Talaash HIT or FLOP – Box Office Predictions

Aamir Khan’s last commercial failure was way back in 2005 when his much-hyped comeback film Mangal Pandey released in theatres. Although the film opened to a bumper response and eventually recovered it’s investment, a few distributors lost money. Since then, the superstar has delivered films that have not only been hugely successful commercially, but also left the critics impressed.

In 2008, Aamir’s Ghajini started the trend of South Indian remakes and was the first film to cross 100 crores. His last release 3 Idiots, had the most footfalls for any film in the last decade (in the post-Gadar era).

So with huge expectations, Aamir Khan returns with a suspense thriller titled ‘Talaash’ from the makers of Dil Chahta Hai. Considering the genre of the film, pre-release hype, screen count and release timing (non-holiday), records are unlikely to be smashed this time around. Instead, Talaash is more likely to open well and then grow on word-of-mouth publicity.

The advance booking for the opening day has been good, so we expect the first day collections to be around 14 crores. If the WOM is good, Sunday business could be 18-19 or more!

Below is our detailed HIT or FLOP Box Office Prediction for Talaash

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Talaash

  • Weekend (3 day) – 48 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 38 crores
  • Week 1 –  86 crores
  • Final – 140 crores+ (Superhit / Blockbuster)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 44 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 27 crores
  • Week 1 –  71 crores
  • Final – 105-110 crores (HIT)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 40 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 17 crores
  • Week 1 –  57 crores
  • Final – < 75 crores (Below Average / Flop)

Amongst the recently released multiplex films – the response to Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara (90 cr) and Barfi (106 cr) was very positive, while Don 2 (106 cr) and Cocktail (76 cr) were mixed. So Talaash with higher screen count should easily manage business in excess of 135-140 crore with a similar response.

If Talaash clicks with the audience, then the film could go from strength-to-strength after the first weekend, much like 3 Idiots. It might also affect the multiplex business of Khiladi 786 which releases a week later on December 7th. Else, the Akshay Kumar starrer will get more shows at plexes and will be the first choice for movie goers.

What do you think? Will Talaash work at the box office? HIT or FLOP? Post your predictions below.

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47 Comments

  • watched first day first show and there is nothing to be reveled as its pur copy of shutter island and sixth sense …aamir even tried to copy leonardo the caprio…never expected this from great actor like aamir…very disappointed ..the director tried to hide the flaws using lights and flashes …so poor try and can’t be digested ….went to a single screen theater and there was hardly 50 people there and its the first show…everyone including me where wondering waht they thought when they made thsi movie that Indians dont watch hollywood movies or what?? Box office cant cross even 80 cr now…my previous review of box office in worst senario is correct and khiladi 786 will trash it more now…Aamir disappoints much more then anyone else.

  • Will be maximum a HIT not more. Collections will lesser then JTHJ.
    This year will be belong to
    1. Salman
    2. Akshay

    But when Awards season will be ON. Awards will be for SRK & Ranbir. Coz there performances were Much Highre then Salman n Akshays. But no doubt Salman n AKshay entertain whole year very well. But sorry their actings r not award winning but they get much reward already. so no tension.

  • The reviews have been positive and the WOM is really good. According to me, the movie might get collections in the range of:

    1st Day: 14-15 cr.
    2nd Day: 16-17 cr.
    3rd Day: 18-20 cr.
    1st Weekend: 49-50 cr.

    1st Week: 75-78 cr.

    Lifetime: 130-140 cr.

  • According to me.
    1st Day: 14 cr.
    2nd Day: 15 cr.
    3rd Day: 18 cr.
    1st Weekend: 49-50 cr.

    1st Week: 75-76 cr.

    Lifetime: 115-120 cr

  • for me

    1st day 13 cr
    2nd day 14 cr
    sunday 17 cr

    wekend
    44 cr

    mon to thr 26 cr

    week 1 70 cr

    week 2 24 cr due to khiladi 786

    week 3 9 cr

    week 4 5 cr

    remaing weeks 3 cr

    total 98 cr nett

    verdict HIT

    do remember dis coment
    was made by mohsin

    i bait it wont cross 100

  • fact

    sory bro

    corection

    in my prediction

    bt i truly say it cn jst edge out 100 cr

    btw dabangg 2 predictions

    friday 21 cr
    sat 15 cr
    sun 24 cr
    mon 11 cr
    tue 16 cr x mas
    wed 8 cr
    thu 6 cr

    total 100 cr

    week 2
    34 cr

    week 3
    18 cr

    week 4
    12 cr

    remaing weeks
    16 cr

    total

    180 cr nett

    verdict
    BLOCKBUSTER

  • Talash is not that good as expected, amir film means something new, but this film completely disappointed us ….. Murder ……ghost ….. Solving case ….now what?

  • my prediction is:-
    friday-14cr
    saturday-15cr
    sunday-17cr
    monday-8cr
    tuesday-7cr
    wednesday-6cr
    thursday-6cr
    week 1=70-75cr
    week 2:-
    friday-5cr(due to khiladi 786 influence in single screens)
    saturday-5cr
    sunday-6cr
    weekdays-(8-10cr max)
    remaining-5cr max due to humoungous release of dabanng 2
    lifetime=100-110cr
    everything will be similar to srk’s don 2 last year which was also multiplex genre movie
    don 2:-
    week 1-72cr
    week 2-28cr
    remaining-8cr (due to impact of disastrous players)

  • dhabba film he sala……. worst part of this film is climax…… I thought it would be a great movie but i disappointed… we expect more from Amir, one of the brilliant actor in film industry… Amir we want better movies form you, i think it’ll collect 60-70 cr….

  • One of the Most Disappointing movies of the year… Hope Aamir’s peekay is Different… Talaash was nothing new… Second Half was boring….

  • i think talaash is real suspence movie..most intresting chracter of this movie was ofcourse amir khan and kareena kapoor..u

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