Son Of Sardar HIT or FLOP: Box Office Prediction

Of late, Ajay Devgn’s Son Of Sardar has been in news for all the wrong reasons. Negative publicity for the much-criticised clash with Yash Chopra’s last film and the legal battle, which Devgn eventually lost.

The clash with Jab Tak Hai Jaan has also resulted in a smaller release for the film, as Son Of Sardar releases on 1600 screens. In comparison, Bol Bachchan released on 2300 screens in India.

As far as the hype is concerned, there is no comparison really. Come Diwali, it’s going to be a classic case of ‘David vs Goliath’.

Below is a quick comparison between the two Diwali releases

Starcast: Shahrukh Khan, Katrina Kaif, Anushka Sharma (two massively popular stars) vs Ajay Devgn, Sonakshi Sinha and Sanjay Dutt (big stars, but not quite in the same league fan-following wise)

Director: Yash Chopra vs Ashwani Dhir. A legend against someone who has just directed two small budget films (One Two Three, Athiti Thum Kab Jaoge).

Clearly, Jab Tak Hai Jaan will be the first choice this weekend. But, there are several factors in Son Of Sardar’s favour too. One is the proven script. Since the film is a South remake, SOS is likely to be a safe film at the box-office. Two, the runtime is shorter (2:20 hours), due to which multiplexes can squeeze-in more shows. Also, the music and the promos have worked big time with the masses.

So, coming to the box office predictions, we expect the opening day collections to be around 7-8 crores (Diwali pooja, limited screen count). After which, a lot would depend on the content. If the response is similar to Rowdy Rathore (a universally liked film), then SOS could well cross the 100 crore mark.

Below is the detailed HIT or FLOP Box Office Prediction for Son Of Sardar

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Son Of Sardar

  • Weekend (3 day) – 21 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 45 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 15 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  60 crores
  • Final – 100 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 18 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 37 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 12 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  49 crores
  • Final – 80 crores

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 16 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 28 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 8 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  36 crores
  • Final – 50 crores

If Jab Tak Hai Jaan turns out to be disappointment, Son Of Sardar will benefit big time and vice versa. If both films are good, both will do well as they have 17 open days, before Talaash hits screens on November 30th.

Initially though, the release of a biggie like JTHJ will make a huge dent into the opening weekend collections of SOS. But the fact that Ajay Devgn has stuck to his guns, despite immense pressure to postpone his film, is a sign that the makers are confident of their product.

What are your box office predictions for Son Of Sardar? Will the film be a HIT or FLOP? How much of an impact will the release of Jab Tak Hai Jaan have on the film? Tell us in the comments section below.

Interesting fact: Way back in November 1991, Yash Chopra was all set to release his ambitious film Lamhe during Diwali. The film was carrying fantastic pre-release reports and Anil Kapoor and Sridevi were big star back then. The film was set for a clash with a small time film ‘Phool Aur Kaante’ starring a newcomer. Guess who? Ajay Devgn! Lamhe sank, Phool Aur Kaante was a huge hit.

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Comments

king khan:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:01 pm)

Oh come on !
Shahrukh vs Ajay.
Katrina vs Sonakshi
SOS gonna be a big flop

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Rishabh:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:04 pm)

Lamhe had Anil Kapoor. JTHJ has SRK. Understand the DIFFERENCE.

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parvez:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:04 pm)

50 crores……….flop!

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srkfan:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:07 pm)

@indicine i totally agree wid ur prediction.. and sos will be poor overseas colletions because ajay devgan is not a popular actor abroad..

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Radha:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:07 pm)

it will give tough time to Jthj..

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HAWKEYE:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:07 pm)

SOS gonna be a big flop first six days evening shows for JTHJ almost booked completely.

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j:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:09 pm)

i think it will be very good for masses like rowdy but then it cnt cross 100cr coz of clash with jthj..

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Badshah:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:10 pm)

JTHJ will be blockbuster and SOS will be mere hit.

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Srk:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:11 pm)

Ultimately Ajay will win the race,

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j:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:13 pm)

remember bol bacchan with huge appeal among masses, solo release and bigger screen size as compared to sos could not be able to cross the 100cr mark then how possible for sos!! i think it will be anything btw 90-100cr if very good!

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rehan:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:14 pm)

sos will be superhit and life time collections will be 130 to 135 crores becoz it was family entertaintment masala movie.jtht will collected 100 to 105crores becoz of hype

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ramiz:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:15 pm)

i dont think this film will collect 100 crores.. will collect around 79 cr

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star:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:17 pm)

SOS could have been a hit had it released single at some other time.. but because of releasing with JTHJ, it may end up at around 80 crores thus being a flop since its investment is 90 crores.

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BEING SRKIAN:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:17 pm)

That was Anil and Sridevi.
This is SRK we are talking about.
If a film like Ra.One can earn 125 crore domestic net (all versions) despite all the negativity, JTHJ will earn at least 160 crore+ in the domestic market, be it positive or negative. Ra.One and Don 2 were experimental films but JTHJ is a tried and tested genre in India. Romantic films has always been a huge hit with Indian Audience. JTHJ will be a sure shot BLOCKBUSTER!!

Talking of SOS, the most it can earn is around 90-100 crore. Not more than that. If a good film Singham couldn’t earn 100 crore and Bol Bachchan could just cross 100 crore, how can SOS earn more than 100 crore with such less screens and a HUGE COMPETITION FROM JTHJ?????

SOS has to be one of the best films ever to touch 100 crore mark.

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Dhanshu:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:18 pm)

Since yrf have booked the major single screens, it’ll affect their film only. bcoz most single screens are playing JTHJ, the multiplexes have more shows of SOS. so, the region where SOS would have scored the best is blocked by JTHJ & vice versa. so it’ll affect both films.
my prediction for SOS:
1st day -- 11 crs
3 day weekend -- 38 crs
9 day week -- 85 crs
2nd week -- 24 crs
lifetime -- 115-120 crs

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kumar:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:21 pm)

sos will be a big hit
bcause i have seen original version (maryada ramanna)

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kumar:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:22 pm)

weekend will be bigger than 21cr

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lil wayne:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:22 pm)

i dnt think there is any competition at all. jthj all the way.

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fahad:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:22 pm)

Tough SOS can Dent JTHJ collection as Shahrukh hasn’t been the top star when it comes to box office in domestic market.. and every year standard of box office collection is getting higher and higher whereas shahrukh’s star power is getting lower and lower in short his star power is in decline.

Even actors like Hrithik,Akshay and Ajay all have higher collection compared to shahrukh in domestic nevertheless srk has got fantastic chance to put things right coz if he fails this time he will never get another easy chance like this. All the best to both films

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Rijwan:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:23 pm)

Its Likely going to be Tiger vs Cat…
JTHJ -- 175+ cr..
SOS -- 75+ cr..

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Paryani:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:26 pm)

SON OF SARDAAR looks like a perfect diwali film. if it would have got atleast 2000 screens & a fair release, it would have made 125crs+ even after competition from JTHJ.
but now it looks like it would make around 95-105 crs lifetime, bcoz of the lesser no. of screens

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Aakash:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:27 pm)

Lol: 21cr first 3 days will be in worst case scenario.mark my word ur prediction.it will collect 9 cr first day
and than 71cr in first extend weekend and 90cr first week. Second week will be crucial if it has excellent wom as compared to jthj
than it will collect min. 35cr in week two than lifetime 140 cr

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TINU NEBHANI:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:28 pm)

history will repeat itself after 11 years this diwali. and even after all the manipulations by yrf & srk, SOS will turn out to be a much bigger hit than JTHJ

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Aman:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:34 pm)

those who are saying that Anil & Sridevi were not big stars during Lamhe, kindly check ur facts 1st.
During that time Anil Kapoor was the no.1 actor & Sridevi was the no.1 actress. but still Phool aur Kaante beat it badly.
today, Srk is not even in top 3 among actors, though Katrina is at no.2 among actresses, but still it’ll be very tough for both films to score well.

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Mushtaq:  (November 10, 2012 at 1:40 pm)

SON OF SARDAAR will do very well in both the single screens & the multiplexes. it’ll surely collect atleast 125crs. even the trailer of Dabangg 2 is attached to it, which will help it to earn atleast 5 crs more than usual in the 1st 2 days.

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