Rustom vs Mohenjo Daro: Box Office Clash Analysis

A couple of weeks ago, Ashutosh Gowarikar’s Mohenjo Daro was one of the most awaited films of 2016. The trailer was expected to make a huge impact, giving the Hrithik Roshan starrer a big advantage in the box office clash against Akshay Kumar’s Rustom.

After all, on paper, Mohenjo Daro ticked almost every box. A talented and more established director. Bigger budget and scale. A bigger box office star, who does fewer films. The genre was also in Mohenjo Daro’s favour, after the success of ‘Baahubali’ and ‘Bajirao Mastani’.

But now that the trailers of both films are out, the tables have turned and the clash is now going to be much closer.

Rustom is leading at this point in time, because the costs are much lower and the trailer has managed to find appreciation – both with the audience and trade. This will result in Rustom getting higher number of screens than it previously would (not compared to Mohenjo Daro), it’s also likely to get a decent single-screen release. The film could also get equal number of shows at multiplexes, which will be a massive advantage.

As things stand today, Rustom has already won half the battle with a solid trailer. Mohenjo Daro will now rely on music to increase the buzz and post-release, the content to click big time.

The math is simple, to recover costs, both films combined have to collect more than Rs 230 crore at the box office. The ratio will be 65:35. Mohenjo Daro will not only have to take the lead against Rustom, it’ll have to nearly double its collections.

Interestingly, this isn’t the first time Ashutosh Gowariker is taking on a biggie. Exactly 15 years ago, Lagaan released with Gadar. Gowarikar lost the clash, but his film did well enough to recover costs and Lagaan went on to become only the 3rd Oscar nominated Indian film.

Rustom doesn’t even need to be a Gadar, not even close, but Mohenjo Daro will have to match or get close to the quality of Lagaan.

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207 Comments

  • Wow!!! Indicine, as expected from you, you are bashing Hrithik Roshan’s MD. Of course, I accept that Rustom trailer was good. But it doesn’t have anything new but regular thriller, which happens to come again and again.
    But MJD trailer, although it had some editing flaws, looks like grand and magnum opus. Films like that come once in a decade only.

  • Once the film is released, it will click huge at the BO, because it will have Hrithik, Ashutosh and content.
    Don’t judge the book by its cover.

  • hey indicine even at trailer of rustom i cmmnt tht which i m repeating
    history repeat it self ` 15 jan 2001 ashutosh lagaan (big budget well promoted and released with more prints ) versus GADAR(BIGGER BUDGET PRODUCE AND DISTRIBUTE BY ZEE AND RELEASE WITH LESSER PRINT THAN LAGAAN STILL PRINT DEMAND INCREASE AFTER 2 WEEKS)
    AFTER 15 YEARS
    Mohenjodaaro (directed by ashu bigger budget will get more prints screen ) versus RUSTOM(PRESENTED BY ZEE LESSOR BUDGET )

  • While Mohenjo Daro will earn around 180 Crores at the BO, Rustom should earn 80-90 Crores. This prediction looks like honest and more accurate.

  • Will watch both movie sure….
    I feel hurt when hrithik and akki fans fight with each other which make no sense…I’m die hard fan of akki as well as hrithik…
    Plz stop this fan war for god sake

  • Haha. .great indicine. ..can u please tell me…what so special about Rustom trailer. ….and talking about patriotic theme. .baby was more patriotic. …and how much it collected. ..I think..86 cr. ….With 26 Jan. ..national holiday. .solo release. …and we all know akki’s star so called star power

    …..so indicine plzz don’t spread negativity … come 12th august. ..We will see who the hell this trade and so called critics will say

    …or else I will leave your site. ……

    #Mohenja daro 12th august. ..

  • the funny thing the 100cr for Akki fans is the target here i mean even vivek has 100 cr film this is just for people who think 100cr is abig thing right now

    now to the battle iam hrithik fan and agree the gab between the two film before the trailer is huge but now the gab is close becuuse of 2 things

    first its clear the trailer : its not like Rustom trailer is better but its just give people what they expect but MD give people much less than what we expect and this is from aman who love the trailer but yes their is no wow factor this much be their for this kind of film

    secend : the clash give Akki film alot of hype because with solo releae no one we even care no so many people just want hrithik to fail because if MD turn to be agood hit then by by Sharukh knan in the top 3 and also other celeb or fan want MD to flop because if the film turn to be ahit then if only hrithik who can make these risky film work and thats aprobelm for baised people

    so no i agree MD team lose the first battle that should make abig hype so now its all bout the music and other promos to make the gab bigger if not then the film will need abig wom to collect 150cr because for me this film must do 150cr even with clash

    iam hrithik fan and after all this waiting anything less than 150cr will be disapointed

    so i really hope the team choose the righ promo to show it now and hope its just like Ashu films ordinary trailer but great films

  • First off all u can’t say hrithik is bigger than Akshay..on what basis are u saying this? Things have changed with airlift & Rustom. We all know real collection of 150 budget holiday movies bang bang & krish3.

  • Hey Hrithikians Common guys cheer up, Don’t loose hopes, we know that it deserved better response but its ok. I think its good to play like a underdog as compared to Champion, so trust me we will get through from this negativity around Mohenjo Daro.
    Hrithik will prove his metal and Mohenjo Daro will emerge as a Success which it deserves more bcz of Risk and Guts to do such film on this Concept.
    Cheer Up all Hrithikians.. We should celebrate Hrithik’s arrival after almost 2 yrs. #MohenjoDaro 12th Aug

  • people like @Nipun parody and @Ally have posted similar comments to mine! Guys, those are not my other accounts. lol

  • Watched Rustom Trailer.

    It’s A gripping,gritty,dark and tremendously beautiful trailer. Absolutely loved it and the cinematography looks beautiful… amazing acting from Akshay Kumar. Tbh, loved Akki’s dialogue delivery after a long time.

    Btw, I still believe Mohanjodaro Will have the upper hand do more business.

  • they funny thing is akhsay fans are happy to be in 100 cr club lolx b grade kumar not even close to hrithik who can go 300cr plus

  • Hrithik have only given big openers on national holidays. If Rustom would have been a commercial action movie like bang bang than it would done more than mohnjdro on opening day….!
    Akshay> Hrithik whether it’s fan following or boxoffice.

  • Indicine.. Try try.keep on trying…. Let’s face it.. MD will collect 125 crs minimum more than Rustom. Forget about music or whatever.. Was PK or 3 idiot music a determining factor? Pls next topic don’t be to anxious to post whatever you feel or socio media trends… Do you even think the likes for Rustom suggests Rustom will be their 1st choice? ? Just calm down.admin /dudes…..

  • @Ally yeah this is why baby & s26 didn’t open big ? so I am happy that the trailer of Rustom is not like s26…it’s more classy yet more cmmercial than both s26 nd baby .?

  • MOHENJO DARO , 500 Cr

    Because One name is enough for This huge numbers who is non other than HRITHIK ROSHAN

  • I’m a very from believer of “NOT TO JUDGE A BOOK BY ITS COVER” let’s wait for 12AUG

    There are many instances where a movie had a really good trailer but the movie was just avg & vice versa
    #WaitingForAUG12

  • Khiladi is rocking this year .
    Rustom trailer crossed 3 million views only on YouTube in 32 hours with 50K likes..
    100 millions ppl watched it on TV globaly thorough Z network.
    Bigger response than Mohandjdro trailer .

  • Good analysis indicine.

    Yes the trailer of Rustom has done its job,it was an intriguing trailer and due to clash there is much more interest in Rustom than any other Akki film in recent times.You can gauge the no. of comments on Rustom related articles or check the YouTube likes.This is the reason why producers wanted this independence day weekend,not only you get 2 holidays but also the much required buzz.

    But you are sounding as if Mjd is down and out.I don’t agree with this,Mjd still has a much more favourable genre which can work big time at mass centres too.AR Rahman’s music is yet to come.

  • When a comedian tries to prove that he is a versatile actor…then the result wil b so many under performers like baby,mumbai dobara,special 26 etc

  • I would love to watch MJD in theater and will wish and pray that it will perform well I am die hard fan of akshay kumar and love hrithik movies also so will watch it both and akkians n hrithik fan don’t fight n let’s promote movies. I give open challenge to tiger the real king both movie will do better collection than u r prediction if u have dare than accept the challenge or shut u r mouth.

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