Mubarakan Box Office Prediction

The industry is going through one of its dullest phases. Not only are films not succeeding at the box office, but most films with star-value aren’t even taking good starts on Friday morning. The last universally successful films were ‘Badrinath Ki Dulhania’ (early March) and ‘Bahubali 2: The Conclusion’ (late April).

Since then, almost every film has fallen short on opening day as well as lifetime collections – barring one or two films like ‘Hindi Medium’ and the surprise success of ‘Lipstick Under My Burkha’ due to low costs.

It’s during this depressingly dull period that a film like ‘Mubarakan’ with a successful but under-rated director like Anees Bazmee is all set to release in theatres.

Let’s quickly get down to see what has worked and what hasn’t during the pre-release campaign of the film:

Factors in favour of the film:

  • Anees Bazmee: With wholesome entertainers like ‘No Entry’ and ‘Welcome’ to his credit, an in-form Bazmee can do wonders at the box office. If ‘Mubarakan’ turns out to be a well-made film, it could just be the entertainer that the audience have been waiting for.
  • Arjun – Anil Kapoor: First the box office part; Arjun’s box office pull is under-rated, but his films (Ki & Ka, Half Girlfriend) have opened above expectations. It remains to be seen if he can manage the same with ‘Mubarakan’, but he certainly has his share of audience at smaller centres.  The Arjun Kapoor – Anil Kapoor jodi will also be something to watch out for.
  • Comedy: We believe the comedy genre is evergreen, even though comedy films haven’t been working in recent times. People love laughing and if the funny moments are there, it can add to the repeat audience as well. ‘Mubarakan’ is also a situational comedy and not slapstick, which we think is again a plus.

Factors against the film:

  • Trailer: The first trailer did not work, the second trailer should’ve been the first (with the advantage of hindsight, of course). A couple of songs have worked.
  • Anees Bazmee: If the director has winners like ‘Ready’ and ‘Singh Is King’ apart from the films mentioned above, he also has failures like ‘Thank You’, ‘No Problem’ and ‘Sandwich’. Inconsistency means the audience is unsure, which probably dents the initial or value that a director can add to films.
  • Upcoming releases: The two weeks after ‘Mubarakan’ are packed with major releases like ‘Jab Harry Met Sejal’ and ‘Toilet Ek Prem Katha’. The audience might save up money and may not even give ‘Mubarakan’ a chance if the film carries mixed word-of-mouth.
  • Female stars: The female stars add value to such films at mass centres, but while Ileana D’Cruz is fine, without meaning to be harsh, Athiya Shetty is probably a minus for the film.

IndicineFBO: We are going with 7.2 crore as the opening day collections of ‘Mubarakan’. Ideally, the film should open somewhere between ‘Ki&Ka’ and ‘Half Girlfriend’ which would be around the 8-9 crore mark, but given the period that the industry is going through, we doubt the audience is willing to spend before the verdict is out.

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep


  • Also @indicine isn’t it possible that if your Tubelight prediction can go so wrong ( you predicted 27 and it came out 20), isn’t it realistically possible that JHMS can also be predicted 17 by you but can go to 24? Please reply!


    • It is also possible the world ends 5 seconds before the first show..
      It is also possible that the release can be cancelled in the last second..
      It is also possible you die before it releases..
      Anything is possible..


      • Vera stupid don’t u know how to judge movies so it is better to keep ur mouth shut up. Jhms is surely going to cross 150cr easily even in worst case. If contant is good then it will cross 200 cr mark. A little doubt is the climatic condition of india that will affect the movie in some instant. So keep knowledge abt movie and argue. Better understand.


    • I dont understand the hate over Arjun Kapoor. He was terrific in films like Aurangzeb and Ki & Ka. However, he has his share of bad films too.


  • indicine update your buzz score how can you give 6 score to jhms its even lower than tubelight and bkd and how buzz of tepk is also 6 it should have been jhms 7 tepk 4 since trailer songs have increased the buzz of jhms i know its not on raees level but still buzz score should be atleast 7 and tepk buzz is almost dead now please update it


  • SIK and Ready were winners but you forgot his first debut movie as a Director was Super Hit Pyar toh hona hi tha Your favourite actor Ajay(lol) emerged as the 2nd HGOTY just his 1st trial. Sik and Ready too i think were 2nd HGOTY too but it had Akki and Salman so we know the calibre of movies Anees can make but most had star power ,well if the movie can be as hypy as you hype it then lets see,personally i dont like Arjun kapoor but hope its a success for him. I will go with 5.6- 6.6 opening day


  • Both 1st and 2nd trailers are bad except Anil Kapoor…I was laughing on Arjun kapur dialogue delivery instead of on his joke…ek bat to proof ho gyi,joke kitna bhi achha ho,joke marnevala bhi achha hona chahiye nhi to joke ka joke ban jata hai.


  • The first 300 crs movie 2017 will be one and only TZH…

    Tiger returns, when ETT was released it broke all first day and 1st weekend and 1st week records.

    Similr is going to happen this Christmas….

    350crs on cards!!!

    the only hope for Bollywood box office this year can be done by none other than Numero uno mega star


  • 7.2 ? R u guys crazy. Half girlfriend had good songs & one of the finest novel of Chetan bhagat…Ki & ka had new concept & chart buster song……Mubarakan has nothing, you guys also having dull period, too much wrong predictions..


  • To srk fans Buzz-wazz its all nonsense if ur film is good then going to be hit. Srk afraid from TEPK & thats why he releases trailers & songs on regular interval. On other side Akki believe in his film so he release only one trailer. Point is that “Sao sunar ki, ek lohar ki”.


  • “Ileana D’Cruz is fine, without meaning to be harsh, Athiya Shetty is probably a minus for the film.”

    Can’t stop laughing Indicine😂 I have been only looking at Ileana in the promos😍 Can’t tolerate 2 Arjun Kapoors🤢🤣


  • I already chose Indu Sarkar after seeing the 1st trailer of Mubarakan😜 Not spending a penny on this, gonna pirate just to see how bad this crap is💩

    When these movies No Entry, Welcome, Ready & Singh Is King released, those were different times😛 Don’t forget, now we are in post Baahubali era😎


  • Both 1st and 2nd trailers are bad except Anil Kapoor…I was laughing on Arjun kapur dialogue delivery instead of on his joke…ek bat to proof ho gyi,joke kitna bhi achha ho,joke marnevala bhi achha hona chahiye nhi to joke ka joke ban jata hai


  • Jhms 17.5 ?? Are u serious Indicine ?? It’s Srk movie coming solo it is not clashing ?? I challenge u Indicine jhms will collect 25 to 28 cr on first day .. Let’s see who will win if u lose u have to apologise to all srkians if I loose then I’ll always believe yours prediction and never bash you again ..!



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