Ek Tha Tiger HIT or FLOP: Box Office Prediction

With less than 4 days to go for release, the excitement for Ek Tha Tiger is building up. All eyes are on the box-office though, as the film made on a budget of Rs 75 crores – costliest film ever produced by Yashraj Films – is expected to shatter opening day, weekend and first week records. Read more on the records that the film chases.

As expected for a solo-festive-release, featuring two of the biggest stars in the industry, Ek Tha Tiger will have the widest release ever. The film is expected to release on about 4000 screens worldwide (around 3400 in India).

Time for the HIT or Flop box office predictions then. Read on..

Opening Day: Ek Tha Tiger is almost certain to go past the opening day collections of Agneepath, as the hike in ticket prices and increase in number of screens should help a great deal. The jump from Dabangg (2010) to Bodyguard (2011) was 40%. If ETT manages the same, first day should be 29 crores. So, irrespective of how the response is, we expect Day 1 of ETT to be somewhere between 25-29 crores.

Note: In the predictions below, weekend is the first 5 days (Wed – Sunday). And weekday figures include the holiday on Monday for EID.

IF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Bol Bachchan

  • Weekend – 100 crores
  • Weekdays – 45 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 145 crores
  • Final – 200 crores+ (Blockbuster HIT)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend – 90 crores
  • Weekdays – 35 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 125 crores
  • Final – 160 crores (Superhit)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend – 75 crores
  • Weekdays – 25 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 100 crores
  • Final – 120 crore (Above-average)

In short, if the content is good, Ek Tha Tiger should beat the 200 crore record of 3 Idiots. If the response is mixed (most likely for such a big release), it should comfortably beat the lifetime collections of Bodyguard and Dabangg (the second and third biggest grossers respectively).

In the worst case scenario, it should trend similar to Ra One during Diwali last year and attain Above average / HIT status even if it’s rejected.

What do you think? Tell us in the comments section below.

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111 Comments

  • Mark my words…
    1) Ek Tha Tiger :- 200-225cr in india.. All Time blockbuster fo sure.
    2) Taalash:- 150-170cr if content is good..
    3) Srk next with YRF:- 125-140cr if content is good.
    4) Dabangg2:- 160-180cr… it will b second biggest blockbuster of this year after Ek Tha Tiger.
    so, this year also SALMAN will rule the box office.. 100% sure..

  • 1st day 29cr………..
    .
    2nd day 27cr………….
    .
    3rd day 25cr……………..
    .
    4th day 24cr…………………
    .
    5th day 30cr……………………..

    Total Weekend 135cr

  • @indicine- some interesting questions were asked to you regarding ra.one n don2 but you failed to answer… i guess your silence speaks it all

  • ek tha tiger k baad dabangg 2 baaki hai… again an all time blockbuster!!! :)… and next eid sherkhan… records after records!!!

  • very average film.. same story line… no acting.. .. if it cross 150 cr then i will be a bad sign for movie lovers . and please dont compare 3idiots wid this ETT… 3idiots was a gem.. a film like that made once in a decade …. u people watch ETT and will understand where u put ur hard earn money

  • I’ve seen the movie. I’m disappointed its not close to dabbang, wanted, ready its action and emotion is mindless this time salman doesn’t live to expectation. Its a mixed review so not bigger than 150 cr

  • 2dy I hv seen ETT………..And finally Salman Khan bagged a flop..
    Haha..:D Its not ur route sallu bhai, please turn to remakes once again..
    #Ek Tha Tiger=Agent Vinod !!!

  • i think d day’s show was full with all those ppl who hate salman.. thanks for giving such a huge earth shattering opening of 32 – 35 crores…. now salman’s fan will take it above 300 cr… just wait nd watch guys..

  • I THINK
    ETT- 160-250 CR IN INDIA
    AND-90-110 CR IN OTHER COUNTRY
    IT WILL SURELY BEAT THE RECORD OF 3 IODIT AND ETT WILL SET THE RECORD FOR FOREVER.

  • indians are really mad . now this time 10,000 per month income not easy . But a normally man earn
    many crores in few days . only one reason indian peoples are mad . i suggest every indian people
    don’t seen any movie in the cinema hall . if time they watch on the the t.v. on the only night because
    days time are important . if destroy day time like to seen the movie then i guranteed u cannot sucess
    in life . I am indian and webdesigner & developer present a business in USA . suppose i watch movie like to indian fool people then i cannot present in australia and not make webdeveloper in lifetime .
    indian people destroy money and some man like salman, aamir,kareena play the money and fun with five-star hotel maxium days. But normally people not capacity fivestar .so, indian people really fool.

  • No doubt, tiger is a hit film But it can’t beet the record of 3 idiots. Tiger will do max 120 crore. Aamir is the real star of Bollywood. Only dhoom-3 can beet the record of 3 idiots.

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