It’s that time of the year when we begin looking forward to what’s in store for the new year. 2017 is packed with almost all major weekends booked well in advance.
Salman Khan has taken two of the biggest festive weekends of 2017 – Tubelight on Eid and Tiger Zinda Hai on Christmas. The biggest superstar from the south, Rajnikanth, takes the Diwali weekend for his next film ‘2.o’ also starring Akshay Kumar as the lead villain.
Shah Rukh Khan has announced his film with Imtiaz Ali for the ‘Independence Day’ weekend, while Varun Dhawan has booked ‘Judwaa 2’ for the extended Dusshera – Gandhi Jayanti weekend next year.
For our initial ‘IndicineLBO’ predictions for 2017, we decided to ask people from the trade, industry and a few others who we think are ‘box office aware’ and can give us realistic predictions. More than 60 people were asked, most of them from the trade (exhibitors, distributors etc) for their expectations and the number in the table below is the ‘average’ of all predictions that they made.
Check it out:
Movie | Date | LBO |
---|---|---|
Ok Jaanu | Jan 13 | 46 crore |
Kaabil | Jan 25 | 82 crore |
Raees | Jan 25 | 131 crore |
Jolly LLB 2 | Feb 10 | 86 crore |
Rangoon | Feb 24 | 53 crore |
Commando 2 | Mar 03 | 30 crore |
Badrinath Ki Dulhania | Mar 10 | 98 crore |
Sarkar 3 | Mar 17 | 41 crore |
Phillauri | Mar 24 | 32 crore |
Naam Shabana | Mar 31 | 34 crore |
Jagga Jasoos | Apr 7 | 73 crore |
Fast and Furious 8 | Apr 14 | 108 crore |
Bahubali 2 | Apr 28 | 176 crore |
Meri Pyaari Bindu | May 12 | 38 crore |
Half Girlfriend | May 19 | 96 crore |
Toilet Ek Prem Katha | June 2 | 84 crore |
Raabta | June 9 | 52 crore |
Tubelight | Eid | 307 crore |
Munna Michael | July 7 | 68 crore |
Bareilly Ki Barfi | July 21 | 31 crore |
Mubarakan | July 28 | 67 crore |
Secret Superstar | Aug 4 | 54 crore |
SRK-Imtiaz Film | Aug 11 | 173 crore |
Baadshaho | Sep 1 | 75 crore |
Simran | Sept 15 | 23 crore |
Judwaa 2 | Sep 29 | 118 crore |
Robot 2 | Diwali | 150 crore |
Padmavati | Nov 17 | 115 crore |
Tiger Zinda Hai | Christmas | 295 crore |
Note: All predictions were asked to be made on the assumption that the films will carry ‘mixed to good’ word-of-mouth. The above mentioned films could collect a lot less if they are rejected or much more if the word-of-mouth is excellent.
Some points:
- Salman Khan films are in a different league altogether when it comes to trade expectations. The trade and the industry expect Kabir Khan’s Tubelight to become the highest grosser of the year, followed very closely by ’Tiger Zinda Hai’. The high expectations are understandable too as Salman should get a solo release during two of the biggest weekends of 2017.
- The trade believes only two films – Tubelight and Tiger Zinda Hai – will cross the 200 crore mark next year.
- Expectations are high from the two South films - Baahubali: The Conclusion and Robot 2.0 – both potential 150 crore plus grossers in Hindi.
- The two Shah Rukh Khan films are expected to score somewhere around the 150 crore mark too. Raees, the trade believes, will win the clash against Kaabil by a fairly big margin. The Imtiaz Ali film carries high expectations, it has a good weekend too and should get a solo release.
- If Varun Dhawan manages to achieve the kind of numbers that the trade expects out of him, he’ll take big strides in the industry in 2017. He has the biggie ‘Judwaa 2’, which has a fantastic release date.
- Akshay Kumar has two slightly off-beat films in 2017, which explains why Jolly LLB 2 and Toilet: Ek Prem Katha are carrying ’80 crore’ expectations. He could over-achieve if those films turn out to be very well made, Toilet could get tax exemptions too.
- Padmavati was the big shocker to us, because the film is being made on a massive budget and Bhansali is returning after Bajirao Mastani. But the trade doesn’t trust Sanjay Leela Bhansali until he actually delivers.
- Arjun Kapoor too could have a solid 2017 if his two films – Half Girlfriend and Mubarakan – work at the box office. Both films are expected to appeal to a wider section of the audience.
- Aamir Khan only has a cameo in ‘Secret Superstar’, but very little is known about the film. The expectations are quite high because it’s being produced under the ‘Aamir Khan Productions’ banner.
Great 2 c Salman fans comments right @ D top of dis article
@THUG,yes we in our normal mental state but u know what just bcz of RR & filmcraft Kaabil is releasing beside Raess otherwise we know how is Hrithik feeling as of now bcz he knows he won’t win here in any case
#LOL ?
@ rangil
Totally wrong 300cr is the least expect from Salman movie in nowadays…..
If V predicts 500 Cr 600 Cr for tubelight or tzh den it will sky limit….
Yes when it comes to others 250 Cr is a sky limit ,…lol ex — SRK, akki
To all my fellow Salmaniac, please don’t argue with Indicine on TZH prediction, I know that it will collect more than what Indicine is predicting but, think this nothing is revealed yet about the movie and still they are predicting 295cr (almost 300cr) which is BIG number……So let them keep this number, and later when movie cross their prediction it will give us more joy and happiness…..Remember for Sultan also they start their prediction with 235cr and final prediction ends at 305cr…..Same will happen with TZH also…..So please clam down, still with these prediction total collection of both movie is 602cr which is another HUGE RECORD……
That means not a single film will beat PK… Again recordless year…
Dangal-370cr..
Aamir ka record sirf Aamir hi tod sakta hein
@prashant….lol 120 Cr in 5 days.
Hey bro come 2 earth first…den predict……
There is a movie called KAABIL releasing same day & last year airlift only managed to cross 120 life time with solo run & positive wom…..
TZH N TUBELIGHT both will rock at Bo 1200-1300crs combine collections
What crap is this ??? @indicine
Lol u r expecting bkd n half gf to help n boost non actors arjun varun career…
Shraadha alia r going to take away all credit..
@romance ….. Lol come 2 earth…..
Idiotic @ it’s best
where is crack
@romance……..first of all hope ur idol to deliver 100 Cr first den looks for anything above…….
When SRK fans start predict we can laugh hard…..
2 much fun
Akki had two offbeat films airlift n rustom in 2016 as well but both did very well and went on to score nearly 130 individually even though u had predicted both to score around 85 CR’s initially in ur lbo predictions.this year too if word of mouth is positive for jolly n toilet both can do more than 100 CR’s especially jolly bcoz its first part was immensely liked.
Good jokes indicine !! Lol tubelight will never collect more than 200 crore its complete and utter crap naam sunke hi koi movie nhi dekhega and Tiger murda hai 250 crore ke andar simat jayegi aur how dare u say raees will collect only 131 crore ?? R u kidding me ?? 200 crores is definitely on the cards just wait and watch
@indicine
Why have not you taken in consideration the GST factor when post-April (if GST implemented) movies would have better NET collections because of less average Entertainment Tax ?
Hehe lol u r saying Srk-Imtiaz movie will collect only 173 crore hahaha itna to pehle weekend me hi kama legi !! Dont underestimate SRK
My prediction
1) Tubelight: 350 cr ww: 680 cr
2) TZH: 345 cr ww: 650 cr
3) Padmavati: 185 ww: 350 cr
4) The Ring: 185 cr ww: 400 cr
EAGERLY WAITING FOR
ROBOT 2
JOLLY
RAEES
TOILET EK PREM KATHA
According to Trade,
TUBELIGHT >>>> Raees + Srk-Imtiaz movie……This says all…
@thug
Lol lol lol
OK then tell me why they didn’t choose pongal …????
Why only Diwali..??
Answer is simple makers want to cover whole Indian market that is why Diwali
Btw had Hrithik been casted in 2.0 instead of Akshay would jadoo fans like you and @indicine still considered it an rajnikant film ????
I m in my senses but I hope Hrithik fans don’t lose their senses after kaabil and raees clash
May be TZH can out gross Tubelight if TZH will be made good commercial like D3…
Which is going to be a biggest flop of 2017?
Like for Tubelight
Dislike for TZH
I can guarantee srk-imtiaz will cross 200 crore easily
2017 and 2018 will be srks year
My Prediction for Akshay Kumar Movies. …
Jolly LLB 2 – 130 – 150 cr
Naam Sabana – 50- 65 cr
Toilet Ek Prem Katha – 120 – 140 cr
2.O – 150 -175 cr
TOP 5 OF 2017
1> TUBELIGHT – 400cr 1st ever
2> TZH – 400cr 1st ever if tubelight miss
3> ROBOT 2.0 – 200cr in Hindi
4> BAHUBALI – 200cr in Hindi
5> GOLMAAL4 – 150cr
——–
As par REPUBIC DAY releases
• KAABIL – 135cr
• RAEES – Less than 100cr mind it SRK fans and his fans clubs sites
@thug as far as I know rajnikant doesn’t need any festival to release his movies then why 2.0 on Diwali?????
Even kabali did 185+ without any holidays???
And if Shankar Rajnikant had a say in release date then 2.0 would have arrived on pongal 2018 (biggest festival of South India) isn’t???
Salman Khan is the king of box-office
Srk imtiaz next will do 210cr cz it have a massive weekend. If the movie is good 200cr won’t be hard.
To everyone who is saying that indicine in underestimating SRK, let me tell you, till date he has only crossed 150cr twice. Both of them were full on masala movies with solo release on Holiday (though CE faced OATIMD after six days). Raees best case is 150, because it is only one holiday with clash in a dull month. The Ring’s prediction is at 173cr because Imtiaz does not make wide appealing films, and the movie is again shot in overseas, plus combined collection of MJD and Rustom were 190cr.
I will say that Salman is being overestimated. Both BB and Sultan were movies with great WOM and full commercial appeal. Everything has to be perfect for Tubelight and TZH to achieve these numbers. If any single thing doesn’t turn out perfect, well, you can look at PRDP yourself, it finished below 200cr despite such an incredible release date and everything in it’s favour (Salman after BB, huge appeal to families and rural areas, huge opening).
Eid with 300 and 173 with only one day holiday is bigger then that