Dangal Box Office Prediction

Dangal is the big release this week and it cannot get bigger than an Aamir Khan film during the biggest weekend of the year. The superstar returns 2 years after delivering a classic, PK, which was a big success both critically and commercially. Unlike some of his last few films, Dangal does not have a acclaimed director like Rajkumar Hirani nor does it carry franchise value like Dhoom 3.

Factors in favour of Dangal:

  • Aamir Khan: How can it not be the single biggest factor? Dangal has absolutely no face value apart from the towering presence of Aamir Khan. The director of the film, Nitesh Tiwari, has previously directed films like Chillar Party and Bhoothnath Returns. The rest of the cast is unknown with Sakshi Tanwar the only known face due to some of her popular television shows.
  • Audience trust: No other star-actor in the history of Indian Cinema has been able to consistently deliver quality films like Aamir Khan. The belief that if a film features Aamir in the lead, it has to be good.. plays a huge role in the actor getting a solid initial at the box office.
  • Universal appeal: During times when top directors like Aditya Chopra are directing films that can only be watched by a minuscule section of the audience,  Dangal is a film that is likely to celebrate the rural beauty and heart of the country. This ensures that almost every section of the audience can watch and enjoy Dangal.
  • Promos: Almost all promos that have released so far have worked.

Factors against Dangal:

  • Commercial aspect: The only factor that could hold back Dangal is the fact that the film is not very colourful nor is it an out-and-out commercial entertainer. It’s a sports-film like Chak De India, which could hold the film back on Friday morning – before the word-of-mouth comes into play.
  • Demonetisation: The impact of demonetisation has reduced quite considerably in the last few weeks, but it could affect the business of Dangal at teh smaller centres.

IndicineFBO: We expect Dangal to collect Rs 28.6 crore on its opening day at the box office. The reviews are out and Dangal is one of the most critically acclaimed films of 2016. The pre-release positivity has also ensured that the advance booking, which was at Sultan’s level a couple of days ago, has caught up almost all over. We expect Dangal to take the second best opening of the year after Sultan and then pick up evening onwards depending on how the audience take to the film.

Stay tuned for our IndicineLBO prediction on Sunday.

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115 Comments

  • Movie tickets are hiked by around 40% in NCR region.
    Demonetisation could still affect.
    Though it is getting exceptional reviews from every corner .
    I doubt , single screen audiences wont come out in huge numbers to watch Dangal on the first day.
    My predictions – 25.97 cr

  • Dangal might not break the opening, weekend and 1st week of sultan’s record
    But it will definitely beat sultan’s lifetime collections …!!!

    All the best Aamir khan fans ..
    I hope it emerges the biggest hit of 2016 .
    Love always from a die hard SRK fan !!!

  • Ur prediction is gonna fall flat on ur face indicine …. opening around 32crs & lifetime 410crs! This is indias biggest film in last decade & a half.

  • My Prediction:
    Day1: 29cr
    Lifetime: 265cr
    All 300cr+ grossers (PK, BB, Sultan had extra holidays, whereas Dangal doeesnt, it has Christman and New Year but both of them are on Sundays, so there will be minimal advantage. Demonetization will affect it in the smaller areas/single screen where it has been a big issue! Will change the predictions after watching the film tomorrow at 2:30, Tickets Booked!!

  • Despite demonization Dangal will become the biggest hit of 2016 …. !!!!!
    My heart says Dangal will do somewhere 305 to 316 crores !!!!!!!
    Overseas $ 18 to 28+ millions

  • I saw the film yest & i can vouch for it that its a better movie than 3idiots & pk or any film which has released in last 10yrs!

  • We expect Dangal to collect Rs 28.6 crore on its opening day at the box office. The reviews are out and Dangal is one of the most critically acclaimed films of 2016.

    Yup Dangal opening should be at least 26 to 28 crores …. Agreed with indicine.

  • Salman gave 2 300 crs and 1 200 cr movie in a span of 11 months.. 2 of them were not even critically acclaimed…
    Aamir is returning after 2 years and a critically acclaimed film from Hirani..
    lets se what Dangal does….

  • Aamir khan your dedication, hard work and your body transformation will definitely pay off….
    Dangal will definitely cross the 300 crores and should beat sultan on its 18- 20 day at box office …
    Love you sir ….. I’m with you !!!!!!

  • I am extremely excited! For the first time in years, I’m so excited for a movie. The trailer looked very good, and I can’t wait to watch the entire movie for many reasons.

    It’s an Aamir Khan movie.
    It’s a women centric movie.
    It looks real. I don’t see anybody dancing on songs like “baby ko bass pasand hai”.
    “Hamari choriyan choron se kam hain ke?” is why I want to watch it. That dialogue moved me.
    I think Bollywood needs to give us more movies like this one.

  • Airlift which was very niche film did 12.35cr with clash with popular franchise like kkhh3, like wise Rustom did 14cr how comes Jolly llb2 which has double the likes on YT and by trailer is more ap pealling do 11cr. Why do you always like to put Akki down.

  • lol from 25 cr to 28 cr taking u turn like always😈

    i still cant forget how you messed up prediction of Aamir movies 92 cr for 3 idiots less than kick for pk😂😂😂

    AAMIR WILL PROVE YOU WRONG ONCE AGAIN💪

    1ST DAY 30 CR
    1ST WEEKEND 100 CR
    1ST WEEK 180 CR
    LIFETIME 400 CR😎

  • Sultan Got Benefit of EId day which on the last time changed..Otherwise Sultan would hvs fallen short of 30crs …if dangal Managed 30 than it will be prove he is The no.1 Superstar .

  • Sounds about right. It’s verdict will depend on content, sure to be a hit and could go as far as an ATBB. It will need better WOM than PK & BB to enter into 300 cr club, though.

  • If Aamir khan had really targeted 350 crores or 400 crores, then he must have released Dangal on 16th December than 23rd December …
    But again Dangal should end with lifetime of 305 to 316 crores !!!!

  • lol……rememebr a comment made a few days ago
    ‘Buzz is damn low… 15 or 16 crore max’
    Aamir Khan is always underestimated….the sheer trust the audience have on him is unfathomable.

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