Check out the IndicineLBO (Lifetime Box Office Predictions) of film releases in 2016. Do note that the final lifetime prediction will be made 2 days after the release of the film i.e on Sunday morning if a film releases on Friday.
Notes:
- LBO predictions will be updated after the release of the theatrical trailer, songs and finally after the release of the film.
- Movies that are marked with * are those that are currently set to clash at the box office. But since clashes can still be averted, LBO prediction currently assumes that the film will get a solo release during the same period.
- Word-of-mouth is assumed to be mixed.
Movie | Word of Mouth | Prediction | Actual Collection | Difference | Result | |
Dilwale | Mixed | 145 cr | 148 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Bajirao Mastani | Extremely Positive | 168 cr | 187 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Wazir | Mixed | 35 cr | 40 cr | 14% | Accurate | |
Airlift | Positive | 143 cr | 127 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 | Negative | 34 cr | 31 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Mastizaade | Mixed | 29 cr | 32 cr | 10% | Accurate | |
Saala Khadoos | Negative | 16 cr | 14 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Ghayal Once Again | Mixed | 39 cr | 36 cr* | 8% | Accurate | |
Sanam Re | Mixed | 28 cr | 29 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Fitoor | Extremely Negative | 23 cr | 19 cr | 17% | Inaccurate | |
Neerja | Positive | 70 cr | 74 cr | 6% | Accurate | |
Teraa Surroor | Negative | 12 cr | 13 cr | 8% | Accurate | |
Rocky Handsome | Negative | 26 cr | 25 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
Jai Gangaajal | Negative | 33 cr | 32 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Kapoor & Sons | Positive | 66 cr | 72 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Ki And Ka | Positive | 54 cr | 53 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Fan | Negative | 95 cr | 84 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Baaghi | Positive | 84 cr | 75 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Azhar | Negative | 35 cr | 33 cr | 5% | Accurate | |
Sarabjit | Mixed | 26 cr | 28 cr | 7% | Accurate | |
Housefull 3 | Mixed | 105 cr | 107 cr | 2% | Accurate | |
Udta Punjab | Mixed | 72 cr | 59 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Sultan | Positive | 305 cr | 302 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Dishoom | Mixed | 62 cr | 69 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Mohenjo Daro | Negative | 54 cr | 59 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Rustom | Positive | 102 cr | 126 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
Happy Bhag Jayegi | Mixed | 21 cr | 26 cr | 24% | Inaccurate | |
A Flying Jatt | Negative | 33 cr | 37 cr | 12% | Accurate | |
Akira | Mixed | 27 cr | 28 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Baar Baar Dekho | Negative | 38 cr | 31 cr | 18% | Inaccurate | |
Raaz Reboot | Negative | 28 cr | 27 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Pink | Positive | 54 cr | 65 cr | 20% | Inaccurate | |
M S Dhoni biopic | Mixed | 138 cr | 133 cr | 4% | Accurate | |
Mirzya | Negative | 9 cr | 10 cr | 11% | Accurate | |
Shivaay | Mixed | 95 cr | 96 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Ae Dil Hai Mushkil | Mixed | 102 cr | 111 cr | 9% | Accurate | |
Rock On 2 | Negative | 13 cr | 10 cr | 23% | Inaccurate | |
Force 2 | Mixed | 35 cr | 34 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Dear Zindagi | Positive | 65 cr | 66 cr | 1% | Accurate | |
Befikre | Negative | 58 cr | 60 cr | 3% | Accurate | |
Dangal | Pending | 315 cr | - | - | - |
Advertisements
@indicine Airlift WOM is extremely positive…Not only positive…The WOM is better than BB and Bajirao Mastani…Correct your article…
@Movie Fan, extremely positive is only when a film trends very well and does well pan-India. Only Bajrangi Bhaijaan, Tanu Weds Manu Returns and Bajirao Mastani managed that in 2015.
thank you indicine.I will follow you till I die.
Where is befikre….ranveer Singh next predictions…..or srk wle movie ke starcast ko 9 star diye h…lol…..10 de pagal…srk se bda koi superstar nhi h….?
Fan at least 200 crores
Mohenjo daro will be 230cr
dangal will be 280 to 300cr
fitoor will be 60cr
shivay will be 180 to 200cr
Indicine it would be great if u gave full information as well …
why haven’t given detailed prediction
very disappointed.
I wish u had made predictions like 2014 .
Finally the most demanded article has been published
Best actors in 2016
Aamir khan
hrithik roshan
salman khan
ajay devgan
Befikre predictions? ??
My predictions for upcoming movies.
Fan : 230 crore in domestic and 200 crore In overseas .
Raees : 200+ crore with clash
mohenjo daro : 230 to 260+ crore
great grand masti : 120+ crore
Sultan : 160+ crore with clash
dangal : 210+ crore
shivaay : 160 crore
adhm : 130 crore
Bold prediction for Fan.. I would have to agree though.. Its very difficult for films to earn more than 150 crore in normal weekend.
Airlift even with it being hailed as Akshay’s best film might just do 130 crore.
I don’t Fan will cross 150 only if word-of-mouth is good.. otherwise might fall below 100 also.
fan 138 cr.. lol.. are u kidding indicine.. This movie will change the myth that khan movie cant open big without festivals
Note my prediction—— MOHENJO DARO will be 290-330 crore nett
I would love to see most number of blockbusters this year..at least 6-8 of them..Fan,Houseful 3,Raees,Sultan,Mohenjadaro, Shivaay and Dangal should be blockbusters and possibly all of them should collect between 150-350 crores.. Surprises from small and medium budget films is always welcome…two films that I think may be the real dark horses are Ae dil hai mushkil and Befikre..directors of both these films have a 100% track record so I think these two may emerge huge successes and I seriously hope these films become major hits..
What does * means at the end of the name of some movies ?
@Rangil Singh, that those movie are set to clash and predictions are assuming those films get solo release.
Fan’s prediction is fair enough as it is a niche movie and not releasing on a normal weekend. But if there is content in the movie, it can do 150 cr plus.
Difficult to call which will score more, Raees or Sultan? My predictions for both are 200-225 cr obviously depending upon which will get the eid release and the no of open weeks. Both are very strong movies.
Dangal should do 250 plus as it is a solo release and Amir has been unstoppable at Christmas.
Expecting Shivay to do more than 125 cr. 32 cr for Sanam Re? That is one brave prediction.
Overall fair enough predictions.
I don’t think Dangal will do 260 crore.. It seems to be a niche film.. Sultan will do more than 237 if it gets solo release.
I am excited about Raees.. but only if its good will it earn more than 200.
Its funny to see SRK fans dream of 200 for Fan.. Are you guys seriously expecting it to be more than HNY and Dilwale? It won’t get holiday benefit, IPL will be going on.. and promos are all praising SRK himself much like Billu.
After RDB, Dangal is most important film for Aamir’s career. Before RDB Aamir had Mangal pandey which was not appreciated came after 4 year break, media wrote him off that time. Than came RDB and after that its Aamir show all the way on box office.
Now Dangal, before this film Aamir has been surrounding with huge negativity.The boycott Dangal campaign initially affect Dangal also.Many srk fans thinking that Aamir created intolerance debate to defame Dilwale which is nonsensical.People are more disappointed from Aamir than srk which will prove bigger trouble when Dangal releases but Man this us the guy who will convert all the negative vibes into positivity. Wait and watch guys,Dangal is set to rewrite boxoffice history and I want to see faces of bhakts after Dangal mamooth success.
Never underestimate Aamir khan & content of his films.
The year belongs to Dangal without a doubt.
Best of luck Aamir. We are with you.
I think this year will witnessed maximum number of 200cr grossers & the total box office collection will be huge.
@Indicine. Srk is all time poweful. If any of his movie gets effected by poor content or anyother reason can’t make him inequal to other two Khans. If Dilwale had Salman or Aamir, It might turn into the same faith. All three Khans are strength to each other.
Its okay Sultan has bigger starcast considering bigger actress but Dangal and Raees must have equal ratings for starcast.
Thanks
@indicine raaz 4 predictions??
There are only 2 movies whose Starcast has been Given 10/10..
Sultan and Dangal..
Salman and Aamir..
Enough Said :) :)
Mastizaade- 30 cr
Saala Khadoos-16 cr
Ghayal Once Again- 42 cr
Sanam Re- 35 cr
Fitoor- 40 cr
Neerja- 30 cr
Jai Gangaajal- 45 cr
Kapoor & Sons- 50 cr
Great Grand Masti- 90 cr
Rocky Handsome- 40 cr
Ki And Ka- 35 cr
Fan- 210 cr
Baaghi- 44 cr
Azhar- 60 cr
Sarabjit- 35 cr
Housefull 3- 130 cr
Jagga Jasoos- 60 cr
Udta Punjab- 55 cr
Raees*- 240 cr
Sultan*- 160 cr
Dhishoom- 105 cr
Mohenjo Daro*- 205 cr
Rustom*- 62 cr
A Flying Jatt- 50 cr
M S Dhoni biopic- 56 cr
Baar Baar Dekho- 35 cr
Rangoon- 61 cr
Half Girlfriend- 75 cr
Ae Dil Hai Mushkil*- 130 cr
Shivaay*- 160 cr
Rock On 2- 65 cr
Befikre- 90 cr
Dangal- 220 cr
my predictions
ghayal-39 cr
sanam re-32 cr
fan-145cr
great grand masti-102cr
rocky handsome-55cr
Azhar-52 cr
dangal-350cr
raaz 4-85cr
ms dhoni biopic-40cr
My prediction for biggies 2016:
FAN:180crs
Housefull 3:145crs
Raees(considering it gets solo release on eid):220crs
Sultan(considering it gets solo release on eid):250crs
Mohenjodaro(considering it gets solo release on 15th Aug):210crs
Rustom(considering it gets solo release on 15th Aug):110crs
Shivaay(considering it gets solo release on Diwali):160crs
ADHM(considering it gets solo release on Diwali):120crs
Dangal:290crs
Highly disappointed, frankly speaking we have not much interest in your lbo prediction when it comes to most awaited films and their expectation article. We want detail expectation article for probably looking top 10 grosser this year.
@Indicine why you are avoiding that detail analysis related article.
My Lifetime prediction for Top 10 this year.
1.Dangal – 300cr+
2. Sultan -260- 280cr if solo
3. Raees – 180-200cr if solo
4. Mohenjodaro- 170-180cr
5. House full 3- 155-165cr
6. Shivaay – 150cr
7. Fan – 130-135cr
8. Airlift – 125cr
9. Ae Dil H Mushkil – 100cr
10. Phir Hera Pheri – 95-100cr if release solo
My predictions for big movies:-
1. AIRLIFT -125 CRS.
2. GREAT GRAND MASTI- 75 CRS.
3. FAN – 130 CRS.
4. RAEES – 160 CRS.
5. SULTAN – 200 CRS.
5. HOUSEFULL 3. – 125 CRS.
6. MOHENJODARO – 170 CRS.
7. RUSTOM – 85 CRS.
8. ADHM – 105 CRS.
9. SHIVAAY – 130 CRS.
10. DANGAL- 245 CRS.
If FAN will be a masterpiece then it will do 175 crs+..
All predictions are on the basis that The Word of mouth is decent to good.
The fight HGOTY is between 4 films.
Sultan, Raees, Dangal & Mohenjo-Daro. And predicition also gives highest 4 to these 4 films.
Big fight and competition coming coming months. Aamir is fav with best holiday reease. But can Hrithik surprise and give a big one and can we finally have an year when a non-Khan film being HGOTY after 10 years.Last was also Hrithik’s Dhoom 2. Tough though. But undoubtedly the biggest year of Indian cinema is about to begin.
MS Dhoni biopic is a sureshot 100crs…Likh lo
Wow
First tym indicine accepted that srk 9 star …
Salman and amir 10 star actor
Very true