Undoubtedly the biggest movie of the year so far, Gabbar Is Back releases in theatres tomorrow. The film has a universally acceptable genre, fairly popular music and releases on a holiday too (in most parts of the country, including major states like Maharastra, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, West Bengal, Tamilnadu and a few others).
On the other hand, the absence of a super-popular chartbuster song and a strangely low-key marketing strategy has meant that the opening day occupancy may not be as high as Rowdy Rathore.
[advert]
Gabbar Is Back is expected to take a good opening at single-screens, but it’ll be the multiplex business (especially in metro cities) that will be the key to the film putting up good weekend numbers. In the last few years, the multiplex business of Akshay Kumar films has slowly but steadily declined. Even a much-awaited film like Baby didn’t open well at the box office, but went on to do reasonably well because of good content and strong word-of-mouth publicity.
Considering the costs and competition from other films in the coming weeks, Gabbar Is Back would have to perform as well as Rowdy Rathore in its first weekend.
We expect the film to collect Rs 13 crore on its opening day. Such films usually drop on Saturday, but if the word-of-mouth is good, it could collect 40 crore or more in its first weekend.
Gabbar Is Back Box Office Predictions
IF VERY GOOD (excellent word-of-mouth)
- Day 1 – 14 cr
- Day 2 - 15 cr
- Day 3 - 17 cr
- Week 1 – 72 crore
- Total Collections – 120 crore+ (Hit / Super Hit)
IF AVERAGE (mixed response)
- Day 1 – 13 cr
- Day 2 – 13 cr
- Day 3 - 15 cr
- Week 1 – 62 crore
- Total Collections – 85 crore (Average)
IF BAD (worst case scenario)
- Day 1 – 12 cr
- Day 2 – 11 cr
- Day 3 – 12 cr
- Week 1 – 50 crore
- Total Collections – 60 crore (Flop)
IndicineFBO: Our final prediction for the opening day business of Gabbar Is Back is Rs 13 crore. We have accurately predicted the first day collections of 9 out of 12 films that have released this year. Check out the table below.
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Tevar | 6.5 | 7.05 cr | + 8% |
| Alone | 4 | 3.50 cr | - 12% |
| Hawaizaada | 1.25 | 0.6 cr | - 52% |
| Khamoshiyan | 1.75 | 1.92 cr | + 9% |
| Baby | 8.5 | 9.30 cr | + 9% |
| Dolly Ki Doli | 1.6 | 1.75 cr | + 9% |
| Shamitabh | 4.0 | 3.5 cr | - 12% |
| Roy | 8.5 | 10.4 | + 22% |
| Badlapur | 6.5 | 7 cr | + 7% |
| Dum Laga Ke Haisha | 1.25 | 1.1 | - 12% |
| Ab Tak Chhappan 2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | + 13% |
| NH10 | 2.75 | 3.35 | + 22% |
| Detective Byomkesh Bakshy | 4.5 | 4.25 | - 5% |
| Ek Paheli Leela | 5.25 | 5.30 | + 1% |
| Mr X | 4.2 | 4.5 | + 7% |
| Margarita With A Straw | 0.2 | 0.23 | + 1% |
| Gabbar Is Back | 13 | 13.05 | 0% |
| Piku | 5.5 | 5.32 | - 3% |
| Bombay Velvet | 9.5 | 5.2 | - 45% |
| Tanu Weds Manu Returns | 7.05 | 8.85 | + 25% |
| Welcome To Karachi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | 9.5 | 10.53 | + 11% |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | 5.75 | 5.04 | - 12% |
| ABCD 2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | + 14% |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | 30.4 | 27.25 | - 10% |
| Drishyam | 5.25 | 5.3 | + 1% |
| Bangistan | 2.5 | 1.1 | - 56% |
| Brothers | 15.5 | 15.2 | - 2% |
| All Is Well | 3.1 | 2.9 | - 6% |
| Manjhi | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
| Phantom | 7.6 | 8.46 | 11% |
| Welcome Back | 11.5 | 14.35 | + 24% |
| Hero | 7.5 | 6.85 | - 8% |
| Katti Batti | 4.6 | 5.28 | - 14% |
| Calendar Girls | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon | 4.5 | 10.15 | + 125% |
| Singh Is Bling | 18.6 | 20.67 | +11% |
| Talvar | 3.3 | 3.0 | -9% |
| Jazbaa | 4.5 | 4.23 | -6% |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | 3.3 | 6.80 | + 103% |
| Shaandaar | 14.7 | 13.1 | -11% |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | 43.6 | 41.75 | -4% |
| Tamasha | 11.7 | 10.87 | 7% |
| Hate Story 3 | 9.4 | 9.72 | 3% |
| Dilwale | 25.2 | 21 | - 16% |
| Bajirao Mastani | 11.5 | 12.8 | + 11% |
Another 60cr hit for60cr clubs lone and only king Akki Sir.
movie..will hitt….first day 13 cr ..
It’s a flop with no more than 7 cr on day one
I m very nervous
akshays movies r unpredictable .
Rowdy Rathore became a blockbuster bt it was lukin a dull Film to me before release nd Khiladi 786 se umeed jyda thi bt after release it just opened 10 …
anything can happen .
gabbar have to do 120 anyhow to shut the mouth of Haters .
@Navin his last 3 films have done around 300 cr only in India ! He is a man for all seasons !cinema owners thanks akshay to release 4 films in a year ! his all films Atleast Gets 10 opening .
Gabbar is Back will take opening of 14cr on 1st day
Gaber movie can’t go up to 105 cr it will be an average movie. becouse akshay kumar give a hit movie after 5 movie.
Akshay kumar counting should not in the list of superstars. he is only a star.
gabbar 65-85 cr
velvet 75-110cr
baijaan 195-240cr
fan 130-175cr
prdp 165-205cr
dilwale 200-245cr
I have watched all the 3 versions. I hope they retain the ending of Ramanaa which has more impact than Tagore.. All the best Akki sir..
Hit Hai Boss Ek dum Hit
gabbar is back is very amazing movie.akshay is my favourite hero.gabbar movie hit movie of the year.basines is400cror.
Once again Akshay is prove it that he is versatile actor of Bollywood…..Great job.
best moviie akki is the best
akki is a GOD for me
Major thanks for the blog post.Really thank you! Great.