Jab Harry Met Sejal Box Office Prediction

Shah Rukh Khan returns to the silver screen for the second time this year with Imtiaz Ali’s ‘Jab Harry Met Sejal’. The hype and euphoria that we usually associate with a Shah Rukh Khan film, which was at its peak with ‘Raees’ earlier this year, seems to be missing this time around.

The response to the advance booking is decent at main cities, but poor elsewhere (by SRK standards). While ‘Bahubali 2: The Conclusion’ is in a different league altogether, ‘Raees’ takes the second spot, followed by ‘Tubelight’. But even compared to a film like ‘Tubelight’, the advance of ‘Jab Harry Met Sejal’ (as of 6PM on Thursday) is much lower barring a couple of cities.

Factors in favour of Jab Harry Met Sejal:

  • Shah Rukh Khan: He remains one of the biggest crowd pullers in the industry, but his stardom will be tested with a film like ‘Jab Harry Met Sejal’. His fanbase extends to every nook and corner of the country, but urban rom-coms like ‘JHMS’ will restrict his pull at tier-2 and tier-3 cities. Yet, SRK will remain the single biggest reason why the audience would want to watch the film this weekend.
  • Anushka Sharma: One of the most popular actresses in the industry today, Anushka’s presence will add tremendous value to ‘Jab Harry Met Sejal’. Her presence in the promos has found appreciation too.
  • Music: The songs have worked, there’s no outright chartbuster but songs have grown on the audience.

Factors against Jab Harry Met Sejal:

  • Promos: When we did the theatre survey towards the end of June, the promos of ‘JHMS’ had received a poor response. The trailer was better received, but it came too late. It’s crucial for films to get their main-trailer right and then make sure it reaches the target audience by screening it in theatres. That’s probably the best and most effective form of promotion. Unfortunately, footfalls in theatres post the release of ‘JHMS’ trailer has been dismal.
  • Imtiaz Ali: The director has his following, but even some of his good films only cater to a small section of the audience. When the budget is high and the lead star is someone like a SRK who commands a pan-India following, his treatment becomes a negative.
  • Release period: ‘JHMS’ has one week to perform before it loses out on screens to ‘Toilet: Ek Prem Katha’. So it either has to get a big initial and cover costs within the first week or carry excellent word-of-mouth to survive beyond the first weekend.

There are other factors like the phase that the industry is going through at the moment. After the ‘Bahubali 2’ madness in April / May, barring ‘Tubelight’ and ‘Half Girlfriend’, no film has even managed a face-saving opening at the box office.

IndicineFBO: Predicting films has become increasing difficult in recent times, what with our accuracy levels dropping quite considerably in the last 3 months compared to the first 2.5 years of IndicineFBO predictions. The Day 1 collections are falling in the range that can be termed as ‘shocking’ and we hope that isn’t the case with ‘JHMS’.

We are going with a prediction of Rs 17 crore for the opening day of ‘Jab Harry Met Sejal’.

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep


  • yet another film will suffer on day 1 bcz of poor promos.. trailer was solid bt released way too late

    • Trailer wasn’t solid. It looked like just any other Imtiaz Ali film. A guy has no clue of life, meets a care-free girl with bubbly attitude. Falls in love. Confused, and later they both realise they’re actually in love. The End.

  • World’s biggest superstar + iconic director + chart buster music and above all World’s biggest superstar in his best avatar (i.e romantic)… Opening day collections will be record breaking for sure… 35+cr likh ke lo..

  • I’ll just hope it collects far more than that.
    Always huge expectations from SRK.

  • Indicine is a blind hater… How can one predict only 17cr opening day for a movie starring by world’s biggest superstar (having 3.7 billion fans)???

  • Hope its a success…othereise even dwarf film will be in risk…actually I think everyone should follow akki..doing small medium budget films…except aamir hardly anyone can keep their standard so high…

    • Salman Khan’s standard is higher. Tubelight was a badly made film. Let’s see how much Aamir Khan cashes in with Secret Superstar.

      • lol Secret Superstar is not a full Aamir Khan film…Thugs will tell you how much Aamir khan can cash in…Aamir is way way big then all others put together

  • I am also expecting 17-18 cr. Not good enough for SRK but I will be happy with this start considering the poor response of neutral audience towards this movie. I will be happier if I am proven wrong.

  • First day – 23 -24 crores
    Weekend – 75 – 80 crores
    First week – 130 – 135 crores
    Lifetime – 200 – 205 crores
    Result – Blockbuster
    Raees king SRK haazir hai

  • Hope it scores well at least on opening day and week-end. Rest will depend on content. Even as a die hard SRK fan and as a big fan of Imtiaz Ali films I must say I’m not as excited as I hoped. SRK’s next with Aanand L. Rai could finally be the big blockbuster we’ve been awaiting since CE.

  • Indicine ji idhar aap galat ho . Aapne TEPK ka buzz sirf 5 likha hai aur JHMS ka sirf 6. Itna to new heroes ki movies ka bhi nahi hota. According to me Buzz of :-
    JHMS = 8 (Opening – 18.5cr)
    TEPK = 8 (Opening – 16cr)

  • @ tiger, abe idiot we are not stupid like you and do unrealistic prediction.how many times Salman films collected 30+ crore on working day ?

    • BB – 27 crs in Ramadan… Normal working day 30+
      Kick – 27 crs in Ramadan again same..
      Sultan – Just Partial Holiday 36 crs…
      ETT – 32 crs Holiday but during ramadan
      But But your actors Highest opener is CE 32 crs on the biggest day (or 2nd) of year….

  • Salman fans will be more worried than SRK fans.
    Even if it flops, it will be SRK’s 20th flop only. Plus it’s gonna flop on non-holiday not solo EID

    • Aadav, Salman Khan has done 14-15 films more than Srk. And these films are equal to 4 years experience More than Srk. Naturally if anyone does more films, he has more chance to deliver a flop. Besides, Salman Khan has done 10 films with his brothers. And Salman Khan is a family man. So, we Salman Khan fans, understand the high no of flops. Definitely, fans of other stars will criticise us. We have no shame to accept that. And we are proud of Salman Khan delivering 15 blockbusters with tiger zinda hai.

    • @Aadav you’re so insecure like srk that you could assume that its gonna flop coz deep inside you know that its gonna be flop.

  • I think indicine u r way too negative about jhms. ….it will open close to 20 crores and then will finish with the lifetime of around 90 crores. ..so don’t spread negativity indicine. ..this one is definitely looking a solid film. .it will watch first day first show….on TV. ..A huge srk fan.

  • Reviews from UAE is coming and everyone saying movie is masterpiece. 4/5 stars from everyone. Movie has too much inside to surprise audience. SRK rocks this time.

  • @TIGER the real king
    JHMS on 3200screens=17cr opening i+WORST PHASE OF SRK
    Tubelight=20cr opening on solo release and 4500screens+BESTEST PHASE OF MEGASTAR BHAI

    Don’t give excuse of pre-eid, because K3G was also pre-eid.

    SRK’s worst phase opening better than Megastar Bhai’s BESTEST phase opening

    • Salman Khan best phase v Srk best phase:
      Kabhi kushi kabhi gum with hrithik, kajol, kareena, big b, aditya chopra as the director in eid release: less than 60cr, adjusted inflation today is 288cr. Footfalls 3.11cr.
      And Sultan is 300cr(both by trade/boi as well as producers), footfalls 3.23cr.

  • This is a very important film for SRK and for the industry . Most of SRK’S films in this decade have been underperformers except CE . The promotional strategy of JHMS has been absolutely terrible . But now the focus will be on Content . In this department SRK has failed big time in this decade . If JHMS gets a solid opening it will still need a solid hold on weekdays because now almost all the films are crashing on Monday . Anything above 20 CR+ will be a bumper start for JHMS as per my observation . SRK fans will be happy to see below par opening but massive growth over the weekend . Cheers !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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