Singham Returns Hit or Flop: Box Office Prediction

Singham was not only the most successful and loved film of 2011, but also one of the most entertaining ‘masala’ films of the decade. Due to its tremendous repeat-value and mass-appeal, the film was a huge success on television.

This year, Rohit Shetty, one of the most successful commercial directors in the country, returns to direct the sequel of ‘Singham’ after directing hugely successful films like ‘Bol Bachchan’ and ‘Chennai Express’. Unlike Singham, the sequel is a original script written by Sajid-Farhad, Rohit is credited for the story and Yunus Sajawal for the screenplay.

The expectations are high and so is the hype which should ensure that ‘Singham Returns’ takes a flying start at the box office tomorrow due to its tremendous recall value, holiday release, director Shetty and the presence of Ajay Devgn and Kareena Kapoor.

Singham Returns is releasing on approx 3600+ screens and the advance booking especially at single-screens has been very good. Advance booking at multiplexes is way lower than Kick, but that is the case with almost every film that doesn’t feature the Top 5 actors in the industry.

We expect Singham Returns to collect somewhere between  22-24 crore on its opening day, with Mumbai circuit and surrounding areas fetching the best start. The drop on Saturday and how well it holds on Monday would decide its fate at the box office.

Singham Returns has fetched a good price, so recovery won’t be easy if the word-of-mouth ranges from mixed to negative.

Below is our box office prediction for the film.

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

• Day 1 – 24 cr
• Day 2 – 15 cr
• Day 3 – 21 cr (Sunday)
• Weekend – 60 cr
• First Week – 90 cr
• Final – 145 cr+ (Super Hit / Blockbuster)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

• Day 1 – 23 cr
• Day 2 – 14 cr
• Day 3 – 18 cr (Sunday)
• Weekend – 55 cr
• First Week – 80 cr
• Final – 120 cr (Semi Hit / HIT)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

• Day 1 – 22 cr
• Day 2 – 13 cr
• Day 3 – 15 cr (Sunday)
• Weekend – 50 cr
• First Week – 70 cr
• Final – less than 85 cr (Flop)

Due to the tremendous recall value of Singham a fantastic start is guaranteed – both the opening day records of Ajay Devgn and Kareena Kapoor are likely to be shattered. What remains to be seen is, if the film will be Ajay Devgn’s highest grosser to date. Because that’s how much it would need to collect for the film to be a decent success at the domestic box office.

How much do you think Singham Returns will collect? Hit or Flop? Tell us in the comments section below. Also, dont forget to submit your vote!