Ra One HIT or FLOP – Box office Prediction

Here it is finally – the box office prediction of Shahrukh Khan’s highly anticipated Ra One. Before we get into the numbers though, we’d like you to go through some of the reasons why we think Ra One simply ‘cannot’ fail at the box-office. Yes, that’s right. We initially thought it could well be a disaster, but looking at the way the film has been promoted and with SRK pulling of several marketing masterstrokes, it’ll highly unlikely that Ra One will open to anything less than 100 – 110 crores in Week 1 at the box office. 

  • First of all, its a Shahrukh Khan film after a year and a half – his last release was My Name Is Khan early last year – and both his fans and others will agree that he still commands a huge fan-following both in India and in international markets. Not to forget, Kareena has a huge following amongst the masses.
  • From the trailers the film seems to be a complete masala entertainer – action, comedy, romance, superhero – it’s got it all and a little more. Due to the universal appeal, Ra One is expected  to open well at both multiplexes and single-screens.
  • SRK is marketing the film like there is no tomorrow – Youtube, Video Games, Reality shows, Champions League  - Ra One is everywhere. This has helped increase the curiosity tremendously. The only downside, it has also increased the expectations.
  • The music is important and Ra One has one of the most popular tracks of the year – Chammak Challo. The rest of the songs are good too.
  • Finally, Rajnikanth’s presence is undoubtedly going to increase the box office collections in the South. Like we’ve said before, this is a masterstroke by SRK. There is no actor bigger than Rajnikanth down South.
  • 3000+ screens: Ra One will have the widest release for a Bodyguard film ever – both in India and overseas. The film will cash-in on the initial weekend even before the positive/negative word-of-mouth begins to spread.
  • Extended weekend will be similar to Bodyguard  as Ra One too will release on Wednesday and enjoy a 5-day Diwali weekend. So if Bodyguard with half the hype opened to 100 crores+ in Week 1, how big will the opening of Ra One be? Honestly, its hard to accurately predict. Figures could be anywhere between 10 – 15% higher than the current biggest.

Here is our box office predictions for Ra One

IF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 95 to 100 crores (5 days)
  • Weekdays – 35 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 130 to 135 crores (9 days)
  • Final – 220 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 90 crores
  • Weekdays – 30 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 120 crores
  • Final – 165 crores

IF BAD (negative word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores (advance booking is expected to be high)
  • Weekend – 75 – 80 crores
  • Weekdays – 20 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 95 – 100 crores
  • Final – 115 crores

So even in the worst case scenario – unless the word-of-mouth is as bad as Kites – Ra One should do atleast 100 crores in Week 1. That rules out the chances of ‘FLOP’. Also remember that the budget of Ra.One is a mere speculation – SRK has never revealed the actual costs. Week 1 the film should break-even and whatever it does Week 2 onwards will determine how big a hit Ra One turns out to be.

If it’s a good film, Ra.One should beat 3 Idiots easily. Our verdict prediction – HIT or Super-Hit.

What do you think? Will Ra One be a HIT or Flop with the audience? Tell us in the comments section below.

 
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Comments

imran:  (October 5, 2011 at 4:11 pm)

it ll be super hit all over the world all the actors babies frnt of srk he is real king

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megha:  (October 5, 2011 at 4:13 pm)

ra.one will be ratandan film

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megha:  (October 5, 2011 at 4:16 pm)

now with southindian actor in the film the prospects have come down defnately looks bad

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sonam:  (October 5, 2011 at 5:00 pm)

salwoman fans could not be able to control their frustration because finally the big boss indicine has given its verdict in favour of raone.

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tajinder:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:14 pm)

srk is the king of bollywood ra.one will be all time blockbuster

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ARK:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:16 pm)

yar choro 26 oct ko dekkan ga ka khon jeta ha srk fans or anti-srk but in real srk amir and amitab are good actor and huge fans followers ha but slaman also good not in acting but in fans followers

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karthikayen:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:23 pm)

who said no actor big than rajini kanth..he is big star in tamil nadu only….he is overrated actor and star….even robo only got good collections in tamil nadu…others its average outin…

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aashkaran:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:47 pm)

final net 150-170cr in india,overseas 25million atleast.

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aashkaran:  (October 5, 2011 at 8:25 pm)

wasim teri ma ka khula phuda shahrukh ny kiya hai is liy apny baap ki gand main side ly raha hai ha h hah hah hah ha

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Ganesh:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:14 pm)

Ra.One -- Blockbuster of the Year 2011

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haroonn1986:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:28 pm)

Now its srk turn nd i m sure srk is giving his hundred percent. There is always reward for hardwork . I hope ra 1 will be super hit nd will break all records. Best wishes to srk nd ra 1.

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suri:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:00 pm)

megha have you stopped watching amar akbar anthony iheard that they are making the sequel to it watch out

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joe:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:05 pm)

ra one is not to watch by gimmik like fakashkaran wasim aboor khan megha
what ele vishal etc go watch ur stupid actors south remakes or ur rotten old movies like suri said
tra one is for the elite

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AashkarAn:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:06 pm)

Yay… Wow
I m happy and delighted to see how Srk fans have counter attacked and driven out mallu sallu fans..

Keep it up..

Sallu mallu fans ke peeche se dhuaa nikl rha hai…woh gali galoj pe aagye hain..

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Kiran:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:15 pm)

Ra.one is biggest super hit in this year i’m sure aur ek salman apna kapda utar kar bodyguard hit banata hai toh yeh king khan ka ra.one hai…..so….<3 hitsss

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aKKI:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:10 pm)

KYA BAAT HAI WASIM BHAI I READ YOUR COMMENT WELL SAID TO HATERS.

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aKKI:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:17 pm)

come on indicine that was not abuse of others previous comment

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SRK:  (October 6, 2011 at 12:05 am)

hello hello hello SRK FANS WHAT WILL YOU GUYS DO IF R-ONE NOT DOING WELL OR NOT BEAT SALMAN`S BLOCKBUSTER??????

DO YOU GUYS EXCEPTING SALMAN IS THE BEST????

I DIDI LONG TIME AGO…. HE IS THE BEST IN TOWN..ACTING, DANCING,LOOKING, ROCKING.CHARMING ,OUTSTANDING AND BEST ACTION HERO A LIFE NOW….

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vishal:  (October 6, 2011 at 12:29 am)

Ra.one will blockbuster….

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Ather:  (October 6, 2011 at 12:33 am)

Though I like SRK as an acot & Orator & salman is no where near to SRK in terms of acting .. but still sallu popularity is far better thn SRK only coz ppl like him as a celeb not as an actor …I dint like BOdyguard at all .. the best movie of this year till date were Zindali na milegi dobara & Singham … & m also sure tht ..Ra one will b flop Infact I pray k it shud b flop ..SRK is very mean ,Juhi herself told this who was a close frnd of her once ..jst remember SRK leaves every frnd of his , once he feels tht they r not at all of any use for him ..eg: Farha, Aziz Mirza, abbas mustan list goes on ..SRK is selfish unlike Sallu …thts y Sallu rocks …in terms of humanity …kids,adults, buddas all gender lik SALLU..

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sanjay:  (October 6, 2011 at 12:36 am)

Perhaps Ra.one is worth the hype its getting !! I guess all SRK fans would agree to me that for anyone in this country to get noticed and get some attention,, the easiest name to hook onto is of the king of bollywood,,srk,, !! Be it fr an actor like aamir (promoting ghajini while rnbdj’s release and srk obsessed,, be it a dalla like amar singh, be it a sportsman like shoaib akhtar, be it a politician like bal-less thackeray, be it a chinaar like rakhi sawant, or be it the media !!

So, there is nothing new that SRK means attention !! Just as a recent news release by the swiss press states that the pick pocketeers in Switzerland to drive away attention and fascinate tourists take the name of srk and then just elope with belongings !!!

All the fans of that killer lallu,, who perhaps instead of running a ethic-less charity first needs to be a human,, get it into ur heads that RA>ONE will be a blockbuster,,if u dont have one,,take it to ur gaand !!

And please get a life u morons !! bhenchodo agar tumhe jalti hai srk se to madarchod apni maiyya salman khan ke news coverage pe chudao !! gaaand fir bhi srk ke page pe maraani hai !!

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ajay:  (October 6, 2011 at 1:15 am)

I always like srk, but this movie looks NO good. The music is not very good. Srk dance steps no good. he needs farah khan. What was the usage of AKon ? He’s doing too many things to make it work but its back firing. the movie looks No good. predicition. Flop. Looking forward to Don 2 !

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Bollywood:  (October 6, 2011 at 5:18 am)

RAONE will be the biggest film in hindi cinema ever. It will break all the previous box office records of all movies made in bollywood in Europa peopol are waiting for this movie so this movie is goning to crose the 1000 CRORE for SURE!

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Wasim:  (October 6, 2011 at 9:32 am)

All srk fans can join me on nimbuz,

wasim24*7

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sanjay_ki_maan:  (October 6, 2011 at 9:37 am)

@ sanjay ….Teri maan ki chooooooot marne aate hain SRK ke page per

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