Rustom vs Mohenjo Daro: Box Office Prediction

The clash is finally set to take place tomorrow. Akshay Kumar’s 3rd film of 2016 ‘Rustom’ and Hrithik Roshan’s first film in 2 years ‘Mohenjo Daro’ are all set to battle it out at the only place that matters – the box office.

Let’s get straight to the point.

Factors in favour of Mohenjo Daro and against Rustom:

  • Hrithik Roshan’s first film after nearly 2 years – his last release was Bang Bang which released in October 2014.
  • Mohenjo Daro has the potential to appeal to a larger section of the audience, compared to Rustom which is niche and multiplex-targeted film.
  • Ashutosh Gowarikar is one of the best directors in the industry – he has previously directed the Oscar nominated Lagaan, Swades and Jodhaa Akbar. In comparison, Tinu Suresh Anand has directed just one film – 1920 London, which didn’t do well at the box office.

Factors in favour of Rustom and against Mohenjo Daro:

  • Akshay Kumar is enjoying one of the best phases of his career. He’s doing different films and the multiplex audience – who weren’t willing to watch his films not too long ago – are now coming back to theatres. He’s had a very good year so far with Airlift and Housefull 3 – both doing well at the box office.
  • The trailers and the promos of Rustom received a positive response, which is probably the biggest factor that differentiates the two films. Almost every promo of Mohenjo Daro has received a lukewarm response and generally hasn’t been liked.
  • The economics are in favour of Rustom. Since the film doesn’t have to recover a lot of money (the film will break-even when it crosses 75-80 crore domestic), a 12-13 crore opening will be considered good for the film, whereas for Mohenjo Daro it’ll be poor with a lot of work left to do in the remaining days.

In short, whether it’s the trailer, promos or the aggressive marketing campaign – Rustom has had the lead right from the day the trailer was released on the internet. Mohenjo Daro doesn’t have much in its favour apart from Hrithik Roshan’s presence and the director’s credentials. The film will rely on word-of-mouth. Mohenjo Daro will have to be a very good film to even get close to recovering costs.

It’s a difficult prediction to make, because word-of-mouth can come into effect as early as Friday noon. However, we are going with a bold prediction. Our winner for the first day is ’Rustom’.  We expect the film to collect Rs 12.6 crore tomorrow, while Mohenjo Daro should do around 10.7 crore.

MoviePredictionOfficial
Wazir4.45.61+ 27%, In accurate
Airlift10.912.35+ 13%, Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 39.38.15- 12%, Accurate
Mastizaade6.15.59- 8%, Accurate
Saala Khadoos2.22.190%, Accurate
Ghayal Once Again6.47.2+ 12%, Accurate
Sanam Re5.55.04- 8%, Accurate
Fitoor5.23.61- 30%, Inaccurate
Neerja4.34.7+ 8%, Accurate
Jai Gangajaal5.25.5+ 6%, Accurate
Kapoor & Sons5.86.85+ 18%, Inaccurate
Rocky Handsome6.35.39- 14%, Accurate
Ki and Ka6.37.27+ 16%, Inaccurate
Fan21.919.2- 12%, Accurate
Baaghi9.411.94+ 27%, Inaccurate
Azhar7.56.3- 16%, Inaccurate
Sarbjit4.23.69- 12%, Accurate
Housefull 317.415.21- 12%, Accurate
Udta Punjab8.910.05- 13%, Accurate
Sultan38.536.54- 5%, Accurate
Great Grand Masti5.82.5- 56%, Inaccurate
Dishoom9.811.02+12%, Accurate
Mohenjo Daro10.78.87- 17%, Inaccurate
Rustom12.614.11+12%, Accurate
Happy Bhaag Jayegi2.12.32+10%, Accurate
A Flying Jatt8.57.11- 16%, Inaccurate
Baar Baar Dekho9.16.81- 25%, Inaccurate
Freaky Ali2.42.5+4%, Accurate
Pink4.54.32-4%, Accurate
Raaz Reboot5.26.31+ 21%, Inaccurate
MS Dhoni20.121.6+7%, Accurate
Mirzya4.02.2- 45%, Inaccurate
Shivaay10.710.24-4%, Accurate
ADHM12.413.3+7%, Accurate
Force 25.86.05+4%, Accurate
Dear Zindagi9.78.75-10%, Accurate
Kahaani 24.54.25-5%, Accurate
Befikre10.510.36-1%, Accurate
Dangal28.629.78+4%, Accurate
Advertisements

105 Comments

  • Rustum Story A Parsi Akshay used his wife to kill a anti state element. Use of wife …so shame full concept

  • I am 99% sure that @Indicine prediction will be accurate.
    .
    .
    I am 1% unsure bcoz their last prediction of Dishoom was inaccurate.
    .
    .
    Fingers Crossed.
    .
    .
    Excellent to Good reviews pouring in for Rustom.
    .
    .
    #9HoursToRustom

  • Indicine was not biased when he called HR bigger star than Akshay Sir,but now after 1st Day prediction indicine suddenly became biased.
    .
    .
    Papa boy fans please don’t behave like Jadu.
    .
    .Hahahahaha
    .
    .
    Rustom will be Epic.
    .
    .
    #RUSTOM

  • Read the KRK’s review on twitter as given below, I CANNOT STOP MYSELF LAUGHING BADLY… LOLZZZ…

    It’s interval n what a Hutiya’ kahiyat n Kadarchod film #MohenjoDaro ! Bangistan is Sholay compare to this
    greatest chutiyapa of all time.

    #MohenjoDaro is the worst film I have ever seen in my life so I give -5* to this crap. Director Ashutosh shud be hanged till death for joke.

    #MohenjoDaro is cheapest n worst historical film ever made in India so director association shud suspend
    Ashutosh’s membership 4Such a joke.

    #MohenjoDaro is one more proof that no actor hear the script n each actor does a film for a director n big banner only.

    I will give you ?5000 if you will watch #MohenjoDaro without abusing director, actor n producers. It’s my challenge to each one of you.

    Any critic who has a little shame, can’t give more than -1* to #MohenjoDaro !

    Friends Pls note! #BombayVelvet is #Mughal -E-Azam compare to #MohenjoDaro n #Bangistan is #Sholay
    compare to this crap.

    Friends Pls note, Great director @RGVzoomin Ki Aag is #Gadar compare to #MohenjoDaro !

    According to Ashutosh, first Bhojpuri ppl came in theworld so ppl were speaking Bhojpuri in #MohenjoDaro time also. Lol! What a Chutiyapa!

    How can Ashutosh Gowarikar call himself a director if he even doesn’t know what language should be used in the film of #MohenjoDaro time?

    Pls note #MohenjoDaro has nothing to do with real #MohenjoDaro . It’s a fiction story where #Bahubali #Lagaan and #Swedesh are mixed.

  • Not surprised at all with this article.

    10.7 for MJ???? so their combined total is around 23 crs? no way that’s so low…their combined total.should be atleast 26-27 cr.. So re do your calculator… I have already edited mine using 26 minimum as their combined total even that am being very stingy… But that’s at worst scenario…. Am adding 3.3 crs more to MD and 0.6 to Rustom…

    In terms of verdict, the budget of Rustom makes it the more profitable so minimum verdict for Rustom shd be Hit while MD I will have to see Saturday collection and then give my verdict immediately.

    If Rustom can collect a minimum of Hit verdict then I think 2007 career highlight of Akshay will shift to 2016 especially considering 2/3 movies for 2016 were both clashes.

    Best of luck to both of them… Sincerely

  • I don’t get the point in 2 big movies clashing. But now that they already are, I didn’t get the point in people trying to support one of the movies and bringing down the other movie before it had even released. If the industry can’t stand united, atleast we as viewers should be united, and motivate the people who make such art. 2000 people work on a film. Please don’t disrespect somebody’s work before watching it and pointlessly stick to your stupid fandoms. Let our industry win tomorrow and may both the movies be great pieces of cinema.

  • Also expected you guys to have highlighted that 3 of Akki movies would have been clashes had Jaggo. Jasoos not backed out…But still with 2/3 clash movies and both coming out with minimum of Hit and potentially 100 crs(high possibility for Rustom) that definitely should without 2 thoughts tag 2016 Akshay kumar year amongst all the super /megastars who released their movies this year….let’s not take that away from him.

  • @i am srk fan only the makers know how much energy and effort goes into the movi3 and even if more effort has gone into mohenjo, that doesn’t mean u can disregard the effort of rustom team!!!- they actually have been trying their best 2 make a solid movie and their marketing is proof of how much effort they put into this one movie

  • All those saying first few days don’t matter…take a bow as u don’t know how this thing works…if the film doesn’t work in those few days then many shows are cancelled and it ends up looking a lot of the profit due 2 wom

  • Rustom might not cross 100 crore mark. Airlift trailer was better than rustom trailer, airlift collected only 127 crore without any major clash now there is a bigger actor than him hrithik roshan, who came after a long time and track record of director ashutosh, all of us knows. Mohenjo Daro will also face difficulty at the box office due to clash with akshay’s rustom but definitely it will cross 140-150 crores.

  • Guys.. am working in Dubai and a pretty big hrirhik fan. just finished watching Mohenjodaro.. it saddens me to say this.. but the movie is pretty boring.. its neither historically accurate nor got a good story to tell.. poor clichéd scripting and horrible execution.. costumes are pretty bad.. pooja hedge got a cute smile.. but that’s about it.. she’s got nothing good to offer.. most of the support characters are half baked.. CGI work is also not upto the mark..

    Hrithik plays his part well.. hard work shows.. but the director and script has let him down again.. I liked the music.. though sansariya song was edited out of the movie. The action sequence with two man eating giants is done well.. Also the climax is not that bad.. otherwise a totally forgettable movie.. movie won’t cross 100cr.. that’s sure.. frustrating day for me..

  • Let us all be honest to ourselves. Remove all the from Edx last 10 years then you will know why the 3 other Lord Shiva Bhakts superstars are irresistible. Jai ho Mnik Fan Talaash combined total is not up to 400 cr.
    Meaning only 1 100 cr movie semi hit. Ask yourself is Salman really a better actor than Akshay ,is Shah Rukh really as versatile as Ajay,is Aamir really a Bette actor than Hrithik? No. Remove for the Hindu superstars you have Rowdy,Holiday,H3,Airlift,BangBang,Agneepath,Singham,Singham2,Bol B,

    For 100 cr

    Remove Edx from 3 Khan only 1 = Jai ho.
    Remove Edx from Akki,Ajay Hrithik you have= 9 100 cr.

    IMO daring Superstar are Akshay Ajay and Hrithik.
    Hiding behind Lungi Superstars are Salman Aamir SrK.

    Few hours for Rustom and MD biggest Bollywood clash of superstars after Yashji
    + Ar Rahman+Teesra +Anuksh+Katrina
    VS SoS.

  • I get ticket for md with girle friend
    Md is romace film,hr is very good lover actore

    But

    Rostam is good film but not for akshay

    Indicin is bad bad fbo

    I think md 14_16cr

    Rostam 9_11cr

  • It is because of bad and paid articles like this that i have stopped comment here,ufff. Only god knows what will happen, and i am sure with all this dirty games agains one man hrithik, he will help hrithik get out of this as a winner,and if that happens i will quit this site forever inchallah.

  • Tight slaps on haters who were trying to create rift between Akshay and Ajay. People don’t understand that if you are a busy celebrities you take it easy. For those calling Akshay Sir bad names because he refuse to talk about go to shame now. Akki just congratulated Ajay for and guess what? Just like how Ajay received highest likes on Aksha Twitter after Rustom trailer same goes to sir more likes on Ajay Twitter after Shivaay trailer. Haters Rustom and shivaya will surprise all Doubters. Akki sir most hardworking superstar in Bollywood.

  • Lol. Now akki fans r believing krk -the biggest hutiya of all time who also said madari a wahiyat movie and kabali a masterpiece .now ,he is calling a oscar winning director crap and 1920 london director a very talented director .LOL
    Akki fans bhi krk se kam ni hai

  • @Sunny is it necessary to behave same as few hrithikians?
    I have no problem with Hrithik.. He is a humble man so what his fans r calling akki sir gobar, flopkumar, beggar just because of clash only..
    The man me and you admire, he don’t like these kind of bullshit…
    I know sometimes it really pathetic to read some comments against sir but I have confined on you that you r smart enough to handle those people single handily…. today is the rustom day… let’s enjoy the best day of the month…

  • @Sunny is it necessary to behave same as few hrithikians?
    I have no problem with Hrithik.. He is a humble man so what his fans r calling akki sir gobar, flopkumar, beggar just because of clash only..
    The man me and you admire, he don’t like these kind of bullshit…
    I know sometimes it really pathetic to read some comments against sir but I have confident on you that you r smart enough to handle those people single handily…. today is the rustom day… let’s enjoy the best day of the month…

  • I like both the actors, but the bias that the Btown has shown towards Hrithik has made me desperately wish that MD come out as winner. I still wish Rustom becomes a hit.

  • Indicine have specifically done maximum negative publicity against MohenjoDaro to ensure the movie does bad. Need less to say Indicine has its bias or else is sold out to certain sections who are against Hrithik, I am sure if Akshay film was pinned agains 1 of the Khan actors they would have thrashed Akshay. The point is clear. Negative media at it’s best..

Leave a Comment