Bang Bang HIT or Flop: Box Office Prediction

The last quarter of the year, usually reserved for the biggest superstars in the industry to unleash their star power at the box office, is finally here. And what better way to begin the month of October than with a film that features two of the top actors in the industry, Hrithik Roshan and Katrina Kaif.

Hrithik scored a hat-trick last year when Krrish 3 went on to be his 3rd back-to-back hit after Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara and Agneepath. Katrina hasn’t had a failure in years, but her contemporary Deepika Padukone has edged past her to take the ‘queen of the box office’ crown.

The promotional campaign for Bang Bang has been a little confusing, what with the theatrical trailer of the film releasing just a week before the film’s release. But almost everything else that the makers have released so far has worked big time. The response to the teaser was earth-shattering, music has clicked big time with Meherbaan topping charts and the title track has received a incredible response too.

Hrithik Roshan New Still from Bang Bang

Hrithik Roshan in Bang Bang

So the only hurdle between Bang Bang and opening day box office records is Vishal Bhardwaj’s Haider which also releases in theatres to take advantage of the extended 5-day weekend.

Predicting something as unpredictable as the box office is difficult, but the big question that everyone seems to be asking is.. how much can Bang Bang collect on Thursday which also happens to be a national holiday for Gandhi Jayanti? Singham Returns released on 3650 screens and collected Rs 32.09 crore (holiday for Independence Day). Dhoom 3 is the record holder currently as it collected Rs 36.22 on Friday, a working day in India! So just how much can Bang Bang collect with Haider releasing on the same day?

We believe, the trade that is expecting around 30 crore could be in for a surprise tomorrow. The buzz for Bang Bang is crazy high and the film could collect somewhere between 32-35 crore tomorrow, even with Haider releasing on the same day. If Jab Tak Hai Jaan and Son Of Sardaar could collect nearly 36 crore on a single day two years ago, the combined business of Haider and Bang Bang could cross 40 crore for the first time ever.

A couple of factors that could affect business tomorrow is the Champions League T20 semifinal (Kolkata Knight Riders, Kings XI Punjab and Chennai Super Kings are all playing), the Durga Puja festivities that affects business in a few states and the uncertainty over the release in Tamilnadu as the bail plea of ex-CM Jayalalitha has been pushed to October 6th.


Release: Bang Bang will release on 3600 screens (approx) in Hindi and around 800 screens overseas. The film will also get a wide release in Tamil and Telugu – Fox Star is yet to send us the screen count.

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 (Thursday) – 34 cr
  • Day 2 (Friday) - 30 cr
  • Day 3 (Saturday) - 31 cr
  • Day 4 (Sunday) – 32 cr
  • 4-day Weekend - 127 cr
  • Day 5 (Monday) – 21 cr
  • First Week - 175 cr
  • Final - 240 cr+ (Blockbuster / All Time Blockbuster)

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Day 1 (Thursday) - 33 cr
  • Day 2 (Friday) - 28 cr
  • Day 3 (Saturday) - 29 cr
  • Day 4 (Sunday) – 30 cr
  • 4-day Weekend - 120 cr
  • Day 5 (Monday) – 17 cr
  • First Week - 162 cr
  • Final - 200 cr+ (Super Hit)

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Day 1 (Thursday) - 32 cr
  • Day 2 (Friday) - 25 cr
  • Day 3 (Saturday) - 23 cr
  • Day 4 (Sunday) – 23 cr
  • 4-day Weekend - 103 cr
  • Day 5 (Monday) – 13 cr
  • First Week - 130 cr
  • Final - 150 cr (Semi Hit)

We think Bang Bang will do reasonably well even in the worst case scenario due to the extended 5-day weekend – the most holiday-filled 5 days in a long long time. Gandhi Jayanti, Maha Navami and Bakri-Id are holidays in most parts of the country. Bang Bang also has 3 open weeks to collect as much as it can before the release of Happy New Year, although a week or so before Diwali is usually a dull period for business.

Exciting times ahead for those who love following day wise figures and comparisons. We have lots of new articles planned for the coming weekend and also the daily contests that gives you a chance to win free tickets. Keep visiting Indicine and don’t forget to vote below!

What do you think? Will Bang Bang be a Hit or Flop at the box office this coming weekend? Tell us

How much do you think Bang Bang will collect?

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  • This is a most dumb prediction for film like Bang bang. Katrina looked nasty. How can girl like katrina immortalized in museum, this is a shame for India.

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