IndicineLBO Update and Trade notes:
- Airlift remains the only big success so far this year. All other films have disappointed.
- Fitoor has been the biggest disappointment, as it’s unlikely to recover even its marketing expenses. The distributor’s share will struggle to cross the 15 crore mark, the film should finish with lifetime business of around 25 crore.
- Love Shuddha and Neerja release this week. The Sonam Kapoor film might take a decent opening at the box office, there is interest to watch the film. As for Love Shuddha, not many are even aware of the fact that the film is releasing this weekend.
- Kapoor and Sons was looking like yet another ‘Shaandaar’ from Dharma, but the theatrical trailer has received a overwhelmingly positive response. All eyes will now be on the music. Chull is a potential chartbuster, the first song promo will be out tomorrow. Kapoor and Sons is now trending above the 50 crore mark on IndicineLBO.
- The trailer of Ki and Ka was released at 2PM today, the initial response has been positive. We start IndicineFBO (first day prediction) of Ki and Ka at Rs 6.3 crore.
- Meanwhile, Shah Rukh Khan will begin the promotional campaign of FAN tomorrow. It’ll be the superstar’s first non-festive release after My Name Is Khan (2010) and also the first Khan film to release in the first half of the year after Jai Ho.
- The 2nd major shooting schedule of Rock On 2 has resumed.
- Sultan shoot is in progress in Mumbai, Anushka Sharma has begun shooting. The film is on schedule to release during Eid.
- Akshay Kumar has started shooting for Rustom, he has also allocated around 65 days to shoot for the costliest Indian film of all time Robot 2.0. There are reports that sets used to shoot one action scene, has cost the makers more than the production costs of most other Tamil films.
- Reports of Raees shoot getting disrupted has been highly exaggerated in the media, the Gujarat government has beefed up the security and police force has ensured that the shoot progressed smoothly. Shah Rukh is shooting about 10 kilometres to the south of Ahmedabad. The Bhuj schedule was wrapped up last week.
- Hrithik’s injury is said to have delayed the first schedule of Sanjay Gupta’s Kaabil (unconfirmed)
| Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
| Dilwale | Mixed | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Bajirao Mastani | Extremely Positive | 168 cr | 187 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Wazir | Mixed | 35 cr | 40 cr | 14% | Accurate | |
| Airlift | Positive | 143 cr | 127 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | Negative | 34 cr | 31 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Mastizaade | Mixed | 29 cr | 32 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Saala Khadoos | Negative | 16 cr | 14 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Ghayal Once Again | Mixed | 39 cr | 36 cr* | 8% | Accurate | |
| Sanam Re | Mixed | 28 cr | 29 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Fitoor | Extremely Negative | 23 cr | 19 cr | 17% | Inaccurate | |
| Neerja | Positive | 70 cr | 74 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Teraa Surroor | Negative | 12 cr | 13 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Rocky Handsome | Negative | 26 cr | 25 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
| Jai Gangaajal | Negative | 33 cr | 32 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Kapoor & Sons | Positive | 66 cr | 72 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Ki And Ka | Positive | 54 cr | 53 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Fan | Negative | 95 cr | 84 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Baaghi | Positive | 84 cr | 75 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Azhar | Negative | 35 cr | 33 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
| Sarabjit | Mixed | 26 cr | 28 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
| Housefull 3 | Mixed | 105 cr | 107 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Udta Punjab | Mixed | 72 cr | 59 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Sultan | Positive | 305 cr | 302 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Dishoom | Mixed | 62 cr | 69 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Mohenjo Daro | Negative | 54 cr | 59 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Rustom | Positive | 102 cr | 126 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
| Happy Bhag Jayegi | Mixed | 21 cr | 26 cr | 24% | Inaccurate | |
| A Flying Jatt | Negative | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Akira | Mixed | 27 cr | 28 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Baar Baar Dekho | Negative | 38 cr | 31 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Raaz Reboot | Negative | 28 cr | 27 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Pink | Positive | 54 cr | 65 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
| M S Dhoni biopic | Mixed | 138 cr | 133 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
| Mirzya | Negative | 9 cr | 10 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Shivaay | Mixed | 95 cr | 96 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Ae Dil Hai Mushkil | Mixed | 102 cr | 111 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Rock On 2 | Negative | 13 cr | 10 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
| Force 2 | Mixed | 35 cr | 34 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Dear Zindagi | Positive | 65 cr | 66 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Befikre | Negative | 58 cr | 60 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Dangal | Pending | 315 cr | - | - | - | |
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@Fasal Kerala…. go and cut fasal (crops)… don’t need ur explanation on Raees Star cast 9/10 and Sultan 10/10… u r saying that if Anushka were in Raees then Raees 10/10 but u Shameless guys PRDP’s star cast was also 10/10 without anushka or kareena or deepika (the actress who is the only saving grace for srk eg : HNY & CE. with out SRK’s aukat is below 150 eg : Dilwale 149 )
FAN-125 crs
Housefull3-160 crs
Sultan-190 crs with clash
Raees-155 crs with clash
Mohejodaro-170 crs
Dangal- anywhere between 160-200 crs..
@Javed yeah Salman never give a Single HGOTY in his life ! Salman never give a single Highest grosser of the Decade ! Infact in 2015 not salman who give 500cr domestic 1000cr ww its Srk :) m i right or wrong ? ?
Lol, Hro/Srk/akki fans burning after seeing Dangal’s prediction. ? ?
Too much fun!
Dude, this is Aamir, king of quality movies. Aamir has given 4 ATHG and ATBBs on Xmas.
If any, indicine has under reported Dangal’s collections to only 260 bcoz of its niche genre.
Aamir+Xmas = Content+ Records. Mind it.
Most Accurate Lifetime predictions is for :
Fan .. 250Cr
Houseful 3 .. 115 Cr
Raees .. 230Cr(clash)
Sultan .. 130 Cr(clash)
MOHENJO DARO .. 140Cr
Rustom .. 70 Cr
Shivaay .. 120Cr
Dangal .. 135 Cr
@Komal Nahi Hai Nahata to add on..Aamir 2 weeks before X’Mas is Talaash…? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
good predictions
#200+ cr movies of 2016:
1.sultan
2. Dangal
3. Mohen daro
4. Raees
5. Fan
#100+ movies of 2016:
1. Housefull 3
2.befikre
3. Dishoom
4. Rustom
5. shivay
#50-100 cr movies of 2016:
1. Ae Dil hai mushkil
2. Gai gangaajal
3. Jagga jasoos
4. Kapoor and sons
5. Udta Punjab
6. ms Dhoni’s biopic
;)
@Komal Nahi Nahata, for your kind information, GLOBAL MEGASTAR AAMIR has not only given 4 ATBBs and ATHGs on christmas but 4 ATBBs and 4 ATHGs and 3 ATBBS and ATHGs in overseas in within just a gap of only 6 years which averages to 1.5 years of each ATHGs. that’s his status. no bhojpuri wala or lungi wala can come close to a megastar aamir khan. they will always fight for 2nd or 3rd position as aamir is way above all these losers. also AAMIR IS THE ONLY MEGASTAR WHO HAS GIVEN MOST NUMBER OF QUALITY BLOCKBUSTERS while others can’t even dare to do quality movies due to insecurity. predicting even 350 cr for DANGAL with clash to bahubali is also too less for a MEGASTAR AAMIR KHAN FILM. it will cross 400 crores in worst case. and if reviews are as positive as 3 idiots or taare zameen par, then 500 cr club will be a cake walk.
My predictions for Big movies with big boys :
According to me only 5 movies in 2016 have the potential to do more than 200 crores (with mixed to positive wom) and they are:
1. Dangal
2. Sultan
3. Mohenja Daro
4. Raees
4. Shivaay
Now the predictions :
1. Dangal : 260 – 350 crs (if released solo and not a niche film with less entertainment)
2. Sultan : 150 – 210 crs (with clash) / 280 – 330 crs (without clash)
3. Mohenja Daro : 140-190 crs (with clash) / 200-260 crs (solo)
4. Raees : 120-150 crs (with clash) / 170-240 crs (solo)
5 . Shivaay : 115-145 crs (with clash) / 150-200 crs (solo)
NOTE : Housefull 3 is not Akki’s solo movie. I have no hopes with Rustam.
100 crs club (may be):
Befikre
FAN
Rock on 2
Dishoom !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@Thug, so what? unlike your papa’s jadooo toy playing kid Rohit whose none flying kites and mosquito ki guzaarish couldnt cross 40 cr in 2010. isn’t it a shame? LOL. your useless jadoo toy is not even worth comparing megastar aamir khan’s shoes. so better shut up and back off. neither salman could cross 40 cr in 2008 when megastar aamir khan opened 100 cr club. in stardom no one can match megastar aamir khan. one more thing for you. your TikTIk couldnt have crossed even 20 cr lifetime if he starred in talaash and even with festive release it would have fallen below 20 cr life time record. aukaat me reh. talking about stardom? LOL.
I don’t think house full 3 will collect 161 crore…