At the beginning of 2015, we started a new feature to accurately predict the opening day business of Hindi films. In the last 8 months or so, we have correctly predicted the collections of 24 out of 30 major movies released this year.
The new feature has been a huge success. A lot of people from the trade, producers and industry insiders, now follow IndicineFBO for regular updates on trends and opening day expectations.
In an effort to make IndicineFBO easier to access, we now have a new URL (link) to quickly access the page. You can get the latest updates by visiting www.indicine.com/fbo
Check out some of our most accurate predictions this year:
- Detective Byomkesh Bakshy: Our Prediction 4.5 cr: Actual Collection 4.25 cr
- Ek Paheli Leela: Prediction 5.25 cr: Collection 5.3 cr
- Gabbar Is Back: Prediction 13 cr: Collection 13.05 cr
- Piku: Prediction 5.5 cr: Collection 5.32 cr
- Welcome To Karachi: Prediction 1.5 cr: Collection 1.5 cr
- Brothers: Prediction 15.5 cr: Collection 15.2 cr
- Manjhi: Prediction 1.4 cr: Collection 1.4 cr
In fact, the only movies that we wrongly predicted were either box office disaster or unexpected blockbusters. NH10 was probably the only exception. Take a look
- Hawaizaada: We expected the film to take a poor opening of 1.25 cr, but the opening was disastrous at 60 lakhs.
- Roy: Ranbir Kapoor returned after a year and a half with a special appearance in Roy. T-Series marketed the film very well and the music was a massive hit too. Prediction 8.5 cr, Actual collection 10.4 cr.
- NH10: The prediction wasn’t completely off, but inaccurate nonetheless. The margin for error is very small for films that collect less than 5 crore. We predicted 2.75 cr, NH 10 collected 3.35 cr.
- Bombay Velvet: It was impossible to predict this. Besharam opened at 20 crore plus, so we went with what we thought was the worst case scenario for Bombay Velvet – Rs 9.5 cr. After all, even Roy took a 10 crore plus opening. This was made on a much higher budget and had a much bigger star cast too. The opening was shocking to say the least.
- Tanu Weds Manu Returns: We weren’t too off the mark with this one either, but Tanu Weds Manu Returns not opening took a very good opening, but was also the biggest surprise blockbuster of 2015.
- Bangistan: Was a huge disaster right from the morning shows on Friday. The opening was worse than another Excel Entertainment disaster Game starring Abhishek Bachchan! Says it all, doesn’t it?
| Movie | Prediction | Official | |
| Tevar | 6.5 | 7.05 cr | + 8% |
| Alone | 4 | 3.50 cr | - 12% |
| Hawaizaada | 1.25 | 0.6 cr | - 52% |
| Khamoshiyan | 1.75 | 1.92 cr | + 9% |
| Baby | 8.5 | 9.30 cr | + 9% |
| Dolly Ki Doli | 1.6 | 1.75 cr | + 9% |
| Shamitabh | 4.0 | 3.5 cr | - 12% |
| Roy | 8.5 | 10.4 | + 22% |
| Badlapur | 6.5 | 7 cr | + 7% |
| Dum Laga Ke Haisha | 1.25 | 1.1 | - 12% |
| Ab Tak Chhappan 2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | + 13% |
| NH10 | 2.75 | 3.35 | + 22% |
| Detective Byomkesh Bakshy | 4.5 | 4.25 | - 5% |
| Ek Paheli Leela | 5.25 | 5.30 | + 1% |
| Mr X | 4.2 | 4.5 | + 7% |
| Margarita With A Straw | 0.2 | 0.23 | + 1% |
| Gabbar Is Back | 13 | 13.05 | 0% |
| Piku | 5.5 | 5.32 | - 3% |
| Bombay Velvet | 9.5 | 5.2 | - 45% |
| Tanu Weds Manu Returns | 7.05 | 8.85 | + 25% |
| Welcome To Karachi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Dil Dhadakne Do | 9.5 | 10.53 | + 11% |
| Hamari Adhuri Kahani | 5.75 | 5.04 | - 12% |
| ABCD 2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | + 14% |
| Bajrangi Bhaijaan | 30.4 | 27.25 | - 10% |
| Drishyam | 5.25 | 5.3 | + 1% |
| Bangistan | 2.5 | 1.1 | - 56% |
| Brothers | 15.5 | 15.2 | - 2% |
| All Is Well | 3.1 | 2.9 | - 6% |
| Manjhi | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0% |
| Phantom | 7.6 | 8.46 | 11% |
| Welcome Back | 11.5 | 14.35 | + 24% |
| Hero | 7.5 | 6.85 | - 8% |
| Katti Batti | 4.6 | 5.28 | - 14% |
| Calendar Girls | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0% |
| Kis Kisko Pyaar Karoon | 4.5 | 10.15 | + 125% |
| Singh Is Bling | 18.6 | 20.67 | +11% |
| Talvar | 3.3 | 3.0 | -9% |
| Jazbaa | 4.5 | 4.23 | -6% |
| Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2 | 3.3 | 6.80 | + 103% |
| Shaandaar | 14.7 | 13.1 | -11% |
| Prem Ratan Dhan Payo | 43.6 | 41.75 | -4% |
| Tamasha | 11.7 | 10.87 | 7% |
| Hate Story 3 | 9.4 | 9.72 | 3% |
| Dilwale | 25.2 | 21 | - 16% |
| Bajirao Mastani | 11.5 | 12.8 | + 11% |
U r very good in analyzing
BT can do better on buzz .
Ur buzz points r wrong ..!
Believe me
SIB trailer crossed 2millions views in 3 days nd the song tung tung crossed one million in one day ..!
Not just SIB BT other movie’s buzz % iz also wrong.
indicine where is kis kis ko pyaar karu prediction
@rew1,even your so called great movie 3i opened with only 9cr which is less than all KING KHAN’S films at that time.losers always comes with excuses,your amoor film can’t did 15cr till now with out raju papa/brans dhoom,lol.you must feel jealous in fact you’re bound to feel jealous of BIGGEST CROWD PULLING MEGASTAR KING SRK ,just because HIS story is not that much audience friendly otherwise HNY would be the 1st 300cr film,your poor joker talentless fanless papa’s boy tinymir will take couldn’t achieve KING KHAN’S STARDOM in upcoming 10th birth also,now take this and put into your shitty mouth you born iiliterate.
@hrithik,I bet you even if prdp will release on the same day of HNY,it can’t cross 40cr and it’s my challenge because salman is a smaller star than KING OF BOLLYWOOD.ett worked due to so many factors still ut failed to beat 3i with out any competition ,and CE did 227cr by facing 3 films and kick did 233cr with out facing big film.that’ sthe difference in stardom between KING KHAN and salman,if KING KHAN’S STORY will be accepted by audience than sky is the limitlimit,your star can’t beat KING KHAN’S SUCCESS in upcoming 10th birth,keep chasing like that,lol.
Correction dangal will be first 400 Cr nett.
What will be the Prdp opening and weekend prediction