It’s Diwali and the biggest film of the year – Rakesh Roshan’s Krrish 3 – is all set to hit screens in less than a week. Expectations are sky high and rightly so, because the father-son jodi of Hrithik and Rakesh Roshan have never failed. We are not even talking about small hits here, each film of theirs has shattered every box office record in sight.
A quick look at some of their films together..
- Kaho Na Pyaar Hai – Way back in 2000, the entire industry and national audience were looking forward to the debut of Amitabh Bachchan’s son Abhishek and Randhir Kapoor’s daughter Kareena Kapoor in a film titled Refugee. About 7 months before the much-awaited release, Rakesh Roshan’s son Hrithik made his debut in a love story with another newcomer Amisha Patel. Expectations weren’t quite as high, but Hrithik single-handedly took the world by storm. Not only did he turn into a superstar overnight, comparisons were being made between Hrithik and the reigning superstar Shahrukh Khan. KNPH went on to be the biggest grosser of the year and won Hrithik the Best debut and Best Actor trophy that year.
- Koi Mil Gaya – The scenario was completely different. Expectations from KMG were high, but more importantly it was a make-or-break film for Hrithik who was written off by the media as a one-hit wonder. From comparisons with Shahrukh Khan to one-hit wonders like Kumar Gaurav, Hrithik had seen it all in the span of 3 years. Koi Mil Gaya though proved to be a turning point in Hrithik’s career as the film, once again, went on to be the biggest grosser of 2003. Hrithik won the Best Actor and Best Actor Critics Filmfare award in the same year.
- Krrish – Between KMG and Krrish, Hrithik only featured in one film ‘Lakshya’ which didn’t do too well at the box office, even though it is widely believed to be Hrithik’s best film and performance. Krrish arrived in 2006 and took the box office by storm, going on to be the highest grossing film ever. It took Hrithik’s own film Dhoom 2 that very year to surpass Krrish, and Hrithik was crowned the box office king for the first time since Kaho Na Pyaar Hai.
More than 7 years later, the duo return with their most-ambitious film to date. Krrish 3 made on a budget of 90 crore, with print and marketing likely to add up to 25 crore, taking the total cost of the film to around 115 crore.
Economics: A huge chunk of their investment has already been recovered. The satellite rights were pre-sold for Rs 40 crore, music rights fetched around 10 crore and Rakesh Roshan also sold theatrical rights to individual distributors before the film went on floors. For Krrish 3 to be a decent success and ensure that the distributors don’t end up in the red, the film has to collect around 120 crore at the domestic box office.
Screens: Krrish 3 will have the widest release for an Indian film ever. The expected screen count including regional versions is around 4100. Although this could change as some screens get finalised as late as the Wednesday before release.
Runtime: The film has been passed with a ‘U’ certificate. The runtime is exactly 2 hours 33 minutes, so the turnaround time (between two shows) at multiplexes will be around 3 hours. The runtime is just about right, not as long as Agneepath (2 hours 54 minutes) and not too short as single-screens audience don’t consider films that are less than 2 hours to be ‘paisa-vasool’. Exhibitors can easily screen 5 shows a day, a few theatres that start early could squeeze in 6 shows a day per screen.
Records: For opening day and weekend records, timing of release and luck are huge factors. Unfortunately, Krrish 3 isn’t getting the best of dates. Opening day is not a national holiday and the film is releasing during the pre-Diwali period. Sunday is Diwali puja, which has a huge impact on collections. While the film has an outside chance of breaking the opening day record, 3-day weekend records (currently held by Chennai Express) are likely to be out of reach. More on the records that Krrish 3 chases in a separate article.
We are changing our format slightly for the box office predictions of Krrish 3, as a lot of people have requested day-wise predictions. Here it is then Krrish 3 box office predictions..
IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
- Day 1 – 28 crore
- Day 2 – 25 crore
- Day 3 – 20 crore (Diwali puja)
- Weekend – 73 crores
- Day 4 – 25 crore
- First Week – 140 crores
- Final – 200 crores+ (Blockbuster)
IF AVERAGE (mixed response)
- Day 1 – 26 crore
- Day 2 – 22 crore
- Day 3 – 17 crore (Diwali puja)
- Weekend – 65 crores
- Day 4 – 19 crore
- First Week – 120 crores
- Final – 170 crores (Super Hit)
IF BAD (worst case scenario)
- Day 1 – 24 cr
- Day 2 – 18 cr
- Day 3 – 14 cr (Diwali puja)
- Weekend – 56 cr
- Day 4 – 13 cr
- First Week – 88 cr
- Final – 105 cr (Flop / Below Average)
Even in the worst case scenario, Krrish 3 should cross the 100 crore mark, but as we have seen with films like Besharam, box office is and always has been highly unpredictable. If the response is close to as good as any of their last 3 films, the Chennai Express record could well be in danger of being eclipsed. But since Krrish 3 is such a risky film, is could all go terribly wrong too.
The trade has its fingers crossed, as the Diwali period has always been highly lucrative for the industry. The combined business that Jab Tak Hai Jaan and Son Of Sardar generated last year was 200 cr+
It’s going to be an exciting time for the industry and for all the box office fanatics here on Indicine. In-depth reports, box office comparisons, records.. we will cover it all here.
For now, tell us what you think. Will Krrish 3 take the box office by storm? Will the film go on to be massive hit or sink without a trace? Its Hrithik’s time to shine, can he? That’s the big question.
Post your comments below.
Note: Any irrelevant or silly comments will be deleted. Don’t bother posting.
On the whole, KRRISH-3 has the ingredients that make a splendid superhero film, besides being Rakesh Roshan’s most accomplished work so far. Besides a riveting plot, the film scores brownie points thanks to the strong undercurrent of emotions, the clash between the protagonist and antagonist/mutants, the awe-inspiring visual effects, the larger-than-life entertainment and of course, Hrithik Roshan, who is matchless in this avtaar. It’s a Diwali bonanza for moviegoers across the globe and is sure to conclude the celebratory period on a high. BLOCKBUSTER.
It’s not mine. But really, the writer has written it well: http://www.twitlonger.com/show/n_1rqq7bn
the movie is damn gud…one must go n watch this movie.
It is such a hopeless movie. Its got just gas, no substance. I wonder how come people are liking it. And Hrithik truly sucks.
this taran adarsh should be whipped….. always bragging.. doesn’t find any negative in any film ..at least those who feed him well pakka thief… hate him… never believe him..hopeless film and review .. don’t believe anyone .. believe only self.. if you wish to see a stale film go ahead.. but if you wait and want to see something different than wait for it to be delivered to you!!!
I have grown up on Shiva ka insaaf, Ajooba and Toofan so when Krrish3 claims to be India’s first superhero I don’t buy that. Krrish didn’t quite worked for me the way Koi mil gaya did so my expectations with Krrish3 was quite low and the little bit of dialogue promos that I saw kind of prepared me for the cheesy melodrama that awaits.
The film is kid friendly and is perfect for a diwali vacation outing. These days when kids are watching rowdy rathore, boss and films of that kind I’d rather prefer them watching a mediocre superhero films over that. For me it was like watching a Malegaon version of Krrish. It is so cheesy and campy in its story telling that the best way to enjoy this film is with dollops of sense of humour.
Ideas are borrowed from x men and a climax that will make you wonder if they shot it after watching man of steel. But, in the world of filmkraft a mutant can fall in love after one kiss and also get a romantic number shot in exotic location because she is Kangana Ranaut (the only convincing character amongst all). The story is so corny that I would give anything to get my hands on the video tapes of its story sittings if something like that exists.
Every time Vivek Oberoi came on screen I would wonder whether he and his mutants will dance to ‘iss kaal kaal mein hum tum kare dhamaal’. And by the way the mutants here are called maanvar. How very creative!
Hrithik Roshan should not risk his health over this super hero franchise and next time should get himself a better new age suit.
Word of mouth – if your idea of Diwali blockbuster is to burn your pockets by watching a messed up superhero flick then please go ahead and fry your brains with Krrish 3.
Rating – ** ½ (wont kill you)
Ticket meter – worth 200 bucks (only for the unintentional entertainment it provides
this is what a review should be!!!!