Rowdy Rathore HIT or FLOP: Box office Prediction

It’s probably the best time to release a film, especially a film like Rowdy Rathore. Here’s why..

  • The IPL distraction is over and people have been waiting for a mass entertainer – the last big release was Housefull 2 about 2 months back.
  • There is absolutely no competition – no major release last week, Department is out of theaters, Vicky Donor is nearing the end of it’s run and Ishaqzaade will be in it’s 4th weekend.
  • Like it or not, masala action films is what the audience want to see – both at single-screens and multiplexes.

Too add to all the above factors; Rowdy Rathore has tremendous buzz around it, Akshay Kumar is on a high after the super-success of Housefull 2, the music is a hit and the trailers have worked big time.

So what can we expect from Rowdy Rathore at the all important box-office? Will it be a HIT or FLOP?

Well, we think the opening day collections should be around 14 – 15 crores (nett). The rest of the predictions are below.

Rowdy RathoreIF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Weekend – 50 crores+
  • Weekdays – 28 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 78 crores
  • Final – 130 crores

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Weekend – 45 crores
  • Weekdays – 23 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 68 crores
  • Final – 100 crores

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend – 42 crores
  • Weekdays – 15 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 57 crores
  • Final – Less than 70 crore

We asked our Twitter followers to predict the opening day and weekend collections. Here are some of their predictions.

  • Amit Kumar Biswas – Opening day 17 to 17.5 crore and 52 to 53 crore weekend
  • Saajid Patel – Opening day 16.5 crore+ and 45 crore+ weekend
  • Bhargav Kumar – Opening day 16+ and Weekend 50+
  • Pradeep – Opening day 17.6 crore, Weekend 52.32 crore
  • Deepak – Opening day 13.75 crore, Weekend 43 crores

Considering the amount of money that has been recovered from Satellite and music rights, ‘Flop’ is almost ruled out. Worst case, Rowdy Rathore should be a HIT. If the content is strong, it could well be a Blockbuster. Also, Shanghai is scheduled to release a week later. So, if the word-of-mouth is poor, second weekend collections could be affected badly.

What are you thoughts on the box-office outcome of Rowdy Rathore? Tell us in the comments section below.

Note: Detailed info on how much it needs to attain different verdicts, will be up soon.



  • This is a remake of south movie vikramarkodu. Unlike hindhi films south movie has very good script and screenplay. This movie gonna rock the entire Nation.

  • ROWDY RATHORE is going to be the biggest hit of akki…
    I will the 2nd most grosser movie of bollywood after 3 IDIOTS…

  • ROWDY RATHORE is going to be the biggest hit of akki…
    I will the 2nd most grosser movie of bollywood after 3 IDIOTS…

  • Asin all set to challenge Kareena Kapoor!

    There was a time just last year when Kareena Kapoor was in an enviable position, with as many as four 100 crore plus ventures (3 IDIOTS, BODYGUARD, RA.ONE and GOLMAAL 3) in her kitty. In fact it appeared that no one would be able to touch her record, especially her close competitors like Katrina Kaif and Priyanka Chopra.

    However, Kareena is all set to be challenged by a relative newcomer for the Hindi cinema, Asin. The top star from South already has three hundred crore plus (READY, GHAJINI and HOUSEFULL 2) films in her kitty, and is now almost certain to hit another century this July.

    We are obviously referring to Asin’s upcoming July 6 release, Rohit Shetty’s BOL BACHCHAN, the first trailer of which confirms that the film is a winner and that the director has once again packed the film with all essential condiments- masala, entertainment and also emotions!

    On the other hand Kareena has had a very ordinary year with AGENT VINOD not living up its potential and EK MAIN AUR EKK TU, failing to cross even 40 crores from India, despite being a YRF venture.

    Well, Kareena need not worry as she too has Madhur Bhandarkar’s HEROINE and Aamir Khan’s TALAASH coming up later this year.

    While HEROINE, does not appear to be a 100 crore plus grosser (though it will get a lot of acclaim), with Aamir Khan anything is possible.

  • Fri-15cr
    1st week-72cr
    2nd week-28cr
    3rd week-11cr
    4th week-5cr
    TOTAL-115cr net and 155cr Gross.
    Overseas-25cr Gross

  • Sirf salman bhai baki sab bekarki baate…ETT n Dabang2 will be new benchmark watch out babes

  • it will be blockbuster but will see tommorrow whether rowdy rathore will be blockbuster.
    budget of rowdy rathore will be 130-150 crore above.

  • this looks like ACTION REPLAY part 2. good 1st weekend opening, continuous fall from Monday downwards. total box office domestic 65 crores, verdict above average. Akshay kumar is a superstar and a fantastic actor, but i hv the feeling that the audiences will not connect with this movie.

  • 1st Day-13-14crore
    2nd- 16-18crore
    3rd- 18-19crore
    weekend-48 crore
    weekdays- 26 crore
    2nd weekend-20 crore
    2nd weekdays-10 crore
    lifetime- 90-100crore

  • Akshay’s biggest hit..n going to be a blockbustr..sure 200 crore..1 st day wil b 20 crore

  • the movie has all necessary content to atract the auduence, the maker has created movie in a sense to pull all kind of people, songs, action, roamance, commedy, and all above super star or bollywood ka khiladi akshay
    Lage raho toward 150+ cr

  • Rowdy Rathore has great story and action scenes.. and akshay is greta.. prabu deva rocks..

    this movie will easily do 100crores 2-3weeks.

    Ek tha tiger coming on EID .. it will do 130 crores total…

  • 1 day opening 15 cr paka weekend 45cr. rowdy ………punjabi film karlai koi i am waiting for KHILADI 786 and once upon a time in mumbai2

  • i am waiting for indian punjabi movies like desi romeos ,jatt and juilet and carry on jatta guys and girls plz watch this films in cinemas

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