IndicineLBO – Lifetime Box Office Prediction of Bollywood Movies

Note: Early predictions that are listed for upcoming figures are based on pre-release expectations. Predictions change after the release of trailer, song promos, music and marketing campaign. Final prediction on Sunday morning post-release.

IndicineLBO 2017

MovieDateLBOActual
Ok JaanuJan 1326 crore20 crore
Jolly LLB 2Feb 10112 crore116 crore
RangoonFeb 2423 crore20 crore
Commando 2 Mar 0325 crore23 crore
Badrinath Ki DulhaniaMar 10115 crore118 crore
PhillauriMar 2428 crore27 crore
Naam ShabanaMar 3130 crore35 crore
Begum JaanApr 1422 crore18 crore
NoorApr 2110 crore-
Bahubali 2Apr 28210 crore-
Sarkar 3May 1235 crore-
Meri Pyaari BinduMay 1230 crore-
Half GirlfriendMay 1985 crore-
RaabtaJune 955 crore-
TubelightEid325 crore-
MomJuly 725 crore-
ChefJuly 1415 crore-
HaseenaJuly 1430 crore-
Jagga JasoosJuly 1450 crore-
Munna MichaelJuly 2170 crore-
Bareilly Ki BarfiJuly 2130 crore-
MubarakanJuly 2860 crore-
SRK-Imtiaz FilmAug 11140 crore-
Toilet Ek Prem KathaAug 1195 crore-
ReloadAug 2555 crore-
BaadshahoSep 165 crore-
SimranSep 1515 crore-
Judwaa 2Sep 29125 crore-
Secret SuperstarDiwali60 crore-
Golmaal AgainDiwali180 crore-
PadmavatiNov 17170 crore-
Tiger Zinda HaiChristmas300 crore-

IndicineLBO 2016

MovieWord of MouthPredictionActual
Collection
DifferenceResult
DilwaleMixed145 cr148 cr2%Accurate
Bajirao MastaniExtremely Positive168 cr187 cr12%Accurate
WazirMixed35 cr40 cr14%Accurate
AirliftPositive143 cr127 cr11%Accurate
Kya Kool Hai Hum 3Negative34 cr31 cr8%Accurate
MastizaadeMixed29 cr32 cr10%Accurate
Saala KhadoosNegative16 cr14 cr12%Accurate
Ghayal Once AgainMixed39 cr36 cr*8%Accurate
Sanam ReMixed28 cr29 cr3%Accurate
FitoorExtremely Negative23 cr19 cr17%Inaccurate
NeerjaPositive70 cr74 cr6%Accurate
Teraa SurroorNegative12 cr13 cr8%Accurate
Rocky HandsomeNegative26 cr25 cr4%Accurate
Jai GangaajalNegative33 cr32 cr3%Accurate
Kapoor & SonsPositive66 cr72 cr9%Accurate
Ki And KaPositive54 cr53 cr2%Accurate
FanNegative95 cr84 cr11%Accurate
BaaghiPositive84 cr75 cr11%Accurate
AzharNegative35 cr33 cr5%Accurate
SarabjitMixed26 cr28 cr7%Accurate
Housefull 3Mixed105 cr107 cr2%Accurate
Udta PunjabMixed72 cr59 cr18%Inaccurate
SultanPositive305 cr302 cr1%Accurate
DishoomMixed62 cr69 cr11%Accurate
Mohenjo DaroNegative54 cr59 cr9%Accurate
RustomPositive102 cr126 cr23%Inaccurate
Happy Bhag JayegiMixed21 cr26 cr24%Inaccurate
A Flying JattNegative33 cr37 cr12%Accurate
AkiraMixed27 cr28 cr3%Accurate
Baar Baar DekhoNegative38 cr31 cr18%Inaccurate
Raaz RebootNegative28 cr27 cr3%Accurate
PinkPositive54 cr65 cr20%Inaccurate
M S Dhoni biopicMixed138 cr133 cr4%Accurate
MirzyaNegative9 cr10 cr11%Accurate
ShivaayMixed95 cr96 cr1%Accurate
Ae Dil Hai MushkilMixed102 cr111 cr9%Accurate
Rock On 2Negative13 cr10 cr23%Inaccurate
Force 2Mixed35 cr34 cr3%Accurate
Dear ZindagiPositive65 cr66 cr1%Accurate
BefikreNegative58 cr60 cr3%Accurate
DangalPending315 cr---
  • IndicineLBO is updated once every Friday with our ‘expectation’ based on the current buzz and trade expectations from the film.
  • The final prediction is made on Sunday, after the release of the film. The reason for this is, we do not want to shoot in the dark – instead, analyse the trend of the film and then make a final prediction.

IndicineLBO 2015 Analysis (started mid way through the year):

  • Total Movies Predicted – 27
  • Total Accurate Predictions – 21
  • Total Inaccurate Predictions – 6
MovieWord of MouthPredictionActual
Collection
DifferenceResult
Mr XNegative24 cr24.9 cr0.03%Accurate
Gabbar Is BackPositive89 cr85 cr3%Accurate
PikuPositive75 cr79 cr5%Accurate
Bombay VelvetExtremely Negative24 cr24 cr0%Accurate
Tanu Weds ManuExtremely Positive86 cr151 cr75%Inaccurate
Dil Dhadakne DoMixed85 cr78 cr8%Accurate
Hamari Adhuri KahaniMixed33 cr37 cr12%Accurate
ABCD 2Positive102 cr105 cr2%Accurate
Bajrangi BhaijaanExtremely Positive285 cr320 cr12%Accurate
BangistanExtremely Negative8 cr6.2 cr22%Inaccurate
DrishyamPositive66 cr73 cr10%Accurate
BrothersNegative103 cr83 cr20%Inaccurate
All Is WellNegative16 cr15 cr6%Accurate
PhantomMixed61 cr54 cr11%Accurate
Welcome BackMixed120 cr98 cr18%Inaccurate
HeroMixed38 cr34 cr10%Accurate
Katti BattiExtremely Negative24 cr24 cr0%Accurate
Calendar GirlsNegative8 cr7.1 cr11%Accurate
Kis Kisko Pyaar KaruPositive57 cr50 cr12%Accurate
TalvarPositive20 cr2931%Inaccurate
JazbaaMixed29 cr27 cr6%Accurate
Pyaar Ka Punchnama 2Positive35 cr61 cr42%Inaccurate
ShaandaarExtremely Negative48 cr43 cr11%Accurate
Prem Ratan Dhan PayoMixed230 cr213 cr7%Accurate
TamashaNegative68 cr69 cr0%Accurate
Dilwale145 cr148 cr2%Accurate
Bajirao Mastani168 cr187 cr10%Accurate