Mr X Hit or Flop: Box Office Predictions

Emraan Hashmi’s MR X releases in theatres tomorrow. The film marks the return of the actor to the ‘Bhatt camp’ after several back-to-back failures with films like ‘Ghanchakkar’, ‘Raja Natwarlal’ and ‘Ungli’.

More than his ‘serial kisser’ image, music has played a very important role in Emraan’s success. Unfortunately, the music of Mr X hasn’t gained popularity and the pre-release buzz has been low. The film is likely to rely on word-of-mouth publicity, as the advance booking too has received a lukewarm response.

It’s also hard to figure out which section of audience the makers have targeted with a film like Mr X. Kissing and love-making scenes (both of which have been highlighted in the promos) might keep the family audience away and the lack of it (along with not-so-popular music) might not encourage the masses at smaller centres to come out in big numbers.

We expect the film to collect Rs 4.2 crore on its opening day at the box office and then grow over the weekend, depending on how well the critics and audience receive the film.

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The landing cost of Mr X is on the higher side and the film has to collect more than 50 crore just to break-even. The other problem for Mr X is that ‘The Avengers: Age of Ultron’ releases in theatres next week, followed by Akshay Kumar’s ‘Gabbar Is Back’. So sustaining well at the box office, even if the word-of-mouth is good, will be a tough task. The only chance for the film to do well in the long run is if it carries extraordinary reports.

Mr X Box Office Predictions

IF VERY GOOD (excellent word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 5 cr
  • Day 2 – 6.5 cr
  • Day 3 – 7.5 cr (Sunday)
  • Weekend - 19 cr
  • Final – 55 crore

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Day 1 – 4.25 cr
  • Day 2 – 5 cr
  • Day 3 – 6 cr (Sunday)
  • Weekend – 15.25 cr
  • Final – 30 crore

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Day 1 – 4 cr
  • Day 2 – 4.25 cr
  • Day 3 – 5 cr (Sunday)
  • Weekend – 13.25 cr
  • Final – 20 crore

Below we have attached the table of #IndicineFBO where we predict the opening day box office collections of a film, based on trade expectations and reports. So far, we have accurately predicted the collections of 11 movies – out of 14 movies that have released in 2015.

MoviePredictionOfficial
Tevar6.57.05 cr+ 8%
Alone43.50 cr- 12%
Hawaizaada1.250.6 cr- 52%
Khamoshiyan1.751.92 cr+ 9%
Baby8.59.30 cr+ 9%
Dolly Ki Doli1.61.75 cr+ 9%
Shamitabh4.03.5 cr- 12%
Roy8.510.4+ 22%
Badlapur6.57 cr+ 7%
Dum Laga Ke Haisha1.251.1- 12%
Ab Tak Chhappan 21.11.25+ 13%
NH102.753.35+ 22%
Detective Byomkesh Bakshy4.54.25- 5%
Ek Paheli Leela5.255.30+ 1%
Mr X4.24.5+ 7%
Margarita With A Straw0.20.23+ 1%
Gabbar Is Back1313.050%
Piku5.55.32- 3%
Bombay Velvet9.55.2- 45%
Tanu Weds Manu Returns7.058.85+ 25%
Welcome To Karachi1.51.50%
Dil Dhadakne Do9.510.53+ 11%
Hamari Adhuri Kahani5.755.04- 12%
ABCD 212.514.3+ 14%
Bajrangi Bhaijaan30.427.25- 10%
Drishyam5.255.3+ 1%
Bangistan2.51.1- 56%
Brothers15.515.2- 2%
All Is Well3.12.9- 6%
Manjhi1.41.40%
Phantom7.68.4611%
Welcome Back11.514.35+ 24%
Hero7.56.85- 8%
Katti Batti4.65.28- 14%
Calendar Girls1.51.50%
Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon4.510.15+ 125%
Singh Is Bling18.620.67+11%
Talvar3.33.0-9%
Jazbaa4.54.23-6%
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 23.36.80+ 103%
Shaandaar14.713.1-11%
Prem Ratan Dhan Payo43.641.75-4%
Tamasha11.710.877%
Hate Story 39.49.723%
Dilwale25.221- 16%
Bajirao Mastani11.512.8+ 11%
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