Box Office Prediction: Fan, Brothers, Jagga Jasoos, Singh Is Bling

Like 2014, the second half of 2015 has plenty of big releases. Salman Khan has two big releases, Sooraj Barjatya’s Prem Ratan Dhan Payo and Kabir Khan’s Bhajrangi Bhaijaan. Shahrukh Khan doesn’t get a festive release this time around, as Yash Raj Films’ Fan releases during the Independence Day weekend. The other much-awaited releases are Dharma Productions – Akshay Kumar film Brothers, Ranbir Kapoor’s Jagga Jasoos and a few other films.

Check out the Part 2 of our Box Office Prediction. Part 3 with festive release (Eid, Diwali and Christmas) will be covered in an article tomorrow. Click here to read Part 1.

All Is Well (50 – 55 crores): Umesh Shukla gave the rapturous social drama called OMG! Oh My God which made waves a good 2 years before PK arrived and discussed the same issues. This time he has joined hands with Abhishek Bachchan and Rishi Kapoor for this social family drama. We are expecting a good film but we are not sure if Abhishek will be able to pull in the crowds all by himself.

Brothers (140 – 145 crores): Brothers is the official remake of the 2011 Hollywood hit film called Warrior. The Hollywood original wasn’t too commercial but we expect Karan Malhotra to make the story a lot more commercial and adjust it to suit the Indian audiences’ taste. The film has a very emotional human story and with a cast that comprises of Akshay Kumar and Sidharth Malhotra, we expect Brothers to be a big hit come 31st July. Although the film has the potential to be a much bigger grosser, the only problem could be the release date – Brothers releases between two big films like Bhajrangi Bhaijaan and Fan.

Fan (165 – 170 crores): Fan is a big departure from the big films that Shah Rukh Khan has been doing lately. It is about a fan and his struggles told in a light hearted manner. Noone knows the intricacies of the script. Yash Raj Films are holding the cards close to their chest and not revealing any details. This could only be a good thing as they don’t want to reveal anything beforehand. We expect Fan to be a landmark performance in the latter career of SRK, but it’s box office prospects would depend on a lot of factors. Fan would be Shahrukh’s first non-festive release since My Name Is Khan and the film would release two weeks after Brothers and two weeks before Jagga Jasoos – both massive films!

Fan - Badlapur - MS Dhoni

Fan – Badlapur – MS Dhoni: Box Office Prediction

Jagga Jasoos (140 – 145 crores): The last Anurag Basu + UTV + Ranbir Kapoor collaboration made 120 crores with a non-conventional but heart warming film like Barfi. This time they are back with a slightly more commercial film and have taken Ranbir’s real life girlfriend Katrina Kaif as the lead actress. UTV are hoping to create a franchise out of the Jagga Jasoos films. The film reportedly has more than 15 songs which help tell the story. We love the way Anurag tells his stories and combined with all the factors mentioned above, Jagga Jasoos should turn out to be one of the biggest hits of the year.

Singh Is Bling (115 - 120 crore): The general perception in the public regarding the film is that it is the sequel of Singh Is King. And this could only help the film in the long run. It is being directed by Prabhu Deva who still has a loyal fan following in the small towns and it obviously stars a Superstar like Akshay Kumar. We are not sure about the quality of the film and we are not expecting a lot, but the recall value of Singh Is King will bring in a lot of audiences initially to the theaters. If the film turns out to be as entertaining as Akshay’s 2008 super-hit, then it could go on to be a much bigger grosser. Also, Akshay reunites with the director of his most successful film – Rowdy Rathore.

Shandaar (60 – 65 crores): Vikas Bahl is one of the most sought after directors in Bollywood right now after the runaway success of Queen. He has now teamed up with Shahid Kapur and Alia Bhatt for this destination marriage family drama. The genre of the film might be new but we are sure Vikas will have an interesting story to tell through this film. Also, the pairing of Shahid and Alia will be interesting to witness in Shandaar. The film should go on to be a solid multiplex hit.

MS Dhoni: Untold Story (85 – 90 crores): Mahendra Singh Dhoni is one of the iconic Indian heroes of the new millennium and there are very few people in India who don’t know about Dhoni. His sudden retirement from test cricket has showed the type of influence he has on the Indian public. The interest around the film will be huge and it will be fascinating to see how a fantastic director like Neeraj Pandey tackles the human aspect of the mammoth success story of arguably India’s greatest cricket captain. We are very excited to see Dhoni’s life encapsulated on screen.

ABCD 2 and Badlapur (70-75 crores and 45-50 crores respectively): Varun Dhawan has two scheduled releases for 2015 and both of them are diametrically opposite of each other. While ABCD 2 is the sequel of the successful dance film Any Body Can Dance, Badlapur is a dark edgy revenge thriller where he plays a character older than he is in real life. Both films will give Varun plenty of opportunity to showcase his talent. ABCD 2 should go on to be the bigger success amongst the two, as it seems a lot more commercial. Also the presence of Shraddha Kapoor should help!

And finally we come to the festive releases of the year – i.e Eid, Diwali and Christmas – easily the most lucrative period for film business. While Christmas has emerged as the biggest period in the industry, thanks mainly to Aamir Khan, Eid comes second. 2015 could end with a Shahrukh Khan – Rohit Shetty film, what sort of business could that film generate – as their last outing together smashed every record in sight. Predictions tomorrow! Keep visiting.

Advertisements

148 Comments

  • I must say badlapur will surprise you…..it will collect more than humpty sharma….fan will cross 200 cr easily…dont underestimate SRK…..I am looking forward towards tamasha, badlapur n shandasr apart from srk movies…..m

  • 160 crores is to less for Fan.Even if it is a non-festive release SRK has enough star power to make it cross 200 crores.

  • @everyone is saying @indicine should have predicted more for Fan, I think they are accurate and fair. Happy New Year just about went past 200 cr mark even tho it released on Diwali. Ticket prices are lower in other weeks so Fan has to get more audience than HNY to collect 200.

    I think Fan will have to be extra ordinary good for it to cross 200.

  • Brothers no way 140-150 crs as it will not have a festival release and also two weeks after Bajranji Bhaijaan….Also though FAN is burgered between three films I.e BB, BROTHERS and JAGGA JASSOS still its opening weekend can cross 90 crs and 140 crs 1st week and 200 or 200+ lifetime.

  • Disagree with the predictions for Fan

    Fan may not be a masala movie…So was PK and 3 Idiots…So its the content that matters…No doubt that it will open Huge as there are 2 holidays in the first weekend…Yrf will release it in around 4500 screens with almost similar prices like PK, so an opening of 30+ is guaranteed on Friday itself…And Saturday and Sunday are holidays and the movie will collect minimum 40+ even with mixed reviews…So it will be around 110+ for the weekend. Then comes the Role of Content…If the movie has mixed reviews then it wont sustain that much and the collections will drop..But it will still cross 200 cr as a movie like HNY can cross 200 then Fan will also do that…And worst case scenario if the movie is really bad, then it wil be around 150 cr but i dont think it will be that bad, And now if the movie gets reviews like Chakde India, then trust me no box office records will be left for this movie to break…If content is good then sky is the limit . SRK and Salman are 2 stars who can make blockbusters even with a crap script, so what will happen if the content is good…Expecting a good movie this time from SRK

  • are you in sense indicine, even in a very worst scenario happy new year can collect 200 carore then how can you predict fan only 170 to 80. fan wud be srk highest grosser of all time.

  • my predictions
    badlapur 60-70 crore
    ABCD2 70-80 crore
    all is well 40-50 crore
    shaandar 70-80 crore
    fan 150-175 crore
    PRDP 200 crore

  • indicine if hny can do 200 cr why not fan you have got to be kidding me . 200 cr is sure for fan if it didn’t i would stop watching bollywoood movies

  • my views of big releases in detail and small release in short
    small films
    1.Jagga jasoos – 140-160 cr ( if pritam and anurag combo worked likes gangster murder and barfee then it will be 180 plus if it is like Barfee in reviews.
    2.Singh is bling- 50cr must be disaster
    3.brothers – 105cr (will get sandwiches between Biggie’s)
    4.Badlapur- 35cr ABCD2 75cr
    5.MSD – 100cr
    6.Shaandaar -110-120cr ( vikas behal is small raju hirani)
    7.FAN – (non holiday release ) I picked it by budget of movie the movie budget around 50-60cr film so srk fans don’t bash me for it .Day 2-3 will either will be close to HNY day 1 but 40 cr any day Srk has big reputation for grand opening in 3 khans (115 weekend) week1 (180cr) lifetime 230cr .

    Big films
    tamasaha – imitaz Ali and ranbir is big pair if film gets holiday then nearly 100cr opening lifetime nearly 180-220cr .
    2.Bajrangi bhaijaan budget 90-100cr – Kabir khan and salman another successful cocktail (weekend will gigantic chasing HNY day 1 45cr but it seems difficult but still weekend 120cr week 1 200cr and lifetime 270cr)
    3.Prem ratn chan piyo- holiday release its family drama but no one forgot another combo sallu -suraj combo the film will not break open but will goes to Completion to PK it will score nearly 350cr at Indian box office
    4.either Raees or Srk -Rohit
    Raees will take huge opening but content will key week1 nearly 220cr (with 1 day 50cr record) lifetime 275-290cr ( if Christmas)

    Srk Rohit film its another successful pair need deepika to join it .it will be biggest opening nearly 55 cr if release on Christmas holiday weekend will 150cr and lifetime 300-360cr .

  • i also think indicine u r underestimating fan i know hny was crap but dnt ever underestimate srk ce is d biggest prove wen everybody didnt give ce any chance it went on to b a blockbuster nd moreover fans budget is only 50 60 crore

  • SRK said clearly that he would do rohit’s movie only after “Fan” & “Raees”… I don’t think srk is going to release “Raees” this year… If clash happen with “Tamasha” then it will be bad luck for srk’s movie… as any srk starter movie is much much bigger than a ranbir starter movie. The producer of “Tamasha” says that christmas can take more than 1 big movie… & it’s looking already clash with “Bajirao Mastani”… I think srk will release “Atharva – The Origin” this year alongside “Fan”… I am waiting for this movie more than “Raees” or Rohit’s Movie…

  • BO is unpredictable!
    Still, Here comes my prediction:

    All Izz Well: 45 crores
    Brothers: 120 crores
    Jagga Jasoos: 130 crores
    Fan: 150 crores
    Singh Is Bling: 80 crores
    M.S. Dhoni: 100 crores
    BadlaPur: 70-80 crores
    ABCD 2: 70-80 crores
    Shandar: 70 crores

  • We cann’t expect all these Jagga Jasoos, Fan,Brothers to do 140 crores plus. They are coming with a difference of 2 weeks wrt each other. Fan and JJ could touch 140 crores, but for Brothers, Difficult!

  • @ tiger 170 cr prediction is far better than actual collection of jai ho which was said to be destroyed collection of CE bt what happen it didn’t even made half of CE and your soo called bhaijaan booked even 2016 and 2017 ‘s all hollyday period some example suddhi with karan johar diwali 2016 hahaha is he is your so called superstar ???? I think he got a massive shocked from non fastive jai ho be a man yaar after continuously remake of south movies and same action flick now he not want to change his realese date and play safe.
    @aman dear don’t need to clarify who have more guts srk never affarid check out previous clash of your bhaijaan wid srk you got your answer and he is only actor to released his movie CE only five day before a succcesful sequel outim doobara and still broke each single previous record which not your superstar think to do even his dream bcoz we all know very well he booked fastival period for his film even 5 year earlier

  • Brothers – 140cr Sandwich Between (BB & Fan)
    Fan – 165cr Sandwich Between (Brothers & Jagga Jasoos)
    Jagga Jasoos – 140cr
    Biggest Challenge For SRK… As SRK Always release his movies during big festive period with big leading lady & Directors…
    2014 – HNY – 202cr – Super Hit (Deepika, Farah) – Diwali
    2013 – CE – 227cr – BB (Deepika, Rohit) – Eid
    2012 – JTHJ – 122cr – Hit (Katrina + Anushka, Yash Chopra) – Diwali
    2011 – Ra One – 115cr – Average (Kareena, Anubhav Singh) – Diwali
    & Don – 106cr – Hit (Priyanka, Farhan) – Christmas
    2010 – MNIK – 74cr – Hit (Kajol, Karan Johan) – Non-Festive
    2008 – RNBDJ – 87 cr – BB (Anushka’s Debut, Aditya Chopra) – Christmas
    2007 – OSO – 79cr – BB (Deepika’s Debut, Farah) – Diwali
    (Last Higgest Grossing Movie By Shah Rukh Khan)
    & CDI – 67cr – BB (Shimit Amin) – Non Festive

  • @Zeeshan::Man,Who told you Sid Malhotra has a meatier role in Brothers,yes you may like him very much but that does’nt mean you should distort the facts!!!
    I would request you to kindly watch hollywood film warrior,the elder brother Joel Edgerton had a much meatier role,heroine is alos paired opposite him.
    So brothers is more Akki’s film than Sid’s..mark that!

  • Romance take:
    All is Well 30cr
    Brothers 125cr
    Fan 235cr
    Badlapur 50cr
    Jagga jasus 85cr
    Shandaar 145cr
    ABCD2 70cr

  • dont think tamasha or srk rohit shetty film will release during christmas……

    srk already has Fan and in all likelihood Raees will also release in 2015 or atleast before Rohit Shetty film…..a big superstar like srk will never have 3 films releasing in a year surely

    Even Ranbir has BV, Jagga Jasoos and even Roy though its a cameo…..tehnically then it’ll be 4 ranbir films……again feel its unlikely but still possible for Ranbir……no chance of 3 srk films though!

  • @aaask: if srk rohit shetty film comes in xmas then no one dare to clash but if #raees comes then we might see clash but whatever srk films always huge if content is good then sky is limit

  • @aaask .. you got to be kidding me right ? Ra. One was a ‘Hit’ .. CE was ATBB, RNBDJ did not release on Christmas, it was a non-holiday release – 12th December, that year Ghajini released on Christmas. Get your facts right.
    @arjun kapoor fan, well if I was the producer of SRK’s producer then maybe I was the right person to ask this question of Clash ?
    anyways I think if SRK decides to release his movie on Christmas, everyone else will eventually back away :)
    incase even if there is a clash, there is a scope for both movies doing good business, so I’l be happy either ways, I loved Ranbir’s performance in Rockstar, so Tamasha is gonna be an awesome experience for everyone.

  • Brothers deserved much better release date…I know it will be superb film and will be liked by both masses and classes.
    Akki and Sid have already shot Mixed Martial Art(MMA) scenes and they have come really good.

    Sidharth Malhotra @S1dharthM · Dec 16
    @Aakash_Khiladi shoots going great,lot of MMA action n Akshay sir is the safest n most experienced in that,learning so much from him.

  • Fan is not a huge like ra1 or ce or hny but it have potential to become huge blockbuster like CDI. Low expectation is good, plus Fan made on a buget of 50 to 60cr, if fan do 150cr then it will be blockbuster but if fan is liked cdi then 250cr will be cakewalk.

Leave a Comment