First Day Collection Prediction of Bollywood Movies in 2015

Based on our interaction with those in the trade, reports from audience and our own expectations, we will be predicting the opening day collections of all films that will release in 2015.

  • First Day collections of Bollywood films will be predicted soon after the theatrical trailer (or long teaser) of a film is released.
  • Predictions could be¬†updated / changed everyday, based on the increase / decrease in buzz, response to songs, television campaign, effectiveness of marketing etc.
  • The final predictions for the opening day collections will be made a day before release – after which the collections will be compared to the actual first day collections of the film.
  • For films collecting less than 15 crore: 10-15% up or down will be considered to be ‘accurate prediction’
  • For films collecting more than 15 crore: 8-10% up or down will be considered to be ‘accurate prediction’
MoviePredictionOfficial
Tevar6.57.05 cr+ 8%
Alone43.50 cr- 12%
Hawaizaada1.250.6 cr- 52%
Khamoshiyan1.751.92 cr+ 9%
Baby8.59.30 cr+ 9%
Dolly Ki Doli1.61.75 cr+ 9%
Shamitabh4.03.5 cr- 12%
Roy8.510.4+ 22%
Badlapur6.57 cr+ 7%
Dum Laga Ke Haisha1.251.1- 12%
Ab Tak Chhappan 21.11.25+ 13%
NH102.753.35+ 22%
Detective Byomkesh Bakshy4.54.25- 5%
Ek Paheli Leela5.255.30+ 1%
Mr X4.24.5+ 7%
Margarita With A Straw0.20.23+ 1%
Gabbar Is Back1313.050%
Piku5.55.32- 3%
Bombay Velvet9.55.2- 45%
Tanu Weds Manu Returns7.058.85+ 25%
Welcome To Karachi1.51.50%
Dil Dhadakne Do9.510.53+ 11%
Hamari Adhuri Kahani5.755.04- 12%
ABCD 212.514.3+ 14%
Bajrangi Bhaijaan30.427.25- 10%
Drishyam5.255.3+ 1%
Bangistan2.51.1- 56%
Brothers15.515.2- 2%
All Is Well3.12.9- 6%
Manjhi1.41.40%
Phantom7.68.4611%
Welcome Back11.514.35+ 24%
Hero7.56.85- 8%
Katti Batti4.65.28- 14%
Calendar Girls1.51.50%
Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon4.510.15+ 125%
Singh Is Bling18.620.67+11%
Talvar3.33.0-9%
Jazbaa4.54.23-6%
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 23.36.80+ 103%
Shaandaar14.713.1-11%
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo43.641.75-4%
Tamasha11.710.877%
Hate Story 39.49.723%
Dilwale25.221- 16%
Bajirao Mastani11.512.8+ 11%
Advertisements

104 Comments

  • 1) Tevar will open 9cr.But as content looking bad.2nd day=7cr because it is not multiplex film.sunday=8cr.1st week=24cr.
    After 1st week=24cr. But as content is bad.Monday will be 3cr. After normal weekday drops.1st week will be 30cr.Then alone ,MSG will take screen and lifetime 33.5cr.
    2)As for baby, 1st day=6cr. Then it will grow because it is non-massy film.Saturday 8cr.Sunday=9cr.
    Baby weekend 23cr.
    It will not drop on monday as content is much stronger than tevar.so monday 12cr.after normal drop baby 1st week = 55cr.
    There are no big releases so baby trend well and reach 90cr which
    is good.
    Akshay kumar’s trademark collections are 55-60cr.But it will do 90cr.
    3)Roy has good buzz.But trailer has been rejected totally.But makers are making up for the bad content with some semi-decent songs. So 1st day 5cr.weekend=19cr.
    1st week=30cr.
    Lifetime=50cr which is flop for a big starcast film.
    Rest small releases will do 5cr lifetime.

  • My prediction,
    Baby: 11 crores
    Roy: 15 crores(chartbuster songs, Ranbir)
    Badlapur: 9 crores
    Alone: 5 crores
    Tevar: 6.5 crores
    Khamoshiyaan: 3 crores

  • As per my analysis i have prepared this
    1.tevar 1st day=9cr.weekend=23cr.lifetime=32-33cr.verdict=flop/disaster.
    2.Baby 1st day=6cr.weekend=23cr.republic holiday=12cr.1st week=55cr.lifetime=90cr.verdict=hit/above average.
    3.badlapur 1st day 8cr.weekend 22cr.lifetime=35cr.verdict=average.(considering half baked product as per trailer).
    4.All small release under 5cr some under 1cr.verdict=disaster.
    5.roy 1st day=5cr.weekend=16cr.1st week=30cr.lifetime=50cr.verdict=flop.

  • Tevar is the most highly promoted film only after HNY..Saw a full front page adv. of tevar on today’s TOI.
    They have promoted it really well.

    I think BABY can open around 11crs,Beparwah video song is coming feat. Esha Gupta soon.

  • Tevar will collect 50cr… Baby will collect 115 cr… Roy will collect 40cr… Shamitabh will collect 80cr… And badlapur will do 95cr… All of this Dhanush and akshay will rock…

  • @Anubhav neutral movie buff: Don’t underestimate Akki’s stardom that much..
    Special 26 collected 6crs 2yrs back even with clash with ABCD,without any promotion,popular songs,no action.
    Even Entertainment opened to 11crs with crap promos,sandwiched between KICK and Singham Returns.

  • I think tevar will be semi-hit.
    Still its opening day collection will be around 5-7 crore.
    First Weekend collection:24-28 crore
    Lifetime collection:40-50 crore
    Verdict:Hit/Semi-hit

  • Tevar 50cr lifetime and flop.Baby 100cr lifetime and superhit.Roy is in complete dual situation.As trailer is atmost poor , ranbir has backed off.But i am sure it is ranbir starrer.As it will be flop,ranbir will back-off.If it turns hit only due to songs, then ranbir will take centre-stage.
    Baby is helmed by neeraj pandey who has done wednesday,sp26.
    I am sure akshay kumar sir starrer baby will topple tevar and ranbir Starrer roy.

  • @MR ANUBHAV how on earth r u so sure that both tevar and roy will have bad content while baby will hv v gd content???

  • my question to everyone is that if a nice film like fanny which released in just 12000 screens can get 5.75cr opening then how can a masstevar get just 6.5cr

  • Roy doesn’t look interesting.It would be remembered as a movie which had great songs.Baby could open well with 1st day collections around 15-16 crores.But it would certainly pick up on Sunday and Monday.
    Hawaizaada needs to be promoted well since trailer was good and with decent songs and promotions it could collect around 30-40 crores in its lifetime

  • My predictions have been quite good so far. I predicted HNY as 220 cr+ and it collected 205.
    For PK, I predicted 320+ and it did that big.

    For Tevar, Lifetime – 65 to 85 depending on WOM.
    For Baby, Lifetime – 85 to 105 again depending on WOM

  • tevar- 5.5 cr

    baby-17 cr

    MSG- 20 lakhs

    sharafat gayi tel lene- 35 lakhs

    alone- 2.5cr

    crazy kukkad family- 80 lakhs

    dolly ki doli- 2.8 cr

    hawaizaada- 4.5cr

    shamitabh- 8cr

    khamoshiyan- 95 lakhs

    roy- 7.5 cr

    badalpur- 5cr

  • prediction only for BABY
    1st day = 13-15 cr
    2nd day = 13-15 cr
    3rd day = 16-18 cr
    1st weekend = 42-48 cr
    4th day = 15-17cr
    extended weekend = 57-65 cr
    5th day = 7-8 cr
    6th day = 6.5-7.5 cr
    7th day = 6-7 cr
    1st week = 76.5-87.5 cr
    2nd week = 30-35 cr
    3rd week = 10-15 cr
    rest week = 5-8cr
    total lifetime = 121.5-145.5 Cr
    Verdict- SUPERHIT
    BABY WILL ROCK

  • not looking forward to any of them….waiting for reviews.
    i’m waiting for most anticipated movies of 2015 bajrangi
    my list : bhaijan,furious 7,the avengers :)

  • @Babaji Ka Thullu don’t get me wrong.I am talking of current buzz scenario.Days are passing and makers are doing nothing to promote the film.Song will be released but that won’t help to plus the buzz.Tevar makers have been active on promotion since last 4 months.Arjun kapoor has been actively promoting it since 3 months whether its city tours,social media.Makers have added all the masala songs,salman tribute song to lure salman fans,Item songs , rap new year party song of famous imran khan who is popular in world.

  • arjun n sonakshi came to our office as well in HYD….they have been promoting a lot.

    but lol movie toh peetne wali hi hai.

  • @arjun kapoor fan its not view,its people view who watch tv youtube and all.Roy makers are promoting its music only and hiding badly received promos.Baby makers are promoting its content so it will be top notch.

  • @some buddha mukherjee

    Why dont you just get one of your TWO fake IDs (ROFL only 2 IDs per week most likely :-P ) to answer your stupid question instead of wasting everybodys time with your nonsence you chameleon….!

    You never know Mahesh Bhatt may surprise you and actually enlighten you what with his yrs of experience within the industry…! :-P

  • Although I’m akki fan but the truth is Baby will disappoint.Makers and akki are just sitting doing nothing.it is either they are two confident of the their product or they don’t want to increase the costs of the film by promoting it. All in lets wait, but iam one akki fan who is really disappointed by akki due to his lack of promotions regarding his films .they can do much better if he actually gives them time and space rant over.

  • @arjun kapoor fan
    u have asked me a question regarding ff 5cr opening n tevar opening.Answer is ticket price and deepika padukone.Ff is high-end multiplex film.One Ff ticket costs 250rs.delite ticket may cost 400rs.On the other hand,tevar is for mass.Mass films almost all are watched by single screen at lower price of 60rs to 100rs.

Leave a Comment