Jab Harry Met Sejal: Lifetime Box Office Prediction Update

Note: The final IndicineLBO Prediction will be published tomorrow, this is just a quick update on what number to except from the lifetime business of Shah Rukh Khan’s Jab Harry Met Sejal.

It was one of the biggest releases of the year, a film that was expected to bring the best out of Shah Rukh Khan and more importantly the director, Imtiaz Ali, who has directed films like Socha Na Tha and Jab We Met.

But right from the moment the first ‘mini trail’ was out, the interest in the film dipped and the survey we did during the ‘Tubelight’ weekend, made it pretty clear that the normal audience (not including fans) simply weren’t interested in SRK’s latest offering.

Yet, we expected the film to collect around 17-18 crore on its opening day at the box office. That was the ‘IndicineFBO’ average range, for which we were criticised and mocked from those who were certain that the film would open above 20/25 crore.

The decision to stick to the 16-17 crore range came when the response to the advance booking was dismal outside the main cities. The final prediction was supposed to be 16.5 crore, but we decided to go with 17 crore. A case of pressure from fans affecting our prediction accuracy, because lower prediction and higher collection would mean extreme criticism.

Coming to the lifetime box office collections of the film, the reports vary from negative to extremely negative. There’s a drop of 15-20% on Saturday from Friday (until 3PM) and even though business is expected to pick up in the evening and peak at night, the film would need nothing less than a miraculous turnaround to show the kind of big growth it needs on Saturday and Sunday – after a poor start on Friday.

We are currently expecting the film to wrap with lifetime collections of around 75 crore. The level of collections in the next three days will decide if it goes above that number or does the unthinkable and falls below. We should be able to get a more accurate figure looking at the Saturday number.

Stay tuned for the final ‘IndicineLBO’ box office prediction tomorrow.

Movie	Date	LBO	Actual
Baadshaho	Sep 1	73 crore	-
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan	Sep 1	28 crore	-
Daddy	Sep 8	8 crore	-
Kaalakaandi	Sep 8	12 crore	-
Simran	Sep 15	10 crore	-
Haseena	Sep 15	11 crore	-
Lucknow Central	Sep 15	13 crore	-
Bhoomi	Sep 22	20 crore	-
Judwaa 2	Sep 29	125 crore	-
A Gentleman	Aug 25	20 crore	-
Secret Superstar	Diwali	60 crore	-
Golmaal Again	Diwali	200 crore	-
Ittefaq	Nov 3	25 crore	-
Padmavati	Nov 17	180 crore	-
Tiger Zinda Hai	Christmas	275 crore	-
Ok Jaanu	Jan 13	26 crore	20 crore
Jolly LLB 2	Feb 10	112 crore	116 crore
Rangoon	Feb 24	23 crore	20 crore
Commando 2	Mar 03	25 crore	23 crore
Badrinath Ki Dulhania	Mar 10	115 crore	118 crore
Phillauri	Mar 24	28 crore	27 crore
Naam Shabana	Mar 31	30 crore	35 crore
Begum Jaan	Apr 14	22 crore	18 crore
Noor	Apr 21	10 crore	8 crore
Sarkar 3	May 12	16 crore	12 crore
Meri Pyaari Bindu	May 12	18 crore	13 crore
Half Girlfriend	May 19	60 crore	58 crore
Raabta	June 9	20 crore	21 crore
Tubelight	Eid	146 crore	125 crore
Mom	July 7	44 crore	37 crore
Jagga Jasoos	July 14	57 crore	55 crore
Munna Michael	July 21	33 crore	35 crore
Jab Harry Met Sejal	Aug 4	67 crore	63 crore
Mubarakan	July 28	45 crore	57 crore
Toilet Ek Prem Katha	Aug 11	120 crore	130 crore
Bareilly Ki Barfi	Aug 18	24 crore	29 crore