Talaash HIT or FLOP – Box Office Predictions

Aamir Khan’s last commercial failure was way back in 2005 when his much-hyped comeback film Mangal Pandey released in theatres. Although the film opened to a bumper response and eventually recovered it’s investment, a few distributors lost money. Since then, the superstar has delivered films that have not only been hugely successful commercially, but also left the critics impressed.

In 2008, Aamir’s Ghajini started the trend of South Indian remakes and was the first film to cross 100 crores. His last release 3 Idiots, had the most footfalls for any film in the last decade (in the post-Gadar era).

So with huge expectations, Aamir Khan returns with a suspense thriller titled ‘Talaash’ from the makers of Dil Chahta Hai. Considering the genre of the film, pre-release hype, screen count and release timing (non-holiday), records are unlikely to be smashed this time around. Instead, Talaash is more likely to open well and then grow on word-of-mouth publicity.

The advance booking for the opening day has been good, so we expect the first day collections to be around 14 crores. If the WOM is good, Sunday business could be 18-19 or more!

Below is our detailed HIT or FLOP Box Office Prediction for Talaash

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Talaash

  • Weekend (3 day) – 48 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 38 crores
  • Week 1 –  86 crores
  • Final – 140 crores+ (Superhit / Blockbuster)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 44 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 27 crores
  • Week 1 –  71 crores
  • Final – 105-110 crores (HIT)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 40 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 17 crores
  • Week 1 –  57 crores
  • Final – < 75 crores (Below Average / Flop)

Amongst the recently released multiplex films – the response to Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara (90 cr) and Barfi (106 cr) was very positive, while Don 2 (106 cr) and Cocktail (76 cr) were mixed. So Talaash with higher screen count should easily manage business in excess of 135-140 crore with a similar response.

If Talaash clicks with the audience, then the film could go from strength-to-strength after the first weekend, much like 3 Idiots. It might also affect the multiplex business of Khiladi 786 which releases a week later on December 7th. Else, the Akshay Kumar starrer will get more shows at plexes and will be the first choice for movie goers.

What do you think? Will Talaash work at the box office? HIT or FLOP? Post your predictions below.

 
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Comments

kiri:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:22 am)

150+ sure shot

Popular Thumb up 12 Thumb down 20

 
wahid:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:24 am)

Outstanding,Classic,Awesome…’Talaash’. Eagerly Waiting!!!

Popular Thumb up 12 Thumb down 14

 
a khan:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:26 am)

110cr

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aamir khan roxx:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:38 am)

90-100cr

u also says other predictions wrong.
I think k 786 badly affect talaash so even in extremely good conditions like barfee it can only manage 20cr because week 2 will completely dominated by k786 in especially single screens n then some multiplex
weekend arround 45cr
week 1 65cr
week 2 20cr
lifetime 90cr above avg

note:no one can give best suspense thriller movie in bollywood except bhatts ..

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TILU NEBHANI:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:45 am)

Some ppl here are under-estimating the power of Aamir. Once again those ppl will be proved wrong. Talaash will not do less than 125-130 crs in any situation, while its maximum range can’t be predicted.
if liked as much as barfi & kahaani, it can do 160crs+

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Akash:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:50 am)

my prediction:

1st weekend: 50crs
1st week : 88 crs
2nd week : 35crs
3rd week : 18crs

lifetime: 150-155crs *nett* in india
worldwide *gross*: 275crs

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review:  (November 30, 2012 at 1:19 am)

Going with the latest trend here is my prediction:-

1st weekend:40-50 cr(may go lower if script been rejected,single screens collects low)
4 days(mon-thursday):20-25 cr(again may go higher or worst depends entirely on script)
First week total: 70-75 (max) or 55-60 (average) or below 50 (worst)

second weekend: 15-20 cr ( kiladi 786 will definitely affect it in single screens all over even maltiplex)

total 10 days: 90 cr max and 70 cr ( avg/worst)
rest weeks(till 21st means more 11 days and no chance of surviving further becoz Dabaang 2 is very huge to compete at this moment of masala movie trend) :20 cr max and 10-15 avg/worst.
Total: 21 days:-- 105-110 cr max or 80-90 cr average or below 80 cr in worst senario.

so,Lifetime will be not more then 110-120 cr in any circumstances and worst senario if khiladi 786 is accepted by people then way below 100 cr. Note: the budget with publicity and print is 50 cr so movie will be profitable in any condition. thank you :)

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jack08:  (November 30, 2012 at 2:54 am)

120 MAX..SUPER HIT

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jthj rejected:  (November 30, 2012 at 3:28 am)

i still remember the jthj prediction of this site. Pls go check guys. U wl get some interesting facts.thank u

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Aashkaran:  (November 30, 2012 at 3:41 am)

90cr…..

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Alok:  (November 30, 2012 at 5:42 am)

140+ Blockbuster 100 %

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ahmed:  (November 30, 2012 at 7:00 am)

most of the people who are saying 90crore and 100 crore, they are simply srk fans and taking their frustration out but they know very well that aamir khan’s movie run till third week. last time when ghajini released everybody said there is no buzz for it and the movie is too dark and lokk what happened it became the highest grosser of the year. specially to akki fan, no offense akki is not salman who can aamir khan’s movie badly. the only film that will struggle for long run is khiladi cause remember rowdy rathore took almost three week to reach hundred crore on solo release. other bad thing khiladi say phelay bhi khan movie aur baad may bhi khan movie. khiladi 786 is gone. srk fans will show their insecurities and support akki in this.

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Syed:  (November 30, 2012 at 7:06 am)

Just watched the movie in Dubai. Kareena is a spirit and will only visible to Aamir khan!!!. I challange this movie to cross 100 crores…it will never happen..

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Aakash:  (November 30, 2012 at 7:07 am)

1st day 15 to 16 cr
1st weekend 52 to 55 cr
1st week- 90cr plus
2nd week- 40 cr
3rd week- 25 cr
lifetime- 165 cr plus

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Rahul:  (November 30, 2012 at 8:58 am)

I am eagerly waiting for this movie it will do 150cr business sure

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niks:  (November 30, 2012 at 9:22 am)

Sure shot blockbuster just watched it in Dubai…150+ crores is on cards…nobody can stop it…

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virendra:  (November 30, 2012 at 9:38 am)

my pediction for talaash first day 13 cr first weekend 45 cr first week 79 cr life time 125+ cr

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akshay fan.:  (November 30, 2012 at 10:45 am)

KHILADI 786 ll rock. and also TALAASH.
WE LL WATCH AMIR MOVIE.
PLZ AMIR FANS DON’T WATCH DABBANG 2.
NO MOVIE
NO SCRIPT
ONLY STORY.:: MOLESTATION OF 24 YEAR OLD SONA BY 49 YEAR OLD CORRUPT POLICE WITH FAT BELLY AND HE IS GRAND FATHER
BUY CDS. PLZ
THANKS

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nishant:  (November 30, 2012 at 10:46 am)

talash hit or super hit. never replace rowdy rathore from no2

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Rijwan:  (November 30, 2012 at 10:59 am)

Not flop but Just Hit. 110 crs..

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king khan salman khan:  (November 30, 2012 at 11:05 am)

Talaash suspense- Aamir is assigned
to solve a case.. He is married to
Rani.. Aamir n Rani lost their son in
an accident.. So Aamir is disturbed..
Kareena helps Aamir to solve the
case.. Later he finds that Kareena is
a ghost (bhoot).. Kareena was a call
girl who was killed by 3 guys.. N
only Aamir could see Kareena..
Aamir himself killed her murderers
but forgot because of his illness.. So
Talaash = Karthik calling Karthik +
Kahaani.. Wd horror effects

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manu:  (November 30, 2012 at 11:22 am)

wah bhi wah king khan salman khan….aamir lied to his fans about the movie to be a suspense movieee…talash to bhoootiya movie hai bhai log

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nks:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:06 pm)

plz guys do not go by the predictions of indicine…
it all goes flat after a while….
plus Talaash ld be a gr8 movie ( hope so)
bcz i was disappointed by JTHJ ( as i didn’t like it…)
but has gud expextations from this one….

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Adnan:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:46 pm)

If Moderation Is Required Why You Post Such Comments In Which They Expose Complete Story

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Raj:  (November 30, 2012 at 12:49 pm)

Surely superhit

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