Bollywood Box Office News

Ra One HIT or FLOP – Box office Prediction

Here it is finally – the box office prediction of Shahrukh Khan’s highly anticipated Ra One. Before we get into the numbers though, we’d like you to go through some of the reasons why we think Ra One simply ‘cannot’ fail at the box-office. Yes, that’s right. We initially thought it could well be a disaster, but looking at the way the film has been promoted and with SRK pulling of several marketing masterstrokes, it’ll highly unlikely that Ra One will open to anything less than 100 – 110 crores in Week 1 at the box office. 

  • First of all, its a Shahrukh Khan film after a year and a half – his last release was My Name Is Khan early last year – and both his fans and others will agree that he still commands a huge fan-following both in India and in international markets. Not to forget, Kareena has a huge following amongst the masses.
  • From the trailers the film seems to be a complete masala entertainer – action, comedy, romance, superhero – it’s got it all and a little more. Due to the universal appeal, Ra One is expected  to open well at both multiplexes and single-screens.
  • SRK is marketing the film like there is no tomorrow – Youtube, Video Games, Reality shows, Champions League  – Ra One is everywhere. This has helped increase the curiosity tremendously. The only downside, it has also increased the expectations.
  • The music is important and Ra One has one of the most popular tracks of the year – Chammak Challo. The rest of the songs are good too.
  • Finally, Rajnikanth’s presence is undoubtedly going to increase the box office collections in the South. Like we’ve said before, this is a masterstroke by SRK. There is no actor bigger than Rajnikanth down South.
  • 3000+ screens: Ra One will have the widest release for a Bodyguard film ever – both in India and overseas. The film will cash-in on the initial weekend even before the positive/negative word-of-mouth begins to spread.
  • Extended weekend will be similar to Bodyguard  as Ra One too will release on Wednesday and enjoy a 5-day Diwali weekend. So if Bodyguard with half the hype opened to 100 crores+ in Week 1, how big will the opening of Ra One be? Honestly, its hard to accurately predict. Figures could be anywhere between 10 – 15% higher than the current biggest.

Here is our box office predictions for Ra One

IF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 95 to 100 crores (5 days)
  • Weekdays – 35 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 130 to 135 crores (9 days)
  • Final – 220 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 90 crores
  • Weekdays – 30 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 120 crores
  • Final – 165 crores

IF BAD (negative word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores (advance booking is expected to be high)
  • Weekend – 75 – 80 crores
  • Weekdays – 20 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 95 – 100 crores
  • Final – 115 crores

So even in the worst case scenario – unless the word-of-mouth is as bad as Kites – Ra One should do atleast 100 crores in Week 1. That rules out the chances of ‘FLOP’. Also remember that the budget of Ra.One is a mere speculation – SRK has never revealed the actual costs. Week 1 the film should break-even and whatever it does Week 2 onwards will determine how big a hit Ra One turns out to be.

If it’s a good film, Ra.One should beat 3 Idiots easily. Our verdict prediction – HIT or Super-Hit.

What do you think? Will Ra One be a HIT or Flop with the audience? Tell us in the comments section below.

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483 Comments

  • And raone will be worldwide blockbuster..

    Superhit is probable for India ..but we should remember That raone is an international film so we should look for worldwide collections which r gonna be 450cr for sure

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  • @indicine
    I completely agree with u. I think ra 1 will reach 250 crore mark in india nd worldwide it will be 450 crore.
    Ra 1 is having date with history. So wait all srk haters till 26th october. I m extremely excited for ra 1 nd can’t wait for it.

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  • SRK rocks ………RA-1 is a big hit 500cr+ in india nd around 150cr+ abroad gr8 movie……..srk ur the best in all khans……..

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  • Aap ko pata honi chahiye ki action koi bhi kar sakta hai ye sub action by the computer hota hai sahi actor ka matlab hota hai acting karna jo ki shahrukhan khan salman khan se accha kaha ja sakta hai so mai shahrukhan is better than salman khan insha allah ra-one suppper dupper hit karengaa

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  • I WANT RA ONE TO BE A HIT………..I MEAN……..THE TRAILORS ARE SO GOOD……….DOESN’T MEAN THAT IT WILL BE GOOD BECAUSE OF THE TRAILORS…………….BUT MY FAVORITE HERO SHAH RUKH KHAN IS ACTING……..AND OFCOURSE……MY MOST FAVORITE ACTRESS,KAREENA…..HOW CAN I FORGET HER……….BOTH OF THEM ARE AWESOME…………AND AKON HAS SUNG IN THE MOVIE………I WANT MY PREDICTION TO COME TRUE……..RA ONE SHOULD BE A BLOCK BUSTER HIT……A SUPER DOOPER HIT………..MEGA HIT…..I WISH THE WHOLE RA ONE TEAM BEST OF LUCK……..I’M SURE RA ONE IS GONNA ROCK :D

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  • If u think ra.one gonna be flop… Seriously u need to go a mental hospital… With all the stats,prediction and people response .. I can assured everyone here that… Even in worst condition , it will easily be 2nd highest grosser of all time and with positive response, it will easily cross 3 idiots…

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  • salwoman fans could not be able to control their frustration because finally the big boss indicine has given its verdict in favour of raone.

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  • yar choro 26 oct ko dekkan ga ka khon jeta ha srk fans or anti-srk but in real srk amir and amitab are good actor and huge fans followers ha but slaman also good not in acting but in fans followers

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  • who said no actor big than rajini kanth..he is big star in tamil nadu only….he is overrated actor and star….even robo only got good collections in tamil nadu…others its average outin…

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  • wasim teri ma ka khula phuda shahrukh ny kiya hai is liy apny baap ki gand main side ly raha hai ha h hah hah hah ha

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