Dabangg 2 HIT or FLOP: Box Office Prediction

It’s that time of the year when history was made and box office records were smashed. Yes, we are talking about the Christmas weekend.

Aamir Khan’s Ghajini in 2008 was the first film to cross 100 crores and a year later 3 Idiots became the first (and only) film to surpass the 200 crore mark at the domestic box office. Fast forward to 2012 and who better than Salman Khan, by far the biggest superstar in India today, to rewrite box office records once again?

Dabangg 2, directed by Arbaaz Khan, releases in cinemas this weekend and the film is all set to conquer the box office. Before we get down to the predictions, below is a list of Salman Khan’s last 4 releases and it’s net box office collections:

  • Dabangg – 140 crores
  • Ready – 125 crores
  • Bodyguard – 145 crores
  • Ek Tha Tiger – 199 crores
  • Total – 609 crores

The average is a mind-boggling 152 crores per film, and this does not include the revenue generated from overseas!

Questions being asked in the trade and amongst those who closely follow BO numbers is the same as most biggies – Can Dabangg 2 beat 3 Idiots? Can the film break the 32 crore opening day collections of Ek Tha Tiger? What about the 3 day weekend?

Well, Dabangg 2 will have the widest release for a Bollywood film in India (expected release on 3400+ screens). The advance booking has already opened at multiplexes and single screens. The response so far has been ‘very good’. There are reports that a few centres witnessed mini-riots to secure tickets for the first day first show of Dabangg 2.

But the fact that Friday is a working day, the opening day record is highly unlikely to be broken. We expect Day 1 to be around 20-21 crore nett. Two crucial days for D2 will be it’s first Sunday and the Christmas holiday (Dec 25th) – business on these two days will decide if the film can be the fastest to 100 crores.

Below is our detailed HIT or FLOP Box Office Prediction for Dabangg 2

Opening day: 20-21 crore nett. Presence of Salman Khan, hit music, Kareena Kapoor’s item number, brand value.. should all help in generating good business on Day 1.

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Dabangg 2

  • Weekend (3 day) – 62 crores
  • Weekdays – 53 crores (Tuesday holiday)
  • Week 1 –  115 crores
  • Final – 180 crores+ (Blockbuster / All Time Blockbuster)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 56 crores
  • Weekdays – 44 crores (Tuesday holiday)
  • Week 1 –  100 crores
  • Final – 140-145 crores (Super Hit)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 52 crores
  • Weekdays – 38 crores (Tuesday holiday)
  • Week 1 –  90 crores
  • Final – < 120 crores (HIT)

What are your predictions? Dabangg 2 HIT or Flop? Blockbuster or All Time Blockbuster? Submit your comments below.

Note: Box office is extremely unpredictable. We publish figures based on the genre of the film, response to the trailers, pre-release hype, star value and popularity of the music album.

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168 Comments

  • all these srk g@ y followers r either physically n mentally weak ret@ rds or c@c ks@c kers like srk himself… they are all ugly looking ppl

  • Madame tussaud museum me srk amitabh aur hritik ke statu zyada log salman ke statu ke saath sabse zyada photo banvate hain kya madame tussaud museum me rickshewale ate hain

  • DABANGG2 REVIEW

    Plus Points:
    A historical performance of Salman,
    brilliant actions scenes, mind blowing dialogues,unique Panday Ji,
    amazing Prakask Raj

    Minus points:
    Average music,poor direction

    Critics Rating: 7 out of 10

    Boxoffice rating: 9.5 out of 10

    Direction:
    When I was going for movie the only thing bothering me was name of Arbaaz as director and after movie I said why he did this, was there no director wiling to direct movie.. All other crew from story writer to stuntman has done fabulous job, and only person who lacked was Arbaaz.. There are many scenes which you will think that should have been shot beter.. So when you go for movie don’t expect anything from Arbaaz as director..

    Story/script:
    When you see sequel you always compare it with first, and mostly first part is beter but here script is very good, its engaging, its comic, its romantic and its emotional also.. All in all its full package, and I would say that its beter than previous part.. At no point movie draggs and at no point feel bored..

    Performances:
    Panday ji is out of the world.. Those who hate salman will love him in this role, he is one notch beter than previous and I bet that his uniqueness in this movie will give him filmfare.. Then Prakash Raj is outstanding like always and I liked him more than Singham here, his dialogues with Salman are fantabulous.. Sonakshi is also good.. Other cast has done good job also..

    Music:-
    Music was composed on same pattern as of Dabangg which was briliant but this time its not at that height.. Music is good but when it is compared with previous part its average.. Fevicol se is not even half of Munni and similarly Dagabaaz Re is not as good as Tere Mast Do Nain..

    Action:-
    Action scenes are awesome.. Entry of salman is amazing and his words “Swagat Ni karo ge aap hmara”, will make even haters to clap.. Dialogues are the USP of the movie..

    Overall:
    Overall movie is complete
    package of massal entertainer
    and action.. It is one notch beter than previous.. Everything of
    the movie is good except
    Arbaaz.. Dont know why he
    directed the movie, was there no one professional there, but tension not Panday Ji wont let you feel even once that direction is poor with his unique performance, Salute to Salman sir..

    Boxoffice:
    Movie will be loved by masses and at big centres also, opening records are nothing for Salman, but after watching the movie I get the feel that record of 3 idiots is almost over..

  • A perfect treat for these simple and narrow minded indians. It won’t even suprise me if the film had made past the 3idiots collections. It’s just shows how many illiterates are there in india. Here I was wondering why bollywood will never be in the leagues of the likes of hollywood, how sad!!

  • mohd suhaib i m not the fan of srk
    but salman’s movie for autowalas & ricksawalas nd chaiwalas….
    fuddu movie bnata h sallu its not a topic for discussion everybdy knows it

  • @Ruler: when SRK made craps like RAONE and JTHJ it is classic? when film like DABANNG create history SRK fans are saying d da da da

  • @ jay this is raw version of review written by a critic in one the bollywood sites…after he watched the movie in london yesterday…he posted this instantly in twitter….full version is yet to come… anyway the movie is sureshot better than the previous one so now u can imagine urself

  • sallu ko 10 yr ki jail.. thats another publicity for dabangg 2.. police wala bana haifilm me aur real me police hi iski legi…. hahaha
    aur heart attack to sallu fans ko ayega jab use umar kaid hogi… lolzzzz

  • dabang2 will be just like khiladi 786. but akshey is much more better than sallu. daband2 hit and sallu jail.me hamesha ke liye fit. hahahaha

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