Jab Tak Hai Jaan HIT or FLOP: Box Office Prediction

The countdown has begun. 4 days to go, for arguably the most awaited release so far this year. Shahrukh Khan’s Jab Tak Hai Jaan directed by the legendary Yash Chopra, who passed away days before the film opened in theatres, is all set to release worldwide.

In India, Jab Tak Hai Jaan (JTHJ) is releasing on 2700 screens (could be more), while overseas it’s opening on a record 600-650 screens.

While the film is likely to break opening records in the overseas markets, where Shahrukh Khan commands a huge fan following, it’s the domestic business that is generating immense curiosity all over the internet.

Almost every SRK film in recent times has fared well abroad, but back home in India, Shahrukh’s highest grosser (Ra One) is ranked 8th in the highest grossers list.

So, the excitement is high. Can Jab Tak Hai Jaan go on to be SRK’s biggest grosser? Can it beat Ek Tha Tiger as the highest grossing film of 2012? And finally, the record that every major film has been chasing since 2009, the magical figure of 202 currently held by 3 Idiots..

Without further adieu, below are the HIT or FLOP Box office predictions for Jab Tak Hai Jaan

Note: The opening day records are unlikely to be surpassed as the film releases on Diwali. Much like Ra One (around 17-18 cr incl all versions) last year, JTHJ will open well, but the evening/night shows are likely to be affected due to Diwali puja across India. We expect the first day collections to be around 14-16 crores, also keeping in mind the competition from Son Of Sardaar.

IF VERY GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)
Heroine

  • Weekend (3 day) – 50 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 95 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 30 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  125 crores
  • Final – 180 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed response)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 45 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 85 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 25 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  110 crores
  • Final – 150 crores

IF BAD (worst case scenario)

  • Weekend (3 day) – 42 crores
  • Extended Weekend (Tue-Sun) – 72 crores
  • Weekdays (Mon-Thu) – 18 crores
  • Week 1 (10 days) –  90 crores
  • Final – 110 crores

Overall, after the initial hype subsides, it all boils down to the content. If the film is good and has repeat value, it should easily cross 150 crores.

Realistically, even though the response to the advance booking has been excellent, we don’t think Jab Tak Hai Jaan will be record breaking in it’s initial weekend. There are 3 reasons; one, competition from Son Of Sardar; two, fewer shows due to 3 hour runtime; three, fewer screens compared to Ek Tha Tiger (which currently holds all the opening day, weekend records).

Having said that, it has every chance to be a major grosser in the long run, if it clicks with the family audience.

So, what are your box office predictions for Jab Tak Hai Jaan? HIT or FLOP? Super Hit or Blockbuster? Disaster or All Time Blockbuster?

Tell us what you think in the comments section below.

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115 Comments

  • JTHJ will be the biggest blockbuster of all time… SRK’s movies are always full of class and soul..

    This diwali, King Khan rocks :)

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 200 Thumb down 63
  • it would be all time blockbuster, one of the greatest movies of all time, may collect more than 250 but 200+cr is for sure

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 133 Thumb down 41
  • Excitement is at an all time high for JTHJ… Surely a ATBB at the least .. Rock on King Khan !!

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 82 Thumb down 27
  • Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

    Poorly rated comment Thumb up 42 Thumb down 78
  • Box office collections Only Time will tell, For me it will be remembered for lifetime.

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 47 Thumb down 20
  • I dont agree with your prediction..my prediction-
    1st 3 days- 55 cr
    1st weekend(6 days) -- 105 cr
    Lifetime -- 190-205 cr
    we all know reports will be mixed becoz srk haters will spread negativity..

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 79 Thumb down 29
  • Will definately collect more than 150cr and all the record in the overseas will be broken 300cr worldwhide.@indicine how much it should collect to be a bb

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 35 Thumb down 16
  • @Dinesh, I would be very surprised if it crosses 105 crores in 6 days. That would mean an average of 17.5 crore per day, which is close to what Ek Tha Tiger did with more screens and a solo release (no competition). Also, JTHJ is not a typical masala flick. So I expect it to open well and then grow with time.

  • i think 128cr + for jthj in india overseas 60cr+ and 95cr+ for sos!! that’s all and its gonna be true just mark my words!!

    Popular Thumb up 24 Thumb down 24
  • i agree that it cannot break opening day record but i differ with your opening weekend opinion…becoz ek tha tiger fell pre-badly on 2nd,3rd,and 4th day..and end up only 4cr ahead than ra.one(53cr)..the break down is:-

    for ett :-
    day1 :- 31cr+
    day2 :- 14cr+(almost 60% downfall due to average wom)
    day3 :- 12cr+(more than 60% downfall)
    total = 57cr+

    now the possible scenario for jthj :-
    day1 :- 17cr
    day2 :- 21-22cr(holiday)
    day3 :- 19-20cr(holiday in most parts)

    total= possibly 57 to 59 cr or may be 60cr

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 40 Thumb down 21
  • It will do 200+ in india and ovearseas it should do 100+ crore mark my word

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 40 Thumb down 16
  • sometimes collection dont matter…..its one of those films…. :)
    jab tak hai jaan …jab tak hai jaan…

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 42 Thumb down 17
  • content matters, opening weekend will be huge coz of srk if contents is liked then it may cross ett lifetime coll. gradually otherwise not more than 128cr

    Thumb up 11 Thumb down 11
  • @indicine team if very good would 200cr.u can edit the positive word of mouth becoz its unfair prediction.

    Thumb up 12 Thumb down 9

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