Baadshaho Box Office Prediction

Milan Luthria’s Baadshaho is the big release this week and even though the sentence itself is getting repetitive – it comes at a time when the industry needs big films to work. Barring the incredibly consistent Akshay Kumar, every other ‘star film’ has failed after the release of ‘Bahubali 2’ in April last year. The only other movies that have worked on a smaller level are ‘Hindi Medium’, ‘Lipstick Under My Burkha’ and last week’s ‘Bareilly Ki Barfi’.

Factors in favour of Baadshaho:

  • Ajay Devgn: His ‘multiplex-pull’ is questionable, but Ajay has a fairly strong following at smaller centres and a film like ‘Baadshaho’ should bring them out to theatres in big numbers. He also has the acclaimed ‘Once Upon A Time In Mumbaai’ team of Emraan Hashmi and director Milan Luthria with him. Luthria isn’t a very consistent director, but when in form, he can deliver a film that can strike a chord with audience across the country. Emraan has had solo-success to his credit in the past, so his presence should help too.
  • Action: There hasn’t been an action film in quite a while, the last being ‘Bahubali 2’. The timing of release is quite good too, as there’s no big film until ‘Judwaa 2’ at the end of the month. Plenty of time to perform, if it does perform.
  • Trailer and Music: The trailer of the film got a very good response. The music has done fairly well too. ‘Mere Raske Qamar’ has topped most charts, while ‘Socha Hai’ has gained popularity after its release.

Factors against the film:

  • Multiplex business: ‘Shivaay’ flopped at the box office because business at multiplexes was extremely poor. Back then, the competition was from a big film like ‘Ae Dil Hai Mushkil’. This time around it’s from a much smaller film like ‘Shubh Mangal Savdhan’. While the start is expected to be slow at metro cities and slightly better at smaller-city multiplexes, the growth over the weekend will decide if ‘Baadshaho’ can do what ‘Shivaay’ couldn’t.
  • Like ‘Shivaay’ last year, the high for ‘Baadshaho’ was the launch of the theatrical trailer. After that, the interest to watch the film has reduced. It’s been a issue for most movies in recent times, including ‘Toilet’ and ‘A Gentleman’.

IndicineFBO: We expect ‘Baadshaho’ to collect Rs 10.4 crore on its opening day at the box office. The government holiday for Bakrid is on Saturday, but the advantage should begin to kick-in evening onwards on Friday.

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep


  • Only 10 crore ? genre is same crime thriller as Raees.but it is solo ideally it should break Raees opening day collection of 20.42 crore.

  • Only 10 crore ? Genre is same crime thriller as Raees .But it is solo ideally it should beat Raees opening day collection of 20.42 crore.

    • @ prashant

      why are you always busy creating negativity and haters for srk. if you dont have any good thing to say how about skipping article and not commenting. we have enough irritating fans (jabra fan, navin, tiger, javed, salman fan). will you enjoy if other fans in response to comment remind you that jhms is a disaster and bash srk. was some1 bashing srk here. then why do you want to be reason for other fans bashing srk.

  • i know 10 crore is less for multistarrer film like this but even with 10 crores u cant display the buzz as low as 3. With just 2 crores buzz is 2 for shubh mangal sawdhaan

  • negative reviews pouring from dubai all over only god can save this movie this film will be the biggest disaster of this year

  • Ajay Devgn had the 3rd biggest initial pull after Sunny Deol and SRK in 90s
    Vijaypath opened 6 times more than Hahk in clash

    His film Ek hi Raasta defeated Salman’s Dil Tera Aashiq acc to IMDb date

    Suhaag opened 55% more than Andaaz apna apna of Salman in clash

    In 90s Ajay defeated Salman 3 times in.opening

    So I believe he still commands a huge fanbase in masses

    All the best Ajay

    • Agree with you @Sayyar. Not only he commands a huge fan base in masses, he commands respect from a lot of neutral fans too. Even in BOIs list of all time top actors, he is at 5th position. He has managed to achieve that despite the variety of work he has done (including off beat movies) and the national awards that he has won. Had he solely focussed on commercial movies, he may have been ranking even higher.

      Planning to watch Baadshaho in theatre in the next 3/4 days (as soon as free after Eid activities).


    1)low budget content movie like bariely ki barfi dented collections of tepk because of which now tepk will not even cross raees which looked like a 150 crore grosser during its initial days

    2)last week babumoshai bandukbaaz dented collections of a gentlemen and it emerged as a hit and a gentlemen became a disaster

    3) tomorrow Shubh Mangal Savdhan will dent the collections of baadshaho and baadshaho will be disaster as curiosity of people is high to watch Shubh Mangal Savdhan tomorrow we will see another low budget content movie winning against a commercial crap movie

  • Wishing Ajay all the best for baadshaho,it should cross ? cr at the box ticket? is booked for tomorrow evening show.ajay,emraan,illena,vidyut,esha in a masala entertainer is deadly.hope movie will be great

  • shows the stardom of Ajay. Great trailer, super hit songs, Sunny Leone, another bankable star in Emran Hashmi, no competition, hot scenes, full on masala movie, still only 10cr. pathetic.

  • Don’t know about the opening day figures but it’ll surely beat the lifetime collections of the *solo* released ATBG (all time biggest disaster) Jhms!

  • 10 cr plus will be a good start. Then it can grow over the weekend and onwards provided WoM is positive.

    Genuinely wishing the movie to do awesome business.

    Best wishes for the Baadshaho team.

  • So even Ayushman Khurana is not scared of Ajay at the multiplexes. First Baadshaho ran away from MPB, and Ayushman once again came to challenge Ajay. Lol!

  • Though i lk ajay but hv to say after trailer got me interested in watching ds …follow up has bn poor …internet hasnt bn sustained and evn 10 cr opening seems to b on higher side…i predict 7.4-8.7 cr

    And just remembered ..indicine what hppnd to ur rewarding users wd tkts for correctly predicting opening nos?????

  • last two movies of ajay opened same like hashmi…so credit of badshaho wil go to bth equally in terms of opening .v

  • @sayar ajay dev gun’s initial pull was bigger than srk also in the 90’s. whatever data is available from 94 to 99 ajay was ahead of srk in 94, 95, 96 and 99 while srk was ahead of ajay only in 97 and 98. so ajay has a 4-2 lead over srk in 90’s. so according to that ajay was a bigger star than srk in 90’s. i think this is the way you compare between salman and srk so i think this is a valid comparison.

  • Baadshao has got a good opening…Better than TEPK at places – chances are it will cross 12 crores today…Dont underestimate Ajay ! This is sureshot 100 crores :)

    Respite for industry —After TEPK, they will get another major 100 crores grosser…This can be very well be Ajays year with Golmaal Again targeting 175+ and Baadshao 120+

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