Jab Harry Met Sejal: Lifetime Box Office Prediction Update

Note: The final IndicineLBO Prediction will be published tomorrow, this is just a quick update on what number to except from the lifetime business of Shah Rukh Khan’s Jab Harry Met Sejal.

It was one of the biggest releases of the year, a film that was expected to bring the best out of Shah Rukh Khan and more importantly the director, Imtiaz Ali, who has directed films like Socha Na Tha and Jab We Met.

But right from the moment the first ‘mini trail’ was out, the interest in the film dipped and the survey we did during the ‘Tubelight’ weekend, made it pretty clear that the normal audience (not including fans) simply weren’t interested in SRK’s latest offering.

Yet, we expected the film to collect around 17-18 crore on its opening day at the box office. That was the ‘IndicineFBO’ average range, for which we were criticised and mocked from those who were certain that the film would open above 20/25 crore.

The decision to stick to the 16-17 crore range came when the response to the advance booking was dismal outside the main cities. The final prediction was supposed to be 16.5 crore, but we decided to go with 17 crore. A case of pressure from fans affecting our prediction accuracy, because lower prediction and higher collection would mean extreme criticism.

Coming to the lifetime box office collections of the film, the reports vary from negative to extremely negative. There’s a drop of 15-20% on Saturday from Friday (until 3PM) and even though business is expected to pick up in the evening and peak at night, the film would need nothing less than a miraculous turnaround to show the kind of big growth it needs on Saturday and Sunday – after a poor start on Friday.

We are currently expecting the film to wrap with lifetime collections of around 75 crore. The level of collections in the next three days will decide if it goes above that number or does the unthinkable and falls below. We should be able to get a more accurate figure looking at the Saturday number.

Stay tuned for the final ‘IndicineLBO’ box office prediction tomorrow.

MovieDateLBOActual
BaadshahoSep 173 crore-
Shubh Mangal SaavdhanSep 128 crore-
DaddySep 88 crore-
KaalakaandiSep 812 crore-
SimranSep 1510 crore-
HaseenaSep 1511 crore-
Lucknow CentralSep 1513 crore-
BhoomiSep 2220 crore-
Judwaa 2Sep 29125 crore-
A GentlemanAug 2520 crore-
Secret SuperstarDiwali60 crore-
Golmaal AgainDiwali200 crore-
IttefaqNov 325 crore-
PadmavatiNov 17180 crore-
Tiger Zinda HaiChristmas275 crore-
Ok JaanuJan 1326 crore20 crore
Jolly LLB 2Feb 10112 crore116 crore
RangoonFeb 2423 crore20 crore
Commando 2 Mar 0325 crore23 crore
Badrinath Ki DulhaniaMar 10115 crore118 crore
PhillauriMar 2428 crore27 crore
Naam ShabanaMar 3130 crore35 crore
Begum JaanApr 1422 crore18 crore
NoorApr 2110 crore8 crore
Sarkar 3May 1216 crore12 crore
Meri Pyaari BinduMay 1218 crore13 crore
Half GirlfriendMay 1960 crore58 crore
RaabtaJune 920 crore21 crore
TubelightEid146 crore125 crore
MomJuly 744 crore37 crore
Jagga JasoosJuly 1457 crore55 crore
Munna MichaelJuly 2133 crore35 crore
Jab Harry Met SejalAug 467 crore63 crore
MubarakanJuly 2845 crore57 crore
Toilet Ek Prem KathaAug 11120 crore130 crore
Bareilly Ki BarfiAug 1824 crore29 crore

 

 

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132 Comments

  • Diehard srk fan but looking at the movie srk making i am too much disapointed after the movie MNIK all srk movie’s was crap (CE and Raees)was bit ok type.Salman did movie like dabang sutlan BB and even he try something different in TL.Amir is King of content and BO today.Apart from seeing srk in big screen nothing is good in movie movie is totally crap.Diehard Srk fan hu but kadvi baat bolunga this is end of Srk now.

  • only 6 days for TEPK going to be huge hit and akki will prove that he is the savior of bollywood these days

  • I only one watch one hindi mv per year i.e. srks.Exception is dangal.A die hard fan since childhood….but if a movie does not perform u cant judge his stardom..mummy was flop so u will say tom cruise is a flop star??.Being said that it does not gv right to srk to whatevr script he chooses and expect his fans to be always thr wth him.Hats off to amir for choosing nice scripts..hightime srk leave the experiments…ur acting is damn good in fan nd raees..bt again script/story ruined it..so if script is nt good..no str power can save it..its the new trend nw..With a sad heart need to watch JHMS at 7 now..:(..hoping ALR mv would be good..!!

  • Srk JALDI karo JALDI Isse pehle ki jhms 50 crores par dam tod de ..JALDI se anushka ko apni poti nahi to kam se kam apni beti maan lo ..JALDI karo use ashirwaad de do..JALDI. ..dekha phir jhms blockbuster ho jayegi..

  • life has up and down and yes it is bad time for SRK fans but we hopeful that one day our global king will back
    so may best srk friends stay with king and never lost hope in life because every thing is possible in life such example is salman career.

  • Srkay shud do low budget movies like lipstick under burkha
    his strong fan base wil easily allow the movie to cross 50cr mark
    budget-20
    liftime-70
    verdict-blockbstr

  • Salman.fan the biggest thing that jhms don’t have is Eid which tubelight had other wise the collections of tubelight would have been 95-100 CR only

  • 75 CR will be less than Fan, ZNMD, Taalash and Raajneeti . You are expecting it to crash badly . The last 3 months have been difficult to explain because they have been horrible . SRK’s stardom is decreasing day by day .

  • Wow!!! 75 crores what great news from IndicineLBO…… SRK is nothing but piece crap who that doesn’t give shit about his fan let’s see what will he have to say about this movie… but we all know red chilies calculator will end showing avg movie I was to see that baby srk drg his movie to avg….

  • 1st day collection of Srk recent releases:
    Dilwale: 20cr (with Multistar Cast + Masala Movie + Top 2nd lead actor Varun he alone give 12-14cr opening + Action + chartbuster songs + huge promotion + High Ticket Price + Corporate Booking + Exotic Locations + Before Christmas Period……Now you guys can guess what’s the actual star value of Srk)

    FAN: 19cr with Partial Holiday and Corporate Booking + solo release (without holiday factor 15-16cr and if take out corporate booking factor then you guys can guess)

    Raees: 19.5cr (Masala Movie + Action + Top Supporting Cast Nawaz + Iteam Song + High Ticket Price + Again Corporate Booking)

    JHMS: 15.5cr (Top Heroin + Srk’s strong zone + Good Trailer accepted by trade and audience + Good Songs + All Time High Average Ticket Price even more than Bahuballi 2 + Bulk Corporate Booking + Huge Promotion)

    Now you guys can imagine what’s the actual star power of Srk……not now, not only in this movie but from last 4-5 movies (not included Dear Dadaji) he is giving below average opening……

    Tubelight had nothing in its favor but still 21cr opening only because of Salman Khan……Not saying its good but much better then others….That’s called the Star Power……

    • There is no debate now – it is an established fact Salman is a bigger star…The collections of Tamasha and JHMS will be same – both movies were trashed by critics and had same director. Srk although a bigger star could not manage higher collections than Tamasha and will end up with same collections – 70-75 crores…

  • 75 cr to akshay ki movie bhi ni gyi 3 sal mai phr bolte hai sharukh top superstar hai fuck off akshay kumar is best

  • I don’t think Srk has 2nd biggest fan following after Salman, because if you take out those Corporate Booking collection which is 3-4cr then the actual collection is 11-12cr, even Akki, Varun, Ranveer movie collect in the same range…..LOL

  • Watched it today Not so impressed by the movie It was below expectations Second half was not good and specially the climax
    My rating 2.5/5
    I went for 12:30 show and theater was empty There was just 20% occupancy in the show It will flop

  • Now I am looking forward to 7 films
    1/ tepk 110cr
    2/ bareilly ki barfi 40cr
    3/ A gentleman 80cr
    4/ baadshaho 85cr
    5/ judwaa 2 105cr
    6/ secret superstar (I liked the teaser more & feel teaser should have been backed with promos) 91cr
    7/ biggest Tiger Zinda Hai 330cr minimum expecting wom like sultan.
    Sultan with gap of 20 months inflation adjusted will 330cr with double holidays(25dec to 2 Jan) than eid.

  • Only crowd puller is Salman sir now what will do sk haters or srk sir fans calling their attitude local star of world srk sir too much fun.Even Jai ho is ahead of jhms forget tl film

  • He totally deserves a Disaster after continuously dissapointing us his fans , please someone tell him on his twitter that he can look 25 all he wants but we the public and his fans go to watch his movies keeping his real age in mind and expecting some cinematic experience fitting it. If he can’t and won’t mend his ways , he should just stop acting and be the full blown business man or speech giver he’s so good at. Seeing as he is so business smart.

    So SRK just leave the industry while you still can save face cause we don’t wanna see the day where you struggle to cross 50 cr while your two others rivals are churning 200,300….500cr B.O collection and I fear that day is coming soon with this attitude of yours of just choosing directors over scripts

  • 75 crores for a rom com and JJ did 55 crores…dont tell me rom coms are more niche than movies like JJ ? This is officially end of Srk if his movies do so less…remember even Tamasha 2 years back did 65 crores

  • Tamasha did close to 70…after adding 2 years inflation and ticket prices all we get is collections less than ranbir movie…haha…too much fun

  • Somebody call Priyanka , this guy is now in senior age crisis and seeing as his wife won’t do nothing might as well call his ex to knock some sense into him. So smart, so witty , so well read yet so foolish in script choice…..I don’t even understand how??

    Somebody help please

    • Priyanka has left him for Hollywood and she is rocking it. I guess it’s late now. Serious mid-life crisis. Kjo please help!

  • Now tepk will be a solo type release and will get full advantage of extended weekend so
    tepk lifetime>130 cr

  • Really the film hasn’t worked and songs were though average, but failing to make a connect with the storyline and seems long and boring. The film did picked up in the end but that’s not what make it call even a good film. A srk fan but this really hasn’t worked out to be correct.

    Some stories look good only on script and this film is of that kind.

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