Baadshaho Box Office Prediction

Milan Luthria’s Baadshaho is the big release this week and even though the sentence itself is getting repetitive – it comes at a time when the industry needs big films to work. Barring the incredibly consistent Akshay Kumar, every other ‘star film’ has failed after the release of ‘Bahubali 2’ in April last year. The only other movies that have worked on a smaller level are ‘Hindi Medium’, ‘Lipstick Under My Burkha’ and last week’s ‘Bareilly Ki Barfi’.

Factors in favour of Baadshaho:

  • Ajay Devgn: His ‘multiplex-pull’ is questionable, but Ajay has a fairly strong following at smaller centres and a film like ‘Baadshaho’ should bring them out to theatres in big numbers. He also has the acclaimed ‘Once Upon A Time In Mumbaai’ team of Emraan Hashmi and director Milan Luthria with him. Luthria isn’t a very consistent director, but when in form, he can deliver a film that can strike a chord with audience across the country. Emraan has had solo-success to his credit in the past, so his presence should help too.
  • Action: There hasn’t been an action film in quite a while, the last being ‘Bahubali 2’. The timing of release is quite good too, as there’s no big film until ‘Judwaa 2’ at the end of the month. Plenty of time to perform, if it does perform.
  • Trailer and Music: The trailer of the film got a very good response. The music has done fairly well too. ‘Mere Raske Qamar’ has topped most charts, while ‘Socha Hai’ has gained popularity after its release.

Factors against the film:

  • Multiplex business: ‘Shivaay’ flopped at the box office because business at multiplexes was extremely poor. Back then, the competition was from a big film like ‘Ae Dil Hai Mushkil’. This time around it’s from a much smaller film like ‘Shubh Mangal Savdhan’. While the start is expected to be slow at metro cities and slightly better at smaller-city multiplexes, the growth over the weekend will decide if ‘Baadshaho’ can do what ‘Shivaay’ couldn’t.
  • Like ‘Shivaay’ last year, the high for ‘Baadshaho’ was the launch of the theatrical trailer. After that, the interest to watch the film has reduced. It’s been a issue for most movies in recent times, including ‘Toilet’ and ‘A Gentleman’.

IndicineFBO: We expect ‘Baadshaho’ to collect Rs 10.4 crore on its opening day at the box office. The government holiday for Bakrid is on Saturday, but the advantage should begin to kick-in evening onwards on Friday.

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep


  • Though i lk ajay but hv to say after trailer got me interested in watching ds …follow up has bn poor …internet hasnt bn sustained and evn 10 cr opening seems to b on higher side…i predict 7.4-8.7 cr

    And just remembered ..indicine what hppnd to ur rewarding users wd tkts for correctly predicting opening nos?????

  • last two movies of ajay opened same like hashmi…so credit of badshaho wil go to bth equally in terms of opening .v

  • @sayar ajay dev gun’s initial pull was bigger than srk also in the 90’s. whatever data is available from 94 to 99 ajay was ahead of srk in 94, 95, 96 and 99 while srk was ahead of ajay only in 97 and 98. so ajay has a 4-2 lead over srk in 90’s. so according to that ajay was a bigger star than srk in 90’s. i think this is the way you compare between salman and srk so i think this is a valid comparison.

  • Baadshao has got a good opening…Better than TEPK at places – chances are it will cross 12 crores today…Dont underestimate Ajay ! This is sureshot 100 crores :)

    Respite for industry —After TEPK, they will get another major 100 crores grosser…This can be very well be Ajays year with Golmaal Again targeting 175+ and Baadshao 120+

  • @ truth, Abe gawar 1995’s highest 2 openers are SRK’s Trimurti (Record opener ) and Karan how Ajay was ahead of SRK in 1995 ?
    Btw, Everyone knows your real id is honest why u came here with fake name ?

  • The biggest clown of indicine is @prashant Abhishek. Always gives frustrating replies. Shows how mentally disturbed he is.

  • @sayar i am talking about solo starrers. in 1995 haquakaat opened better than raamjaane( biggest opener for srk that year)

    in 1992 also ajay is likely to be ahead. he had a hit film jigar that year and srk had avarage solo starrer raju ban gaya gentleman. i am sure jigar would have better opening than rbgj. srk can be ahead in 1993. so the overall lead is likely to be 5-3 in ajay’s favour.

  • @honest man
    Deewana was SRKs solo

    Rishi kapoor was not a bankable actor in 90s
    U consider k3g as hritik film despite him having less screen presence so why not deewana

    Now u may say it was debut

    Well Mpk was also Salman debut
    Isn’t that Salman film?

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