Ra One HIT or FLOP – Box office Prediction

Here it is finally – the box office prediction of Shahrukh Khan’s highly anticipated Ra One. Before we get into the numbers though, we’d like you to go through some of the reasons why we think Ra One simply ‘cannot’ fail at the box-office. Yes, that’s right. We initially thought it could well be a disaster, but looking at the way the film has been promoted and with SRK pulling of several marketing masterstrokes, it’ll highly unlikely that Ra One will open to anything less than 100 – 110 crores in Week 1 at the box office. 

  • First of all, its a Shahrukh Khan film after a year and a half – his last release was My Name Is Khan early last year – and both his fans and others will agree that he still commands a huge fan-following both in India and in international markets. Not to forget, Kareena has a huge following amongst the masses.
  • From the trailers the film seems to be a complete masala entertainer – action, comedy, romance, superhero – it’s got it all and a little more. Due to the universal appeal, Ra One is expected  to open well at both multiplexes and single-screens.
  • SRK is marketing the film like there is no tomorrow – Youtube, Video Games, Reality shows, Champions League  - Ra One is everywhere. This has helped increase the curiosity tremendously. The only downside, it has also increased the expectations.
  • The music is important and Ra One has one of the most popular tracks of the year – Chammak Challo. The rest of the songs are good too.
  • Finally, Rajnikanth’s presence is undoubtedly going to increase the box office collections in the South. Like we’ve said before, this is a masterstroke by SRK. There is no actor bigger than Rajnikanth down South.
  • 3000+ screens: Ra One will have the widest release for a Bodyguard film ever – both in India and overseas. The film will cash-in on the initial weekend even before the positive/negative word-of-mouth begins to spread.
  • Extended weekend will be similar to Bodyguard  as Ra One too will release on Wednesday and enjoy a 5-day Diwali weekend. So if Bodyguard with half the hype opened to 100 crores+ in Week 1, how big will the opening of Ra One be? Honestly, its hard to accurately predict. Figures could be anywhere between 10 – 15% higher than the current biggest.

Here is our box office predictions for Ra One

IF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 95 to 100 crores (5 days)
  • Weekdays – 35 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 130 to 135 crores (9 days)
  • Final – 220 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 90 crores
  • Weekdays – 30 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 120 crores
  • Final – 165 crores

IF BAD (negative word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores (advance booking is expected to be high)
  • Weekend – 75 – 80 crores
  • Weekdays – 20 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 95 – 100 crores
  • Final – 115 crores

So even in the worst case scenario – unless the word-of-mouth is as bad as Kites – Ra One should do atleast 100 crores in Week 1. That rules out the chances of ‘FLOP’. Also remember that the budget of Ra.One is a mere speculation – SRK has never revealed the actual costs. Week 1 the film should break-even and whatever it does Week 2 onwards will determine how big a hit Ra One turns out to be.

If it’s a good film, Ra.One should beat 3 Idiots easily. Our verdict prediction – HIT or Super-Hit.

What do you think? Will Ra One be a HIT or Flop with the audience? Tell us in the comments section below.

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Comments

joe:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:47 am)

hi every one ALL HISTORY BLOCKBUSTER INSIDE AND OUTSIDE INDIA THAT IS IT ALLL SET BABY

Highly rated comment Thumb up 18 Thumb down 4

 
Shan:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:13 am)

RAONE will be the biggest film in hindi cinema ever. It will break all the previous box office records. SRK & Kareena rocks.

Highly rated comment Thumb up 39 Thumb down 13

 
Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:30 am)

I request all srk fans icluding me that, ‘

”please let salman’s fans barks like a bitch,

and after the release of ra.one.

all salman’s fans will give their ‘gaad’ to us.

So salman’s fans should maintain their ‘gaad’ becuz We are coming to break your hole of ‘gaad’

‘AM I RIGHT FRIENDS’

agar salman k fans ko meri bat buri lage to wo mujhe apna gaad de skte hai, lekin ek sart hai,
aapka ‘gaad’ achi tarah ‘saaf’ hona chahiye.

Highly rated comment Thumb up 41 Thumb down 16

 
sajid:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:37 am)

all should remmember one thing Bodygaurd is a Blockbuster though it was not promoted or show off like srk,,,sallu bhai was in us at that time…..always sallu rocks,,,,,,,,,,,,srk kuch bhi karlo sallu is the king of bollywood………..seen-sitara karra srk ra-one ku lekar……ka flop hota ki bolkay rajnikanth ko liya paira padkay,,

Popular Thumb up 17 Thumb down 45

 
vk:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:51 am)

Flop or average

Now the time of shahrukh has over.

New and fresh king khan of bollywood is Sallu Mia --Salman Bhai.

Popular Thumb up 22 Thumb down 49

 
vishal:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:56 am)

Salman is stunning star of bollywood.

Raone flop 99.99 %

SRK lookes old man, now he should play fathers roll. He should not promote him as a lover boy or super star.

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bharat:  (October 5, 2011 at 10:59 am)

.yaar meko samjh nai ata ki salman ke fans itna arrogant kyun ho rahe..us ki 4 film hit na ho gai ki sab usko king bnane lage..uski 4 me se 3 toh eid ke wajah se hit ki..aur wanted se pehle jo harsal itni flops ati thi,bhul gye kya..aur srk ki last flop yaad bhi hai kisiko@srk z kingg.

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sunny Totawar:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:10 am)

for all srk haters just wait till 26 oct.tum logon ka muh aur gand dono band ho jayenge.fir naa kisi ke samne muh khol payenge naa hi bathroom main chup paayenge.

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kapana:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:25 am)

like it or not r-one is flop and ugly disaster

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Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:33 am)

Jo bhi ‘ra.one’ ki burayi karega mai uske ‘chachi aur mami’ ka boor kat kar fry kar dunga. Aur dinner me kha jawunga.

Ab kisi ne srk k khilaaf comment kiya to uske ‘gaad’ me ‘saap’ dal dunga aur uske ‘laad’ ko tod kar salman k muh me dal dunga.

Agar tumlog mujh se baat krna chahte ho to apna ‘nimbuzz ID’ Mujhe send kro.

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Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:35 am)

Agar tumlogo ko mujh se baat krni hai to ‘nimbuzz’ pe aa jao.

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Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:40 am)

Jisko bhi bat krna hai aa jao, face to face bat karte hai.

Mera nimbuzz ID-

wasim24*7

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rko:  (October 5, 2011 at 11:55 am)

if ra one will beat 3 idiots then the movie will not take the blocbuster status as the movies like 3 idots and dabanng and bodyguard take bcuz of high budget that is around 150 crores and also marketing budget that is also cross 25 crores. i think if ra one end 220 crores then the movie will super hit not blocbuster

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amjadalikhan:  (October 5, 2011 at 12:54 pm)

Ra-one
all time bigistblockbustr in bollywood industry
because

SHAHRUKH KHAN

Naam hi kafi ha

Highly rated comment Thumb up 13 Thumb down 1

 
AashkarAn:  (October 5, 2011 at 1:03 pm)

I told u all..now even indicine is saying..
I feel like laughing on these helpless sallu fans just look at them they can’t digest the fact that ra.one is gonna be the biggest film ever..
I am the proudest fan when I see salman fans getting blown up..

My appeal to srk fans..
Stay calm we have proved it all..let these haters bark..ra.one has done it

With 4000 worldwide prints 450cr is an easy target..
Day1 surely 25 cr

Ab GAO sale mallu ke gaane aaya re aaya bodyguard:.

Bodyguard ka maalik SRK AAGYA HAI

Highly rated comment Thumb up 14 Thumb down 1

 
AashkarAn:  (October 5, 2011 at 1:07 pm)

And raone will be worldwide blockbuster..

Superhit is probable for India ..but we should remember That raone is an international film so we should look for worldwide collections which r gonna be 450cr for sure

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Shah:  (October 5, 2011 at 2:11 pm)

Ra one will break all the records…..

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haroonn1986:  (October 5, 2011 at 2:27 pm)

@indicine
I completely agree with u. I think ra 1 will reach 250 crore mark in india nd worldwide it will be 450 crore.
Ra 1 is having date with history. So wait all srk haters till 26th october. I m extremely excited for ra 1 nd can’t wait for it.

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Rana:  (October 5, 2011 at 2:28 pm)

SRK rocks ………RA-1 is a big hit 500cr+ in india nd around 150cr+ abroad gr8 movie……..srk ur the best in all khans……..

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Iqbal patna:  (October 5, 2011 at 2:30 pm)

Aap ko pata honi chahiye ki action koi bhi kar sakta hai ye sub action by the computer hota hai sahi actor ka matlab hota hai acting karna jo ki shahrukhan khan salman khan se accha kaha ja sakta hai so mai shahrukhan is better than salman khan insha allah ra-one suppper dupper hit karengaa

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Iqbal patna:  (October 5, 2011 at 2:32 pm)

Shahrukhan is better than salman kham

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pooja:  (October 5, 2011 at 2:47 pm)

I WANT RA ONE TO BE A HIT………..I MEAN……..THE TRAILORS ARE SO GOOD……….DOESN’T MEAN THAT IT WILL BE GOOD BECAUSE OF THE TRAILORS…………….BUT MY FAVORITE HERO SHAH RUKH KHAN IS ACTING……..AND OFCOURSE……MY MOST FAVORITE ACTRESS,KAREENA…..HOW CAN I FORGET HER……….BOTH OF THEM ARE AWESOME…………AND AKON HAS SUNG IN THE MOVIE………I WANT MY PREDICTION TO COME TRUE……..RA ONE SHOULD BE A BLOCK BUSTER HIT……A SUPER DOOPER HIT………..MEGA HIT…..I WISH THE WHOLE RA ONE TEAM BEST OF LUCK……..I’M SURE RA ONE IS GONNA ROCK :D

Highly rated comment Thumb up 11 Thumb down 0

 
megha:  (October 5, 2011 at 3:37 pm)

promos dont look too good

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Abhishek:  (October 5, 2011 at 3:58 pm)

If u think ra.one gonna be flop… Seriously u need to go a mental hospital… With all the stats,prediction and people response .. I can assured everyone here that… Even in worst condition , it will easily be 2nd highest grosser of all time and with positive response, it will easily cross 3 idiots…

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Daniel:  (October 5, 2011 at 4:00 pm)

Blockbuster hogi 100%… Shahrukh rocks

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