people talking about Jodhaa Akabr? The answer is NO. Beacuse Jodhaa Akabr was a decent historical movie nothing great about it, it did not appeal audience nor it was a extremly loved by public. It was simply accepted coz it was an awesome film with good direction and adequate performances. The magic that Lagaan created can never matched by any movie, i don’t care if it’s historical or not, it was a risky film in all terms still was a success not only at BO but also connected with audience. Lagaan has so many aspects that appeal to different types of audiences. We never tire of watching it despite its length there’s not a moment in the film where you get bored. This is admirable, given Lagaan is not primarily a film on sport. Those films are supposed to be dictated more by how the games are played than by wins and losses (although the triumphant underdog theme is prevalent across world cinema), but for a group of villagers fighting to increase the chances they’ll survive with enough to eat, taking heart from anything other than winning hardly serves any purpose. Lagaan seems to be one of the very few movies which we keep loving and then some more, every time I see a scene, listen a slive of a track or even see just a single frame. That is indeed the power of cinema.

  • @Aditya: very well said, i find it ridiculous when people are proud about Jodhaa Akbar’s success or whatever, they made it a big hit. Ok it was a hit no doubt but still it was not a brilliant film nor a massterpiece but just a decent historical for one time watch.

  • What more can I say, that hasn’t been said before, about this masterpiece called Lagaan? I saw Lagaan at the age of 12, back in 2001 with my family in a theatre. I remember how some discouraging rumours about this film were being floated around: it’s too lengthy,the language is Avadhi,you can’t understand the dialogues, who’d like to watch a film with the hero wearing a ‘dhoti’ in this modern era? [‘new millenium’ was the buzzword during those days you see].When I asked my parents to watch this film they expressed their doubts about the film being possibly dull & boring. But as I was an AK fan,plus my mama is a cricket buff,so we convinced them and we went together to watch Lagaan. Needless to say we enjoyed every moment of the film. It’s this film that introduced me to cricket! The match in Lagaan is the first cricket match that I watched with interest.The film is a complete entertainer, has a lesson for all & is very inspirational.The scene where Bhuvan takes up the challenge and utters those iconic words “Sharat manzoor hai!” is one of the best scenes ever!The way Bhuvan accepts the challenge of this almost impossible task (of defeating the seasoned Brits in a cricket match) underlines the importance of taking up the challenge & being ready to fight for one’s self respect.Another scene I like is the scene where Bhuvan touches Kachra who’s an untouchable. I remember how we all clapped at the audacity displayed by Bhuvan here. The way a lone villager (Bhuvan) takes a stand against the mighty British,his struggle to form a team,uniting men from radically diverse backgrounds,how they put up the fight – it’s all so inspirational!My mother always tells me to learn from Aamir’s character in Lagaan since I tend to be quite pessimistic at times.Lagaan’s another speciality is the way it portrays the problems of our society. It’s our own religion-caste-region based divisions & our selfish interests that made us so vulnerable.The same problems still exist.In the film too team-mates threaten to quit if the untouchable Kachra is to be included in the team, Lakha tries to sabotage the team due to his envy of Bhuvan.What sets this film apart is that it doesn’t portray the establishment as totally negative .We were surprised to see a British lady help them learn the game & how even the British Umpire gave fair decisions during the match despite knowing that the Indian players were novices! The fact that the Brits conducted game in a fair manner shows the credibility on their part too.Even after the Indians winning the match the Brits could have denied them the promise of relief from tax.The music of this film was great too. The ways they play the match & utilize each member of the team are both humorous & clever.About the performances,so much has already been said in their praise that I can’t add anything more here.Finally Aamir’s the perfect actor & this is the perfect film. This film skyrocketed Aamir to a much higher league,ahead of all his contemporaries (& even some yesteryear stars). It made me admire Aamir even more.Thumbs up to the entire Lagaan team. As for us, we clapped & gushed throughout the film,kept discussing it several days after watching it & recommended it to everyone including those ‘modern’ colleagues (who had joked about the hero in a dhoti)! As the underdogs in the film,the film itself too rose above all the negative publicity & wrote a Golden chapter in the history of Indian cinema. The same naysayers have now honoured it as the Movie of the Decade @ IIFA.
    Sorry no Jodhaa Akbar, no other film c

  • Lagaan was ultimate no doubt..even i agree dat it was better than JA..bt lagan was nt historical and JA after Mughal-e-azam in 1960 was d first historical movie to b called as a hit….

    But let me tell u all dat a very big team is involved in making of a film so behind a movie’s success dere r many people who shud b credited and mostly d director den writer and den d actors..U people give whole credit to actors dat is wrong and unfair..

    If Lagaan was great its bcoz of ASHUTOSH GOWARIKER coz he written every character and scene and lstly he directed d movie..Same is d case wid Jodha Akba,my first credit goes to Ashutosh not hrithik or ash..
    Performance of d actors r even in d hands of director,people ho can really undstand d role of director dey will stop praising actors first..

  • @Priyanka-Wat u said hrithik worked wid ashutosh bcoz he was successful and amir worked wid him wen he was unsuccessful..

    May b u dont know dat movies r signed after reading scripts not after luking at d records of d directors…Ya it matters but secondary coz script is everything and d thing which is primarily focused..

    Hrithik said NO initially but he was convinced by his wife so he did it..If he got filmfare for JA it was fair coz it was a difficult as well as lengthy role which he justified and got critically acclaimation and trophies..

  • @Ankhur: I agree with u, directors should be credited first before actors no doubt. But in case of Aamir it’s different because he took a big challenge though the director was unsuccessful. But do not forget that Aamir was the producer od Lagaan also :), Again i totally agree that Ashutosh should be credietd the most, for Lagaan, Swades and Jodhaa Akabar. What i was saying is that most of the top actors(not all) work with big directors but Aamir i salute him for working with Ashutoh, Farhan for the first time, Rakesh Omkarah Mehra and so on…i did not say that he was the only reason the success of the movie but just because he believed in the director and the power of the script and did not care about the director’s reputation :), Aamir has the guts to finance films that are not financially viable, which is one of the reasons I respect him so much. Not to take anything from Hrithik he is not a bad actor but i don’t think he deserved awards for Jodhaa Akbar! It’s my opinion.

  • Same here I do not think Hrithik deserved any award for Jodhaa Akbar! I didn’t find him suiatble for the role at all, actually he did not convince me at all. Just too bloond for me.
    Nor did Aamir for Ghajini. SRK was great as Suri but then overacted as Raj so it was automatically gone, i think Naseer Din Shah deserved that 100% he was just fanatstic in a wednesday but he did not win coz the awards are based on popular votes. He deserved at least the critics award or a special award.

  • What i don’t understand is why only in the case of Aamir people bring up directors and want to give them all credits. I don’t undersatnd but did Ashutosh, Amol Gupte, Anusha rizvi appear in one of ur regular dreams to enlighten u about the gross injustice done to them by aamir ?Forget the specifics. Why is that this ‘democracy’ of top stars crops up only when Aamir creates history with Lagaan and then at BO with Ghajini and 3 Idiots? Why didn’t anyone say this after D2? After OSO? After SIK even? At that point those stars were given credit. I do admit that even Akshay, Hrithik and SRK got grudging acceptance after lots of hits but overall Ghajini and 3 idiots have created an enormous anxiety where the greater the opening the more this ‘democracy’ comes about. So weirdly rather than actually saying anything about Aamir the films supposedly say more about the top 4 stars or about ‘any’ film with the right combo! So people are pretending that it’s ‘impressive’ Aamir’s done this but the entire logic of the argument constantly veers towards the other stars! Why wasn’t Aamir given this benefit when those others were doing it, especially when he had and continues to have an unsurpassed track record in more genres than anyone else?!
    But we’ve seen this before. For the SRK supporters who never gave much credit to Aamir for making big hits out of the ‘different’ suddenly CDI became the most important film in movie history. For Hrithik supporters who also had little use for such arguments suddenly a JA (that opened way less than expected though it trended well) suddenly this one film becomes one of the most important in movie history! In each case the ‘trending’ idea also gained new supporters! And now people want to give all credit to Ashutosh for Lagaan(i agree he should be credited for his creativity and brilliant script and direction and he was),But Aamir too should be credited for keeping his money on such risky project and having faith in a dierctor like Ashutosh despite his reputaion. Again Aamir was excellent in Lagaan and I think it is arguably his best performance. If Aamir had not acted as well as he did, the movie would have fallen flat on its face.Since Ashu managed to make SRK act well in Swades may be he would have succeeded there too. But the comparison is unnecessary when Aamir did a great job. Even SRK said that no one could bring the conviction that Aamir brought to that character and I agree.
    For the record I have (and I’m not the only one) spoken of certain top stars and their genre strengths. I have even suggested that if each star gets their top genre. So I’ve looked at all the scenarios as others have here. But no one else was willing to do it on those other occasions. Now Aamir has 2 biggies and people want to talk about everyone else and Aamir himself becomes a kind of tangential detail!
    Yeah keep it going. No star has the record that Aamir has in this decade. No star is even close. No star of the ones currently working (Bachchan always excepted) has ever had a period where they’ve had the Aamir kind of record, looking at all the factors. overall Aamir has been superlative in this decade in terms of combining pathbreaking films within commercial boundaries, getting very significant initials and grossers for all of these attempts, he only has one failure in MP (still had the biggest initial of its day which is more than can be said for JA.. and by the standards of some on Indicine didn’t lose too many people money so let’s call it ‘average’! By the way even if a ‘failure’ I consider it a rather rich film).. the list otherwise is Lagaan, DCH, MP, RDB, Fanaa, TZP, Ghajini, 3 idiots. Add to this his production success with JTYJN and everything he touches turns to gold! And I wouldn’t want to be the guy betting against 3 Idiots. So what is it now? 5 hits in a row? SRK and Hrithik doing hatricks is a big deal? What about this?!

  • Yeah guys you know what, i realised smthg which i think many will find it funny but still i have no doubt abt it,
    Now we have a list of people who have not been able to create another success in their projects after they worked with aamir in their first…..is this sheer coincidence?

    – John Mathan (after sarfarosh, shikhar was a dud and ….what the f**k is he doing when aamir has openly said that he wants to do a sequel to SAR…? anyone in his right mind would burn night-lamps and complete that script first but mathan has made some film (forgot the name) for T Series……)
    – Amol Gupte (better not to say anything more here )
    – Darsheel (bumm bummm….stuff was a dud)
    – Rakeysh Mehra (D6 was a dud)
    – Ashu Gowarikar (well, he has JA and Swades….but where is the magic of LAGAAN? besides WYR better not talk about it)
    – Tyrewala (Jootha…..a pure disaster, those who went watching it didn’t return alive from theatres)
    – Gracy Singh (where is she? )
    – Asin (in hindi films…..london dreams bombed, will she be able to create magic again in bollywood without aamir? well i know she did Ready but she disappointed BIG time in it where is her magical acting of ghajni?)
    – Rizvis (after PL, let us see who puts their money on these ungrateful people)

    P.S: I don’t want anyone to misunderstand me and read what i wrote here in haphazard manner , it was just a joke nothing else even i’m not an Aamir Khan fan but just realized that, so please no unnecessry comments….

  • @sonia: Hahaha good one, i wasn’t so impressed with Vikram Bhatt’s post Ghulam work
    Farhan Akthar’s best was DCH imho(don was remake, lakshya ws decent, ZNMD was good but still not even close to DCH). you can add Imran Khan to the list with duds like Kidnap and Luck after JTYJN and then DB again with mamu :) and RGV’s only light hearted movie is probably Rangeela, Satya, Sarkar and Company were way too serious stuff, n sonia you forgot to include Sharman Joshi and R. Madhuan and Rangde Basanti guys who had success only with RDB and after with 3 Idiots.
    N what abt Kareena before 3I did she ever give a BB?Mahesh Bhatt a succeeded with the lighter genre is with Aamir ( DHKMN and HHRPK)
    Hahahha I can see people thinking that this guy is nuts!
    I don’t doubt those actors or directors for their talent – and that is why in the subject title i’ve put a question mark – ideally, i would wish and want them all to do very well with their careers with our without aamir.But it is not happening (barring a few exceptions) – so i am really intrigued (yeah, i guess that is the right word to describe what i feel) with this phenomenon in which when aamir is associated with a project – the best in these directors, actors….comes out – so is there something special?
    I honestly want to study the psychology (if there is any) behind these facts and i m not trying to be a fanatic or biased here =D
    And yes, there are A. R. Rehman, Raju Hirani etc. who have given their best with or without aamir – so i’m not making a general statement but asking an open question to understand more about this phenomenon.
    Does that man – aamir bring some special vibes, some special energy, something special on board when he joins a project as an actor/producer/director?

  • @Ankhur khattri: Lagaan would not have seen the day, had it not been Aamir Khan financing it through AKPPL. Ashu was denied of funds because of its unorthodox script and it was Aamir who not only financed but acted in it and was a virtual director.
    Though Aamir has played a vital role in many movies by virtually directing it and deciding about its marketing strategy, Lagaan is a tangible example.

  • @sonia: Interesting post. I have been thinking about this too for a while. I am not trying to glorify Aamir, but let’s take a look at few directors’ association with movies after they worked with Aamir:
    Mansoor Khan: 3 very good moves, 2 classics with Aamir, but the 4th one is a complete dud.
    Mahesh Bhatt: started his career with couple of great movies, but became a B-grade since the days of Sadak. Then worked with Aamir in two movies, both were quite hits, Aamir was blamed as ghost director, but since then Mahesh Bhatt is gone down as a C-grade director.
    RGV: Action has been his main strength, but that also faded after Company, but no other movie from his stable was able to create the magic of Rangeela.
    Santoshi: he has made few good movies, other than Damini and AAA, no other movie has got the cult status.
    Vikram Bhatt: I guess everyone in the forum agrees.
    John: it is surprising to see a person who makes his debut with a film like Sarforosh, can end up with Shikar, a complete dud.
    Ashutosh: Lagaan would have become preachy like Swadesh, or less entertaining like JA, but not. Lagaan needs a special mention here. The amount of faith Aamir put on a director whose two earlier works sank without a trace.
    Farhan: Classic in a debut, but since then not a single one worth mentioning. I feel Aamir had a lot of input in DCH.
    ROM: Why the subtle touches are missing in his other movies?
    Hirani: As someone said exceptions are examples too. All his 3 movies are great, IMO. It may be a personal choice to put one ahead of the other, but they all worked for a larger audience. So, I won’t say there is any Aamir effect on him.
    Amol: Yet to prove his mantle without Aamir. (Recently read he went to Aamir with another script)
    Besides directors, few actors have also got benefitted by associating themselves with Aamir for example, Urmila, Karishma, Sonali (only worth mentioning presence in a movie).
    One thing that all should accept that he does one movie in a year or two, he put all his energy in the project. That definitely creates a different atmosphere altogether.

  • @Anonymous: very good post, i agree with u in every point, Ashu should be credited but also Aamir should equally be credited. Jodhaa Akbar and Swades are another deal, they weren’t as brilliant as Lagaan, also i give all the credit of Swades and Jodhaa Akbar to Ashu for a moving script and good direction, Hrithik and SRK were good in their roles, but the 2 films were Ashu films more than Anyone. As for Lagaan, as i said 50% of the credit should be given to Ashu for such amazing direction and brilliant cript and the another 50% should be given to Aamir for having the guts and putting his money on such risky project, and for deliveering such wonderful performance and accepting a role that no one would have agreed to play.(actually rejected by SRK if i’m not wrong).
    This is i think what people should undersatand, we’re not giving Aamir all the credit but it’s a fact that Lagaan was an Aamir film more than Jodhaa Akbar was a Hrithik film :)

  • everyone knew that lagaan was a diffrent project and something new for audience and hopefully its works on box-office, but jodha-akbar movie wasn’t new, we saw many films made in bollywood in 60,s and 80,s. But its ashu great direction and hrithik awesum performance make jodha akbar a superhit movie and second highest grossing movie of 2008. Hrithik movie was release with amir khan mela and srk phir bhi dil hai hindustani, but both khans movies was a disaster and KNPH rules. Hrithik is No 1 actor, beyond khans even.

  • i think zNMD will not work good. But i really upset for my hrithik, he is a great dancer, superb actor, lovely voice and a hunk, or a complete package, but i dont know why his movies not works. Oh hrithik dont worry, future is yours. I love hrithik roshan sooooo much

Leave a Comment