IndicineLBO Update and Trade notes:
- Airlift remains the only big success so far this year. All other films have disappointed.
- Fitoor has been the biggest disappointment, as it’s unlikely to recover even its marketing expenses. The distributor’s share will struggle to cross the 15 crore mark, the film should finish with lifetime business of around 25 crore.
- Love Shuddha and Neerja release this week. The Sonam Kapoor film might take a decent opening at the box office, there is interest to watch the film. As for Love Shuddha, not many are even aware of the fact that the film is releasing this weekend.
- Kapoor and Sons was looking like yet another ‘Shaandaar’ from Dharma, but the theatrical trailer has received a overwhelmingly positive response. All eyes will now be on the music. Chull is a potential chartbuster, the first song promo will be out tomorrow. Kapoor and Sons is now trending above the 50 crore mark on IndicineLBO.
- The trailer of Ki and Ka was released at 2PM today, the initial response has been positive. We start IndicineFBO (first day prediction) of Ki and Ka at Rs 6.3 crore.
- Meanwhile, Shah Rukh Khan will begin the promotional campaign of FAN tomorrow. It’ll be the superstar’s first non-festive release after My Name Is Khan (2010) and also the first Khan film to release in the first half of the year after Jai Ho.
- The 2nd major shooting schedule of Rock On 2 has resumed.
- Sultan shoot is in progress in Mumbai, Anushka Sharma has begun shooting. The film is on schedule to release during Eid.
- Akshay Kumar has started shooting for Rustom, he has also allocated around 65 days to shoot for the costliest Indian film of all time Robot 2.0. There are reports that sets used to shoot one action scene, has cost the makers more than the production costs of most other Tamil films.
- Reports of Raees shoot getting disrupted has been highly exaggerated in the media, the Gujarat government has beefed up the security and police force has ensured that the shoot progressed smoothly. Shah Rukh is shooting about 10 kilometres to the south of Ahmedabad. The Bhuj schedule was wrapped up last week.
- Hrithik’s injury is said to have delayed the first schedule of Sanjay Gupta’s Kaabil (unconfirmed)
| Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
| Dilwale | Mixed | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Bajirao Mastani | Extremely Positive | 168 cr | 187 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Wazir | Mixed | 35 cr | 40 cr | 14% | Accurate | |
| Airlift | Positive | 143 cr | 127 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | Negative | 34 cr | 31 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Mastizaade | Mixed | 29 cr | 32 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
| Saala Khadoos | Negative | 16 cr | 14 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Ghayal Once Again | Mixed | 39 cr | 36 cr* | 8% | Accurate | |
| Sanam Re | Mixed | 28 cr | 29 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Fitoor | Extremely Negative | 23 cr | 19 cr | 17% | Inaccurate | |
| Neerja | Positive | 70 cr | 74 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
| Teraa Surroor | Negative | 12 cr | 13 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
| Rocky Handsome | Negative | 26 cr | 25 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
| Jai Gangaajal | Negative | 33 cr | 32 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Kapoor & Sons | Positive | 66 cr | 72 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Ki And Ka | Positive | 54 cr | 53 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Fan | Negative | 95 cr | 84 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Baaghi | Positive | 84 cr | 75 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Azhar | Negative | 35 cr | 33 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
| Sarabjit | Mixed | 26 cr | 28 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
| Housefull 3 | Mixed | 105 cr | 107 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
| Udta Punjab | Mixed | 72 cr | 59 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Sultan | Positive | 305 cr | 302 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Dishoom | Mixed | 62 cr | 69 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Mohenjo Daro | Negative | 54 cr | 59 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Rustom | Positive | 102 cr | 126 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
| Happy Bhag Jayegi | Mixed | 21 cr | 26 cr | 24% | Inaccurate | |
| A Flying Jatt | Negative | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
| Akira | Mixed | 27 cr | 28 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Baar Baar Dekho | Negative | 38 cr | 31 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
| Raaz Reboot | Negative | 28 cr | 27 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Pink | Positive | 54 cr | 65 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
| M S Dhoni biopic | Mixed | 138 cr | 133 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
| Mirzya | Negative | 9 cr | 10 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
| Shivaay | Mixed | 95 cr | 96 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Ae Dil Hai Mushkil | Mixed | 102 cr | 111 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
| Rock On 2 | Negative | 13 cr | 10 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
| Force 2 | Mixed | 35 cr | 34 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Dear Zindagi | Positive | 65 cr | 66 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
| Befikre | Negative | 58 cr | 60 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
| Dangal | Pending | 315 cr | - | - | - | |
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Sultan and dangal both having 10/10 in starcast but FAN and Raees both having 9/10 in starcast????
What u wanna prove indicine???
U r very accurate and responsible site for ur visitors so please let us know about the above difference?????
The worldwide collection of Dilwale with clash is equal to the solo PRDP and u giving SRK 9/10 and Aamir&salman 10/10
We can digest 9 for FAN cause only SRK is there but what about RAEED dont u know NAWAZUDDIN SIDDQUE IS ALSO IN THE MOVIE AND YET YOU GIVEN RAAES 9/10????
ON WHICH BASIS U GIVEN THESE NUMBERS JUST LET US KNOW
@indicine please dont change FAN collections after the song or trailer release keep it 138cr and dont even change after first weekend than u will realise ur real aukaat
@Naresh, we do not need any ‘aukaat’ certificate from you. We have been running the site for 10 years now and know what we are talking about. Exactly the same things were said when we predicted 145 crore for Dilwale.
First try and understand how LBO predictions work, it’s obviously changed after the trailer, songs and finally depending on opening response. At the end of the day, it’s just a prediction which can turn out to be accurate or inaccurate.
Comments like the one you posted are really irritating.
I have a strong feeling that…
Sultan collections >>>>>> combined collections of fan+ raees…!!!
Indicine prediction looks accurate but the only prediction which can go wrong is dangal , if it clashes with bahubali it will end below 200crs & if solo release 320 crs.
Adhm will crush shivaay very badly
Adhm- 250 cr+
Shivaay -120 cr
Back off
@ARK….U R RI8 BRO THEY BHAITARDS DONT KNOW THE POWER OF KING
HE WAS THE KING
HE IS THE KING
HE WILL THE KING
none of the new comers (including salman also) have the potential to replace KING SRK
Salman is new comer becos nobody knows who is salman…… before 2010 he is giving back 2 back disaster….
Thank god south movie saved SALMAN’S career ……
Airlift is becomes a blockbuster because of +ve wom or outstanding film but he is bacck again with jokerfull 3 ,joker pagal deewana 2
Flop
@ fan of raees- that 9 star are for nawaz acording srkians logic main reason for blockbuster kick. value of srk is 0 and he will become negative star because his fans like him in negative roles.
Some idiots always predict 300cr/400cr for each srk release (in this article too). But in reality, he has been struggling to give a 230cr grosser for years and he needs a few birth more to give a 230cr grosser.
He has been also struggling to give a HGOTY since last eight years and will continue struggling for until his death.
#Mark my words!!!!!
I guess you had written somewhere Dangal doesn’t have an out-n-out commercial appeal. Also it doesn’t have any famous leading ladies opposite Aamir nor does it have a blockbuster franchise factor or a top notch director. Considering all these factors how did you come to a calculation that Dangal gonna rake in 262 cr? Isn’t that a bit too much considering there is only Aamir to pull this movie?
@indicine prediction is ok…
but you underrated the prediction of Fan & Raees…And also overrated in Dangl & Sultan…
Sultan is believable but Dangal is it a niche gener it not Appealing in single screen & mass center but why you are giving 262 cr to dangal ? it is wrong…
My prediction
1. Fan 170 cr
2. Raees 240 cr
3. Sultan 205 cr
4. Dangal 190 cr ( without x-ma’s 140 cr )
He has yet to touch 70cr mark with non festive releases but #indicine predicts 140cr+ for his upcoming non festive release. Still some morons are challeging #indicine and chanting 250cr/300cr for fan….hahaha..
In mohenjedaro n rustom clash i dont agree with ur predictions indicine..ur predictions will be accurate only on one condition that if hrithiks film gets extremely positive wom and rustom gets extremely negative..if hf3 becomes big success then the table could turn towards akkis film..i think mohenjedaro would collect around 150 and rustom around 100 to 110..dont underestimate akki- neeraj combination..
@javeda:
5:59pm:
Don’t forget Mr srk hasn’t touched even 70cr till now on non holiday period but #indicine has predicted more than double of it I.e 141cr. #indicine is not dumb unlike you srk fan base to predict 300cr for each srk release!!!
6:02pm:
Exactly, srk needs content, positive WOM and excellent reviews to give a hit movie just like Kangna, Ranveer, Akki etc. Hence, all of them are in the same league in terms of stardom… LOL.
@Indicine , hahaha too much fun ..
weekends mein aata hu weekdays mein nahi … too much fun !!!!!!!!!
My prediction for top 5 grossers of the year….
1. SULTAN- 300cr+. (without clash).
2. Dangal- 280cr+.
3. Mohenjodaro- 180cr+.
4. Raees- 140cr. (Without clash).
#indicine gives….
Fan/raees starcast- 9.
Sultan starcast- 10.
It clears all the doubts regarding the stardom of Bhai & srk…!!
So many people are asking why Sultan star cast is 10/10 and Raees is 9/10?
Salman & SRK both have huge Stardom… If Sultan actress is Mahira, then starcast = 9/10.. If Raees actress is Anushka, then starcast = 10/10..
Stardom wise SRK is huge, he always faces clashes.. Salman has more Appeal in mass centre and SRK in multiplexes..
I have Also a strong feeling that…
Raees collections >>>>>> combined
collections of Sultan + Dangal…!!!
those who are telling SRK non-holiday collection is mnik… Really….
@indicine Rabne banade jodi is a non holiday release?
Excellent article..
@aki, Ara uncle are u still alive ?????
yes I was saying sooooo ….
and I do not see it sensible to discuss with a guy like you ….!!!!!
Even at that night I had no clue whether dilwale would face protest or no …!!!!
that’s is enough to say …!!!!
This @Tiger is really brainless…Lol
someone please tell him that his 2008 non festive release crossed 85 crores…when our bhai ws struggling to achieve even 40Crs..EVEN WITH A EID RELEASE 2009 BHAIJAAN FAILED TO BEAT SRK’S NON FESTIVE RELEASE RNBDJ
@indicine why u are not allowing my comment we salman fans already won the clash as ur predictions so once again its proved SALMAN IS BIGGEST STAR EVER.
FAN starcast- 9 coz of SRK only…
Sultan starcast- 10 coz of SalmanKhan+AnushkaSharma+RandeepHooda
HOPE IT CLEARS THE MISUNDERSTANDING
calm down guysss..
@Legend meant our Bhaijaan is yet to cross 60Crs without holiday release..
As JaiHo was released on Republic day (if Eid falls on sunday doesn’t mean that d movie wud b considered as non-holiday release)
and Ready was a post IPL release like HOUSEFULL3,TWMR,YJHD,ROWDY RATHORE ETC…which is considered as better release date…
soo someone please ask @Legend the highest grosser of our poor bhaijaan without holiday release ????hope bhaijaan wud hv crossed 50Crs
I have a feeling that 2016 is make or break year for srk. Fan doesnot have action,comedy,romance so what is it .
here s the grand final prediction of d year……………….tan tana……….
HGOTY -there is competition between SULTAN DANGAL MOHENJODARO AND FAN
RAEES IS 150-250 movie mixed word of mouth range is for d clash.wont get positive reviews.
SHIVAAY will be in top 5 or 6 it is near 200 movie
100 crore grossers will be HOSEFULL 3 AZHAR AND BEFIKRE
AE DIL … RUSTOM HALF GIRLFRIEND AND MAY BE M S DHONI HAVE CHANCES OF 100 CRORES DEPENDING ON CONTENT WHICH SHOULD BE PHENOMENAL
NO CHANCE OF SUCCEEDING- SARABJIT CHACHI AISHWARYA KA PICTURE AB NAHI CHALNE WALA
Indicine has done a pretty good job .
We all know FAN is a low-budget film , made on around 80 crs . So even if it collects 140 crs , it will be a Superhit/Blockbuster .
On the other hand Raees has an even lower scale and budget . Insider reports tell that budget is merely 70 crs . And if it goes above 210 crs – it’ll be a Blockbuster/All Time Blockbuster .
Reasonable predictions .
On the other hand Mohenjodaro has a very high budget – over 120 crs , hence collecting 190 crs is necessary to get at least Super Hit verdict .
Problem is with Shivaay . Its budget is reportedly above 150 crs . Collecting 120 crs will result in a failure (perhaps a Flop) .