Ra One HIT or FLOP – Box office Prediction

Here it is finally – the box office prediction of Shahrukh Khan’s highly anticipated Ra One. Before we get into the numbers though, we’d like you to go through some of the reasons why we think Ra One simply ‘cannot’ fail at the box-office. Yes, that’s right. We initially thought it could well be a disaster, but looking at the way the film has been promoted and with SRK pulling of several marketing masterstrokes, it’ll highly unlikely that Ra One will open to anything less than 100 – 110 crores in Week 1 at the box office. 

  • First of all, its a Shahrukh Khan film after a year and a half – his last release was My Name Is Khan early last year – and both his fans and others will agree that he still commands a huge fan-following both in India and in international markets. Not to forget, Kareena has a huge following amongst the masses.
  • From the trailers the film seems to be a complete masala entertainer – action, comedy, romance, superhero – it’s got it all and a little more. Due to the universal appeal, Ra One is expected  to open well at both multiplexes and single-screens.
  • SRK is marketing the film like there is no tomorrow – Youtube, Video Games, Reality shows, Champions League  - Ra One is everywhere. This has helped increase the curiosity tremendously. The only downside, it has also increased the expectations.
  • The music is important and Ra One has one of the most popular tracks of the year – Chammak Challo. The rest of the songs are good too.
  • Finally, Rajnikanth’s presence is undoubtedly going to increase the box office collections in the South. Like we’ve said before, this is a masterstroke by SRK. There is no actor bigger than Rajnikanth down South.
  • 3000+ screens: Ra One will have the widest release for a Bodyguard film ever – both in India and overseas. The film will cash-in on the initial weekend even before the positive/negative word-of-mouth begins to spread.
  • Extended weekend will be similar to Bodyguard  as Ra One too will release on Wednesday and enjoy a 5-day Diwali weekend. So if Bodyguard with half the hype opened to 100 crores+ in Week 1, how big will the opening of Ra One be? Honestly, its hard to accurately predict. Figures could be anywhere between 10 – 15% higher than the current biggest.

Here is our box office predictions for Ra One

IF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 95 to 100 crores (5 days)
  • Weekdays – 35 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 130 to 135 crores (9 days)
  • Final – 220 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores
  • Weekend – 90 crores
  • Weekdays – 30 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 120 crores
  • Final – 165 crores

IF BAD (negative word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 24 crores (advance booking is expected to be high)
  • Weekend – 75 – 80 crores
  • Weekdays – 20 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 95 – 100 crores
  • Final – 115 crores

So even in the worst case scenario – unless the word-of-mouth is as bad as Kites – Ra One should do atleast 100 crores in Week 1. That rules out the chances of ‘FLOP’. Also remember that the budget of Ra.One is a mere speculation – SRK has never revealed the actual costs. Week 1 the film should break-even and whatever it does Week 2 onwards will determine how big a hit Ra One turns out to be.

If it’s a good film, Ra.One should beat 3 Idiots easily. Our verdict prediction – HIT or Super-Hit.

What do you think? Will Ra One be a HIT or Flop with the audience? Tell us in the comments section below.

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Comments

sudeep patil:  (October 4, 2011 at 10:30 pm)

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vinay:  (October 4, 2011 at 10:33 pm)

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Nishant:  (October 4, 2011 at 10:52 pm)

Hit

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sallu:  (October 4, 2011 at 10:54 pm)

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SRK:  (October 4, 2011 at 10:55 pm)

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zarena:  (October 4, 2011 at 10:58 pm)

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@di:  (October 5, 2011 at 12:07 am)

Ra. one will be collectng over 300 crores..in india + 150 crores frm abroad= 450 crores worldwide…
n dis s gng to happen..
jstluk at d statistics
SRK’s My Name is Khan collected around 220 crores worldwide,
AAmir KHan’s Tarre ZAmen PAr collected around 90 crores worldwide
Hritk Roshan’s GUjarish collected around 40-50 crores worldwide
Ajay devgan’s Main aisa hi hun [dnt knw abt d collections bt boxofffice verdict ws flop]
n abt Salman KHan..i thnk he doesn’t know how to act so he cant do a muvi where actng is involved he has got his starpower n he s bst at dat..
All of the above muvies doesn’t hav dat MASALA factor ..which is required to get dat HIT status in BOllywod..
n in dat list SRK is way way ahead of all others so just stop callng SRK a FLOP star..
he s true global Star n we should fell Proud for dat..
n for all SRK heaters jst wait n watch till oct26..
and for RA.ONE i wanna SAY dat HISTRY S CALLNG U..

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akash:  (October 5, 2011 at 12:18 am)

well said indicine team i appreciate ur prediction

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Me:  (October 5, 2011 at 12:42 am)

Ra.one will surely be a bluckbuster …lets just wait and see.

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sallu:  (October 5, 2011 at 1:25 am)

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srk rockxxx:  (October 5, 2011 at 1:31 am)

Ra one will do 270 to 290 crores worldwide….outstanding film lag rahe ha…is film ma sub kuch ha….my next prediction will come after watching the film

Highly rated comment Thumb up 106 Thumb down 24

 
ravi:  (October 5, 2011 at 1:49 am)

good luck srk…true global icon

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King khan:  (October 5, 2011 at 6:09 am)

All u fucken salman khan fans ur ppl ass is gona burn on 26oct cuz ra1 will b creating history and guys plz stop comparing srk with salman khan cuz kutta jitna bhi bhooke wo kuta hi rahega srk jaisa sher kabhi bhi nahi can sakta

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King khan:  (October 5, 2011 at 6:10 am)

Picture abhi baki hai mere dost so w8 n watch

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aashkaran:  (October 5, 2011 at 6:14 am)

I would agree with Indicine’s last part…115Cr final.

Popular Thumb up 21 Thumb down 55

 
Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:26 am)

Jo log ra.one ko flop kah rahe hai, unhe sarm aani chahiye khud par,

agar bodyguard jaise ”3rd class- ghatiya aur behuda” film 140 crore ka busines kar sakti hai to ‘ra.one’ kam se kam 300+crore business aaram se karegi.

Mai salman ka fan hu lekin mai ye bhi janta hu ke salman khan ko acting karne nahi aati hai, salman sirf ek hi kam janta hai. ‘SHIRT UTAR KAR NANGA NAACH KARNA’

that’s why I eccept that shahrukh is better than salman and all salman’s fan should also accept the ‘TRUTH’

‘Am I Right guys’

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Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:48 am)

‘I am a big fan of salman’

but, I hate his bludy acting, he dances like a ‘BAR DANCER’ he walks like a ‘Kinner’ and he acts like a ‘joker’

but, ‘i am a big fan of salman’.

Jab mai salman ki filme dekhta hu to uske ghatiya dialog aur acting dekh kar meri tabiyat kharab ho jati hai,
lekin

‘i am a big fan of salman’

i wish salman should take retirement.

But, i am a big fan of salman’

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Saboor khan:  (October 5, 2011 at 7:59 am)

Just salman is baadshah. Ra.one will be hit but not beats 3 idiots and bodygaurd

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vinay:  (October 5, 2011 at 8:47 am)

26 oct ko ra.one ko hamme flop karna hai
ra.one bussiness prediction
weekend (5 days)- less than 50 crores.
Week- 70-75 crores
lifetime bussiness -- 90-95 crores.
verdict- disaster

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Wasim:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:06 am)

Jo bhi srk ka fan nahi hai unko chun-chun kar ‘chodunga’.

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vinshal:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:14 am)

i cant stop laughing..A new page for Ra One has opened and 90% comments are from salman Fans..These stupids are really promoting the films.. Thank you guys…

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vinshal:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:23 am)
 
Mariaharat:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:32 am)

hahaha wasim!well said!mai bhi salman khan ka tere hi jitna fan hun..!aur ra.one gonna be da biggest evr..no doubt@.it vl be a shame if it doesnt break all records!kuz dis movie vl take indian cinema forward!srk z god!

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bharat:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:37 am)

.any1 whu thinks ra.one will flop@go and consult a psychatrist@.u guys hv lost your common sense@

Highly rated comment Thumb up 44 Thumb down 11

 
joe:  (October 5, 2011 at 9:41 am)

ALL HISTORY BLOCKBUSTER INSIDE AND OUTSIDE INDIA THAT IS IT ALLL SET BABY

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