Jab Tak Hai Jaan HIT or FLOP: Box Office Prediction

The countdown has begun. 4 days to go, for arguably the most awaited release so far this year. Shahrukh Khan’s Jab Tak Hai Jaan directed by the legendary Yash Chopra, who passed away days before the film opened in theatres, is all set to release worldwide.

In India, Jab Tak Hai Jaan (JTHJ) is releasing on 2700 screens (could be more), while overseas it’s opening on a record 600-650 screens.

While the film is likely to break opening records in the overseas markets, where Shahrukh Khan commands a huge fan following, it’s the domestic business that is generating immense curiosity all over the internet.

Almost every SRK film in recent times has fared well abroad, but back home in India, Shahrukh’s highest grosser (Ra One) is ranked 8th in the highest grossers list.

So, the excitement is high. Can Jab Tak Hai Jaan go on to be SRK’s biggest grosser? Can it beat Ek Tha Tiger as the highest grossing film of 2012? And finally, the record that every major film has been chasing since 2009, the magical figure of 202 currently held by 3 Idiots..

Without further adieu, below are the HIT or FLOP Box office predictions for Jab Tak Hai Jaan

Note: The opening day records are unlikely to be surpassed as the film releases on Diwali. Much like Ra One (around 17-18 cr incl all versions) last year, JTHJ will open well, but the evening/night shows are likely to be affected due to Diwali puja across India. We expect the first day collections to be around 14-16 crores, also keeping in mind the competition from Son Of Sardaar.

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Heroine

  • Weekend (3 day) – 50 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 95 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 30 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  125 crores
  • Final – 180 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 45 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 85 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 25 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  110 crores
  • Final – 150 crores

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 42 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 72 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 18 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  90 crores
  • Final – 110 crores

Overall, after the initial hype subsides, it all boils down to the content. If the film is good and has repeat value, it should easily cross 150 crores.

Realistically, even though the response to the advance booking has been excellent, we don’t think Jab Tak Hai Jaan will be record breaking in it’s initial weekend. There are 3 reasons; one, competition from Son Of Sardar; two, fewer shows due to 3 hour runtime; three, fewer screens compared to Ek Tha Tiger (which currently holds all the opening day, weekend records).

Having said that, it has every chance to be a major grosser in the long run, if it clicks with the family audience.

So, what are your box office predictions for Jab Tak Hai Jaan? HIT or FLOP? Super Hit or Blockbuster? Disaster or All Time Blockbuster?

Tell us what you think in the comments section below.

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118 Comments

  • its nt a regular masala film, also competition frm SOS vl keep its collection around 150 cr evn if its content is gud coz talaash n khiladi 786 r also in d pipeline fr release

  • @indicine, r u kidding, if very good wom den only 180 life time ?. Remember the last hyped film which carried very good wom was 3 idiots rest of the film including dabaang carried mixed wom so if the movie carried very good wom den it should easily do 250 crs+.

  • jthj will be average movie. lifetime colletion 95 or 100 crore.and son of sardar will be superhit. life time collection between 130 to 135 crore

  • if wom of jthj is very good den nothing and no one can stop the movie to be biggest all time block buster ever coz think, will anyone avoid watching the sharukh movie which is been directed by yash chopra! if it carries excellent wom ?

  • really speaking i dont feel jthj will cross even 145 crores: my prediction:-
    1st day= 10 cr( diwali + competition from sos)
    2nd day=20 cr
    3rd day=15 cr
    4th day= 12cr
    5th day= 14 cr
    6th day= 16 cr
    1st extended week = 110 cr
    2nd week = 30 cr
    3rd week =5 cr (talaash)
    4th week = out of theaters (khiladi 786)!
    tota; = 140crores ….

    THIS ALL COLLECTION IS POSSIBLE ONLY IF JTHJ HAS EXCELLENT CONTENT…ELSE IT WILL NOT EVEN CROSS 120 CRORES!

  • I cant agree with u cause a non holidy film like don 2 which nearly equal to 15 cr then gow a holidy will less than it . I know u dont agree with me so we should talk after numbers comes and diwali pooja don’t affect this movie same as oso . For me jthj first day collection will cross 20 cr . And some earlier comment u tell that the avrage of ett is 17.5 cr but u note here that the show deeps at 2 and 3 days which is nearly about 60 % . So avrage first 3 days collection is above 20 cr. And tell u r oversies collection for jthj .

  • i think its net collection in india will be 160-200crores. so it is sure that it will either blockbuster or all time blockbaster.

  • Jab Tak hai Jaan.

    First Day- 20-25 crore

    First weekend 3 days- 60 crore.

    First Week – 110 crore.

    2nd week- 50+110=160crore.

    3rd week- 20+160= 180crore.

    4th week- 190 crore.

    Life Time collection 7th week -210+ crore.

  • I agree, JTHJ will not be able to break reocrds of Ek tha tiger which had super star Salman. JTHJ will flop after weekends. SOS will be Super Hit.
    YRF has booked more single screen after seeing SOS trailer responce…which is far far better than JTHJ. SOS is for Masses. JTHJ will fall after weekend.
    JTHJ will have final 90-98 Crores after it flops.

  • @rehan
    seriously????
    ajay’s biggest hits have barely touched 100cr mark… and against a gaint looking JTHJ, can it score 135 crs??? with even lesser screens…

  • jthj is only looking good but nothing so special, so it may have a very good run in the multiplexes, but in singles and smaller centres, it will loose it’s steam gradually against the family entertainer SOS. Jthj final collections in india will be around 125 – 165 crores net but in overseas it could be about $15-25 million.
    SOS will survive against jthj and will do around 110-160 net business worldwide.

  • jthj is only looking good but nothing so special, so it may have a very good run in the multiplexes, but in singles and smaller centres, it will loose it’s steam gradually against the family entertainer SOS. Jthj final collections in india will be around 125 – 165 crores net but in overseas it could be about $15-25 million.
    SOS will survive against jthj and will do around 110-175 net business worldwide.

  • lik srk said…money dont matter….movie must b loved by every1…=) i guess 100cr or 200 cr mst nt b d case…movie should run for atleast 100 dayss n must b loved by every1…=)

  • Movie ko review chahe jaise mile aur competion bhi kyu na ho but its sure first 3 days is huge
    first day 20 cr(dont compare ra.one its not family movie) nd advance booking of jthj is greater than ra.one
    second day 28 cr (due to holiday)
    Third day 23-25(due to moherm holiday)
    first 3 days are 100% 60-70 cr
    and lifetime is 200 cr because talash gener is different nd jthj is different

  • Nvs its dream for sos to collect 160 cr in india imposible nd jthj is also family entertenment families are exited to watch jthj because its first romantic movie after rnbdj

  • cmon how can u expect this film to do 180 + …mark my words this film will wont go above 150 crs…at max 140 cr wch is very good for this kind of movie…

  • hey srk fans dont get carried away ……this film is nt like othr films…..CE and HNY will do more than 175+

  • disaster ,flop are out of questiom for SRKs films…he hasnt given a flop since paheli….he along with aamir khan have been the most consistent…

  • If jab tak hai jaan content is excellent then i strongly believes cinema owners will reduce the shows of son of sardar and will increase for jthj. And aamir khan also feel the heat on nov30th!!!

  • It can’t cross Ek Tha Tiger for sure. SRK has not that star power in India as Salman has and on the other hand, all the fans of Ajay Devgan will switch to Son of Sardar. Lifetime collection of Jab Tak Hain Jaan could be between 120 and 150 crore.

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