Bollywood Box Office News

Talaash HIT or FLOP – Box Office Predictions

Aamir Khan’s last commercial failure was way back in 2005 when his much-hyped comeback film Mangal Pandey released in theatres. Although the film opened to a bumper response and eventually recovered it’s investment, a few distributors lost money. Since then, the superstar has delivered films that have not only been hugely successful commercially, but also left the critics impressed.

In 2008, Aamir’s Ghajini started the trend of South Indian remakes and was the first film to cross 100 crores. His last release 3 Idiots, had the most footfalls for any film in the last decade (in the post-Gadar era).

So with huge expectations, Aamir Khan returns with a suspense thriller titled ‘Talaash’ from the makers of Dil Chahta Hai. Considering the genre of the film, pre-release hype, screen count and release timing (non-holiday), records are unlikely to be smashed this time around. Instead, Talaash is more likely to open well and then grow on word-of-mouth publicity.

The advance booking for the opening day has been good, so we expect the first day collections to be around 14 crores. If the WOM is good, Sunday business could be 18-19 or more!

Below is our detailed HIT or FLOP Box Office Prediction for Talaash

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Talaash

  • Weekend (3 day) – 48 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 38 crores
  • Week 1 –  86 crores
  • Final – 140 crores+ (Superhit / Blockbuster)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 44 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 27 crores
  • Week 1 –  71 crores
  • Final – 105-110 crores (HIT)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 40 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 17 crores
  • Week 1 –  57 crores
  • Final – < 75 crores (Below Average / Flop)

Amongst the recently released multiplex films – the response to Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara (90 cr) and Barfi (106 cr) was very positive, while Don 2 (106 cr) and Cocktail (76 cr) were mixed. So Talaash with higher screen count should easily manage business in excess of 135-140 crore with a similar response.

If Talaash clicks with the audience, then the film could go from strength-to-strength after the first weekend, much like 3 Idiots. It might also affect the multiplex business of Khiladi 786 which releases a week later on December 7th. Else, the Akshay Kumar starrer will get more shows at plexes and will be the first choice for movie goers.

What do you think? Will Talaash work at the box office? HIT or FLOP? Post your predictions below.

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47 Comments

  • 90-100cr

    u also says other predictions wrong.
    I think k 786 badly affect talaash so even in extremely good conditions like barfee it can only manage 20cr because week 2 will completely dominated by k786 in especially single screens n then some multiplex
    weekend arround 45cr
    week 1 65cr
    week 2 20cr
    lifetime 90cr above avg

    note:no one can give best suspense thriller movie in bollywood except bhatts ..

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  • Some ppl here are under-estimating the power of Aamir. Once again those ppl will be proved wrong. Talaash will not do less than 125-130 crs in any situation, while its maximum range can’t be predicted.
    if liked as much as barfi & kahaani, it can do 160crs+

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  • my prediction:

    1st weekend: 50crs
    1st week : 88 crs
    2nd week : 35crs
    3rd week : 18crs

    lifetime: 150-155crs *nett* in india
    worldwide *gross*: 275crs

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  • Going with the latest trend here is my prediction:-

    1st weekend:40-50 cr(may go lower if script been rejected,single screens collects low)
    4 days(mon-thursday):20-25 cr(again may go higher or worst depends entirely on script)
    First week total: 70-75 (max) or 55-60 (average) or below 50 (worst)

    second weekend: 15-20 cr ( kiladi 786 will definitely affect it in single screens all over even maltiplex)

    total 10 days: 90 cr max and 70 cr ( avg/worst)
    rest weeks(till 21st means more 11 days and no chance of surviving further becoz Dabaang 2 is very huge to compete at this moment of masala movie trend) :20 cr max and 10-15 avg/worst.
    Total: 21 days:-- 105-110 cr max or 80-90 cr average or below 80 cr in worst senario.

    so,Lifetime will be not more then 110-120 cr in any circumstances and worst senario if khiladi 786 is accepted by people then way below 100 cr. Note: the budget with publicity and print is 50 cr so movie will be profitable in any condition. thank you :)

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  • i still remember the jthj prediction of this site. Pls go check guys. U wl get some interesting facts.thank u

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  • most of the people who are saying 90crore and 100 crore, they are simply srk fans and taking their frustration out but they know very well that aamir khan’s movie run till third week. last time when ghajini released everybody said there is no buzz for it and the movie is too dark and lokk what happened it became the highest grosser of the year. specially to akki fan, no offense akki is not salman who can aamir khan’s movie badly. the only film that will struggle for long run is khiladi cause remember rowdy rathore took almost three week to reach hundred crore on solo release. other bad thing khiladi say phelay bhi khan movie aur baad may bhi khan movie. khiladi 786 is gone. srk fans will show their insecurities and support akki in this.

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  • Just watched the movie in Dubai. Kareena is a spirit and will only visible to Aamir khan!!!. I challange this movie to cross 100 crores…it will never happen..

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  • 1st day 15 to 16 cr
    1st weekend 52 to 55 cr
    1st week- 90cr plus
    2nd week- 40 cr
    3rd week- 25 cr
    lifetime- 165 cr plus

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  • KHILADI 786 ll rock. and also TALAASH.
    WE LL WATCH AMIR MOVIE.
    PLZ AMIR FANS DON’T WATCH DABBANG 2.
    NO MOVIE
    NO SCRIPT
    ONLY STORY.:: MOLESTATION OF 24 YEAR OLD SONA BY 49 YEAR OLD CORRUPT POLICE WITH FAT BELLY AND HE IS GRAND FATHER
    BUY CDS. PLZ
    THANKS

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