Jab Tak Hai Jaan HIT or FLOP: Box Office Prediction

The countdown has begun. 4 days to go, for arguably the most awaited release so far this year. Shahrukh Khan’s Jab Tak Hai Jaan directed by the legendary Yash Chopra, who passed away days before the film opened in theatres, is all set to release worldwide.

In India, Jab Tak Hai Jaan (JTHJ) is releasing on 2700 screens (could be more), while overseas it’s opening on a record 600-650 screens.

While the film is likely to break opening records in the overseas markets, where Shahrukh Khan commands a huge fan following, it’s the domestic business that is generating immense curiosity all over the internet.

Almost every SRK film in recent times has fared well abroad, but back home in India, Shahrukh’s highest grosser (Ra One) is ranked 8th in the highest grossers list.

So, the excitement is high. Can Jab Tak Hai Jaan go on to be SRK’s biggest grosser? Can it beat Ek Tha Tiger as the highest grossing film of 2012? And finally, the record that every major film has been chasing since 2009, the magical figure of 202 currently held by 3 Idiots..

Without further adieu, below are the HIT or FLOP Box office predictions for Jab Tak Hai Jaan

Note: The opening day records are unlikely to be surpassed as the film releases on Diwali. Much like Ra One (around 17-18 cr incl all versions) last year, JTHJ will open well, but the evening/night shows are likely to be affected due to Diwali puja across India. We expect the first day collections to be around 14-16 crores, also keeping in mind the competition from Son Of Sardaar.

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Heroine

  • Weekend (3 day) – 50 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 95 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 30 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  125 crores
  • Final – 180 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 45 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 85 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 25 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  110 crores
  • Final – 150 crores

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 42 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 72 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 18 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  90 crores
  • Final – 110 crores

Overall, after the initial hype subsides, it all boils down to the content. If the film is good and has repeat value, it should easily cross 150 crores.

Realistically, even though the response to the advance booking has been excellent, we don’t think Jab Tak Hai Jaan will be record breaking in it’s initial weekend. There are 3 reasons; one, competition from Son Of Sardar; two, fewer shows due to 3 hour runtime; three, fewer screens compared to Ek Tha Tiger (which currently holds all the opening day, weekend records).

Having said that, it has every chance to be a major grosser in the long run, if it clicks with the family audience.

So, what are your box office predictions for Jab Tak Hai Jaan? HIT or FLOP? Super Hit or Blockbuster? Disaster or All Time Blockbuster?

Tell us what you think in the comments section below.

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118 Comments

  • For me i think if its very good then lifetime should be more than at least 200cr. No doubt opening records r tough to be beaten. Overseas all records wil be rewritten. best of luck jthj.

  • Em eagerly v8g for this one…just bcz of yash ji…he is one of my favr8 director….
    plus i ld like too add one thing..if we go by so called predictions ( if we suppose that word of mouth is
    IF BAD (worst case scenario))
    the n collections ld be 110 cr as predicted….& it ll be called hit …………like Ra.1 ….which had more then bad /worst word of mouth)
    but still is called a hit …bcz it crossed 100 crz…

    so it ll be a hit….doesn’t matter good or bad word of mouth……

    now my prediction…it ll get 130-150+ not more then that….as it’s 3 hr long & has competition with SOS….& todays youth (most of them not all) hv that much patience to sit and watch it for 3 hrz…
    however, i love romantic movies no matter it’ flop or hit….
    how much it’s long…but i just love romance….(from my view point music is not that much gr8…which might drag the movie)so i ll luv to watch it again & again ( if it’s gr8 ) & just 1 time if it’s ok…
    by the way my fvr8 romantic movies are
    1)Titanic & Lamhe (both top position i love both)
    2)Saawariya & Kabhi haan kabhi naa
    3)Silsilay (though some what family & melodramatic …but by far one of the best)
    4)Darr(Triller-romance/love)

    so v8g for yash ji next

  • rowdy rathore which released in about 2600 screen having non-holiday weekend collected 48.5 cr then how can u expect just 50 cr in diwali weekend…it should easily collect 55 cr in 3 days and 100 cr in 1st weekend

  • this predicted by salman khan.
    or may be in favor of salman khans fans.
    daily I see more negativity from joginder sir abot srk and akshay.
    whole india know that aki n srk are most consistent crowed pullers.
    1.even ra.one is worst film of srks career still it collection upto 116cr.jthj has biggest fan following in womens than no other film so even in w.o.m is extremely poor still the film manage 135cr lifetime easily.

    my predictions are.
    bad views like ra one
    6days 90cr
    week 115cr
    total 130cr .

    average like don2
    weekend 100cr
    week 125cr
    lifetime 170cr .

    good views like omg
    weekend 105cr
    week 1 140cr
    week 2 45cr
    week 3 18cr
    lifetime 210cr .

    I predicted as neutral not as srk fan or salman khan fan.

    if u not like iymt then rename ur site as salmancline.com

  • no film is comparable with 3 idiots and its 200 cr mark…3 idiot is once in a lifetime movie..no movie come closer to that whether it is any amir sallu or srk movie…i said this for tiger again said this for jab tak hein jan……even amir did not recreate it again on screen

  • i doubt it crossing more than 130-140 cr in lifetime business..srk’s movies without any competition couldnt make more than 120 cr than with competition it can never go beyond 140 cr and moreover promos are not impressive neither are songs good for a repeat value..it would be one time boring watch which srk only srk fans will like and they are not humongous anymore compared to amir and salman’s fan following..in this time watching a movie for 3 hours itself makes it boring job..and 3 hours of romance..my god only depressed people can tolerate for that long time..remember KANK..this one looks like a prequel to KANK..nothing is much happening..smart people would wait for TALAASH to release and families would go for SON OF SARDAR so why would ppl waste money on out of tract srk?

  • ajay is leaving no platform to
    curse Jthj n the makers.. SRK is
    leaving no platform to wish sos
    and the makers ALL the best..
    difference.!!

  • Sos will cross 130-132 because it was full entertaintment movie.like rowdy rathore,wanted etc.and talash was also not masala flim then people who like masala flim they must watch sos.and sos got many family audiences and he have 25 days to run becoz no masala entertain movie realise.jthj was romantic movie.it is not 4 family.and 4 people who like action,comedy masala movie.sos will cross 130crore..

  • My prediction is 15cr first day
    2nd day: 22cr
    3rd : 18cr and 4,5,6th day will be 40 cr total after first 6 day weekend is 95cr 2nd week will be 30cr and
    lifetime will be 150cr or slightly more

  • All are knows SRK was the kng of romance nd this JtHj will also a romantic movie @nd pls those wanna pay tribute to yash jii pls go and watch his romantic movie which was buzz all around !!!! This movie create history like DDLJ …alll time blockbustor

  • Jthj collect 300 carores lifetime….because of srk and yash chopra combo,a r rahman music,srk katrina pair for first time….romantic film…..everyone knows srk is king of romance…..love u srk….jthj….

  • Please sub-title the movie’s name in ENGLISH in your advertisment and discussios.
    I expect it to be a great movie….what, with the stars , director and storyline,.

  • no doubt Srk’s Jab tak hai jaan will b a hit and gross a higher amount…but don’t forget Aamir…he always breaks records…Aamir rocks

  • it will be blockbuster because it is a yash chopra film and he was very good director he has made some wonderful movies like veer zara darr silsila deewar trishul waqt etc

  • @indicine , fake prediction. Warning for all indian people, only hype created, this film is another Ra-one of fake king of bollywood srk gay.

  • If ths movie has good content like Ddlj then it will cross 250crores at domestic market..if it completes 100days in cinema then 300cr+ is for sure..nd im sure it will repeat the ddlj history..

  • lets make this film 200crore + chill and romance this diwali with yash gulzar a r rehman and srk with cat n anu what else u want such big names each names worth 50 crores so guess and chill all fans and enjoy the movie by booking our tickets early as possible……..wishing u happy diwali…

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