Undoubtedly the biggest movie of the year so far, Gabbar Is Back releases in theatres tomorrow. The film has a universally acceptable genre, fairly popular music and releases on a holiday too (in most parts of the country, including major states like Maharastra, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, West Bengal, Tamilnadu and a few others).
On the other hand, the absence of a super-popular chartbuster song and a strangely low-key marketing strategy has meant that the opening day occupancy may not be as high as Rowdy Rathore.
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Gabbar Is Back is expected to take a good opening at single-screens, but it’ll be the multiplex business (especially in metro cities) that will be the key to the film putting up good weekend numbers. In the last few years, the multiplex business of Akshay Kumar films has slowly but steadily declined. Even a much-awaited film like Baby didn’t open well at the box office, but went on to do reasonably well because of good content and strong word-of-mouth publicity.
Considering the costs and competition from other films in the coming weeks, Gabbar Is Back would have to perform as well as Rowdy Rathore in its first weekend.
We expect the film to collect Rs 13 crore on its opening day. Such films usually drop on Saturday, but if the word-of-mouth is good, it could collect 40 crore or more in its first weekend.
Gabbar Is Back Box Office Predictions
IF VERY GOOD (excellent word-of-mouth)
- Day 1 – 14 cr
- Day 2 - 15 cr
- Day 3 - 17 cr
- Week 1 – 72 crore
- Total Collections – 120 crore+ (Hit / Super Hit)
IF AVERAGE (mixed response)
- Day 1 – 13 cr
- Day 2 – 13 cr
- Day 3 - 15 cr
- Week 1 – 62 crore
- Total Collections – 85 crore (Average)
IF BAD (worst case scenario)
- Day 1 – 12 cr
- Day 2 – 11 cr
- Day 3 – 12 cr
- Week 1 – 50 crore
- Total Collections – 60 crore (Flop)
IndicineFBO: Our final prediction for the opening day business of Gabbar Is Back is Rs 13 crore. We have accurately predicted the first day collections of 9 out of 12 films that have released this year. Check out the table below.
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Tevar | 6.5 | 7.05 cr | + 8% |
| Alone | 4 | 3.50 cr | - 12% |
| Hawaizaada | 1.25 | 0.6 cr | - 52% |
| Khamoshiyan | 1.75 | 1.92 cr | + 9% |
| Baby | 8.5 | 9.30 cr | + 9% |
| Dolly Ki Doli | 1.6 | 1.75 cr | + 9% |
| Shamitabh | 4.0 | 3.5 cr | - 12% |
| Roy | 8.5 | 10.4 | + 22% |
| Badlapur | 6.5 | 7 cr | + 7% |
| Dum Laga Ke Haisha | 1.25 | 1.1 | - 12% |
| Ab Tak Chhappan 2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | + 13% |
| NH10 | 2.75 | 3.35 | + 22% |
| Detective Byomkesh Bakshy | 4.5 | 4.25 | - 5% |
| Ek Paheli Leela | 5.25 | 5.30 | + 1% |
| Mr X | 4.2 | 4.5 | + 7% |
| Margarita With A Straw | 0.2 | 0.23 | + 1% |
| Gabbar Is Back | 13 | 13.05 | 0% |
| Piku | 5.5 | 5.32 | - 3% |
| Bombay Velvet | 9.5 | 5.2 | - 45% |
| Tanu Weds Manu Returns | 7.05 | 8.85 | + 25% |
| Welcome To Karachi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | 9.5 | 10.53 | + 11% |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | 5.75 | 5.04 | - 12% |
| ABCD 2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | + 14% |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | 30.4 | 27.25 | - 10% |
| Drishyam | 5.25 | 5.3 | + 1% |
| Bangistan | 2.5 | 1.1 | - 56% |
| Brothers | 15.5 | 15.2 | - 2% |
| All Is Well | 3.1 | 2.9 | - 6% |
| Manjhi | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
| Phantom | 7.6 | 8.46 | 11% |
| Welcome Back | 11.5 | 14.35 | + 24% |
| Hero | 7.5 | 6.85 | - 8% |
| Katti Batti | 4.6 | 5.28 | - 14% |
| Calendar Girls | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon | 4.5 | 10.15 | + 125% |
| Singh Is Bling | 18.6 | 20.67 | +11% |
| Talvar | 3.3 | 3.0 | -9% |
| Jazbaa | 4.5 | 4.23 | -6% |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | 3.3 | 6.80 | + 103% |
| Shaandaar | 14.7 | 13.1 | -11% |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | 43.6 | 41.75 | -4% |
| Tamasha | 11.7 | 10.87 | 7% |
| Hate Story 3 | 9.4 | 9.72 | 3% |
| Dilwale | 25.2 | 21 | - 16% |
| Bajirao Mastani | 11.5 | 12.8 | + 11% |
I think it will be average in multiplex and above average at single screen ,overall it will be above average.
super hit
Same story all over again,Gabbar had a briliant chance of scoring 15crs+ but don’t what kind of marketing strategy was adopted.
Coffee peetay song is being released few days before the release…
TV campaign:extremely poor,film is releasing this week but the promos were missing big time,instead Bombay Velvet,Piku,KKLH promos airing all over..
Disappointed!!
Wat is the budget of Gabbar Is Back ?
i dont want your this prediction to be accurate , i want it to collect 15+ cr on day 1.
It has to open above 15 crore..I hope it does
it will collect 16.3 crore on day 1
day 2-16cr..
day3-18 cr..
weekend-50.3cr
week 1-76 cr..lifetime-120cr..
Mind it!!
@indicine:How’s the advance booking going,heard that it has been poor than even Baby and entertainment!!
@Babaji Ka Thullu, advance booking is not even 25% of Avengers. But not many people bother to buy tickets in advance these days.
@indicine why haven’t you written the advance booking report
Zero chance for gobar at plexes. Single screen wil b gud becz they may b waiting for this kind of movie
plexes-flop
ss-hit
overall-avg
Gabar is flop. After release
But the good news is that those who have watched it are praising it,it is full on masala entertainment..So lets hope for the best.
This movie surely be in top 6 highest grossing movie of the year
BABY’s lifetime collection record in danger.
ALL THE BEST GABBAR IS BACK.
@indicine what is the screen count for GABBAR Is Back
It’s a mass appealing genre with a good trailer and first big film in a long time so going by that should take a big start but Akshay’s films haven’t been doing well lately so it’s hard to see it doing more than 15cr and 100cr or so lifetime since kow opening = low lifetime for such films.
Both f7 and avengers rocked at multiplexes so those who have seen this 2 wil never turn up for gobar
gobar can rule single screen but that wil not b enough to go past 100
Goin to watch age of ultron this sunday also just see that fight betwn iron man vs hulk
Same figure i predicted in before,
ie,13 crore….
Now no excuses, working day, no songs,item songs, mass appealing genre, screen numbers,
Let’s see if he can beat sid’s ek villian…
After watching a spectacular film like avengers i cant watch gobar its just like moving on from a audi to alto
in my city gabbar screen count is even lower than avengers and way lower in advance bookings
Thank god, some akki fans came in to reality, some of them predicted before 20+ crore opening….
Sorry to tell you guys it’s only possible by Super stars , ie, three khans,Rishan and upcoming superstar Ranbeer…
gabbar will much depend on single screens.
I think indicine prediction is accurate…
I think gabbar 1st day will be 12.5 to 14 cr.
movie will be a huge hit for sure…
but if u see ramana running time was 170 min… And gabbar running time is 130 min.
40 min difference that’s why I think gabbar will not bored us in each n every moment….
movie hit hai boss…
Rowdy rathore is a fluke… At that time trend of masala action flicks… R at their peak (thanks to bhaijaan)
and i think it was sonakshi’s and prabhu deva’s secnd movie…so RR has alot of freshness
I hope GIB collects 100 CR at least . I want the 1st day collections to be 15 CR + . 1st May is a holiday in most parts of the country and that is a good advantage . The success of GIB is not only important for Akshay but also very important for the industry as NH 10 was the last successful movie . So since 2 months no Hindi movie has been successful . During this period F&F 7 and Avengers have done tremendous business . So now it is the time of Hindi movies to turn the tables . The success of GIB will give a boost to Piku, Kuch Kuch Locha Hai, Bombay Velvet and Tanu Weds Manu Returns . The most important thing for me is that the movie should be good . If the movie will be good then weekdays will be good . Also it will have a long run . Expecting a brilliant performance from Akki . Pachaas Pachaas Kos Door Jab Koi Rishvat Leta Hai Toh Sab Kehte Hain Mat Le Warna Gabbar Aa Jaayega !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
it will be average collection will be 88 crore and opening day 12 crore.
Its going to be a blockbuster.Opening days collections will be more than 15 crores and overall total will be more than 150 crores.I can bet this and akki haters u may bark if u want but he is the real superstar of bollywood.All the khans are oldy and try to look out a young but fails.Akshay is the real machoman.
my prediction for gabbar is back.
opening – 15 crore
lifetime — 80 crore to 118 crore
as a srk fan i hope gabbar is back enters in 100 crore club…. best of luck !!!????
blockbuster on the way kyuki gabbar sabki waatt lagaega….rip corruption…
Always nice to see the cosy exchanges between indicine and chameleon baba kShitij and Chameleon KritiK nipun as always…..! Being a chameleon has its advantages so it would seem