Rangoon Box Office Prediction

2017 has been a good year for the industry so far. Dangal did very well at the beginning of the year, continuing its good run from Christmas last year. The clash between Raees and Kaabil was expected to be disastrous for one or both films, but both posted a reasonably good lifetime total considering the factors that were in play.

Jolly LLB 2 gave the industry its first clean-hit of the year, as Akshay Kumar continued his good form into the new year. The Ghazi Attack is performing fairly well too and could cut into Rangoon’s business this weekend.

The year has seen just one big disappointment so far, which came in the form of ‘Ok Jaanu’. A film that was a wash-out on the first day itself.

With the big release ‘Badrinath Ki Dulhania’ lined up for release next month, we have Vishal Bhardwaj returning with three talented actors – Saif Ali Khan, Shahid Kapoor and Kangana Ranaut.

Picking the biggest crowd-puller among the three is difficult. Shahid’s last film ‘Udta Punjab’ opened at around the 10 crore mark, but that film was involved in a huge pre-release controversy and the presence of Alia Bhatt helped the film too. Kangana Ranaut hasn’t had a release since ‘Katti Batti’ in 2015, which was received very poorly and ended Imran Khan’s career. Saif Ali Khan has been missing from the big screen after ‘Phantom’ in 2015 and isn’t a crowd-puller either.

All that effectively means, Rangoon is unlikely to take a big initial at the box office and to recover its high costs, the film would need good content. Not the ‘critic-loving’ content, but it has to be the kind of film which entertains and finds acceptance amongst the audience.

The youth will be the major target audience, because nudity and sex scenes will discourage the family audience from coming out to theatres.

IndicineFBO: We expect Rangoon to open at Rs 6.3 crore on Friday. Anything lower than 6 crore would be extremely poor given the costs and anything above 7 crore would give the film a chance provided it shows big growth over the weekend. In between or a total in our prediction range means, massive growth will have to come on Saturday and Sunday.

MovieDay 1OfficialBuzzDate
Simran2.6-115 Sep
Lucknow Central1.8-115 Sep
Bhoomi3.5-222 Sep
Haseena Parkar1.0-122 Sep
Judwaa 215.5-828 Sep
Ok Jaanu5.64.08213 Jan
Kaabil*11.510.43525 Jan
Raees*21.520.42925 Jan
Jolly LLB 214.2513.2610 Feb
Rangoon6.35.0224 Feb
Commando 24.04.2523 Feb
Badrinath Ki
Dulhania
11.612.25710 Mar
Phillauri4.04.02224 Mar
Begum Jaan3.13.94314 Apr
Noor2.21.54121 Apr
Baahubali 233411028 Apr
Sarkar 33.02.0212 May
Meri Pyaari Bindu2.71.75212 May
Half Girlfriend9.210.27619 May
Raabta6.55.6149 Jun
Tubelight2721.15823 Jun
Mom3.12.937 Jul
Guest In London1.71.527 Jul
Jagga Jasoos8.88.57414 Jul
Munna Michael8.26.65321 Jul
Mubarakan7.25.25328 Jul
Jab Harry Met Sejal17.015.2564 Aug
Toilet: EPK13.013.1611 Aug
Bareilly Ki Barfi2.12.4218 Aug
Babumoshai Bandookbaaz2.02.05125 Aug
A Gentleman5.7*4.04*225 Aug
Baadshaho10.4-31 Sep
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan2.2-21 Sep
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29 Comments

  • Shahid need HIT from this movie, if Yangon (Rangoon) FLOP at box office then Ranbeer take all credit of Padmavti success.

  • My Rangoon Prediction:
    Day1: 6.25cr
    Lifetime: 46cr
    Verdict: FLOP (Budget: 70-75cr)
    Final Lifetime Prediction on Monday!

  • excellent article. Thank u for calling the start good unlike that sadoo boi which despite record start to d year & 3 successul films( all 3 100cr grossers with
    badri yet to come ) called the start mediocre. ..!!

    They remind me of that grandfather that finds everything bad. never ptaises anything. always cynical & past is GOLD

    LO

  • jolly llb 2 will get extraa benefit since rangoon will be flop and will gross around 135 crore beating rowdy rathore collections

  • @indicine. ..no one out of three is crowd puller…shahid’s case is very curious. ..he has every quality of being a solo hero but his luck evades him …saif was never a star nor is a star …and kangna she is wom actress …she thinks she is the biggest crowd puller actress ….If movie is good she will be appreciated otherwise who cares ….

  • please please post this indicine ok its off topic but please look at this analysis 2017 might be the most successful year in history of bollywood since there is a potential 100 crore grosser in each month i.e
    January-Raees,Kaabil (Both crossed 100 crore)
    February-Jolly llb 2 (crossed 100 crore)
    March-Badrinath ki dulhania (potential 100 crore)
    April- Baahubali 2 hindi version (potential 100 crore)
    May-Half girlfriend and sachin the movie (potential 100 crore for half girl friend sachin can go upto 150 crore)
    June-Toilet ek prem katha (potential 100 crore) Tubelight (Sure shot 100 crore)
    July-Munna michael (potential 100 crore since tiger shroff is working with nawazudin for 1st time and it could generate intrest in the audience to watch this film also his baaghi which was average scored 75 crore so if this film is even 10% better than baaghi then it will enter 100 crore)
    August-Rehnuma (Sure shot 100 crore)
    September-Baadshao,Judwaa (Ajay is back with a bang a potential 100 crore film , judwaa 2 has cameo of salman khan and also after success of judwaa 1 people are more eager to watch judwaa part 2 so its sure shot 100 crore grosser)
    October-Robot 2.0 and Golmaal 4 (Robot 2.0 hindi version can easily go past 100 crores due to presence of akki also golmaal 4 is a sure shot 100 crore movie since this franchise is very popular and it has immense amount of goodwill)
    November-Padmavati (Sure shot 100 crore movie as it has ranveer deepika shahid also it is directed by slb who can be trusted to make a good movie)
    December -Dutt Biopic (Potential 100 crore movie if content picks up) Tiger Zinda Hai (sure shot 100 crore movie)
    If all these prediction comes true then 2017 will have 18 100 crore grossers hope this comes true 2017 will bw written as golden year of bollywood if all these prediction becomes true lets see what happens next Indicine please post this

  • It will get Opening on the name of VB or VB-Shahid combo that too on major multiplexes….
    And family audience will definately avoid this opening will be in the range of 5cr The Ghazi attack doing well to will effect it and Jolly ,Ghazi attack ,Rangoon all r multiplex movies so 5-5.5 cr opening acc to me

  • Rangoon will be surprise hit of 2017. Rangoon hasn’t only gets terrific reviews but also it is far far commercial movie than other vishal bhardwaj’s movie.

  • I am die hard aamir fan but also love akshay kumar. He is undoubetly 3rd biggest superstar after aamir and salman. And he is much bigger star than srk now..no debate. He does 4 films a year and all of them release on non holiday and still churns out back to back hits with good script and even with mediocre housefull 3 he crossed 100 cr something which srk can never do. He did one movie in non holiday called fan and it was disaster. Last year belonged to akki until the biggest megastar of the industry came at the end of the year. And this year also so far belongs to akki. And srk is overrated actor who is highly benifitted from the surname khan. If his surname wasnt khan then he wouldnt have been star forget superstar. He also had huge backing of yrf and dharma banner. But in last 3 years akki has showed him his aukaat. So currently without a single debate, akki is much bigger star than srk and akki also has much bigger fan following than srk. If srk will do 4 or 5 movies a year like akki then his movies wont even cross 20 cr life time. So respect the true self made superatar khiladi kumar.

  • Expecting something huge from my favorite director Vishal Bhardwaj, even though box office perspective seems very tough. Kangana is a wonderful actress.

  • @ArjunYoungistanFan Acc to lord BOI … Classics like DCH ,JA ,ZNMD r poor movies lol what can u expect from that site lol

  • My prediction for Rangoon.
    1st day – 8.5 cr
    2nd day- 10.5 cr
    3rd day- 13.5 cr
    1st weekend -32.5 cr
    1st week -53 cr
    2nd week – 18 cr
    3rd week – 4.5 cr
    4th week- 1.5 cr
    Total lifetime – 77 cr
    Verdict- hit/ semi- hit

  • @Indicine pls stop giving predictions for 1st collections as it always goes horribly wrong…ok jaanu actual 4.2cr & kaabil’s 8cr on 1st day,jolly 12cr actual, so look at the difference % of predictions & actuals…don’t put producers manipulated totals to show your predictions right…actually it’s almost impossible to predict the 1st day collection,5% +/- would b acceptable but over 5% is nonsense. ..so pls stop it

  • bullshit all your prediction flop actor akhi shahid varun alia ranbir hrithik saif ranveer abhishek most of them are making bakwaas movie & you guys you are watching these movie shame on you.

  • I think Rangoon has all the ingredients to beat bombay velvet or rvg ki Aag or fitoor to become the “”:all time mega gigantic classical disaster.”””

  • The music the story the actors the director producer all technicians involved definitely had did something very good in their previous births tat a sure shit classical disastrous movie like Rangoon has come …

  • The arrogance and fake Ness of kangana will be broken into pieces with the disastrous result of Rangoon. .I m sure about it..

  • Rangoon budget kam hona chahiye tha around 15 crore budget hona chahiye tha jaise haider jiska budget kam tha sabne profit.kiya uss film se
    Rangoon ka budget bahot bada h
    Over all Disaster
    Epic disaster
    From box office point of view

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