IndicineLBO – Lifetime Box Office Prediction of Bollywood Movies

Note: Early predictions that are listed for upcoming figures are based on pre-release expectations. Predictions change after the release of trailer, song promos, music and marketing campaign. Final prediction on Sunday morning post-release.

IndicineLBO 2017

MovieDateLBOActual
Jab Harry Met SejalAug 467 crore-
Toilet Ek Prem KathaAug 11120 crore-
Bareilly Ki BarfiAug 1814 crore-
A GentlemanAug 2540 crore-
Babumoshai BandookbaazAug 2515 crore-
Qaidi BandAug 254 crore-
BaadshahoSep 165 crore-
Shubh Mangal SaavdhanSep 115 crore-
DaddySep 88 crore-
KaalakaandiSep 812 crore-
SimranSep 1510 crore-
HaseenaSep 1511 crore-
Lucknow CentralSep 1513 crore-
BhoomiSep 2220 crore-
Judwaa 2Sep 29125 crore-
Secret SuperstarDiwali60 crore-
Golmaal AgainDiwali200 crore-
IttefaqNov 325 crore-
PadmavatiNov 17180 crore-
Tiger Zinda HaiChristmas275 crore-
Ok JaanuJan 1326 crore20 crore
Jolly LLB 2Feb 10112 crore116 crore
RangoonFeb 2423 crore20 crore
Commando 2 Mar 0325 crore23 crore
Badrinath Ki DulhaniaMar 10115 crore118 crore
PhillauriMar 2428 crore27 crore
Naam ShabanaMar 3130 crore35 crore
Begum JaanApr 1422 crore18 crore
NoorApr 2110 crore8 crore
Sarkar 3May 1216 crore12 crore
Meri Pyaari BinduMay 1218 crore13 crore
Half GirlfriendMay 1960 crore58 crore
RaabtaJune 920 crore21 crore
TubelightEid146 crore125 crore
MomJuly 744 crore37 crore
Jagga JasoosJuly 1457 crore55 crore
Munna MichaelJuly 2133 crore35 crore
MubarakanJuly 2845 crore-
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IndicineLBO 2016

MovieWord of MouthPredictionActual
Collection
DifferenceResult
DilwaleMixed145 cr148 cr2%Accurate
Bajirao MastaniExtremely Positive168 cr187 cr12%Accurate
WazirMixed35 cr40 cr14%Accurate
AirliftPositive143 cr127 cr11%Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3Negative34 cr31 cr8%Accurate
MastizaadeMixed29 cr32 cr10%Accurate
Saala KhadoosNegative16 cr14 cr12%Accurate
Ghayal Once AgainMixed39 cr36 cr*8%Accurate
Sanam ReMixed28 cr29 cr3%Accurate
FitoorExtremely Negative23 cr19 cr17%Inaccurate
NeerjaPositive70 cr74 cr6%Accurate
Teraa SurroorNegative12 cr13 cr8%Accurate
Rocky HandsomeNegative26 cr25 cr4%Accurate
Jai GangaajalNegative33 cr32 cr3%Accurate
Kapoor & SonsPositive66 cr72 cr9%Accurate
Ki And KaPositive54 cr53 cr2%Accurate
FanNegative95 cr84 cr11%Accurate
BaaghiPositive84 cr75 cr11%Accurate
AzharNegative35 cr33 cr5%Accurate
SarabjitMixed26 cr28 cr7%Accurate
Housefull 3Mixed105 cr107 cr2%Accurate
Udta PunjabMixed72 cr59 cr18%Inaccurate
SultanPositive305 cr302 cr1%Accurate
DishoomMixed62 cr69 cr11%Accurate
Mohenjo DaroNegative54 cr59 cr9%Accurate
RustomPositive102 cr126 cr23%Inaccurate
Happy Bhag JayegiMixed21 cr26 cr24%Inaccurate
A Flying JattNegative33 cr37 cr12%Accurate
AkiraMixed27 cr28 cr3%Accurate
Baar Baar DekhoNegative38 cr31 cr18%Inaccurate
Raaz RebootNegative28 cr27 cr3%Accurate
PinkPositive54 cr65 cr20%Inaccurate
M S Dhoni biopicMixed138 cr133 cr4%Accurate
MirzyaNegative9 cr10 cr11%Accurate
ShivaayMixed95 cr96 cr1%Accurate
Ae Dil Hai MushkilMixed102 cr111 cr9%Accurate
Rock On 2Negative13 cr10 cr23%Inaccurate
Force 2Mixed35 cr34 cr3%Accurate
Dear ZindagiPositive65 cr66 cr1%Accurate
BefikreNegative58 cr60 cr3%Accurate
DangalPending315 cr---
  • IndicineLBO is updated once every Friday with our ‘expectation’ based on the current buzz and trade expectations from the film.
  • The final prediction is made on Sunday, after the release of the film. The reason for this is, we do not want to shoot in the dark – instead, analyse the trend of the film and then make a final prediction.

IndicineLBO 2015 Analysis (started mid way through the year):

  • Total Movies Predicted – 27
  • Total Accurate Predictions – 21
  • Total Inaccurate Predictions – 6
MovieWord of MouthPredictionActual
Collection
DifferenceResult
Mr XNegative24 cr24.9 cr0.03%Accurate
Gabbar Is BackPositive89 cr85 cr3%Accurate
PikuPositive75 cr79 cr5%Accurate
Bombay VelvetExtremely Negative24 cr24 cr0%Accurate
Tanu Weds ManuExtremely Positive86 cr151 cr75%Inaccurate
Dil Dhadakne DoMixed85 cr78 cr8%Accurate
Hamari Adhuri KahaniMixed33 cr37 cr12%Accurate
ABCD 2Positive102 cr105 cr2%Accurate
Bajrangi BhaijaanExtremely Positive285 cr320 cr12%Accurate
BangistanExtremely Negative8 cr6.2 cr22%Inaccurate
DrishyamPositive66 cr73 cr10%Accurate
BrothersNegative103 cr83 cr20%Inaccurate
All Is WellNegative16 cr15 cr6%Accurate
PhantomMixed61 cr54 cr11%Accurate
Welcome BackMixed120 cr98 cr18%Inaccurate
HeroMixed38 cr34 cr10%Accurate
Katti BattiExtremely Negative24 cr24 cr0%Accurate
Calendar GirlsNegative8 cr7.1 cr11%Accurate
Kis Kisko Pyaar KaruPositive57 cr50 cr12%Accurate
TalvarPositive20 cr2931%Inaccurate
JazbaaMixed29 cr27 cr6%Accurate
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2Positive35 cr61 cr42%Inaccurate
ShaandaarExtremely Negative48 cr43 cr11%Accurate
Prem Ratan Dhan PayoMixed230 cr213 cr7%Accurate
TamashaNegative68 cr69 cr0%Accurate
Dilwale145 cr148 cr2%Accurate
Bajirao Mastani168 cr187 cr10%Accurate