As part of #IndicineLBO, where we predict the lifetime collections of Bollywood films, here’s our final prediction of Salman Khan’s Bajrangi Bhaijaan.
Reasons why we feel the film could topple the record of Dhoom 3 and have a chance at becoming only the second film to cross the 300 crore mark
- Extraordinary word-of-mouth: Bajrangi Bhaijaan has received universal acclaim and the response is probably better than Salman’s 2010 film Dabangg. Vast majority of people who have watched the film have liked it. In short, Bajrangi Bhaijaan has everything in its favour to become one of the biggest grossers of all time.
- Two open weeks: Bajrangi Bhaijaan has two open weeks at the box office, after which Ajay Devgn’s Drishyam is scheduled to hit screens. Assuming that the film collects around 170-175 crore in Week 1 and the drop in the second week is around 60-65% (due to the WOM), the Kabir Khan film should collect somewhere around 235-240 crore before ‘Drishyam’.
Reasons why we feel the PK record is out of reach
- Holidays: Along with extra-ordinary word-of-mouth, PK also benefitted from plenty of holidays in its second week. 7th day was a national holiday for Christmas and quite a few schools, colleges, companies remain shut during the days leading to New Year. That’s exactly why Christmas has been the most lucrative period for film business in India in the last 4-5 years, along with the ‘trust’ that the audience have in Aamir Khan films.
- Controversy: All publicity is good publicity! News channels were discussing and dissecting PK right from the second day of its release. Free publicity, which also helped the box office collections of the film.
- Tax Free: Although late in its 2nd week, PK was declared tax free in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and West Bengal.
- Repeat value: Does Bajrangi Bhaijaan hold the same repeat value as PK? We are not quite sure. There is something about Rajkumar Hirani films, that they get better with repeat-viewing. The more you watch his films, the more you enjoy them.
Either way, stay tuned to Indicine for plenty of comparisons in the coming days. We will be comparing PK, Dhoom 3, Chennai Express, Krrish 3 and Kick with Bajrangi Bhaijaan.
IndicineLBO Predictions below
| Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr X | Negative | 24 cr | 24.9 cr | 0.03% | Accurate | |
| Gabbar Is Back | Positive | 89 cr | 85 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Piku | Positive | 75 cr | 79 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
| Bombay Velvet | Extremely Negative | 24 cr | 24 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
| Tanu Weds Manu | Extremely Positive | 86 cr | 151 cr | 75% | Inaccurate | |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | Mixed | 85 cr | 78 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | Mixed | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| ABCD 2 | Positive | 102 cr | 105 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | Extremely Positive | 285 cr | 320 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Bangistan | Extremely Negative | 8 cr | 6.2 cr | 22% | Inaccurate | |
| Drishyam | Positive | 66 cr | 73 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Brothers | Negative | 103 cr | 83 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
| All Is Well | Negative | 16 cr | 15 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Phantom | Mixed | 61 cr | 54 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Welcome Back | Mixed | 120 cr | 98 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Hero | Mixed | 38 cr | 34 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Katti Batti | Extremely Negative | 24 cr | 24 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
| Calendar Girls | Negative | 8 cr | 7.1 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karu | Positive | 57 cr | 50 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Talvar | Positive | 20 cr | 29 | 31% | Inaccurate | |
| Jazbaa | Mixed | 29 cr | 27 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | Positive | 35 cr | 61 cr | 42% | Inaccurate | |
| Shaandaar | Extremely Negative | 48 cr | 43 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | Mixed | 230 cr | 213 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
| Tamasha | Negative | 68 cr | 69 cr | 0% | Accurate | |
| Dilwale | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | ||
| Bajirao Mastani | 168 cr | 187 cr | 10% | Accurate | ||
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@legend
Take it easy n spot the chameleonism at play here.
The 2 Tiger IDs arent spelt the same- look closely n focus in on the use of the hyphen (-) after the first word TIGER
@kSHITij
I wont wish you to get lost coz I believe in that iconic CON dialogue of Sarook sorry its the Godfather dialogue of Michael Corleone:- “keep your friends close but keep your enemies closer”
I want you in my sight where I can watch your next act of chameleonism closely…!
@indicine If I remember correctly u also predicted that singham return would collect 24-25cr that too when the film was releasing on independence day …..but in the end ur prediction got wrong nd it took 32.5cr opening at the bottom..my sincere request to u is plz don’t underestimate brothers
bajrangi bhaijaan – 327cr boxoffice india only
I was observing for a long period that SRK fans take similar names of salamir Fans and try to start devision between Amir Fans & Salman Fans. So inseure SRK fans.
Salamir Fans please be careful about it. You need to stand united inspite of all these types of efforts.