FAN IndicineLBO Lifetime Box Office Prediction

FAN was the major release this weekend and the biggest release of year so far. Trade expectations weren’t too high this time around for the Shah Rukh Khan starrer, because FAN was a niche songless thriller. The film was expected to do business in the range of Rs 140 – 150 crore.

FAN opened well at the box office on Friday and critics too gave the film a thumbs up, calling it one of SRK’s best films in a long time. But exhibitors (theatre owners) had a different story to tell. At single-screens, the film took a start but couldn’t sustain. At multiplexes, it was expected to show phenomenal growth on Saturday, that did not happen either. Sunday too, the big jump hasn’t come.

The end result is, the film has found appreciation only with die-hard fans of the superstar. The neutral audience has instead opted to watch ‘The Jungle Book’,  which is now matching the collections of FAN at quite a few multiplexes on Sunday.

Coming to the main point of the article, we expect FAN to collect somewhere around Rs 95 crore at the box office. Like Dilwale last year, FAN is a difficult prediction to make too, because the film could still sustain well on Monday and go on to be a decent grosser. But the trend over the weekend doesn’t seem to suggest the film will cross the 100 crore mark. If we don’t get it right, it’ll only be our second incorrect prediction of the year after Fitoor.

Detailed table below.

MovieWord of MouthPredictionActual
Collection
DifferenceResult
DilwaleMixed145 cr148 cr2%Accurate
Bajirao MastaniExtremely Positive168 cr187 cr12%Accurate
WazirMixed35 cr40 cr14%Accurate
AirliftPositive143 cr127 cr11%Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3Negative34 cr31 cr8%Accurate
MastizaadeMixed29 cr32 cr10%Accurate
Saala KhadoosNegative16 cr14 cr12%Accurate
Ghayal Once AgainMixed39 cr36 cr*8%Accurate
Sanam ReMixed28 cr29 cr3%Accurate
FitoorExtremely Negative23 cr19 cr17%Inaccurate
NeerjaPositive70 cr74 cr6%Accurate
Teraa SurroorNegative12 cr13 cr8%Accurate
Rocky HandsomeNegative26 cr25 cr4%Accurate
Jai GangaajalNegative33 cr32 cr3%Accurate
Kapoor & SonsPositive66 cr72 cr9%Accurate
Ki And KaPositive54 cr53 cr2%Accurate
FanNegative95 cr84 cr11%Accurate
BaaghiPositive84 cr75 cr11%Accurate
AzharNegative35 cr33 cr5%Accurate
SarabjitMixed26 cr28 cr7%Accurate
Housefull 3Mixed105 cr107 cr2%Accurate
Udta PunjabMixed72 cr59 cr18%Inaccurate
SultanPositive305 cr302 cr1%Accurate
DishoomMixed62 cr69 cr11%Accurate
Mohenjo DaroNegative54 cr59 cr9%Accurate
RustomPositive102 cr126 cr23%Inaccurate
Happy Bhag JayegiMixed21 cr26 cr24%Inaccurate
A Flying JattNegative33 cr37 cr12%Accurate
AkiraMixed27 cr28 cr3%Accurate
Baar Baar DekhoNegative38 cr31 cr18%Inaccurate
Raaz RebootNegative28 cr27 cr3%Accurate
PinkPositive54 cr65 cr20%Inaccurate
M S Dhoni biopicMixed138 cr133 cr4%Accurate
MirzyaNegative9 cr10 cr11%Accurate
ShivaayMixed95 cr96 cr1%Accurate
Ae Dil Hai MushkilMixed102 cr111 cr9%Accurate
Rock On 2Negative13 cr10 cr23%Inaccurate
Force 2Mixed35 cr34 cr3%Accurate
Dear ZindagiPositive65 cr66 cr1%Accurate
BefikreNegative58 cr60 cr3%Accurate
DangalPending315 cr---
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168 Comments

  • @ hrithik at 10:24 pm : There will always be some emotional fans who will go overboard with their predictions. But movies flop only because most audience dont like them and not because of those overboard predictions. Majority of SRK fans including Challa, xZone, etc had reasonable expectations from this movie. Even in PRDPs case some Salman fans had chanted 350 and 300 cr so u think it didnt work coz of those expectations. I dont think so it underperformed mainly because of its content. I do not support fans with exaggerated predictions and dislike it myself and have discouraged it myself but that cant be a reason for movies flopping.

    Yes SRKs choice wasnt good in recent times like HNY and Dilwale which is a reason for his underperformance as a superstar. As far as Fan is concerned I am sure SRK did it coz he wanted to do something creative and different. He himself called the movie niche in an interview and said not to expect it to be a big hit. There are some movies which an actor does for the artist in himself knowing that it will be risky at box office like SRK did with Paheli, Swadesh and now in Fan. Unfortunately all underperformed but I wouldnt want him to stop taking those risks and continue playing safe and when he will do something different it can fail too.

  • @fasal matar u r a complete fool calling
    Chennai express and ouatimd a clash was it ????
    One movie got a full fledged eid release with 3700 screens and the other merely got 1600 screens …!!!! Whom are you fooling
    Ouatimd released one week after CE can we call it a clash ..??? Can we???

  • @fasal kerla
    And at the same time

    Xmas 2006 – Bhagam Bhag – Superhit
    Eid 2007 – Bhool Bulaiyaa – Superhit
    Xmas 2007 – Welcome – All time blockbuster

    Many of Akshay’s super hits are non-holiday releases and some have even passed out very well even during ipl seasons(Housefull and Housefull 2, Gabbar) or world cup season(Namastey London). No big star has released his films during a cricket season till now.

  • Wowow…that means SRK’s non-holiday FAN (3600 Screens) will just about pass Hrithik’s non-holiday 2011 movie ZNMD (90cr India nett, 1800 screens, half screens of FAN) by around 5 cr if Indicine LBO is right…

    Now coming back to FAN, die hard SRK fans can keep on making noise about the acting of SRK and the quality of the movie and blah blah….but the truth of the matter is general public has discarded the movie and it is a fact. if the movie was so special as the SRK fans are claiming it is…then the general public would have made FAN a big hit IRRESPECTIVE OF IPL, JUNGLEBOOK & NORMAL WEEKEND RELEASE. Airlift and Neerja are there as case studies.

    Now everyone is blaming IPL, Junglebook and normal weekend release as the reason for the debacle…!! Really SRK fans…?? You guys think these factors can affect a movie that has an actor like SRK in the lead and released in 3600 screens?

    So why Jungle Book is not affected by IPL and FAN? Coz it found universal appreciation across the country whereas FAN only found appreciation among die hard SRK fans and paid critics.

  • In 2000 screens and with 30 cr budjet airlift collected 129 cr if fan collects 95 in 3500 screens with 105 cr budjet thet it is disaster.

  • @fasal kerla
    Listen, JOKER WAS NEVER PROMOTED by Akshay Kumar or did sonakshi coz Akki was cheated by sirish kunder, the film had shaped out in a complete different way as Sirish promised him to be. Joker was Akki-Sona’s first film, not rowdy Rathore. Joker shud have released in 2011 only but due to non-promotions, it was held for a very long. After Rowdy Rathore mega success, the makers just released it away but it was never promoted, so no one cared about it when it came.

    Still opening was 4 Cr and lifetime 21 Cr

    Way better than Ajay devgn’s TEZZ which had also released in the same year. Tezz with a multi-starcast and good promotions had opening of just 3 Cr and lifetime of 15 Cr.

    No one cares about ajay’s worst film whereas everyone remembers Akshay’s worst film even today.

  • @ fasal kerla

    Veer Zaara vs Aitraaz
    Aitraaz didn’t flop. It was a film for a set of restricted audience and at that time Akki was just a star not any bigstar. So the collections of Aitraaz of are totally fair. Even a solo release wud have not made any big difference.

    There are some clashes that Akki won too:

    Garam Masala vs Salman khan’s Kyon Ki – It’s Fate

    Welcome vs Taare Zameen Par

  • I feel there are many gr8 actors than srk…watch ajay sir in legend of bhagat singh…zakhm….deewangee…once upon a time in mumbai….singham…hum dil De chuke sanam n many more movies…Ajay sir is versatile actor… 2times national award winner

  • Being Akki fan I wish the film ‘ll cross 100 cr & get hit status. I really enjoyed acting of Srk as Gaurav & as well as Aryan. but as everyone points out about the 2nd half so I don’t want to repeat once again..we don’t want films like HNY CE Dilwale etc etc… but films like Fan ‘ll be remembered for years just for srk’s acting

  • Till now Airlift…Jungle book and neerja are best movies…I dont know how all srk movies will get 4ratings…

  • SRK’s goodwill has over the last few years have taken a huge knocking … give a stupid movie and claim so, there will be people lapping it up but illogical and incongruous screenplays in supposedly intelligent movies from so called ntelligent directors wont ever go down well with public …. u call yourself intelligent and claim to be giving a class and elite movie for the intelligentsia than do so … dont commit the harakiri like u did in Fan’s 2nd half …. u rub the people the wrong way and they will give u a resounding slap on your face like they have given to SRK and FAN

  • One of the finest movies of SRK i watch after a long time
    last i watched chak de india

  • @fasal:
    Acc to your logic…
    Vivek oberoy’s biggest non holiday grosser- 105cr (grand masti).

    Global king’s biggest non holiday grosser- 69cr (mink).

    Hence, vivek oberoy>>>>>global king..

    Hahahaha.

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