Box Office Predictions for Dhoom 3 and Krrish 3!

Indicine movie critic and trade analyst Joginder Tuteja answers 5 box related questions from our readers.

Hrithik Roshan - Aamir Khan

Hrithik Roshan – Aamir Khan

What is your box office prediction for ‘Dhoom 3’ and ‘Krrish 3’? I know it’s tough to compare these films but what’s your opinion that which film is gonna do more, even if a little more? – Rakesh

  • As things stand today, ‘Dhoom 3’ would do more than ‘Krrish 3’. Though both franchises are extremely huge in their own right, ‘Dhoom’ as a brand has a better recall value. Moreover Aamir Khan coming together with Yash Raj Films holds an edge as well. Also, the franchise has boasted of much more popular music. On the other hand, the Roshans have taken a huge plunge with ‘Krrish 3’ which is pretty much a calculated gamble. The fact that both films are releasing on a holiday will brighten prospects for both. In any case, as you rightly said, it is tough to compare them as both are all set to enter the 200 crore club.

What would have been the collections of ‘Tere Naam’ (which is considered Salman’s best performance till date with record breaking music) if released today with Salman being the top star? – Arjun Singh

  • ‘Tere Naam’ would have certainly done business of over 100 crores quite comfortably due to his superstar appeal as well as superhit music. However let’s not forget that though the film boasted of a very good performance from Salman, the overall product had seen mixed reactions due to its disturbing content. In fact the dark mood of the film, especially in the second half, would prove to be a little repelling for family audience, something that prevented ‘Agneepath’ too from covering a much greater distance. Hence it safe to presume that ‘Tere Naam’ would have reached around 120 crores but not beyond.

Can ‘Race 2’ become second 100 crores plus movie for John and Jacqueline (after ‘Housefull 2’) and first for Saif, Deepika, Anil and Ameesha? Or will it choke around 90 crores like ‘Talaash’? Both films are thrillers genre. – Rohit

  • As you read this, ‘Race 2’ has already crossed the 90 crores mark (official figure) and is well on it’s way to be a 100 crore success. It would manage to achieve this milestone by end of third weekend, if not end of second week. The film has done what was expected out of it. With this, Saif, Deepika, Anil and Ameesha would find their way for the first time into the 100 crore club while John and Jacqueline would make it two in a row (as a pair) after ‘Housefull 2’.

‘Special 26’ isn’t looking like a 100 crore grosser but do you think that Akshay Kumar’s star-power can still draw crowds to theatres in the opening weekend despite the fact that this will be his sixth film in last 10 months? What sort of business does it need to do to emerge as a clean hit? – Aashish Thappar

  • ‘Special 26’ would take a good opening at the box office though it would be futile to expect anything in the range of a ‘Rowdy Rathore’ or a ‘Housefull 2’. The film can expect overall business on the lines of ‘Oh My God’ since it isn’t one of those quintessential hardcore commercial entertainers in the offering that find audience across age groups, segments and territories. Expect multiplexes to throw better numbers here. It doesn’t matter that ‘Special 26’ would be Akshay Kumar’s sixth release in 10 months. If ‘Once Upon A Time In Mumbaai 2’ were to release today, it would smash the opening record of ‘Rowdy Rathore’.

Joginder Tuteja tweets @tutejajoginder

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73 Comments

  • only three films will have chance to 200cr
    1st d3 bcoz of franchise nd gr8 buz.
    2nd k3 bcoz of biggest franchise
    3rd outimA bcoz film is geetin grt buzz around him nd biggest fact is that film is relesing in eid. Aftr tht 15 aug. Nd aftr tht janmaStmi nd 2 open weeks.

  • hoom 3 is the highest grosser of the year as its great franchisis and multi starcast but my heart says that chennai express is the highest grosser of the year and will 203 crore attb 3 idiots record as it star sharukh khan/king khan the badsha of bollywood, king of romance, king of acting & king of oversease. No one can beat him in overseas. Chennai express is a comedy/romance/drama/action a complete masala film and as i tell first only class & mass oriented film decleard attb likes 3idiots,ghagni,dabang1,rowdy rathor. Some class oriented film like cocktail,jthj don2 well received by multiplex adience but can’t decleared bb. Chennai express has a golden chance to join 200 crore club. As k3 is class oriented it has no chance.

  • Chennai express releasing this dushra oct 11 according boi calender. So that the film will get 4 days holiday in a week, 2nd friday is also a holiday,there will be no clash like jthj and ce get 3 weeks free run before the diwali release krish 3. Its a complete massala film as we know srk film doing well multiplexs & ovesease but underperformed single screen sothat srk is behind of salman. This year srk is doing comedy/romance/drama/actioon a masala entertainer which has golden chance to join 200crore club not only for srk or its perfect release date but also for rohit shetty whose last 3 films cross 100 crore mark. It also star may fabourite actrees deepika paducone who last film om santi om is the biggest blockbuster of the year. SRK ROHIT DEEPIKA VISAL&SHEKER=CHENNAI EXPRESS= Blockbuster/ATTB = 200 crore. The king khan is back with chennai expes .

  • Velocity heart always says right & brain sometime says wrong. You last year before release of barfi no one can think barfi join 100crore club and no one think jthj will not break bodyguard boxoffice record as critic pridicted it will cross 200cr min collect 180cr. But nothing happend so i tell you if the get good review then it sure work no pridiction work if the movie is good. As my brain says dhoom 3 will be the hight grosser of the year due to franchis, multi starar, amir-katrina 1st on screnn pair,yrf banner,holiday release & 5 days long weekend and also new year advantage. So you easily think d3 perform better than ett even it will break 3idiots record. K3 has no chance as it release in non holiday, just 3 days holiday & after 10 days of its release shahid karena will clash on nov14. K3 is a sci-fi film a class oriented it will hardly cross 150crore not more than you only 3 film(3idiot,ett,d2) cross 150cr mark. If the film get negetive review like ra1 then k3 will face dificult to recover its budget looks like 125 crore. And now finaly i say my heart says chennai express get good review and its a class&mass oriented massala entertainer so srk fans should also ce has a golden chance to break 3idiots record. Rohit srk combination will bring record breaking strom at boxoffice..the king is back.

  • @raj, wat meks u think dat k3 vl get negative reviews ?? evn my heart says k3 vl surpass all records n set new benchmarks ! dat film has been in d mekin of many years nw, d script was analysed many tyms b4 shooting , wid legends lyk roshans , dere is least possibility of faults n more chances of epicness

  • krrish 3 may nt hav d record of opening day bt it vl surely grab lifetime gross ! koi mil gaya n krrish were all mass n class films , so d roshans r nt fools to nt continue it ! families,kids,youth,old evry1 gonna watch it ! tym to tek bollywood at par wid hollywood has com !

  • Krrish 3 will perform better than dhoom 3 bcoz the hype created by krrish is much higher than dhoom 3 these days………… i agree dhoom has aamir kat n even one of d biggest production house yrf…. but it is more likely to collect a tremondous opening but krrish is an all in one entertainer even in kids and even in family and youth………………..

  • Krrish3 will do beta business than dhoom3,cos hrithik challengd aamir b4 with krrish and aamir fanna andhrithik beat him period! Hrithik is the only actor whom challenges the khans and beat them!!! I would say krrish3 will do business around 250cr!!! Cos hrithik rocks and is a superstar in every way period!!!

  • aahhh… people think aamir khan cant act villain.in d3.but. i wonder wht he cant… he plays dj role in rdb,can be a killer machine in ghajini and plays just 20 yrs student in 3 idiots….so perfectly…. he prepare himself first to get fit in the role.. i am waiting eagerly tht wht magic he will do nw with his villain killer look and acting……

  • interesting to revisit these old comments now that krrish 3 verdict is out… the movie is all set to break all indian movie records ever, thanks largely to rajesh roshan’s vision, hrithik’s and kangana’s performances and pretty decent india-grown graphics and visual effects… at this point i have a feeling that dhoom 3 will fail to match even chennai express records because simply put it looks pure bullshit from its trailer

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